Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21807
 
In Minnesota, With Voting Underway, DFL Incumbents Franken and Dayton Well Positioned for Re-Election:

In an election for United States Senator from Minnesota today, 10/17/14, Al Franken defeats Republican challenger Mike McFadden 53% to 38%.

In an election for Governor of Minnesota today, Mark Dayton defeats Republican challenger Jeff Johnson 50% to 40%.

SurveyUSA has polled the US Senate race 3 times. Franken has polled at 51%, 55% and today at 53%.

SurveyUSA has polled the Governor race 3 times. Dayton has polled at 49%, 51% and today at 50%.

45% of Minnesota likely voters say they will vote for a Democrat in their local race for US House of Representatives. 42% say they will vote for a Republican.

For the state legislature, almost the identical results: 46% will vote for a Democrat in their local contest for the Minnesota House of Representatives. 42% will vote for a Republican.

Job approval ratings for elected officials and government agencies:

* President Barack Obama: 38%.
* Dayton: 52%.
* Franken: 55% .
* US Senator Amy Klobuchar: 62% .
* Minnesota state legislature: 31% .
* MNSure: 26%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of MN adults 10/14/14 through 10/16/14. Of the adults, 656 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 597 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
If the election for Minnesota Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Jeff Johnson? DFL candidate Mark Dayton? Independence Party candidate Hannah Nicollet? Libertarian Chris Holbrook? Grassroots Party candidate Chris Wright? Or some other candidate?
597 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Jeff Johnson (R)40%43%38%30%48%43%37%40%40%42%40%82%10%35%77%28%7%38%42%40%30%39%49%37%42%40%46%41%37%
Mark Dayton (DFL)50%46%53%52%44%47%57%47%51%45%50%14%85%41%17%59%86%53%48%50%58%48%46%49%50%51%42%44%55%
Hannah Nicollet (IP)3%3%3%5%2%2%3%3%2%4%3%1%2%6%2%3%5%4%2%3%4%2%2%4%2%3%2%4%4%
Chris Holbrook (L)1%2%1%4%1%1%0%2%1%0%2%1%0%4%2%2%0%0%2%2%1%3%0%3%1%2%1%3%0%
Chris Wright (GP)1%1%0%2%1%0%0%1%0%2%1%0%0%2%0%2%0%0%1%1%0%2%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%
Other1%1%1%0%0%2%1%0%1%4%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%2%1%0%2%0%1%0%1%1%2%2%0%
Undecided4%4%4%8%3%5%3%5%4%4%4%2%2%10%2%7%2%3%4%5%5%6%2%7%3%3%7%7%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%50%50%18%26%34%22%44%56%6%94%31%39%29%33%46%18%18%36%46%24%39%37%27%73%57%14%15%14%
 
If the election for United States Senator from Minnesota were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Mike McFadden? DFL candidate Al Franken? Independence Party candidate Steve Carlson? Libertarian Heather Johnson? Or some other candidate?
597 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Mike McFadden (R)38%40%36%28%44%41%35%37%39%37%38%84%6%30%73%27%4%33%42%37%29%36%46%34%40%38%44%37%34%
Al Franken (DFL)53%49%56%57%49%49%60%52%53%51%53%11%90%49%20%61%93%59%48%54%62%52%49%56%52%53%48%54%55%
Steve Carlson (IP)3%5%2%6%1%4%2%3%3%8%3%2%2%5%3%4%2%5%3%3%5%3%2%2%3%2%1%5%6%
Heather Johnson (L)2%2%2%5%2%1%1%3%1%0%2%0%0%6%1%3%0%1%3%2%2%3%0%3%2%3%1%1%1%
Other1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%
Undecided3%3%4%5%3%5%1%3%3%4%3%2%1%8%2%5%1%2%3%4%2%5%2%5%3%3%5%3%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%50%50%18%26%34%22%44%56%6%94%31%39%29%33%46%18%18%36%46%24%39%37%27%73%57%14%15%14%
 
If the election for United States House of Representatives were held today, would you most likely vote for a Republican or Democrat? Or would you vote for a member of another party?
597 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Republican42%44%40%36%43%47%40%40%44%49%42%95%6%34%78%31%4%42%47%38%34%41%48%35%45%40%52%40%42%
Democrat45%44%46%49%43%41%52%45%45%39%46%2%93%30%11%53%89%49%43%46%55%43%43%47%45%48%37%43%45%
Other6%6%6%8%8%4%3%8%4%8%6%0%0%19%4%7%5%4%5%7%4%8%4%8%5%5%8%6%7%
Undecided7%6%7%7%6%8%5%7%7%4%7%2%2%17%6%9%1%5%5%8%7%8%5%11%5%7%4%11%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%50%50%18%26%34%22%44%56%6%94%31%39%29%33%46%18%18%36%46%24%39%37%27%73%57%14%15%14%
 
All 134 members of the Minnesota House of Representatives are up for re-election in November. If the election were held today, would you most likely vote for a Republican or Democrat in your local Minnesota House of Representatives race? Or would you vote for a member of another party?
597 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Republican42%43%41%35%44%47%39%41%44%45%42%94%5%37%80%30%4%39%46%41%33%41%49%38%44%41%51%40%42%
Democrat46%45%47%48%46%40%54%47%46%46%46%3%93%31%11%55%90%52%42%47%55%43%44%49%45%49%35%43%48%
Other5%6%4%10%5%4%3%7%4%6%5%1%1%17%3%6%6%4%7%4%6%8%3%5%5%4%8%7%5%
Undecided6%6%7%7%5%9%4%6%7%4%6%2%2%15%6%9%1%6%5%7%6%8%4%8%5%6%5%10%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%50%50%18%26%34%22%44%56%6%94%31%39%29%33%46%18%18%36%46%24%39%37%27%73%57%14%15%14%
 
Which of these issues will be most important to you in deciding how to vote this November? Taxes? Jobs? Education? Transportation? Health care? Or something else?
597 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Taxes25%26%24%28%26%23%23%27%23%24%25%33%18%25%34%24%13%32%25%22%23%26%25%29%23%23%32%28%22%
Jobs15%16%13%12%14%16%17%13%16%10%15%13%17%14%11%19%10%13%14%16%17%14%14%13%16%16%9%11%21%
Education16%14%17%27%15%11%14%20%13%21%15%8%25%12%7%14%35%12%10%22%13%13%21%21%14%17%17%17%8%
Transportation3%2%3%2%3%2%3%2%3%1%3%1%4%3%1%3%4%1%2%4%3%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%5%
Health Care30%30%30%17%30%36%34%25%35%32%30%33%29%29%32%31%26%34%36%25%29%36%26%26%32%30%28%31%32%
Something Else9%10%8%11%12%9%4%11%7%12%9%10%5%13%13%5%11%6%10%10%10%8%9%8%9%9%9%8%10%
Not Sure3%2%3%3%1%2%4%2%3%0%3%2%2%4%3%3%0%3%3%2%5%2%2%2%3%2%3%5%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%50%50%18%26%34%22%44%56%6%94%31%39%29%33%46%18%18%36%46%24%39%37%27%73%57%14%15%14%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
656 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve38%37%39%33%33%39%47%33%42%33%39%4%69%34%9%45%72%42%33%41%44%35%38%27%42%41%26%33%44%
Disapprove53%56%52%51%59%54%49%55%52%54%54%93%20%57%85%47%12%53%56%51%47%54%57%56%53%49%65%62%50%
Not Sure8%7%9%17%8%7%4%12%6%13%7%4%11%9%6%7%15%5%10%8%9%11%5%17%5%10%8%5%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%26%34%21%45%55%6%94%30%39%29%32%47%18%19%37%45%25%39%36%27%73%57%15%15%13%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Dayton is doing as Governor?
656 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve52%48%55%51%45%51%61%48%55%40%53%15%83%47%21%63%79%55%48%54%61%50%47%49%52%53%46%47%58%
Disapprove39%45%33%30%46%42%35%39%39%46%40%76%9%42%73%27%11%35%44%36%30%38%46%34%41%38%46%42%33%
Not Sure9%6%12%20%8%8%4%13%6%13%7%9%8%12%7%11%10%10%8%10%9%12%7%16%7%9%8%11%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%26%34%21%45%55%6%94%30%39%29%32%47%18%19%37%45%25%39%36%27%73%57%15%15%13%
 
Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the state legislature is doing?
656 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve31%30%33%38%27%27%39%31%31%38%31%15%48%27%12%36%54%41%24%34%38%29%31%29%32%31%26%30%39%
Disapprove50%58%44%36%51%56%54%45%55%56%51%70%31%58%72%44%27%45%58%46%44%48%56%40%54%50%56%48%50%
Not Sure18%12%24%26%22%18%7%24%14%6%18%16%21%15%15%19%19%14%18%20%18%23%13%31%13%19%17%22%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%26%34%21%45%55%6%94%30%39%29%32%47%18%19%37%45%25%39%36%27%73%57%15%15%13%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Al Franken is doing as United States Senator?
656 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve55%50%60%56%49%55%62%52%58%56%56%17%86%53%22%65%88%66%49%56%66%52%52%57%54%56%47%56%56%
Disapprove37%46%29%25%44%40%35%36%38%37%38%75%9%35%71%25%8%30%42%36%28%35%45%27%41%36%42%37%37%
Not Sure8%4%11%19%7%5%3%12%4%7%6%8%5%12%7%10%4%4%9%8%6%13%4%17%4%8%10%7%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%26%34%21%45%55%6%94%30%39%29%32%47%18%19%37%45%25%39%36%27%73%57%15%15%13%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Amy Klobuchar is doing as United States Senator?
656 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve62%59%66%46%60%62%81%54%69%48%64%44%80%58%42%70%80%66%60%63%64%60%64%50%67%65%50%57%69%
Disapprove26%31%21%30%25%29%17%27%25%37%25%44%12%26%43%19%11%25%26%26%24%23%29%23%27%26%31%27%19%
Not Sure12%10%14%24%15%8%3%19%6%15%11%11%8%17%15%11%10%9%15%11%12%17%6%28%6%9%19%16%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%26%34%21%45%55%6%94%30%39%29%32%47%18%19%37%45%25%39%36%27%73%57%15%15%13%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of Minnesota's health insurance exchange called "MNSure" (Minn-Sure)?
656 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve26%26%26%24%27%22%32%25%26%25%26%6%42%25%6%34%44%28%20%30%32%23%26%25%26%28%19%24%29%
Disapprove54%57%50%54%56%57%44%55%52%54%54%81%33%53%80%46%25%54%58%49%42%55%59%49%55%53%57%55%53%
Not Sure20%17%23%22%17%20%23%19%22%21%20%13%25%22%14%20%32%18%21%21%26%22%15%26%18%20%24%22%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%26%34%21%45%55%6%94%30%39%29%32%47%18%19%37%45%25%39%36%27%73%57%15%15%13%
 
The Minnesota Legislature approved the construction of a new $77-million dollar office building to provide new offices for the Minnesota Senate. Do you approve or disapprove of this project?
700 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Approve27%30%25%22%29%24%34%26%28%30%29%11%43%23%7%33%46%23%21%34%27%25%31%24%28%31%22%19%25%
Disapprove63%61%65%60%61%68%60%61%65%59%62%82%48%63%86%57%41%69%67%56%63%65%60%58%65%60%69%70%62%
Not Sure10%9%10%18%9%7%6%13%7%11%9%7%9%13%7%10%13%8%11%10%10%10%9%18%7%9%9%11%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%21%25%33%21%46%54%6%94%29%39%30%31%47%18%20%37%43%26%39%35%27%73%58%14%15%13%
 
Should the state of Minnesota increase taxes on gasoline?
700 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Yes16%20%13%13%21%10%25%17%16%25%17%9%21%16%5%19%29%10%10%25%12%14%23%15%17%18%25%10%7%
No78%74%81%81%76%82%69%78%77%64%78%87%71%76%90%76%59%82%83%71%78%79%74%77%78%78%70%79%81%
Not Sure6%6%6%6%4%8%6%5%7%11%5%3%7%8%5%5%12%8%8%4%10%7%2%8%6%4%5%11%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%21%25%33%21%46%54%6%94%29%39%30%31%47%18%20%37%43%26%39%35%27%73%58%14%15%13%
 
Is the State of Minnesota and its health care system prepared to handle a possible outbreak of Ebola?
700 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Already Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Yes23%25%20%30%29%15%20%29%17%38%22%16%29%23%12%26%33%16%20%28%19%24%24%31%20%26%18%19%17%
No53%51%55%42%45%65%55%44%61%38%54%63%47%52%67%50%39%56%57%48%56%50%54%37%59%52%50%59%57%
Not Sure24%23%25%28%26%20%25%27%22%24%24%21%24%25%21%24%28%28%22%24%25%26%21%32%21%22%32%23%26%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%21%25%33%21%46%54%6%94%29%39%30%31%47%18%20%37%43%26%39%35%27%73%58%14%15%13%