| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14536 |
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SurveyDNA™ brand data analysis from SurveyUSA:
This is a hypothetical set of data that shows what would happen today, 10/07/08, if black turnout in North Carolina is not the 20% that SurveyUSA forecasts, but instead 22%. With 22% black turnout, all 3 top of ticket contests in North Carolina are tied. To see the complete set of released SurveyUSA data that goes with these contests, see this link for the President, this link for the Senate, and this link for the Governor race.
* * * * * C A U T I O N * * * * * SurveyDNA hypothetical data only. |
| 1 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 628 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Actual V | Likely V | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| McCain (R) | 48% | 50% | 45% | 38% | 50% | 53% | 49% | 45% | 51% | 45% | 44% | 53% | 61% | 7% | ** | ** | 87% | 19% | 39% | 81% | 35% | 17% | 29% | 49% | 45% | 50% | 52% | 38% | 45% | 68% | 28% | 45% | ** | 33% | ** | 86% | ** | ** | ** | 41% | 51% | 52% | 50% | 42% | 47% |
| Obama (D) | 47% | 44% | 49% | 55% | 46% | 43% | 45% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 51% | 42% | 33% | 92% | ** | ** | 11% | 76% | 51% | 17% | 59% | 80% | 67% | 46% | 50% | 46% | 43% | 57% | 52% | 29% | 66% | 50% | ** | 64% | ** | 10% | ** | ** | ** | 54% | 45% | 42% | 47% | 54% | 47% |
| Other | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | ** | 3% | ** | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Undecided | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | 0% | ** | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 24% | 34% | 25% | 18% | 58% | 42% | 52% | 9% | 38% | 75% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 36% | 43% | 18% | 34% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 94% | 49% | 51% | 58% | 25% | 17% | 49% | 48% | 63% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 41% | 59% | 35% | 20% | 30% | 15% |
| 2 | North Carolina voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Elizabeth Dole? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Chris Cole? |
| 628 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Actual V | Likely V | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Elizabeth Dole (R) | 43% | 47% | 39% | 35% | 46% | 48% | 41% | 41% | 45% | 41% | 36% | 47% | 52% | 11% | ** | ** | 80% | 17% | 30% | 72% | 32% | 15% | 27% | 44% | 43% | 43% | 46% | 37% | 41% | 60% | 28% | 40% | ** | 33% | ** | 81% | ** | ** | ** | 37% | 46% | 45% | 40% | 40% | 47% |
| Kay Hagan (D) | 44% | 39% | 48% | 49% | 39% | 43% | 48% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 51% | 43% | 35% | 73% | ** | ** | 12% | 70% | 48% | 19% | 56% | 76% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 40% | 43% | 45% | 46% | 29% | 59% | 48% | ** | 51% | ** | 8% | ** | ** | ** | 46% | 43% | 41% | 47% | 47% | 40% |
| Chris Cole (L) | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 5% | ** | ** | 5% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ** | 9% | ** | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 8% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Undecided | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 11% | ** | ** | 3% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 21% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | ** | 7% | ** | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 9% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 24% | 34% | 25% | 18% | 58% | 42% | 52% | 9% | 38% | 75% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 36% | 43% | 18% | 34% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 94% | 49% | 51% | 58% | 25% | 17% | 49% | 48% | 63% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 41% | 59% | 35% | 20% | 30% | 15% |
| 3 | North Carolina voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Pat McCrory? Democrat Beverly Perdue? Or Libertarian Mike Munger? |
| 628 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Actual V | Likely V | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Pat McCrory (R) | 45% | 53% | 39% | 39% | 43% | 51% | 49% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 44% | 50% | 56% | 13% | ** | ** | 77% | 19% | 43% | 71% | 36% | 21% | 22% | 47% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 42% | 45% | 62% | 30% | 45% | ** | 31% | ** | 79% | ** | ** | ** | 40% | 49% | 54% | 47% | 39% | 37% |
| Beverly Perdue (D) | 45% | 38% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 47% | 47% | 43% | 46% | 52% | 43% | 36% | 75% | ** | ** | 17% | 72% | 43% | 21% | 56% | 74% | 58% | 44% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 46% | 46% | 30% | 60% | 46% | ** | 62% | ** | 13% | ** | ** | ** | 48% | 43% | 39% | 42% | 51% | 53% |
| Mike Munger (L) | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ** | 3% | ** | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% |
| Undecided | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | ** | ** | 4% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ** | 5% | ** | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 24% | 34% | 25% | 18% | 58% | 42% | 52% | 9% | 38% | 75% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 36% | 43% | 18% | 34% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 94% | 49% | 51% | 58% | 25% | 17% | 49% | 48% | 63% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 41% | 59% | 35% | 20% | 30% | 15% |