Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17033
In Kentucky in 2010, Just Like in Other States, Men Do Not Like What Democrats Have to Offer: In an election for the open United States Senator seat from Kentucky today, 09/02/10, Republican Rand Paul defeats Democrat Jack Conway, 55% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for the Louisville Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 1 month ago, Paul is up 4 points; Conway is down 3. There is important learning in the movement among men, which is consistent with SurveyUSA polling in other hi-profile 2010 state contests. Men have turned their backs on the Democrats. The Democrat Conway got 44% of male voters in May, 38% in July, 31% today, in September. See the interactive tracking graph, a SurveyUSA exclusive. The erosion in male support, observed in California polling and Washington state polling, is occurring regardless of whether there is a Tea Party candidate on the ballot.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 KY adults 08/30/10 through 09/01/10. Of them, 863 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 561 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November election for US Senate. Incumbent Republican US Senator Jim Bunning is not seeking re-election.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? Republican Rand Paul? Or Democrat Jack Conway?
561 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
Paul (R)55%65%45%60%60%56%46%60%52%56%37%****82%32%56%80%38%20%87%8%60%45%60%52%58%51%54%74%32%58%49%55%55%57%52%58%51%
Conway (D)40%31%48%33%34%40%49%33%44%38%63%****13%64%34%16%58%77%10%90%35%37%38%40%38%43%39%22%63%37%46%39%41%39%44%36%39%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%14%29%32%24%43%57%92%6%1%1%42%47%10%46%36%12%40%26%25%9%48%52%57%26%17%54%42%66%32%42%58%22%29%34%14%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.