| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15764 |
| The Latest From Virginia: Governor's Race, No Change. Lieutenant Governor's Race, No Change. Attorney General's Race, No Change. In statewide elections in Virginia today, two months until votes are counted, Republicans sweep, taking the statehouse away from the Democrats and holding the Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General offices, according to SurveyUSA polling for WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WJLA-TV Washington DC.
For Governor, Republican Bob McDonnell appears undamaged and today defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released five weeks ago, the race has tightened slightly, not dramatically. There is movement to Deeds in the Washington DC suburbs, where a 15-point McDonnell lead has evaporated, but there is no GOP erosion in the rest of the state. There is softening in McDonnell's support among voters age 50+, but that is offset by gains for McDonnell among voters age 35 to 49. Of those who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and who are judged by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in November 2009, 13% cross-over for McDonnell, twice the number of McCain voters who cross-over for Deeds. For Lieutenant Governor, Incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of VA and VA Secretary of Finance, 52% to 42%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released 5 weeks ago, the contest is largely unchanged. There is movement to the Democrat in Southeast and Northeast VA and offsetting movement to the Republican in Central VA. For Attorney General, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat state representative Steve Shannon 54% to 41%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll five weeks ago, the race is unchanged. There is movement to the Republican among women, offsetting movement to the Democrat among men. Both men represent adjoining districts in Fairfax County. Cuccinelli is at or above 50% in every region of the state. |
| Filtering: 1,000 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/01/09 through 09/03/09. Of them, 892 were registered to vote. Of them, 611 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Kaine is term limited; Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Mims was appointed to the seat by the Virginia General Assembly in February 2009, when Bob McDonnell resigned to campaign full-time for Governor, and is not seeking election to the office. |
 | If the election for Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? Or Democrat Creigh Deeds? |
| 611 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Obama | McCain | Shenando | Northeas | Southeas | Central | |
| McDonnell (R) | 54% | 56% | 52% | 48% | 62% | 49% | 53% | 57% | 51% | 62% | 18% | ** | ** | 88% | 19% | 52% | 89% | 42% | 15% | 48% | 64% | 58% | 54% | 41% | 78% | 31% | 65% | 43% | 46% | 57% | 13% | 90% | 60% | 47% | 53% | 55% |
| Deeds (D) | 42% | 39% | 45% | 47% | 34% | 47% | 42% | 39% | 45% | 33% | 80% | ** | ** | 7% | 80% | 41% | 10% | 51% | 83% | 48% | 32% | 38% | 43% | 52% | 19% | 64% | 30% | 54% | 47% | 40% | 85% | 6% | 36% | 48% | 46% | 38% |
| Undecided | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 32% | 28% | 20% | 51% | 49% | 77% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 36% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 44% | 17% | 60% | 40% | 59% | 25% | 15% | 48% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 29% | 71% | 44% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 27% |
 | Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? Or Democrat Jody Wagner? |
| 611 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Obama | McCain | Shenando | Northeas | Southeas | Central | |
| Bolling (R) | 52% | 53% | 51% | 43% | 59% | 48% | 56% | 53% | 51% | 61% | 14% | ** | ** | 86% | 15% | 53% | 86% | 41% | 14% | 47% | 61% | 54% | 53% | 43% | 75% | 31% | 62% | 43% | 46% | 55% | 13% | 86% | 61% | 46% | 47% | 53% |
| Wagner (D) | 42% | 40% | 44% | 52% | 35% | 45% | 39% | 42% | 43% | 32% | 84% | ** | ** | 9% | 82% | 39% | 12% | 50% | 82% | 48% | 33% | 41% | 42% | 48% | 20% | 63% | 32% | 53% | 45% | 41% | 83% | 9% | 33% | 47% | 51% | 39% |
| Undecided | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | ** | ** | 5% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 32% | 28% | 20% | 51% | 49% | 77% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 36% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 44% | 17% | 60% | 40% | 59% | 25% | 15% | 48% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 29% | 71% | 44% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 27% |
 | Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? Or Democrat Steve Shannon? |
| 611 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Obama | McCain | Shenando | Northeas | Southeas | Central | |
| Cuccinelli (R) | 54% | 55% | 52% | 55% | 58% | 47% | 55% | 57% | 50% | 59% | 22% | ** | ** | 88% | 21% | 49% | 87% | 44% | 14% | 49% | 61% | 57% | 55% | 38% | 76% | 34% | 62% | 44% | 49% | 55% | 17% | 84% | 59% | 51% | 55% | 50% |
| Shannon (D) | 41% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 36% | 47% | 39% | 38% | 44% | 34% | 75% | ** | ** | 6% | 76% | 42% | 11% | 48% | 82% | 46% | 33% | 36% | 41% | 56% | 19% | 60% | 32% | 52% | 44% | 40% | 79% | 10% | 36% | 44% | 42% | 41% |
| Undecided | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 3% | ** | ** | 5% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 32% | 28% | 20% | 51% | 49% | 77% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 36% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 44% | 17% | 60% | 40% | 59% | 25% | 15% | 48% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 29% | 71% | 44% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 27% |