Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16643
 
Whitman, Fiorina, Brown Headed to CA General Election; Attorney General Contests Remain Fluid: 36 hours until votes are counted in California's 06/08/10 primary election, three candidates are poised to advance to the general election in November, according to this latest and final SurveyUSA election poll conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.

In the Republican primary for Governor, former eBay CEO Meg Whitman defeats state insurance commissioner Steve Poizner 2:1. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 weeks ago, the race is essentially unchanged.

In the Republican primary for US Senate, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina defeats former Congressman Tom Campbell 2:1. State Assemblyman Chuck DeVore gets 16%; two other candidates are in single digits. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 weeks ago, the race is essentially unchanged.

Any outcome remains possible in the Republican primary for CA Attorney General, where three candidates today are within 11 points of one another. Los Angeles County DA Steve Cooley gets 30% of the vote today; State Senator Tom Harman gets 25%. Law school professor John Eastman gets 19%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 weeks ago, Cooley is up 1 point; Harman is down 3; Eastman is up 5. Among those who have not yet voted, 31% are undecided. Any outcome is possible.

In the Democratic primary for CA Attorney General, San Francisco DA Kamala Harris continues to edge businessman Chris Kelly and Los Angeles City Attorney Rocky Delgadillo, among voters who have a preference. But: 37% of likely voters vote for someone else or are undecided, making any outcome possible. Incumbent Attorney General Jerry Brown is running for Governor.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,400 California adults 06/03/10 through 06/06/10. Of them, 2,060 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 569 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/08/10 Republican Primary; 617 were determined to be likely to vote in the 06/08/10 Democratic primary. Early voting began 05/10/10.
 
[Candidate names rotated]
If the Republican Primary for Governor were today, who would you vote for? Bill Chambers? Douglas Hughes? Ken Miller? Larry Naritelli? Robert Newman? Steve Poizner? David Tully-Smith? Or, Meg Whitman?
569 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentityCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratDTSConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniActive MAgreeDisagreeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Chambers1%1%1%0%1%0%2%1%1%1%**1%2%1%1%1%**2%1%1%5%1%1%1%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
Hughes1%1%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%**3%0%2%0%1%**0%1%1%1%0%1%2%1%0%1%2%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%0%
Miller1%0%2%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%**0%2%2%0%1%**0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%1%2%0%2%1%0%1%1%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%0%1%
Naritelli1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%**3%1%2%1%1%**1%2%1%3%1%2%1%4%3%1%1%1%2%2%0%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%1%0%
Newman1%1%1%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%**4%0%2%1%1%**1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%3%1%2%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%0%
Poizner30%31%29%36%36%28%21%36%25%28%**34%42%27%32%29%**43%31%29%34%29%40%32%24%31%29%37%29%32%24%30%41%28%35%33%27%31%30%33%30%31%27%
Tully-Smith1%1%1%1%0%0%2%0%1%0%**1%3%2%0%1%**0%0%0%7%0%1%1%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%
Whitman59%60%58%51%56%63%63%55%63%62%**53%44%59%59%60%**43%60%62%36%63%44%55%60%56%63%46%61%55%64%58%52%62%55%56%62%55%61%55%58%58%68%
Undecided5%5%5%4%5%5%6%4%5%5%**1%8%3%6%5%**10%4%5%11%4%10%6%8%2%4%9%5%5%5%8%3%5%5%6%4%5%5%5%6%6%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%54%46%16%31%27%25%48%52%75%2%12%11%36%64%92%0%8%61%33%5%61%10%21%7%8%63%13%62%38%46%24%30%54%41%51%44%27%73%25%33%22%20%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
If the Democratic Primary for Governor were today, who would you vote for? Richard Aguirre? Jerry Brown? Lowell Darling? Vibert Greene? Chuck Pineda Jr.? Peter Schurman? Or, Joe Symmon?
617 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentityCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratDTSConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniActive MAgreeDisagreeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Aguirre4%5%3%4%5%3%4%5%3%2%1%6%7%5%3%**4%8%11%4%2%12%1%7%7%**9%1%4%4%4%4%2%6%3%4%3%5%2%2%4%10%2%
Brown73%75%71%52%72%80%80%64%80%77%73%68%65%74%73%**74%63%46%73%84%35%86%63%58%**48%85%75%73%69%72%81%61%80%75%74%68%78%73%70%65%81%
Darling2%2%2%6%1%1%3%3%2%2%0%3%3%4%1%**2%0%6%3%0%6%1%2%0%**6%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%3%1%2%2%3%2%1%2%
Greene1%2%1%0%1%2%2%1%2%1%3%1%0%3%1%**1%1%4%1%1%4%0%1%2%**2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%0%1%
Pineda4%4%4%12%3%2%3%7%3%3%1%8%7%3%5%**4%10%3%4%3%4%3%7%7%**3%3%4%5%7%4%2%7%4%4%4%5%4%5%7%3%2%
Schurman2%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%3%2%1%**2%0%1%2%1%5%1%3%1%**4%1%2%1%1%3%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%
Symmon3%3%3%4%3%2%2%3%2%3%5%3%1%4%2%**3%1%2%3%2%7%1%5%6%**11%1%2%4%4%4%1%5%2%2%3%5%2%6%2%4%1%
Undecided11%7%14%20%12%9%6%15%7%10%15%10%14%5%14%**10%18%26%11%6%27%7%11%18%**17%7%11%11%12%11%9%15%8%8%11%12%10%9%11%15%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%44%56%17%27%33%23%44%56%53%9%26%12%32%68%0%94%6%11%40%42%8%59%18%15%1%12%63%60%40%33%27%40%22%73%26%72%32%68%17%40%14%29%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
California Republicans will also hold a primary for United States Senate. If the Republican Primary for US Senate were today, who would you vote for? Tom Campbell? Chuck DeVore? Carly Fiorina? Tim Kalemkarian? Or, Al Ramirez?
569 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentityCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratDTSConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniActive MAgreeDisagreeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Campbell22%24%20%19%25%21%21%23%21%24%**11%20%22%22%22%**18%18%29%31%17%37%30%20%13%18%41%23%21%18%22%29%17%30%22%24%19%25%15%20%21%36%
DeVore16%19%13%24%17%15%12%19%13%15%**18%23%16%17%15%**27%19%11%20%19%14%13%10%32%16%11%18%13%15%19%15%18%12%17%15%16%16%13%19%16%16%
Fiorina48%46%52%34%44%54%57%41%56%48%**55%45%52%46%50%**34%52%46%25%54%32%42%41%44%54%36%49%49%52%49%42%52%44%49%46%50%47%55%48%51%38%
Kalemkarian2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%2%**2%1%2%1%2%**0%2%1%6%1%2%2%4%3%1%1%1%3%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%3%1%2%1%3%2%
Ramirez2%2%2%4%2%2%2%3%2%1%**7%2%4%1%2%**9%1%3%9%1%7%2%3%3%2%4%2%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%
Undecided9%7%12%18%9%6%6%12%6%10%**7%9%4%12%9%**12%9%10%9%7%9%11%22%6%8%6%7%11%10%6%9%9%9%8%11%9%9%13%9%7%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%54%46%16%31%27%25%48%52%75%2%12%11%36%64%92%0%8%61%33%5%61%10%21%7%8%63%13%62%38%46%24%30%54%41%51%44%27%73%25%33%22%20%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
California Republicans will also hold a primary for Attorney General. If the Republican Primary for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? Steve Cooley? John Eastman? Or, Tom Harman?
569 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentityCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratDTSConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniActive MAgreeDisagreeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Cooley30%30%29%23%31%30%33%28%31%29%**33%31%34%28%30%**27%30%30%37%29%34%34%18%28%30%34%31%28%31%29%30%28%34%27%34%26%32%19%41%32%22%
Eastman19%22%17%31%19%17%14%23%16%20%**19%17%21%18%19%**18%22%14%22%23%18%12%10%39%18%17%20%18%17%18%23%23%15%21%17%20%19%21%19%20%17%
Harman25%25%25%14%22%27%31%20%29%26%**23%16%28%23%25%**20%25%26%17%24%20%30%20%20%26%23%24%26%24%32%21%25%25%26%23%28%24%26%23%23%27%
Undecided26%23%30%32%27%25%22%29%24%25%**25%36%17%31%25%**36%23%30%24%23%28%24%52%12%25%26%25%28%28%21%26%24%26%25%26%26%25%33%18%24%34%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%54%46%16%31%27%25%48%52%75%2%12%11%36%64%92%0%8%61%33%5%61%10%21%7%8%63%13%62%38%46%24%30%54%41%51%44%27%73%25%33%22%20%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
California Democrats will also hold a primary for Attorney General. If the Democratic Primary for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? Rocky Delgadillo? Kamala Harris? Chris Kelly? Ted Lieu? Pedro Nava? Mike Schmier? Or, Alberto Torrico?
617 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?PartyIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentityCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratDTSConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniActive MAgreeDisagreeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Delgadillo16%20%14%15%16%18%15%16%17%13%12%26%13%13%18%**17%11%15%19%16%15%16%20%12%**14%15%15%17%17%18%13%17%16%17%15%14%16%14%24%22%6%
Harris26%23%29%16%32%29%23%26%27%30%46%11%27%28%26%**26%26%18%28%29%11%31%23%21%**14%30%29%24%29%24%27%18%29%24%28%22%29%25%19%16%42%
Kelly20%22%19%22%15%19%26%17%22%22%10%21%17%25%18%**20%12%23%20%20%30%20%21%16%**29%20%19%22%17%21%23%22%20%21%20%23%20%17%22%22%18%
Lieu6%7%5%3%4%6%9%4%7%7%1%2%11%8%5%**6%5%9%5%5%7%7%5%1%**7%7%7%4%6%5%7%6%6%7%5%5%6%6%6%5%5%
Nava8%8%8%9%10%6%7%10%7%4%3%19%7%9%8%**8%15%9%8%7%15%5%11%12%**10%6%7%9%9%10%5%11%7%8%8%10%7%12%9%11%3%
Schmier2%3%1%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%2%**2%1%5%2%1%6%2%2%3%**5%2%2%3%3%2%1%4%2%2%2%3%2%5%2%2%2%
Torrico6%5%7%5%6%8%5%5%7%5%6%8%5%7%5%**6%8%4%6%7%3%7%5%8%**9%7%6%7%5%9%6%8%6%8%5%6%6%9%4%2%9%
Undecided15%12%18%27%16%11%11%20%11%16%20%11%18%7%19%**15%23%17%12%15%14%13%12%27%**13%13%16%14%15%12%18%15%14%12%16%16%15%13%15%18%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%44%56%17%27%33%23%44%56%53%9%26%12%32%68%0%94%6%11%40%42%8%59%18%15%1%12%63%60%40%33%27%40%22%73%26%72%32%68%17%40%14%29%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.