Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24401
 
About: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 registered voters from North Carolina's 9th Congressional District 10/02/18 through 10/04/18. Of the registered voters, 556 were determined to be certain or likely to vote in the November election and were asked the questions which follow. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (49% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (51% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
 
North Carolina's 9th congressional district will elect a United States Representative on November 6th. Are you absolutely certain you will vote in the November election? Are you likely to vote? Or are you unlikely to vote?
600 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Certain81%83%80%63%79%87%95%72%90%82%79%95%64%100%0%81%86%79%82%87%79%83%83%91%82%91%44%87%97%66%77%89%73%81%86%83%80%82%68%95%
Likely11%9%13%22%10%10%4%16%7%11%12%3%29%0%100%11%8%16%10%8%14%11%11%6%11%7%23%8%2%14%15%8%14%11%10%11%13%9%19%4%
Unlikely4%5%4%9%6%1%0%8%1%4%6%2%2%0%0%5%2%4%5%3%5%4%4%1%5%1%18%2%1%10%5%2%6%5%3%3%5%5%8%0%
Not Sure3%3%3%6%4%2%1%5%2%3%3%0%6%0%0%3%3%1%3%3%1%1%2%2%2%2%14%2%1%10%3%1%7%2%1%2%2%5%5%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%45%55%22%27%28%23%50%50%73%23%3%1%81%11%35%38%23%36%33%28%37%39%17%43%41%8%46%26%15%35%50%28%35%36%21%49%29%51%49%
 
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (first two candidates rotated) Republican Mark Harris? Democrat Dan McCready? Or Libertarian Jeff Scott?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Mark Harris (R)41%44%37%31%38%40%53%35%46%47%19%38%46%42%31%78%8%39%79%5%34%77%22%8%80%5%18%67%9%38%43%39%41%41%38%35%31%59%27%53%
Dan McCready (D)45%44%45%43%44%51%40%44%46%39%65%42%28%47%29%10%82%36%7%85%48%13%64%76%7%86%37%22%81%41%43%48%40%46%49%50%53%29%48%42%
Jeff Scott (L)3%2%3%4%2%4%1%3%3%3%2%8%5%2%6%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%3%3%2%0%2%6%8%3%1%4%3%1%4%3%2%4%2%
Undecided12%9%14%23%16%6%7%19%6%11%15%12%21%9%33%9%8%23%11%8%15%7%12%13%11%6%45%9%5%13%12%12%15%10%12%12%14%10%20%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
Is your opinion of Mark Harris ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Favorable38%42%34%35%34%34%49%35%41%42%23%35%38%39%29%65%15%37%71%10%29%67%21%11%69%10%16%61%12%38%39%36%40%37%36%38%30%48%28%47%
Unfavorable23%22%24%15%27%23%26%22%24%23%22%29%18%25%6%8%39%20%4%43%24%6%32%44%4%43%17%7%55%10%21%28%19%23%27%24%27%17%19%27%
Neutral25%24%26%32%30%24%15%31%20%23%31%17%16%22%43%20%27%29%17%25%34%17%32%23%19%28%34%23%21%34%24%24%25%24%26%28%26%21%31%19%
No Opinion14%12%16%18%9%19%11%13%16%11%23%19%27%13%22%8%20%14%8%22%12%9%15%21%8%19%33%9%12%19%16%12%16%16%11%11%16%14%22%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
Is your opinion of Dan McCready ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Favorable43%42%45%44%51%42%37%48%40%40%55%41%41%45%31%20%70%36%16%74%44%17%56%78%15%76%36%24%78%31%38%51%37%44%49%49%48%33%47%41%
Unfavorable22%29%17%16%20%26%26%18%26%25%11%30%15%24%7%40%6%23%41%5%18%42%12%7%42%5%6%38%6%24%22%21%24%21%22%22%18%29%14%30%
Neutral26%22%29%29%24%25%26%26%26%25%28%27%25%23%43%29%21%29%31%17%30%28%28%9%31%17%31%30%14%36%29%21%29%25%24%20%26%28%31%21%
No Opinion9%8%9%11%6%7%11%8%9%10%5%2%19%7%19%11%3%11%13%3%8%13%4%6%12%2%27%9%2%9%11%6%10%10%5%9%7%9%9%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
Is your opinion of Jeff Scott ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Favorable7%9%5%12%8%5%4%10%4%6%10%5%4%6%13%8%5%5%7%6%9%8%6%6%8%6%0%6%6%14%8%5%7%6%8%8%7%5%9%5%
Unfavorable15%17%14%16%12%18%14%14%17%12%22%44%17%16%8%17%16%11%19%15%13%21%11%16%18%15%10%18%16%27%12%14%21%17%10%10%17%17%15%15%
Neutral40%36%44%39%49%37%35%45%36%40%41%39%48%39%47%37%44%43%36%42%41%34%44%41%38%43%45%36%40%31%46%38%39%38%43%41%39%42%45%36%
No Opinion37%39%36%33%31%40%46%32%43%42%28%12%30%38%31%38%35%41%38%37%38%36%39%38%36%36%45%40%38%27%34%43%33%39%39%41%37%35%31%44%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Approve44%49%40%34%42%43%57%39%49%52%20%40%51%44%44%80%12%45%86%7%37%82%26%10%90%3%24%72%8%43%45%42%43%42%45%41%34%61%32%55%
Disapprove51%47%54%58%54%52%40%56%47%43%74%59%40%53%38%18%83%48%13%88%55%16%69%86%7%92%68%23%88%46%50%54%50%51%53%55%61%34%61%41%
Not Sure5%5%6%8%4%6%3%6%5%5%6%2%9%3%18%2%4%8%2%5%8%3%5%4%3%4%8%5%4%11%5%4%7%7%3%5%6%5%7%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
Thinking about your motivation to vote in November, which of these national issues is the most important to you? Jobs and the economy? Immigration? Healthcare? National security? Gun policies? Energy and the environment? The presidency? Or something else?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Jobs / Economy27%30%24%29%33%22%22%31%22%27%25%13%24%27%26%34%16%33%34%14%31%36%23%16%39%16%13%33%18%19%27%28%20%27%31%27%24%31%28%25%
Immigration12%12%11%4%10%13%18%8%15%13%7%27%7%12%7%20%6%9%22%5%8%18%7%8%21%4%6%19%5%14%13%10%13%13%9%7%8%20%6%17%
Healthcare21%20%22%20%21%20%21%21%21%17%30%39%11%20%27%13%30%16%11%29%22%11%24%28%8%29%26%14%24%25%22%19%32%18%16%18%23%18%22%20%
National Security9%8%9%8%7%7%13%8%10%9%7%0%12%9%5%14%5%7%16%5%5%16%6%2%15%4%0%12%7%13%8%8%10%7%9%10%9%7%6%11%
Gun Policies6%5%7%9%6%7%3%7%5%7%5%0%4%5%11%7%7%4%5%9%5%7%6%8%6%7%9%6%6%6%6%6%5%6%8%7%7%5%9%4%
Energy / Environment5%2%7%12%2%3%4%6%3%5%3%0%8%5%6%3%7%4%2%8%5%1%4%12%1%6%10%2%7%7%5%4%5%4%6%4%7%2%7%3%
Presidency16%19%14%15%14%19%16%15%18%16%16%21%30%17%13%7%23%19%7%25%18%7%24%21%6%28%17%10%28%9%15%19%10%19%17%21%15%14%17%16%
Other4%4%4%1%3%7%3%2%5%4%4%0%4%4%1%2%4%6%2%5%4%3%5%4%2%5%4%4%4%2%3%5%2%6%4%4%5%2%3%4%
Not Sure2%1%2%2%3%1%1%2%1%2%1%0%1%1%3%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%15%0%1%4%2%1%4%2%0%3%1%1%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
8Thinking about the economy overall, do you think the economy is getting stronger? Getting weaker? Or staying about the same?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Getting Stronger47%55%41%36%44%48%59%41%53%54%27%27%47%47%47%74%21%52%80%16%45%77%35%16%82%15%30%72%15%53%46%46%41%49%48%41%41%58%36%58%
Getting Weaker22%15%28%31%20%25%13%25%20%18%30%50%31%23%16%10%36%18%9%40%18%8%25%43%6%36%42%12%36%15%27%21%22%23%21%24%23%20%27%18%
Staying About The Same28%28%29%31%30%27%27%30%27%26%38%21%16%28%30%15%42%26%10%42%35%14%39%40%10%47%20%15%48%28%24%33%32%27%29%32%34%20%33%24%
Not Sure2%2%2%2%5%0%1%4%1%1%5%2%7%1%7%1%1%4%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%1%8%1%1%3%4%0%5%1%2%3%2%2%3%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
9Last December, the United States Congress passed a new tax reform law. So far, have you, personally, benefitted from this tax reform, suffered as a result of this tax reform, or have you, personally, not been affected either way?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Benefitted31%38%25%20%30%36%35%26%36%34%20%27%35%33%19%50%16%29%51%12%29%53%19%16%53%13%9%48%15%27%29%33%25%30%35%32%23%42%19%42%
Suffered14%13%15%19%16%12%11%17%11%13%15%33%16%15%7%7%22%10%6%24%14%5%20%21%3%24%17%6%30%8%15%15%13%15%14%16%15%13%15%13%
Have Not Been Affected47%43%49%45%43%49%49%44%49%44%57%33%44%45%56%36%55%51%36%57%49%33%53%58%36%59%45%40%51%52%46%47%49%48%46%43%55%39%54%40%
Not Sure8%5%11%16%11%3%5%13%4%8%8%7%4%7%18%8%7%10%7%8%8%8%8%5%8%5%28%6%4%14%10%5%12%7%5%10%7%6%11%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
Voters will also consider amendments to the North Carolina Constitution in the November election. Would you vote for or against a state Constitutional amendment to require voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
For60%61%59%58%66%54%61%62%57%66%39%62%58%59%66%88%35%58%90%31%54%93%43%31%90%30%53%81%28%62%62%57%59%62%57%51%55%72%58%61%
Against32%32%32%20%28%40%35%25%38%28%47%12%34%34%12%9%55%29%7%58%33%5%48%55%6%59%21%14%65%24%28%37%23%32%37%35%37%22%28%35%
Not Sure9%8%10%22%6%6%4%13%5%7%14%26%9%7%22%3%10%13%2%11%13%3%9%14%3%11%26%4%6%14%11%6%17%6%6%13%8%6%14%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
11Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote?
556 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty RegistrationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 HouseEducationIncomeUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCertainLikelyRepublicDemocratUnaffiliRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberal TrumpClintonDid Not PittengeCanoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
More Likely49%52%46%42%55%43%55%49%48%54%31%49%48%48%51%79%23%47%81%18%45%80%36%15%84%17%33%71%16%53%49%47%54%48%45%41%43%62%41%55%
Less Likely27%28%27%24%22%33%30%23%32%25%34%24%26%30%10%8%48%22%5%51%30%3%43%51%5%53%16%10%61%16%24%33%21%27%33%35%31%18%23%32%
Makes No Difference19%16%22%26%20%18%13%23%16%17%26%27%20%18%25%11%21%27%12%23%22%14%20%27%9%24%34%16%21%18%21%18%17%20%20%17%20%19%29%10%
Not Sure5%4%6%9%3%5%2%6%4%4%9%0%5%3%14%2%7%4%2%8%2%3%1%6%2%7%17%3%2%12%6%2%8%4%2%6%6%1%7%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%45%55%20%26%29%24%47%53%73%22%3%1%88%12%34%39%23%36%34%28%37%39%18%43%43%6%48%28%13%35%52%27%35%38%21%50%29%48%52%
 
 All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions
 
1North Carolina's 9th congressional district will elect a United States Representative on November 6th. Are you absolutely certain you will vote in the November election? Are you likely to vote? Or are you unlikely to vote?
600 Registered VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Certain81%----90%92%71%66%91%97%79%81%91%96%79%73%76%94%85%90%88%91%57%88%93%84%92%78%85%90%95%73%88%91%87%60%92%94%85%72%86%95%69%87%96%84%63%
Likely11%----10%8%29%34%9%3%21%19%9%4%21%27%24%6%15%10%12%9%43%12%7%16%8%22%15%10%5%27%12%9%13%40%8%6%15%28%14%5%31%13%4%16%37%
Unlikely4%-----------------------------------------------
Not Sure3%-----------------------------------------------
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
2If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (first two candidates rotated) Republican Mark Harris? Democrat Dan McCready? Or Libertarian Jeff Scott?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Mark Harris (R)41%42%31%0%0%----85%2%26%11%8%88%50%52%45%47%39%39%85%4%21%59%79%17%71%43%13%9%31%9%75%9%9%14%77%9%26%42%64%3%16%74%2%19%11%
Dan McCready (D)45%47%29%0%0%----8%94%51%52%84%6%25%4%26%42%50%44%3%82%35%24%12%65%23%50%62%81%52%38%14%72%76%31%16%81%56%28%21%89%45%15%91%54%52%
Jeff Scott (L)3%2%6%0%0%----2%2%5%1%2%1%6%2%16%5%2%0%2%2%9%2%2%3%0%4%11%1%11%0%3%4%2%0%1%4%3%0%3%1%5%3%1%5%0%
Undecided12%9%33%0%0%----5%3%18%35%6%5%19%42%13%5%10%17%10%12%35%16%7%16%6%3%14%8%6%53%9%15%13%55%6%5%15%30%12%6%34%9%6%22%37%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
3Is your opinion of Mark Harris ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Favorable38%39%29%0%0%79%7%28%16%----13%80%42%38%51%55%36%30%72%8%33%57%66%19%55%38%18%9%37%16%64%12%15%20%70%12%26%28%56%7%21%65%6%22%11%
Unfavorable23%25%6%0%0%1%48%15%5%----47%2%7%1%6%27%26%21%2%43%9%11%6%34%16%19%27%44%27%19%5%45%37%2%9%53%25%10%10%49%18%7%53%27%4%
Neutral25%22%43%0%0%16%28%50%37%----26%11%41%9%32%13%33%20%19%28%43%28%17%26%23%23%42%21%30%13%23%20%30%48%11%19%35%32%23%26%31%21%25%30%39%
No Opinion14%13%22%0%0%4%17%7%42%----14%6%10%52%11%4%5%29%7%20%15%5%11%20%5%20%13%26%6%53%8%23%17%29%9%16%15%31%11%17%31%7%17%21%45%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
4Is your opinion of Dan McCready ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Favorable43%45%31%0%0%9%82%27%21%16%89%45%42%----46%35%46%44%13%71%32%29%19%55%29%43%55%80%22%34%23%65%63%21%22%77%51%23%27%77%36%20%78%56%32%
Unfavorable22%24%7%0%0%48%3%7%9%47%2%10%10%----14%45%17%20%44%5%9%33%37%9%37%20%8%6%37%0%36%9%11%0%45%7%13%18%32%6%11%37%6%11%4%
Neutral26%23%43%0%0%32%14%59%40%29%8%42%17%----34%20%36%16%31%20%39%33%31%26%26%29%22%9%31%13%30%20%22%44%25%13%29%31%30%16%32%33%13%24%35%
No Opinion9%7%19%0%0%11%1%7%30%9%0%3%31%----6%0%2%20%12%4%20%5%12%10%7%8%14%5%11%53%11%6%5%35%9%3%7%28%10%2%20%10%2%9%29%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
5Is your opinion of Jeff Scott ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Favorable7%6%13%0%0%8%4%41%8%9%2%9%5%7%4%9%5%----9%4%16%6%12%6%4%11%16%5%0%0%10%4%3%19%11%0%7%6%10%1%8%10%1%8%0%
Unfavorable15%16%8%0%0%18%15%28%7%23%18%8%5%12%31%12%0%----17%15%8%17%20%17%25%16%13%6%6%0%14%20%16%0%21%19%12%4%16%14%12%18%16%9%4%
Neutral40%39%47%0%0%39%45%25%33%39%45%53%14%42%30%56%8%----38%41%50%50%35%34%39%51%22%37%53%20%38%40%44%41%39%42%42%32%38%43%45%37%42%42%54%
No Opinion37%38%31%0%0%36%37%6%53%29%35%30%76%38%34%23%88%----36%40%26%27%33%43%32%22%49%52%40%80%38%36%37%40%29%39%39%59%35%42%35%34%41%41%42%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
6Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Approve44%44%44%0%0%93%3%38%36%84%3%33%22%13%87%54%62%58%49%41%42%---63%88%22%72%44%6%10%36%21%84%6%9%22%83%5%30%46%69%5%18%80%5%17%7%
Disapprove51%53%38%0%0%5%93%44%49%11%95%58%72%83%11%39%26%30%48%52%54%---32%10%70%28%56%77%87%51%58%12%91%83%56%16%92%63%40%26%94%61%17%95%65%84%
Not Sure5%3%18%0%0%3%4%18%15%4%2%9%5%4%2%8%12%12%2%6%4%---4%2%8%0%0%17%3%13%22%4%3%8%22%1%3%7%14%5%1%22%3%0%18%10%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
7Thinking about your motivation to vote in November, which of these national issues is the most important to you? Jobs and the economy? Immigration? Healthcare? National security? Gun policies? Energy and the environment? The presidency? Or something else?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Jobs / Economy27%27%26%0%0%38%14%18%35%40%12%29%9%18%40%34%14%24%29%33%19%38%17%23%---------34%20%19%18%36%13%27%13%35%12%20%35%8%33%21%
Immigration12%12%7%0%0%23%3%8%6%20%3%8%9%5%20%14%17%20%15%10%10%23%2%4%---------21%6%2%2%22%3%8%7%17%4%7%20%4%3%2%
Healthcare21%20%27%0%0%9%30%23%27%10%31%22%29%26%8%21%24%19%23%18%23%10%29%32%---------16%21%29%19%9%27%24%33%16%27%29%16%30%17%33%
National Security9%9%5%0%0%15%5%0%4%13%6%8%3%6%15%9%7%5%14%8%7%14%5%0%---------13%6%4%5%11%7%7%10%11%6%0%12%7%5%4%
Gun Policies6%5%11%0%0%7%7%8%2%6%5%6%9%6%6%7%6%10%7%8%4%6%7%0%---------4%8%9%0%6%3%7%7%7%4%6%8%3%7%3%
Energy / Environment5%5%6%0%0%1%7%20%6%2%6%8%4%6%2%4%8%11%4%3%6%1%7%16%---------2%9%5%3%1%5%7%5%3%8%8%2%8%5%8%
Presidency16%17%13%0%0%4%29%7%11%4%31%14%29%30%5%6%10%11%6%15%23%4%28%8%---------6%27%24%23%9%36%16%11%8%32%18%5%34%21%12%
Other4%4%1%0%0%3%4%16%2%4%4%5%2%2%6%4%5%0%2%5%4%3%4%9%---------3%3%5%0%4%5%4%0%3%5%6%2%4%6%3%
Not Sure2%1%3%0%0%0%1%0%7%1%1%1%6%1%0%1%10%0%0%1%3%1%2%7%---------0%0%3%30%0%2%0%14%1%2%5%0%1%3%13%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
8Thinking about the economy overall, do you think the economy is getting stronger? Getting weaker? Or staying about the same?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Getting Stronger47%47%47%0%0%88%15%46%34%81%10%44%27%25%78%55%60%69%42%45%48%90%12%33%61%83%36%72%33%25%18%42%9%----81%9%37%49%69%16%12%80%12%22%19%
Getting Weaker22%23%16%0%0%5%36%36%26%7%44%18%35%33%8%17%15%12%29%22%21%3%39%12%17%12%23%15%27%42%37%17%0%----9%57%23%10%12%36%39%7%38%37%29%
Staying About The Same28%28%30%0%0%7%48%18%30%11%46%35%34%41%14%24%16%13%29%31%28%6%47%45%21%4%40%12%40%32%43%42%52%----10%33%39%28%16%47%44%12%49%37%40%
Not Sure2%1%7%0%0%1%1%0%10%1%0%4%4%1%0%4%9%6%0%2%2%1%2%9%1%0%2%1%0%1%3%0%39%----1%0%2%13%2%1%5%1%1%4%13%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
9Last December, the United States Congress passed a new tax reform law. So far, have you, personally, benefitted from this tax reform, suffered as a result of this tax reform, or have you, personally, not been affected either way?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
Benefitted31%33%19%0%0%59%11%14%15%58%13%14%20%15%62%30%31%49%42%30%24%59%10%3%42%60%14%39%32%8%18%30%9%53%12%11%11%----45%10%12%52%10%14%2%
Suffered14%15%7%0%0%3%26%23%6%5%33%11%16%25%4%7%6%0%18%15%15%2%26%8%7%3%18%11%6%16%31%18%19%3%37%17%0%----7%26%16%5%31%14%6%
Have Not Been Affected47%45%56%0%0%30%58%62%58%32%51%65%47%55%27%53%37%44%38%49%48%31%58%66%47%33%55%40%52%68%46%52%0%36%48%64%39%----39%59%56%35%56%60%62%
Not Sure8%7%18%0%0%8%5%0%20%6%3%10%17%4%7%10%26%7%2%6%13%8%6%23%4%5%13%9%10%8%5%0%73%9%4%8%50%----9%4%16%8%3%11%30%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%60%32%9%49%27%19%5%
 
10Voters will also consider amendments to the North Carolina Constitution in the November election. Would you vote for or against a state Constitutional amendment to require voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
For60%59%66%0%0%94%28%67%59%89%25%56%44%37%87%70%73%87%63%56%56%93%31%59%79%85%46%77%70%33%28%41%43%87%33%34%66%87%31%49%66%---97%3%55%14%
Against32%34%12%0%0%3%63%15%16%6%68%33%37%56%9%19%6%3%30%34%35%4%59%3%15%10%41%23%21%51%63%44%30%11%51%52%12%10%59%40%17%---1%93%23%24%
Not Sure9%7%22%0%0%4%9%18%25%5%7%11%19%7%4%11%21%10%7%10%8%4%11%38%7%5%13%0%9%16%10%15%27%2%16%14%22%3%10%11%17%---1%3%22%62%
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%49%27%19%5%
 
11Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote?
556 Likely VotersAllLikelyVoteOpinion Of HarrisOpinion Of MccreadyOpinion Of ScottTrump Overall ApprovalIssueEconomyTax Reform LawAmendmentSupports Photo ID
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsCertainLikelyUnlikelyNot SureMark HarDan McCrJeff ScoUndecideFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniApproveDisapproNot SureJobs / EImmigratHealthcaNationalGun PoliEnergy /PresidenOtherNot SureGetting Getting Staying Not SureBenefittSufferedHave NotNot SureForAgainstNot SureMore LikLess LikMakes NoNot Sure
More Likely49%48%51%0%0%89%16%48%37%83%14%42%25%22%82%62%57%73%59%45%44%89%16%25%64%85%37%67%59%24%14%32%7%82%15%21%23%82%19%36%47%80%2%8%----
Less Likely27%30%10%0%0%1%56%15%13%4%63%28%32%49%8%14%8%5%28%29%30%3%51%0%8%10%40%21%15%47%57%33%19%7%47%47%12%9%60%33%10%1%81%11%----
Makes No Difference19%18%25%0%0%9%23%37%35%11%22%23%28%25%10%18%19%22%12%20%21%7%25%66%24%4%15%10%23%20%25%31%35%9%32%25%37%9%19%25%26%18%14%48%----
Not Sure5%3%14%0%0%1%5%0%15%1%1%7%15%3%1%6%16%0%1%6%5%1%8%9%4%1%8%2%2%8%3%4%39%2%6%7%29%0%2%6%17%1%4%33%----
Total100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%88%12%0%0%41%45%3%12%38%23%25%14%43%22%26%9%7%15%40%37%44%51%5%27%12%21%9%6%5%16%4%2%47%22%28%2%31%14%47%8%60%32%9%