Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14324
In Face of Stiff Opposition, Dole Holds Her Ground, Adds to Modest Lead: In an election for United States Senator in North Carolina today, 09/09/08, 8 weeks till votes are counted, incumbent Republican US Senator Elizabeth Dole defeats Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan 48% to 40%, according to this latest SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Libertarian Christopher Cole remains a factor. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released last month, Dole is up 2, Hagan is down 1, Cole is flat. At a time when Republicans added a woman to the top of the ticket, and in the month where the McCain-Palin ticket gained 8 points among NC women, Dole dropped 4 points among NC women, from 46% to 42%. Much of Dole's increase comes from men, from voters over age 50, and from voters who earn more than $50K/year.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 North Carolina adults 09/06/08 through 09/08/08. Of them, 783 were registered to vote; of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
North Carolina voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Elizabeth Dole? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Chris Cole?
671 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
Elizabeth Dole (R)48%55%42%39%48%49%57%44%53%58%9%****80%16%46%77%36%15%49%47%50%47%41%67%29%41%50%44%**32%46%80%****65%42%51%50%44%55%
Kay Hagan (D)40%34%45%45%37%40%36%41%39%30%77%****10%74%36%14%53%72%39%41%38%39%49%21%60%41%40%45%**56%46%9%****18%46%37%37%43%36%
Chris Cole (L)7%7%7%13%7%5%3%10%4%8%4%****7%5%12%6%7%9%8%7%7%9%7%8%7%9%7%6%**8%3%8%****13%7%7%7%7%6%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%22%32%28%18%54%46%76%20%1%3%41%40%16%38%35%11%48%52%60%24%16%51%46%17%81%49%3%9%6%11%5%5%8%36%64%34%50%16%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.