| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #19480 |
| In Florida, 17% Change Vote Because of Ryan VP Pick; Vote Changers by 4:3 are Drawn To Romney:
17% of registered voters in the state of Florida say they will change who they will vote for in the election for President as a result of Mitt Romney's selection of Paul Ryan as Vice President, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted statewide for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Of those who will change their vote, 57% say they are more likely to vote for Romney, 42% say they are less likely to vote for Romney. The state of Florida is one of the most important swing-states in the country. Florida's 29 electoral votes are critical to Romney. Reaction to the Ryan pick breaks along party lines. 82% of Republicans, 91% of Tea Party members, and 86% of conservatives say the selection of Ryan is excellent or good. 57% of Democrats and 51% of liberals say the Ryan selection is bad or very bad. 75% of Republicans say Ryan would be ready to step-in as President if Romney were unable to serve, compared to 28% of Democrats who say Ryan would be ready. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 640 adults from the state of Florida 08/13/12. Of the adults, 590 were registered to vote. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (70% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (30% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop or other electronic device. |
| 1 | Is your opinion of Paul Ryan, the Republican candidate for Vice President of the United States ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 590 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Favorable | 43% | 51% | 36% | 36% | 49% | 36% | 53% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 28% | 46% | ** | 29% | 49% | 72% | 13% | 37% | 73% | 41% | 75% | 35% | 20% | 34% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 46% |
| Unfavorable | 32% | 30% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 45% | 30% | 26% | 38% | 28% | 38% | 39% | ** | 26% | 34% | 9% | 60% | 30% | 11% | 34% | 8% | 35% | 56% | 39% | 29% | 34% | 29% | 30% |
| Neutral | 16% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 8% | 9% | 22% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 13% | ** | 30% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 21% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 18% | 12% |
| No Opinion | 10% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 18% | 1% | ** | 14% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 61% | 14% | 21% | 4% | 30% | 70% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% | 89% | 31% | 43% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 32% |
| 2 | How familiar are you with the economic policies of Paul Ryan? Very familiar? Somewhat familiar? Not very familiar? Or not at all familiar? |
| 590 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Very | 31% | 37% | 26% | 21% | 26% | 32% | 49% | 24% | 40% | 36% | 29% | 22% | ** | 15% | 38% | 40% | 24% | 27% | 65% | 29% | 50% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 44% | 32% | 33% | 27% |
| Somewhat | 44% | 39% | 48% | 53% | 45% | 43% | 32% | 49% | 38% | 40% | 39% | 58% | ** | 51% | 41% | 39% | 49% | 46% | 26% | 45% | 34% | 48% | 50% | 51% | 32% | 42% | 38% | 51% |
| Not Very | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 13% | ** | 19% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 10% |
| Not At All | 12% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 20% | 6% | ** | 15% | 11% | 6% | 19% | 14% | 1% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 12% |
| Not Sure | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 61% | 14% | 21% | 4% | 30% | 70% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% | 89% | 31% | 43% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 32% |
| 3 | Regardless of who you may support for president, is Paul Ryan an excellent choice, a good choice, a bad choice or a very bad choice for the Romney campaign? |
| 590 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Excellent | 28% | 33% | 24% | 16% | 34% | 23% | 43% | 25% | 32% | 32% | 16% | 29% | ** | 10% | 36% | 49% | 11% | 18% | 57% | 26% | 54% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 43% | 24% | 27% | 32% |
| Good | 31% | 33% | 29% | 47% | 30% | 23% | 22% | 39% | 22% | 30% | 31% | 31% | ** | 48% | 24% | 33% | 21% | 39% | 34% | 30% | 32% | 37% | 22% | 36% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 30% |
| Bad | 15% | 9% | 21% | 12% | 9% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 25% | ** | 14% | 16% | 3% | 31% | 15% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 33% | 24% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 17% |
| Very Bad | 14% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 12% | 27% | 10% | ** | 6% | 18% | 6% | 26% | 12% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 13% |
| Not Sure | 12% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 6% | ** | 23% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 2% | 12% | 6% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 15% | 14% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 61% | 14% | 21% | 4% | 30% | 70% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% | 89% | 31% | 43% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 32% |
| 4 | If it became necessary, would Paul Ryan be ready to step in and be President of the United States? |
| 590 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Yes | 50% | 54% | 46% | 43% | 53% | 51% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 49% | 34% | 66% | ** | 36% | 56% | 75% | 28% | 40% | 83% | 47% | 76% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 58% | 40% | 44% | 63% |
| No | 30% | 31% | 30% | 28% | 21% | 39% | 33% | 25% | 36% | 30% | 44% | 23% | ** | 26% | 32% | 10% | 54% | 31% | 11% | 33% | 10% | 39% | 36% | 42% | 30% | 36% | 27% | 24% |
| Not Sure | 20% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 10% | 13% | 27% | 12% | 21% | 22% | 11% | ** | 37% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 28% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 24% | 28% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 61% | 14% | 21% | 4% | 30% | 70% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% | 89% | 31% | 43% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 32% |
| 5 | Does the pick of Paul Ryan as running mate change your mind about who you will vote for for president? |
| 590 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Yes | 17% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 26% | 14% | ** | 23% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 35% | 15% | 14% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 21% | 18% | 20% | 15% |
| No | 73% | 71% | 75% | 57% | 76% | 78% | 83% | 67% | 80% | 77% | 63% | 69% | ** | 58% | 79% | 72% | 78% | 69% | 58% | 75% | 81% | 64% | 82% | 82% | 70% | 75% | 69% | 72% |
| Not Sure | 10% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | ** | 19% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 61% | 14% | 21% | 4% | 30% | 70% | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% | 89% | 31% | 43% | 22% | 9% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 32% |
| 6 | Are you now more likely to vote for Romney, or less likely to vote for Romney? |
| 100 Whose Minds Changed | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 9.9% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| More Likely | 57% | 50% | 63% | 62% | 48% | 47% | 64% | 58% | 54% | 56% | 57% | 58% | 60% | 63% | 52% | 83% | 35% | 43% | 100% | 48% | 83% | 55% | 53% | 70% | 59% | 42% | 56% | 71% |
| Less Likely | 42% | 50% | 35% | 36% | 52% | 53% | 36% | 40% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 37% | 40% | 37% | 46% | 17% | 65% | 57% | 0% | 51% | 17% | 45% | 47% | 30% | 41% | 58% | 44% | 26% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Whose Minds Changed | 100% | 48% | 52% | 46% | 14% | 23% | 18% | 59% | 41% | 55% | 22% | 18% | 6% | 41% | 59% | 42% | 27% | 29% | 14% | 78% | 26% | 48% | 16% | 6% | 12% | 31% | 24% | 27% |