In an election in Washington State today, 09/23/10, two separate ballot measures on liquor sales appear to pass, but by smaller margins than in an identical poll released one month ago, according to this latest exclusive KING 5 News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Initiative 1100 passes today, 53% to 38%, but with a 15-point margin that is half last month's. Lower-income voters had supported I-1100 by 20 points, now oppose by 9 points, a 29-point swing. College graduates had supported I-1100 by 42 points, now support by 15, a 27-point swing. Men, supported i1100 by 50 points, now by 30 points. Women had backed I-1100 by 14 points, now oppose. Opposition to ballot measures typically builds as Election Day approaches. I-1100 would close state liquor stores; authorize the sale, distribution, and importation of spirits by private parties; and repeal certain requirements that govern the business operations of beer and wine distributors and producers.

Initiative 1105, which also changes liquor laws, also passes, though today by 8 points instead of last month's 25 points. Lower-income voters, who had supported I-1105 by 10 points, have turned away from I-1105 and now oppose by 13 points, a 23-point swing. College grads had supported I-1105 by 35 points, now support by 6 points, a 29-point swing. Women had supported I-1105 by 9 points, now oppose it by 14 points -- a 23-point swing. Democrats have switched sides on I-1105. I-1105 would close all state liquor stores and license private parties to sell or distribute spirits, and revise laws concerning the regulation, taxation, and government revenues from the distribution and sale of spirits. In both 1100 and 1105, SurveyUSA read actual ballot language to respondents. That language appears in the question text.

Initiative 1082, which would allow employers to purchase private industrial insurance, remains out of focus for many voters, with 43% today not certain how they will vote, essentially unchanged from 1 month ago. Among those who have made up their mind, the measure remains ahead 4:1. The actual outcome on I-1082 will depend on the extent to which the issue of industrial insurance is made relevant to voters.