Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15965
 
Much Polling, Not Much Movement, in Virginia's Top 3 Contests: One week until votes are counted in Virginia, steady-as-she-goes in the contests for Governor, Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General. Republicans lead by at least 2 touchdowns in all 3 contests, with no consequential movement week-on-week. The governor's contest is being tracked by at least 10 public opinion polling firms, including The Washington Post, Public Policy Polling, Mason-Dixon, Christopher Newport University, Research 2000, Rasmussen Reports and Insider Advantage. All show Republicans leading. None show Republicans leading by as much as SurveyUSA. There is little doubt who will win these contests when votes are counted in 7 days. There is considerable doubt that Republicans will be able to run up the score in a state that Democrat Barack Obama carried by 6 points one year ago.
 
Filtering: 800 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/25/09 and 10/26/09. Of them, 727 were registered to vote. Of them, 502 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be almost certain to vote on or before election day. Interactive tracking graphs are a SurveyUSA exclusive.

Study the movement, and lack of movement, across 6 SurveyUSA tracking polls in the VA Governor contest here.
Study the movement, and lack of movement, across 6 SurveyUSA tracking polls in the VA Lieutenant Governor contest here.
Study the movement, and lack of movement, across 6 SurveyUSA tracking polls in the VA Attorney General contest here.

10/27/09 SurveyUSA research conducted for WJLA-TV Washington DC, WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WTVR-TV Richmond, and WJHL-TV in the Tri-Cities.

 
If the election for Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? Or Democrat Creigh Deeds?
502 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KObamaMcCainShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
McDonnell (R)58%61%55%55%59%57%60%58%58%66%21%****52%58%92%14%60%89%50%14%55%62%64%57%44%79%38%65%48%46%63%16%94%58%58%56%59%
Deeds (D)41%38%44%44%40%42%38%41%41%32%78%****45%40%7%85%38%11%49%84%44%36%35%42%55%19%62%33%51%51%37%83%5%39%41%43%40%
Undecided1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%****3%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%3%0%1%1%3%0%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%14%33%32%21%47%53%77%15%4%4%8%92%37%32%30%39%39%16%58%42%55%25%20%48%48%48%48%31%69%45%50%25%26%20%29%
 
 
Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? Or Democrat Jody Wagner?
502 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KObamaMcCainShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Bolling (R)56%59%54%56%57%55%58%57%56%64%18%****44%58%92%14%55%87%48%15%55%59%63%56%41%77%37%63%47%45%61%17%91%57%59%53%57%
Wagner (D)42%40%44%43%41%44%39%42%42%34%81%****53%41%7%85%42%11%51%82%44%39%36%43%58%22%62%34%52%53%38%82%8%39%41%46%42%
Undecided2%2%1%1%2%1%3%2%2%2%1%****3%1%1%1%3%1%2%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%0%3%1%1%1%4%1%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%14%33%32%21%47%53%77%15%4%4%8%92%37%32%30%39%39%16%58%42%55%25%20%48%48%48%48%31%69%45%50%25%26%20%29%
 
 
Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? Or Democrat Steve Shannon?
502 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KObamaMcCainShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Cuccinelli (R)57%60%53%49%58%57%59%55%58%66%20%****44%58%88%16%59%87%49%17%55%60%63%55%42%78%37%63%49%47%61%20%89%58%56%54%58%
Shannon (D)41%38%45%51%40%40%38%43%39%32%80%****56%40%10%83%38%12%48%82%43%37%35%44%55%20%61%34%50%50%37%79%9%38%43%44%40%
Undecided2%2%2%0%2%3%2%1%3%2%1%****0%2%2%1%3%1%3%1%2%3%2%1%3%2%2%2%1%3%1%1%2%4%1%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%14%33%32%21%47%53%77%15%4%4%8%92%37%32%30%39%39%16%58%42%55%25%20%48%48%48%48%31%69%45%50%25%26%20%29%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.