| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13053 |
| Florida Democrat Primary: No Visible Damage to Hillary's Heat Shields; Still 30 Points Atop Obama -- In a Democratic Primary for President of the United States in Florida today, 12/05/07, eight weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 30 points, according to two newly released SurveyUSA tracking polls, one conducted before the 11/28/07 Republican debate in Florida and one conducted after, exclusively for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Today, it's Clinton 54%, Obama 24%, virtually identical to a SurveyUSA poll last week and only marginally tighter than a SurveyUSA poll a month ago, in early November, which showed Clinton 37 points atop Obama. All 3 SurveyUSA polls were conducted after a 10/30/07 Democratic candidate debate at which some perceive Clinton did not have a strong performance. John Edwards' support is flat across the 3 polls. Though some polls show Obama gaining material ground on Clinton, in Florida, as of today, that is not true. Obama, Clinton and Edwards, at this hour, are all trending sideways. |
| Timing of Two Democratic Primary Polls; Filtering of Respondents: Two separate SurveyUSA polls are released here for the first time. From 11/26/07 to 11/28/07, SurveyUSA interviewed 1,900 state of Florida adults, found 1,678 of them registered to vote and determined that 469 of those were likely to vote in the 01/29/08 Democratic Primary. Data from these interviews appear on SurveyUSA's tracking graphs dated 11/29/07. Separately, 1,950 state of Florida adults were interviewed 12/02/07 and 12/03/07. Of them, 1,715 were registered to vote. Of them, 503 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 01/29/07 Florida Democratic Primary. Data from these interviews appear on SurveyUSA's tracking graphs dated 12/04/07. As always, click the Triangle T to access SurveyUSA's proprietary tracking graphs, with SurveyUSA's exclusive interactive pull-down windows that allow you to track each sub-population interviewed. |
![]() | If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
| 503 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | Age | <50 / 50+ | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | No Affil | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | |
| Clinton | 54% | 48% | 58% | 57% | 47% | 56% | ** | ** | 54% | ** | 31% | 64% | 48% | 37% | 38% | 58% | 53% | 58% | 39% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 47% | 58% |
| Edwards | 13% | 17% | 11% | 17% | 4% | 13% | ** | ** | 13% | ** | 19% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 0% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 14% |
| Obama | 24% | 26% | 23% | 14% | 49% | 30% | ** | ** | 24% | ** | 37% | 15% | 28% | 29% | 37% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 57% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 37% | 16% |
| Other | 7% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 1% | ** | ** | 7% | ** | 12% | 6% | 8% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 9% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | 2% | ** | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 42% | 58% | 66% | 21% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 14% | 43% | 31% | 7% | 11% | 30% | 12% | 40% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 30% | 38% | 62% |