Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15909
Endorsed by NJ's largest Newspaper, Independent Daggett Further Complicates NJ Governor Election: In an election for New Jersey Governor today, 10/15/09, 19 days until the vote, Republican Chris Christie and incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine are tied and treading water, according to this latest exclusive WABC-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Chris Daggett is the only candidate with momentum. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one week ago, Christie is down 3 points, from 43% to 40%; Corzine is down 1 point, from 40% to 39%; Daggett is up 4 points, from 14% to 18%. Daggett was endorsed by the Star-Ledger on Sunday, 10/11, one day before interviewing began for this poll.

Of those who voted for Corzine in 2005, 58% stick with Corzine in 2009 -- down from 67% one week ago. 20% of 2005 Corzine voters crossover to Republican Christie in 2009 -- up from 17%; 19% vote Daggett, up from 13%.
Of those who voted for Corzine's 2005 Republican opponent, Doug Forrester, 77% vote for Republican Christie in 2009, down from 82% from last week. 18% vote Daggett, up from 14% one week ago.

Among whites, Christie leads by 14 points, down from 18. Among blacks, Corzine leads 4:1, down from 6:1. Christie, who became the Republican nominee after defeating a more conservative Republican, Steve Lonegan, in the primary, leads 4:1 among Conservatives, unchanged from last week. Corzine leads 4:1 among liberals, also unchanged. Moderates remain divided. Corzine carries Northern Jersey. Christie carries South Jersey. In Central Jersey, where Christie had led by 12, he leads by 3.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 New Jersey adults 10/12/09 through 10/14/09. Of them, 884 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 611 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/3 general election.
If the election for governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Chris Christie? Democrat Jon Corzine? Or Independent Chris Daggett?
611 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyBiggest IssueCollege GradIncomeEnthusiastic2008 Vote2005 VoteNFL TeamSpringsteen Fan?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPropertyJobsEconomyHealth CCorruptiYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +No ReserReservatObamaMcCainCorzineForresteGiantsJetsEaglesYesNoNorthernCentral Southern
Christie (R)40%44%35%37%42%40%38%40%39%46%13%23%31%65%16%48%66%35%15%53%23%31%23%55%39%42%32%39%46%48%37%15%69%20%77%44%36%45%33%47%36%39%45%
Corzine (D)39%34%43%47%35%39%39%39%39%32%66%55%57%16%64%26%15%40%69%28%54%53%58%12%42%33%43%36%38%40%39%64%10%58%5%39%33%42%44%33%44%36%35%
Daggett (I)18%19%18%14%19%19%21%17%19%20%16%16%6%17%18%23%16%22%13%17%20%14%18%30%17%21%20%24%14%13%24%18%19%19%18%15%31%11%20%18%16%21%18%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%16%32%29%23%48%52%76%11%7%6%33%42%23%28%49%18%43%13%19%10%8%57%43%23%40%37%41%55%51%44%55%28%41%9%14%47%49%38%33%29%