| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14271 |
| In PA10, No Obama Coattails for Carney As He Tries to Hold Seat for Democrats: In an election for United States House of Representatives from Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District today, 08/26/08, ten weeks until votes are counted, incumbent one-term Democrat Chris Carney needs every vote to hold off a challenge from Republican Chris Hackett. Today, it's Carney 49%, Hackett 45%, inside the survey's 4.0 percentage point margin of sampling error. Carney runs 8 points stronger in the district than Barack Obama, who today loses to John McCain 50% to 41%. Carney holds 83% of the Democrat base. Hackett holds 75% of the Republican base. Independents break 5:4 for the Democrat. Moderates break 2:1 for the Democrat. Those who think offshore drilling is key to America's energy future vote 3:1 Republican. Those who think alternative energy is the key to America's energy future vote 3:1 Democrat. |
| District Complexion: Pennsylvania's 10th District covers 6,500 square miles of Northeastern PA. It is overwhelmingly white. Voters see the economy as the #1 issue for Congress to address. Those focused on the economy favor Carney by 20 points. 36% of voters have a favorable opinion of Hackett, a businessman. His net favorable rating is Plus 13. 40% have a favorable opinion of Carney, a Defense Department consultant and Naval officer before being elected in 2006. Carney's net favorable rating is Plus 17. President Bush's Job Approval is 32% in the district. Job Approval of the US Congress is 13%. Obama is viewed favorably by 40%. McCain is viewed favorably by 36%. But: Obama's Net Favorable Rating is Minus 5. McCain's Net Favorable Rating is Plus 14. |
| Filtering / Context: 750 registered voters were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/23/08 through 08/25/08 using Registration Based Sample provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 623 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in November. The district was represented by a Republican by 46 years, until Republican Don Sherwood was defeated in 2006. Before Carney defeated Sherwood, the last Democrat to represent the district was elected during the Eisenhower administration. |
| 1 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| McCain (R) | 50% | 55% | 45% | 41% | 53% | 49% | 54% | 49% | 51% | ** | ** | 50% | ** | 80% | 18% | 41% | 87% | 36% | 16% | 90% | 3% | 40% | 4% | 90% | 47% | 76% | 25% | 44% | 25% | 86% | 55% | 94% | 24% | 28% | 56% | 40% | ** | 31% | 35% | 90% | 66% | ** | 85% | 37% | 94% | 14% | 73% | ** | 63% | 82% | 26% |
| Obama (D) | 41% | 39% | 42% | 39% | 41% | 44% | 37% | 40% | 41% | ** | ** | 40% | ** | 12% | 73% | 41% | 8% | 52% | 75% | 6% | 89% | 41% | 91% | 1% | 28% | 21% | 67% | 39% | 65% | 9% | 32% | 2% | 65% | 63% | 35% | 49% | ** | 55% | 56% | 7% | 21% | ** | 9% | 52% | 5% | 66% | 23% | ** | 25% | 9% | 65% |
| Other | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | ** | ** | 6% | ** | 3% | 6% | 16% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 7% | ** | 6% | 6% | 1% | 4% | ** | 5% | 5% | 0% | 16% | 3% | ** | 3% | 5% | 5% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | ** | ** | 4% | ** | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | ** | 8% | 3% | 2% | 9% | ** | 1% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 2% | ** | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 2 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Chris Hackett? Or Democrat Chris Carney? |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Chris Hackett (R) | 45% | 50% | 40% | 41% | 49% | 42% | 46% | 46% | 44% | ** | ** | 45% | ** | 75% | 12% | 42% | 81% | 32% | 12% | 76% | 8% | 37% | 11% | 76% | 40% | 81% | 12% | 35% | 10% | 91% | 57% | 84% | 21% | 28% | 50% | 38% | ** | 24% | 34% | 79% | 56% | ** | 73% | 32% | 87% | 15% | 67% | ** | 54% | 73% | 25% |
| Chris Carney (D) | 49% | 45% | 53% | 50% | 42% | 55% | 51% | 45% | 53% | ** | ** | 49% | ** | 20% | 83% | 52% | 16% | 62% | 85% | 21% | 88% | 53% | 84% | 20% | 47% | 19% | 86% | 55% | 89% | 5% | 35% | 12% | 73% | 66% | 44% | 58% | ** | 65% | 65% | 18% | 34% | ** | 20% | 62% | 12% | 79% | 30% | ** | 35% | 22% | 70% |
| Undecided | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 3% | ** | ** | 6% | ** | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ** | 11% | 1% | 2% | 11% | ** | 7% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 3% | ** | 11% | 6% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 3 | Is your opinion of John McCain ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of John McCain? |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Favorable | 44% | 50% | 38% | 42% | 44% | 41% | 46% | 44% | 44% | ** | ** | 44% | ** | 70% | 15% | 40% | 73% | 35% | 13% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 71% | 41% | 66% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 74% | 46% | 80% | 22% | 27% | 48% | 34% | ** | 33% | 33% | 85% | 56% | ** | 61% | 34% | 82% | 9% | 64% | ** | 53% | 67% | 27% |
| Unfavorable | 30% | 30% | 30% | 35% | 27% | 32% | 28% | 29% | 30% | ** | ** | 30% | ** | 9% | 54% | 31% | 9% | 37% | 58% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 62% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 55% | 27% | 49% | 10% | 20% | 2% | 48% | 50% | 27% | 38% | ** | 43% | 41% | 3% | 15% | ** | 8% | 39% | 5% | 62% | 13% | ** | 18% | 11% | 46% |
| Neutral | 24% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 24% | ** | ** | 23% | ** | 20% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 26% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 21% | 19% | 43% | 18% | 19% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 34% | 17% | 26% | 22% | 22% | 25% | ** | 22% | 25% | 12% | 25% | ** | 26% | 24% | 14% | 24% | 21% | ** | 29% | 21% | 23% |
| No Opinion | 3% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | ** | ** | 3% | ** | 1% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | ** | 2% | 2% | 0% | 5% | ** | 5% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | ** | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 4 | Is your opinion of Barack Obama ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Barack Obama? |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Favorable | 40% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 38% | 42% | 36% | 40% | 39% | ** | ** | 39% | ** | 15% | 67% | 43% | 10% | 50% | 76% | 12% | 83% | 35% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 62% | 40% | 66% | 7% | 31% | 5% | 61% | 65% | 34% | 47% | ** | 54% | 61% | 8% | 20% | ** | 8% | 53% | 2% | 57% | 21% | ** | 28% | 9% | 63% |
| Unfavorable | 45% | 49% | 42% | 41% | 46% | 44% | 49% | 44% | 46% | ** | ** | 45% | ** | 69% | 18% | 46% | 80% | 32% | 14% | 74% | 11% | 37% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 68% | 25% | 39% | 22% | 85% | 46% | 83% | 23% | 21% | 52% | 38% | ** | 30% | 27% | 80% | 59% | ** | 84% | 30% | 88% | 28% | 68% | ** | 51% | 77% | 22% |
| Neutral | 13% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ** | ** | 14% | ** | 14% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 8% | 11% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 21% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ** | 15% | 7% | 10% | 16% | ** | 7% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 9% | ** | 20% | 11% | 14% |
| No Opinion | 2% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 2% | ** | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ** | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | ** | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | ** | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 5 | If your opinion of Chris Hackett is... |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Favorable | 36% | 40% | 32% | 27% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 34% | 38% | ** | ** | 36% | ** | 52% | 19% | 31% | 62% | 27% | 14% | 54% | 18% | 28% | 21% | 54% | 22% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 78% | 32% | 61% | 23% | 21% | 41% | 33% | ** | 24% | 32% | 58% | 42% | ** | 37% | 28% | 59% | 23% | 52% | ** | 36% | 52% | 25% |
| Unfavorable | 23% | 25% | 21% | 17% | 19% | 28% | 25% | 18% | 26% | ** | ** | 23% | ** | 12% | 35% | 21% | 11% | 27% | 39% | 13% | 42% | 19% | 36% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 46% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 25% | ** | 26% | 31% | 12% | 20% | ** | 16% | 27% | 9% | 29% | 18% | ** | 19% | 14% | 31% |
| Neutral | 31% | 29% | 32% | 39% | 30% | 31% | 24% | 34% | 28% | ** | ** | 31% | ** | 28% | 32% | 37% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 27% | 28% | 43% | 31% | 26% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 29% | 9% | 53% | 24% | 32% | 30% | 30% | 31% | ** | 30% | 29% | 27% | 30% | ** | 37% | 32% | 27% | 35% | 20% | ** | 37% | 27% | 32% |
| No Opinion | 11% | 7% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 8% | ** | ** | 10% | ** | 8% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 20% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 10% | ** | 19% | 8% | 3% | 7% | ** | 11% | 13% | 5% | 13% | 9% | ** | 8% | 7% | 12% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 6 | If your opinion of Chris Carney is... |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Favorable | 40% | 38% | 41% | 27% | 34% | 48% | 48% | 31% | 48% | ** | ** | 41% | ** | 21% | 63% | 34% | 17% | 51% | 61% | 23% | 65% | 38% | 66% | 19% | 31% | 21% | 81% | 38% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 56% | 60% | 36% | 47% | ** | 45% | 52% | 23% | 25% | ** | 25% | 47% | 17% | 58% | 24% | ** | 30% | 21% | 54% |
| Unfavorable | 23% | 30% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 23% | ** | ** | 23% | ** | 38% | 7% | 21% | 46% | 14% | 5% | 40% | 8% | 14% | 4% | 44% | 13% | 50% | 11% | 7% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 27% | 18% | ** | 12% | 13% | 46% | 38% | ** | 24% | 16% | 50% | 7% | 40% | ** | 20% | 42% | 12% |
| Neutral | 30% | 28% | 33% | 38% | 37% | 27% | 23% | 37% | 25% | ** | ** | 31% | ** | 34% | 23% | 39% | 32% | 32% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 44% | 24% | 31% | 48% | 27% | 8% | 52% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 31% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 30% | ** | 32% | 29% | 29% | 31% | ** | 42% | 31% | 25% | 29% | 31% | ** | 41% | 32% | 29% |
| No Opinion | 6% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 5% | ** | ** | 6% | ** | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | 11% | 6% | 2% | 6% | ** | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ** | 9% | 5% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 7 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President? |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Approve | 32% | 36% | 28% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 33% | ** | ** | 32% | ** | 55% | 4% | 31% | 66% | 17% | 5% | 58% | 2% | 23% | 4% | 58% | 23% | 54% | 13% | 25% | 12% | 66% | 32% | 100% | 0% | 22% | 36% | 20% | ** | 16% | 16% | 81% | 49% | ** | 56% | 18% | 75% | 3% | 51% | ** | 38% | 59% | 13% |
| Disapprove | 61% | 59% | 62% | 64% | 58% | 63% | 58% | 60% | 61% | ** | ** | 61% | ** | 32% | 93% | 61% | 27% | 73% | 94% | 31% | 98% | 67% | 94% | 31% | 63% | 38% | 87% | 63% | 85% | 27% | 53% | 0% | 100% | 70% | 58% | 73% | ** | 75% | 78% | 12% | 40% | ** | 33% | 73% | 16% | 97% | 40% | ** | 49% | 32% | 82% |
| Not Sure | 8% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 6% | ** | ** | 8% | ** | 13% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 11% | 0% | 11% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ** | 9% | 6% | 7% | 11% | ** | 11% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 9% | ** | 14% | 9% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 8 | Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the United States Congress is doing? |
| 623 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Approve | 13% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 11% | ** | ** | 13% | ** | 10% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 27% | 8% | 22% | 12% | 22% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 21% | 13% | 20% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 100% | 0% | 14% | ** | 19% | 20% | 8% | 7% | ** | 6% | 19% | 6% | 18% | 2% | ** | 15% | 8% | 18% |
| Disapprove | 76% | 81% | 71% | 73% | 73% | 77% | 80% | 73% | 78% | ** | ** | 76% | ** | 82% | 67% | 81% | 87% | 75% | 64% | 84% | 69% | 71% | 66% | 88% | 67% | 86% | 68% | 73% | 69% | 89% | 75% | 85% | 73% | 0% | 100% | 73% | ** | 67% | 74% | 83% | 83% | ** | 88% | 67% | 94% | 69% | 97% | ** | 78% | 87% | 69% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 6% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ** | ** | 11% | ** | 8% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 22% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 13% | ** | 14% | 5% | 9% | 10% | ** | 6% | 14% | 0% | 14% | 2% | ** | 7% | 5% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 9 | Which one issue should congress focus on ahead of all others? (choices rotated) The economy? The environment? Health care? Iraq? Terrorism? The price of gasoline? Education? Immigration? Or some other issue? |
| 613 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Economy | 40% | 38% | 43% | 33% | 47% | 40% | 37% | 42% | 39% | ** | ** | 41% | ** | 37% | 46% | 36% | 33% | 45% | 45% | 31% | 51% | 44% | 48% | 34% | 44% | 38% | 45% | 41% | 47% | 31% | 39% | 26% | 49% | 43% | 39% | 100% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 43% | 25% | 51% | 36% | ** | 41% | 31% | 47% |
| Environment | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | ** | ** | 3% | ** | 1% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | ** | 4% | 0% | 6% |
| Health Care | 12% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 13% | ** | ** | 12% | ** | 8% | 18% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 10% | 0% | ** | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 13% | 5% | 16% | 8% | ** | 13% | 7% | 15% |
| Iraq | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 9% | ** | ** | 8% | ** | 7% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 0% | ** | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 4% | ** | 9% | 6% | 10% |
| Terrorism | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | ** | ** | 9% | ** | 16% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 18% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | ** | 0% | 5% | 25% | 4% | 10% | ** | 11% | 18% | 3% |
| Gasoline | 14% | 16% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 12% | ** | ** | 13% | ** | 17% | 9% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 18% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 22% | 14% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | ** | 0% | 12% | 24% | 8% | 28% | ** | 10% | 25% | 7% |
| Education | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | 3% | ** | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 0% | ** | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Immigration | 6% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 8% | ** | ** | 6% | ** | 8% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 100% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 6% | ** | 3% | 7% | 5% |
| Other | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | ** | ** | 2% | ** | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ** | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | ** | ** | 1% | ** | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | ** | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 24% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 23% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 32% | 61% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 10 | Who is most responsible for the price of gasoline? Oil companies? Environmentalists? The President? The United States Congress? State policy makers? Foreign governments? Or none of these? ... |
| 605 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Oil Companies | 40% | 36% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 37% | 37% | 44% | 37% | ** | ** | 41% | ** | 34% | 48% | 42% | 30% | 44% | 52% | 31% | 52% | 43% | 54% | 27% | 40% | 31% | 48% | 43% | 48% | 27% | 40% | 23% | 49% | 57% | 36% | 43% | ** | 46% | 55% | 22% | 34% | ** | 40% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 27% | 51% |
| Environmentalists | 11% | 16% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ** | ** | 11% | ** | 18% | 4% | 10% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 22% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 24% | 9% | 26% | 3% | 5% | 14% | 7% | ** | 5% | 4% | 30% | 19% | ** | 22% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 26% | 2% |
| The President | 11% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | ** | ** | 11% | ** | 4% | 19% | 13% | 5% | 13% | 20% | 2% | 23% | 12% | 16% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 14% | ** | 15% | 12% | 5% | 7% | ** | 4% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | ** | 0% | 6% | 15% |
| Congress | 13% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 20% | 12% | 15% | ** | ** | 13% | ** | 17% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 20% | 9% | 19% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 23% | 14% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 17% | 12% | ** | 10% | 6% | 15% | 27% | ** | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | ** | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| State Policy Makers | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | 3% | ** | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | ** | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | ** | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 2% | 4% |
| Foreign Governments | 12% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 10% | ** | ** | 12% | ** | 16% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 12% | ** | 13% | 12% | 13% | 8% | ** | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 100% | 13% | 10% |
| None Of These | 7% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ** | ** | 7% | ** | 6% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 5% | ** | 8% | 6% | 11% | 1% | ** | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** | 3% | ** | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | ** | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 29% | 24% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 48% | 40% | 12% | 34% | 44% | 15% | 44% | 30% | 23% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 39% | 23% | 31% | 32% | 60% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 12% | 36% | 54% |
| 11 | If two candidates were running for Congress, and one says that offshore drilling is the best way to solve America's energy problems ... and the other says that America needs to identify and promote alternative sources of energy ... which candidate would you vote for? |
| 594 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Hackett | Opinion Of Carney | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Most Responsible For Price Of Gasoline | Preferred Candid | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Hispanic | African | White | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Oil Comp | Environm | The Pres | Congress | State Po | Foreign | Offshore | Alternat | |
| Offshore Drilling | 36% | 39% | 33% | 35% | 36% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 36% | ** | ** | 36% | ** | 53% | 15% | 38% | 62% | 26% | 9% | 54% | 13% | 33% | 9% | 62% | 29% | 52% | 22% | 32% | 19% | 63% | 37% | 66% | 19% | 22% | 41% | 28% | ** | 22% | 25% | 66% | 64% | ** | 43% | 24% | 81% | 19% | 53% | ** | 42% | 100% | 0% |
| Alternative Sources Of Energy | 54% | 52% | 55% | 60% | 49% | 58% | 51% | 52% | 55% | ** | ** | 54% | ** | 33% | 77% | 55% | 27% | 63% | 90% | 33% | 82% | 55% | 85% | 26% | 55% | 37% | 73% | 55% | 73% | 27% | 51% | 22% | 73% | 73% | 49% | 63% | ** | 71% | 69% | 17% | 26% | ** | 42% | 68% | 11% | 71% | 36% | ** | 46% | 0% | 100% |
| Not Sure | 10% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 9% | ** | ** | 11% | ** | 14% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 9% | ** | 7% | 6% | 17% | 10% | ** | 15% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | ** | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 31% | 29% | 24% | 47% | 53% | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 34% | 44% | 14% | 44% | 30% | 23% | 40% | 45% | 13% | 36% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 60% | 13% | 76% | 40% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 36% | 54% |