Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15977
Heading Into Final Weekend of Campaigning, Bloomberg Poised To Capture 3rd Term as NYC Mayor: In an election for New York City mayor today, 10/30/09, four days until votes are counted, incumbent Mayor Mike Bloomberg is re-elected to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger Bill Thompson 53% to 42%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV. Bloomberg leads by 2:1 or more among seniors, whites, Republicans, and in Staten Island. Thompson runs 2:1 ahead among blacks, leads among Asian Americans, edges Bloomberg in Brooklyn, and ties the incumbent in The Bronx. The race is essentially tied among Democrats, suggesting voter turnout may not play a significant role in this election.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 city of New York adults 10/28/09 and 10/29/09. All interviews were conducted after the 10/27/09 candidate debate. Of the adults, 970 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 606 were by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/09 general election.
If the Election for Mayor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Mike Bloomberg, who appears on the Republican and Independence Party ballot lines? Or Bill Thompson, who appears on the Democratic and Working Family party ballot lines?
606 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +ManhattaBrooklynQueensThe BronStaten I
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%21%31%27%21%53%47%47%22%21%10%20%66%13%21%42%26%56%44%39%38%24%22%27%30%15%6%