Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22709

*** Exclusive to 11Alive Atlanta. Must credit 11Alive Atlanta and SurveyUSA if you cite these results in whole or in part. ***

5 Days to Georgia Presidential Primary, Trump Pulls Away from GOP Field; Clinton Buries Sanders; In November Head-To-Head
General Election Match-Ups, Republican Nominee, Whomever It Is, Beats Either Democrat; 16 Peach State Electoral Votes Stay Red:

Donald Trump consolidates his gains from Nevada, South Carolina and New Hampshire, and marches through Georgia like Sherman's army, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta.

Today, 5 days till votes are counted and with many GA ballots already returned, it's Trump 45% (1 point less than the 46% Trump got in Nevada), Marco Rubio 19%, Ted Cruz 16%, others further back.

Trump is backed by 51% of "strong Republicans," 47% of conservatives and 46% of moderates. He is backed by 57% of voters with a high-school education, 52% of voters earning less than $40,000 a year, 49% of seniors.

Rubio runs strongest among affluent Republican primary voters and voters in greater Atlanta, but Rubio does not exceed the 25% support level in any voter demographic, so it will be hard for him to catch Trump, barring something completely unforeseen.

Cruz runs strongest among Republican primary voters who are "very conservative" and who are "falling behind" financially. Cruz does not reach 30% support in any demographic group --- including evangelical Christians, where Trump beats Cruz 2:1, and including members of the Tea Party, where Trump beats Cruz 5:2.

In the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Bernie Sanders 66% to 27%. Though Sanders and Clinton run almost even among GA's white Democratic primary voters, Clinton leads 4:1 among both African Americans and Hispanics. Though Sanders makes a show of it among "very liberal" voters, drawing to within 3 points of Clinton, Clinton is at 65% among moderates and at 73% among conservative Democrats.

Looking ahead to November, Trump and Rubio run slightly stronger than Cruz, but in every case, Republicans win the state in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups. "Today" it's:

* Trump 50%, Clinton 41% --- a 9-point Republican advantage.
* Trump 49%, Sanders 41% --- an 8-point Republican advantage.
* Rubio 50%, Clinton 43% --- a 7-point Republican advantage.
* Rubio 49%, Sanders 41% --- an 8-point Republican advantage.
* Cruz 49%, Clinton 42% --- a 7-point Republican advantage.
* Cruz 48%, Sanders 42% --- a 6-point Republican advantage.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,650 Georgia adults 02/22/16 through 02/23/16. Approximately half of the interviews were completed before the results of the Nevada Republican caucuses were known, the other half after. Of the adults interviewed, 1,454 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 1,261 voters who were likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election, 684 voters who had either already voted in the Republican presidential primary or who were certain to do so before the deadline, and 501 voters who had already voted in the Democratic presidential primary or who were certain to do so before the deadline. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (53% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (47% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. In 2012, Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by 8 percentage points to capture Georgia's 16 electoral college votes with 53% of the ballots cast.

1	If you were filling out your Republican PRESIDENTIAL primary ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Donald Trump? Ted Cruz? Marco Rubio? Ben Carson? John Kasich? Or one of the other candidates?

684 Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Donald Trump	305	163	142	46	81	102	77	127	178	265	16	17	7	196	84	119	155	25	113	93	72	19	1	2	0	81	126	72	8	3	56	249	67	198	158	119	78	123	95	95	107	85	124	181	60	136	108
Ted Cruz	112	56	57	17	25	45	25	42	70	91	11	7	3	63	34	32	54	21	38	30	37	4	0	0	0	59	34	13	0	0	18	94	30	60	69	33	24	33	51	31	46	23	45	67	24	49	39
Marco Rubio	130	61	68	14	40	42	32	55	75	118	5	4	3	79	45	57	58	11	31	49	36	10	2	0	0	32	60	30	4	1	13	116	8	106	68	58	15	42	69	21	49	53	53	77	40	51	38
Ben Carson	54	22	32	12	14	21	7	26	28	46	2	2	3	29	19	16	30	7	12	14	16	9	0	0	1	18	21	12	0	0	3	51	11	34	40	7	7	23	22	15	21	14	27	27	15	20	18
John Kasich	43	28	15	5	9	19	10	15	29	34	4	4	2	23	21	22	13	8	11	12	11	3	4	2	0	6	15	16	4	0	5	39	3	38	15	26	6	8	28	8	10	23	16	27	18	10	15
Other	5	3	2	2	0	1	3	2	4	5	0	0	0	5	1	1	4	1	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	2	2	0	3	2	2	0	2	2	3	0	5	0
Undecided	34	14	21	10	6	13	4	16	18	23	4	6	1	25	9	10	13	7	14	11	6	1	1	0	0	5	12	12	3	2	0	34	9	18	19	13	8	12	14	10	10	10	20	14	8	15	12
Total	684	347	336	106	176	244	157	282	401	583	41	41	19	420	212	256	326	80	222	210	179	46	8	5	1	204	270	154	19	5	96	587	130	455	372	260	138	245	280	184	243	210	287	397	167	287	230
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	100%	51%	49%	16%	26%	36%	23%	41%	59%	85%	6%	6%	3%	62%	31%	38%	48%	12%	33%	31%	27%	7%	1%	1%	0%	30%	40%	23%	3%	1%	14%	86%	19%	68%	56%	39%	21%	37%	42%	29%	38%	33%	42%	58%	24%	42%	34%

2	If you were filling out your Democratic presidential primary ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Or Bernie Sanders?

501 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Hillary Clinton	329	146	183	59	109	103	58	168	161	80	215	22	12	128	192	156	143	25	3	8	2	11	45	119	134	31	47	106	73	38	45	284	7	291	96	201	68	119	128	132	110	72	157	172	148	83	99
Bernie Sanders	136	75	61	51	42	30	13	93	43	77	49	6	5	58	74	50	62	16	0	1	3	16	31	40	42	5	13	42	30	36	24	112	3	122	28	96	23	51	59	38	54	39	76	59	45	45	47
Undecided	36	16	20	10	10	11	4	21	15	7	26	3	0	16	15	14	18	3	1	0	1	3	3	13	14	2	5	14	8	2	1	35	0	31	11	19	11	12	13	18	6	11	21	15	15	11	10
Total	501	237	264	120	161	144	76	281	220	163	290	31	17	202	282	220	223	44	4	9	5	30	78	172	190	39	65	162	112	77	70	430	10	444	135	315	102	183	200	187	169	122	255	246	207	138	155
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	100%	47%	53%	24%	32%	29%	15%	56%	44%	33%	58%	6%	3%	40%	56%	44%	45%	9%	1%	2%	1%	6%	16%	35%	39%	8%	13%	33%	23%	16%	14%	86%	2%	91%	28%	65%	21%	38%	41%	39%	35%	26%	51%	49%	41%	28%	31%

3	If the November election for President were today, and the only candidates on the ballot were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?

1261 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Donald Trump (R)	636	314	322	92	169	223	153	261	375	561	33	31	12	400	181	230	304	78	204	176	163	56	7	12	2	184	247	144	19	6	85	529	127	406	333	240	123	239	251	170	228	192	261	375	147	279	211
Hillary Clinton (D)	516	228	288	99	164	164	89	263	253	178	285	25	29	199	299	216	223	62	7	17	20	35	79	149	189	45	53	167	117	73	61	418	7	459	140	326	100	170	220	189	162	135	230	287	204	154	158
Undecided	109	43	66	25	28	35	20	54	55	74	25	5	4	53	46	42	49	8	12	27	19	22	11	8	6	19	28	38	9	0	6	93	5	83	45	45	14	32	58	24	36	39	59	50	34	40	35
Total	1261	585	676	216	361	421	262	578	683	813	343	61	45	652	527	488	576	148	223	220	202	113	96	168	197	248	328	349	144	79	152	1040	139	948	518	611	238	441	529	383	427	365	550	711	384	472	404
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	46%	54%	17%	29%	33%	21%	46%	54%	64%	27%	5%	4%	52%	42%	39%	47%	12%	18%	18%	17%	9%	8%	14%	16%	20%	27%	29%	12%	6%	12%	82%	11%	78%	43%	50%	20%	36%	44%	33%	36%	31%	44%	56%	30%	37%	32%

4	What if the candidates were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1261 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Donald Trump (R)	615	300	315	88	167	212	149	255	360	531	41	31	13	380	183	233	290	68	202	174	150	46	7	15	5	187	244	130	19	3	82	511	120	396	322	234	128	231	234	163	218	191	251	364	146	272	197
Bernie Sanders (D)	521	238	283	108	172	162	80	280	241	209	259	26	28	221	282	207	231	68	10	23	33	48	73	135	182	35	60	177	115	74	62	425	12	455	138	331	86	178	232	178	168	142	242	279	201	163	157
Undecided	125	47	78	20	23	47	34	43	81	73	44	4	4	50	62	48	55	12	12	23	19	20	16	19	10	27	24	42	11	2	8	104	7	97	58	46	24	32	63	41	41	33	57	68	38	37	50
Total	1261	585	676	216	361	421	262	578	683	813	343	61	45	652	527	488	576	148	223	220	202	113	96	168	197	248	328	349	144	79	152	1040	139	948	518	611	238	441	529	383	427	365	550	711	384	472	404
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	46%	54%	17%	29%	33%	21%	46%	54%	64%	27%	5%	4%	52%	42%	39%	47%	12%	18%	18%	17%	9%	8%	14%	16%	20%	27%	29%	12%	6%	12%	82%	11%	78%	43%	50%	20%	36%	44%	33%	36%	31%	44%	56%	30%	37%	32%

5	OK, what if it were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton?

1261 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Ted Cruz (R)	622	299	323	90	166	213	152	256	365	542	33	30	16	384	182	220	302	73	192	179	167	48	11	6	1	185	245	137	14	1	78	521	115	402	337	225	117	230	253	166	213	192	260	362	148	270	205
Hillary Clinton (D)	534	240	294	106	170	171	87	276	259	195	283	29	27	218	299	231	220	65	12	22	19	45	76	151	190	48	62	169	118	75	70	428	16	466	145	334	101	174	233	184	175	145	243	291	209	162	163
Undecided	105	46	59	20	26	37	23	46	59	76	28	1	1	50	46	37	54	10	18	19	16	21	9	12	6	15	21	43	12	3	4	92	8	80	36	52	21	37	43	32	39	28	46	59	27	40	37
Total	1261	585	676	216	361	421	262	578	683	813	343	61	45	652	527	488	576	148	223	220	202	113	96	168	197	248	328	349	144	79	152	1040	139	948	518	611	238	441	529	383	427	365	550	711	384	472	404
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	46%	54%	17%	29%	33%	21%	46%	54%	64%	27%	5%	4%	52%	42%	39%	47%	12%	18%	18%	17%	9%	8%	14%	16%	20%	27%	29%	12%	6%	12%	82%	11%	78%	43%	50%	20%	36%	44%	33%	36%	31%	44%	56%	30%	37%	32%

6	What if it were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1261 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Ted Cruz (R)	611	286	325	85	172	201	153	257	354	515	45	33	17	370	185	226	287	69	190	183	153	39	12	8	7	182	247	128	16	5	75	509	117	396	332	216	116	220	250	161	209	194	246	365	147	261	203
Bernie Sanders (D)	530	253	277	108	166	174	82	274	256	225	256	25	24	235	278	220	231	63	18	23	29	54	74	135	178	47	59	173	118	72	69	427	17	461	134	343	90	179	235	162	187	146	250	280	203	179	149
Undecided	120	45	75	23	24	46	27	47	73	73	42	2	3	46	63	42	58	17	15	15	20	21	10	25	12	19	21	48	10	2	9	104	6	92	52	52	32	41	44	60	31	25	54	66	34	33	53
Total	1261	585	676	216	361	421	262	578	683	813	343	61	45	652	527	488	576	148	223	220	202	113	96	168	197	248	328	349	144	79	152	1040	139	948	518	611	238	441	529	383	427	365	550	711	384	472	404
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	46%	54%	17%	29%	33%	21%	46%	54%	64%	27%	5%	4%	52%	42%	39%	47%	12%	18%	18%	17%	9%	8%	14%	16%	20%	27%	29%	12%	6%	12%	82%	11%	78%	43%	50%	20%	36%	44%	33%	36%	31%	44%	56%	30%	37%	32%

7	What if it were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton?

1261 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Marco Rubio (R)	629	306	323	87	163	214	165	250	379	559	26	31	13	400	175	225	303	74	193	187	171	50	7	4	1	183	246	147	14	1	78	526	115	413	341	231	116	232	258	161	223	194	251	378	148	275	206
Hillary Clinton (D)	537	235	302	107	169	178	82	276	260	187	294	29	27	211	306	235	218	67	13	18	20	42	77	154	191	48	59	164	121	76	68	432	18	465	145	336	104	174	231	191	175	140	248	288	209	164	164
Undecided	96	44	52	22	29	29	15	52	44	67	23	1	4	41	46	29	54	7	18	15	12	22	12	10	4	17	22	38	10	2	6	82	7	70	32	44	18	35	40	32	30	31	51	45	28	34	34
Total	1261	585	676	216	361	421	262	578	683	813	343	61	45	652	527	488	576	148	223	220	202	113	96	168	197	248	328	349	144	79	152	1040	139	948	518	611	238	441	529	383	427	365	550	711	384	472	404
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	46%	54%	17%	29%	33%	21%	46%	54%	64%	27%	5%	4%	52%	42%	39%	47%	12%	18%	18%	17%	9%	8%	14%	16%	20%	27%	29%	12%	6%	12%	82%	11%	78%	43%	50%	20%	36%	44%	33%	36%	31%	44%	56%	30%	37%	32%

8	And what if it were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1261 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Marco Rubio (R)	620	303	317	82	161	214	162	243	377	536	33	36	15	384	181	235	287	72	196	181	161	45	7	5	6	187	245	138	14	4	78	519	116	407	341	221	117	214	265	157	223	193	248	372	152	265	203
Bernie Sanders (D)	516	232	284	104	168	166	78	272	244	209	261	22	24	223	276	207	231	62	13	21	26	46	74	134	181	39	56	167	119	73	66	413	15	449	129	330	94	178	218	168	173	139	240	276	198	172	146
Undecided	125	50	76	30	32	40	22	63	63	68	50	2	5	45	69	46	59	15	14	18	15	22	15	29	9	22	27	44	12	2	8	108	9	92	48	59	27	48	47	58	30	33	62	63	35	36	55
Total	1261	585	676	216	361	421	262	578	683	813	343	61	45	652	527	488	576	148	223	220	202	113	96	168	197	248	328	349	144	79	152	1040	139	948	518	611	238	441	529	383	427	365	550	711	384	472	404
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	46%	54%	17%	29%	33%	21%	46%	54%	64%	27%	5%	4%	52%	42%	39%	47%	12%	18%	18%	17%	9%	8%	14%	16%	20%	27%	29%	12%	6%	12%	82%	11%	78%	43%	50%	20%	36%	44%	33%	36%	31%	44%	56%	30%	37%	32%

9	Regardless of who you personally think you will vote for in 2016, do you think American voters are ready to elect a female President ?

1454 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Gun Owner		Financially			Party Affiliation							Ideology					Already Voted?		Tea Party		Evangelical		Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Yes	No	Doing We	Just Get	Falling	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Yes	882	410	472	172	293	276	141	465	417	491	306	53	32	407	427	362	402	91	85	106	125	103	93	162	181	127	186	291	122	76	101	704	74	710	294	507	157	293	399	280	285	262	426	456	325	293	263
No	408	206	201	81	84	134	108	165	243	305	54	28	20	247	125	137	187	64	138	104	71	25	14	26	10	115	139	75	22	11	54	309	64	273	213	140	99	164	121	141	145	85	163	244	79	184	144
Not Sure	165	73	91	31	54	51	29	84	80	108	41	14	2	82	69	57	81	18	17	29	30	35	16	20	16	24	45	51	17	3	14	126	10	114	67	70	51	52	60	54	60	49	91	73	59	49	56
Total	1454	690	764	284	430	461	279	714	740	903	401	95	54	736	622	556	670	173	240	239	227	163	123	208	207	266	371	417	160	91	170	1139	148	1097	575	717	307	509	580	475	490	396	680	774	464	527	463
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	47%	53%	20%	30%	32%	19%	49%	51%	62%	28%	7%	4%	51%	43%	39%	47%	12%	17%	17%	16%	12%	9%	15%	15%	19%	26%	30%	11%	6%	12%	78%	11%	78%	41%	51%	22%	36%	42%	35%	36%	29%	47%	53%	32%	36%	32%