|One Year From KS GOP Senate Primary, Moran and Tiahrt Face An Undecided Electorate:
Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt continue to battle for votes in the race for the GOP nomination to fill Sam Brownback's open US Senate seat, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KWCH-TV Wichita and KCTV-TV Kansas City. Today, likely Republican Primary voters split into three groups. Moran gets 38%. Tiahrt 32%. 30% are undecided.
Tiahrt, US Representative for Kansas' 4th Congressional District, located toward the southeastern part of the state, leads by 3:1 in Southeastern Kansas. Moran, who represents Kansas' 1st Congressional District, which takes up most of the western two-thirds of the state, leads 6:1 in that part of the state. In the northeastern portion of the state, however, home to nearly half the state's population, almost half of likely voters are today undecided.
Kansas political parties decide before each primary whether the primary will be open to voters who are not affiliated with any political party; SurveyUSA includes those unaffiliated voters here, who make up 13% of the electorate in this poll, and breaks out their results in a crosstab:
Among Republicans, Moran leads by 4 points, with 28% of voters undecided.
Among unaffiliated voters, Moran leads by 11 points, with 47% of voters undecided.
Moran has never trailed in three separate SurveyUSA polls; he led by 4 points in April, by 2 in June, and by 6 today. But: one key difference between previous SurveyUSA polls and this poll -- previous polls began with a question about a Republican Governor's Primary. But the KS GOP Governor's Primary is no longer contested, and today's release does not include a question about it.