Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13850
24 Hours Till Votes Counted in NC Democratic US Senate Primary, Hagan Appears to Pull Away from Neal: In a Democratic Primary in NC for United States Senator today, 05/05/08, Primary Eve, Kay Hagan defeats Jim Neal, 43% to 18%, according to this latest SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV in Raleigh. Hagan leads among all groups and in all regions of the state. But, combined, 27% of likely voters say they are undecided or will vote for someone other than Hagan or Neal, making the exact outcome of this contest difficult to predict, and making the final numbers certain to be higher and possibly different for both Hagan and for Neal. Hagan leads 2:1 among men and 3:1 among women. She leads 2:1 among younger voters and 3:1 among older voters. She leads by at least 2:1 in every region of the state. The winner of the Democratic Primary will face incumbent Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole in November.
Filtering: 2,100 state of NC adults were interviewed 05/02/08 through 05/04/08. Of them, 1,801 were registered to vote. Of them, 810 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote or to have already voted in the Democratic primary. One-stop early voting began on 04/17/08. The primary is tomorrow, on 05/06/08.
If the Democratic Primary for United States Senate were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Kay Hagan? Jim Neal? Duskin Lassiter? Howard Staley? Marcus Williams? Or some other Democrat?
810 Actual & Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackAlready Likely VRepublicDemocratUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalCharlottRaleigh South &
Other / Undecided27%26%29%14%30%30%33%24%31%22%34%31%26%29%17%31%**27%32%29%23%23%30%25%30%
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters100%48%52%20%31%28%20%51%49%43%12%46%64%32%25%75%0%87%13%18%40%19%31%53%16%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.