Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17017
Democrat Boucher Keeps VA-09 Blue: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 09/03/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith 50% to 40%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Boucher is down a nominal 2 points, Griffith is up a nominal 1 point. The contest remains tied among men; among women, Boucher leads by 22 points, essentially unchanged. 1 in 4 Republicans continue to cross over to vote for the Democrat. Independents remain divided. A third party candidate in the race, Jeremiah Heaton, gets 9% of the vote among Independents, 5% of the vote overall.

Boucher, first elected in 1982, is seeking his 15th term.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/02/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 576 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Morgan Griffith? Democrat Rick Boucher? Or Independent Jeremiah Heaton?
576 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Morgan Griffith (R)40%47%34%49%44%38%35%46%37%39%******68%8%42%60%24%11%70%5%33%25%46%37%44%30%37%51%23%42%34%33%46%
Rick Boucher (D)50%44%56%37%45%54%58%42%56%52%******25%87%43%29%72%72%22%86%55%68%45%54%48%57%52%38%71%49%62%58%45%
Jeremiah Heaton (I)5%5%5%4%7%5%3%6%4%5%******3%3%9%6%3%8%4%3%8%5%6%4%4%4%9%5%5%5%3%5%5%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%14%25%35%26%39%61%94%3%2%1%37%32%29%51%31%10%41%24%22%13%37%63%64%19%16%61%37%77%20%50%50%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.