Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13951
 
In Michigan, Putting Mitt Romney on the Ticket adds points to McCain; GOP Carries Key State Today, Regardless of Democratic Veep: Republican Mitt Romney, whose father served as governor of Michigan from 1963-1969, would help John McCain beat Barack Obama in the presidential election in that state, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll looking at Vice Presidential pairings. When Michigan registered voters are asked if they would vote for McCain or Obama, with no running mates mentioned, McCain leads Obama by 4 points, just within the survey's 4.3 percentage point margin of sampling error. When Mitt Romney is added into the mix as McCain's running mate, McCain performs better against nine possible Obama tickets, and worse against just one. John Edwards is the one Democrat who helps Obama, who still loses by 3 points to a McCain/Romney ticket -- again within the survey's margin of sampling error.
 
Caveat: Mitt Romney today, 05/28/08, is a nationally known figure. Those Democrats who are also nationally known -- John Edwards, Al Gore, and Hillary Clinton -- significantly out-poll those who are little known among the general population outside of their home states. The election is in 23 weeks; should Obama choose one of these lesser-known running mates, that person would have a significantly higher profile as the election approaches, and the "first-look" numbers shown here today will shift, as they have in the McCain/Obama matchup. When SurveyUSA first asked about McCain/Obama in Michigan, in October of 2006, McCain led Obama by 24 points; today, McCain's lead is 4 points, just within the margin of sampling error.
 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 Michigan adults 05/27/08. Of them, 529 identified themselves as being registered to vote and were asked the questions which follow. Michigan has 17 Electoral College votes.
 
 
If there were an election for President of the United States today, would you vote for Republican John McCain? Or Democrat Barack Obama?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain41%48%36%24%50%43%51%38%46%43%26%****78%18%37%73%37%21%57%28%50%40%27%42%39%50%37%
Obama37%30%44%45%28%44%32%36%39%34%62%****10%60%37%12%46%59%24%47%31%45%40%44%35%32%39%
Undecided21%22%21%31%22%13%18%26%15%23%12%****12%21%26%15%17%20%18%25%19%15%33%14%26%19%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
2OK, now let's add some possible vice presidential running mates, and ask you the same question again... If the Republican ticket was John McCain and Mitt Romney, and the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama and John Edwards, would you vote for McCain Romney, or Obama Edwards?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney43%51%37%30%50%44%50%41%46%46%24%****83%19%39%78%39%23%62%29%56%41%26%41%43%48%41%
Obama / Edwards40%33%47%48%30%46%38%38%43%37%67%****13%64%38%15%49%61%25%51%34%46%44%48%34%39%43%
Not Sure16%16%17%22%20%9%12%21%10%18%8%****4%17%23%7%13%17%14%19%10%13%31%11%23%13%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
3If the Republican ticket was John McCain and Mitt Romney, and the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama and Kathleen Sebelius, would you vote for McCain Romney, or Obama Sebelius?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney47%56%39%37%53%46%53%46%49%49%29%****85%25%43%80%45%25%63%35%59%46%30%49%43%57%42%
Obama / Sebelius31%20%40%32%24%39%29%27%35%29%44%****8%49%31%10%37%53%17%39%26%33%33%36%27%25%34%
Not Sure22%23%22%31%23%15%18%27%17%22%27%****7%26%27%10%18%22%20%25%15%21%37%14%29%18%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
4What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Ed Rendell?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney47%56%39%38%52%46%53%46%49%48%35%****89%23%42%83%43%25%63%36%58%48%29%49%43%55%45%
Obama / Rendell30%21%38%34%24%35%28%28%32%29%42%****6%49%31%9%38%50%16%39%26%33%32%33%25%28%33%
Not Sure23%23%23%28%24%19%19%26%19%23%23%****5%28%27%8%19%25%21%26%16%19%39%18%31%17%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
5What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Hillary Clinton?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney45%54%37%35%51%44%50%44%47%47%28%****84%17%47%81%41%20%63%31%56%41%30%44%45%51%42%
Obama / Clinton40%29%49%40%34%47%39%37%43%38%51%****13%68%30%14%48%63%25%50%35%49%37%49%31%33%47%
Not Sure15%17%14%25%15%9%12%20%10%15%20%****3%15%23%5%11%17%12%19%10%10%33%7%24%16%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
6What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Joe Biden?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney47%56%38%39%51%45%51%46%48%47%40%****88%23%38%82%41%25%62%34%57%47%27%50%40%53%47%
Obama / Biden29%21%37%29%25%35%29%27%32%29%34%****7%48%31%9%39%49%15%40%25%33%33%31%28%28%31%
Not Sure24%23%25%32%23%20%19%27%20%24%26%****5%29%31%10%20%26%23%26%18%20%40%19%33%20%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
7What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Bill Richardson?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney45%54%36%34%51%44%51%43%47%46%35%****86%21%38%82%38%25%60%32%56%42%27%45%41%49%46%
Obama / Richardson31%23%38%34%25%36%29%29%33%29%47%****7%52%30%8%41%46%18%40%28%35%32%35%29%29%32%
Not Sure24%23%26%31%25%20%20%28%20%25%18%****7%28%32%10%21%29%22%28%16%23%41%20%31%22%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
8What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Jim Webb?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney46%58%36%38%52%44%52%45%48%48%35%****87%20%41%83%42%25%61%34%57%44%29%46%43%53%45%
Obama / Webb27%17%36%30%22%33%24%26%29%26%38%****7%47%26%8%36%43%14%37%23%33%28%33%22%27%30%
Not Sure26%25%28%33%26%23%23%29%23%26%27%****5%33%33%9%22%32%25%29%20%23%42%22%35%20%25%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
9What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Tim Kaine?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney46%58%36%38%51%46%52%45%49%48%35%****86%21%43%82%43%25%62%34%58%44%28%45%41%55%46%
Obama / Kaine27%19%35%33%23%29%24%27%27%25%44%****7%48%24%8%34%44%16%36%24%30%29%31%26%24%28%
Not Sure26%23%29%30%27%25%24%28%24%27%21%****7%32%33%10%24%31%22%30%18%26%42%24%32%21%26%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
10What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Wes Clark?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney45%54%38%37%50%44%52%44%47%47%34%****87%20%39%82%37%27%59%34%55%44%29%45%42%49%46%
Obama / Clark30%23%36%35%23%36%24%29%31%28%42%****7%50%30%8%40%46%19%38%27%33%31%33%25%32%31%
Not Sure25%23%27%28%26%21%24%27%22%25%24%****6%29%31%9%23%26%22%28%17%23%40%22%32%19%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
11What if the Republican ticket was McCain Romney and the Democratic ticket was Obama and Al Gore?
529 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAbortionAttend Religious ServiceRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPro-lifePro-choiRegularlOccasionAlmost NWayne CoSuburbs Grand RaRest of
McCain / Romney43%50%36%29%50%43%50%41%46%45%28%****84%17%39%79%36%24%60%29%55%38%27%44%39%48%43%
Obama / Gore38%32%43%41%32%46%33%36%41%35%60%****14%64%31%13%50%56%24%50%34%47%36%45%32%35%42%
Not Sure19%17%20%30%17%10%17%23%13%20%12%****2%19%31%8%14%20%16%21%11%15%36%12%29%17%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%26%31%26%18%57%43%83%13%2%2%29%39%27%30%33%21%42%54%45%29%26%18%30%23%30%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.