Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17528
 
North Carolina: Incumbent Burr Headed For 2nd Term: In an election for US Senator from North Carolina today, 10/26/10, 1 week until votes are counted, incumbent Republican Richard Burr defeats Democrat Elaine Marshall 53% to 38%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WRAL-TV in Raleigh.

The contest is closer than it was 6 weeks ago, when an identical SurveyUSA WRAL-TV poll found Burr up 24 points; today Burr is up 15. In the end, Marshall cannot overcome the fact that 1 in 4 Democrats statewide cross-over and vote Republican, and that Independents break 2:1 against her.

Unlike the rest of the state, Marshall never trailed Burr in greater Raleigh. In 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to June 2010, Marshall and Burr traced each other like tractor beams, were always effectively even, were never separated by more than 2 points.

Burr has a Plus 10 favorability rating statewide. Marshall has a Plus 2. President Obama has a Minus 20. Governor Bev Perdue has a Minus 30. 67% statewide say the country is on the wrong track. 77% disapprove of the job Congress is doing.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults with home telephones 10/22/10 through 10/25/10. Of them, 857 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 590 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election, 1 week from today. One stop early voting began 10/14/10.
 
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Richard Burr? Democrat Elaine Marshall? Or Libertarian Mike Beitler?
590 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Burr (R)53%55%51%51%57%51%54%54%52%63%22%****50%54%85%23%54%80%39%11%83%11%59%**55%50%55%67%37%37%49%57%67%37%60%41%46%56%58%55%54%45%62%
Marshall (D)38%36%41%34%38%41%39%37%40%29%71%****40%38%10%71%28%12%52%78%9%83%28%**36%40%38%27%55%50%41%35%23%57%30%52%40%36%39%36%39%45%29%
Beitler (L)5%7%3%12%3%4%3%7%3%4%2%****6%5%2%2%15%4%6%6%5%3%10%**6%5%4%3%4%9%7%3%6%4%7%3%9%5%2%4%5%8%4%
Undecided3%3%5%3%2%5%5%2%5%4%5%****4%3%2%4%4%3%3%4%3%3%3%**3%4%3%3%4%4%2%5%4%2%3%4%6%3%1%5%1%3%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%53%47%22%30%29%20%51%49%75%17%4%4%18%82%37%40%23%44%37%14%42%34%21%3%24%43%32%55%11%33%52%48%50%46%57%39%32%35%32%36%19%28%16%
 
 
2Is your opinion of President Barack Obama ... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion?
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Favorable34%29%38%36%30%38%32%33%35%23%76%****35%32%7%61%24%14%40%66%6%69%27%34%37%33%30%27%38%41%35%32%18%48%24%46%38%32%30%31%29%40%36%
Unfavorable54%60%49%52%58%51%57%55%53%65%17%****53%58%87%26%60%80%45%18%89%16%58%41%52%55%62%69%43%43%54%57%72%38%67%39%49%58%60%59%59%45%56%
Neutral10%9%11%10%11%10%9%10%10%11%3%****8%9%5%11%13%5%15%12%4%12%14%20%8%11%8%4%18%14%10%9%8%12%8%12%9%9%9%10%9%13%7%
No Opinion2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%4%****4%1%1%2%3%1%1%4%1%3%1%4%4%1%0%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%4%1%1%1%3%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
3Is your opinion of Governor Bev Perdue ...
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Favorable21%21%21%18%15%26%29%16%27%17%36%****29%21%10%34%16%10%23%45%8%41%14%27%18%22%24%18%26%24%23%20%13%28%16%29%23%21%20%21%18%21%24%
Unfavorable51%56%46%55%56%48%40%56%45%54%36%****48%51%68%34%58%68%46%25%73%28%53%31%53%49%54%59%45%44%49%53%63%41%63%37%46%57%50%52%55%49%45%
Neutral23%19%26%22%21%22%27%21%24%23%20%****19%23%17%28%18%16%26%27%14%25%28%25%22%24%18%19%23%26%23%21%18%27%17%28%23%17%26%20%22%25%23%
No Opinion6%4%7%6%8%5%4%7%4%5%8%****4%4%5%5%8%6%5%4%4%6%5%18%7%4%4%4%6%6%5%6%6%4%5%5%8%4%3%6%5%5%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
4Is your opinion of United States Senator Richard Burr ...
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Favorable40%44%37%35%40%41%48%37%44%46%18%****45%47%66%22%36%65%30%8%70%9%42%33%33%44%50%56%21%30%42%41%56%28%47%34%38%41%47%40%49%36%39%
Unfavorable30%34%26%25%31%34%30%28%32%27%38%****37%29%13%45%28%15%34%65%12%62%19%14%32%31%31%23%43%36%37%25%17%45%29%34%29%31%33%30%32%34%20%
Neutral21%16%25%25%21%19%16%23%18%20%29%****13%19%15%21%28%14%27%19%15%20%32%13%27%19%12%16%22%24%16%23%20%19%18%22%22%20%16%22%14%22%23%
No Opinion9%6%12%15%9%7%6%11%7%6%15%****5%6%5%11%7%6%9%8%4%8%8%40%8%6%6%5%13%9%5%11%7%8%6%11%12%7%3%8%6%8%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
5Is your opinion of North Carolina Secretary of State Elaine Marshall ...
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Favorable30%30%30%28%26%32%37%27%34%24%54%****40%33%12%51%22%14%40%53%13%60%23%11%30%32%34%28%28%38%31%31%22%43%26%39%32%30%33%28%29%38%23%
Unfavorable28%34%23%27%28%29%30%27%29%31%16%****31%32%43%14%34%42%24%8%49%10%27%8%26%28%36%38%21%20%32%26%38%19%35%21%27%30%30%30%32%28%21%
Neutral28%27%29%27%29%29%27%28%28%32%17%****17%28%30%25%33%29%28%27%27%23%38%24%29%31%22%25%31%31%29%27%28%29%30%26%26%29%27%29%28%25%31%
No Opinion13%9%18%18%17%10%6%18%8%13%13%****11%8%15%10%11%15%8%12%11%7%11%57%15%9%8%9%20%11%8%15%12%9%10%14%15%10%10%13%11%9%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
6Is your opinion of Mike Beitler ...
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Favorable7%8%7%12%6%6%6%9%6%6%11%****7%8%7%8%8%10%6%5%9%8%4%3%8%7%8%7%6%7%6%8%7%7%5%9%9%7%5%8%12%6%3%
Unfavorable14%18%10%14%16%14%12%15%13%12%19%****11%14%13%13%15%13%15%16%11%17%15%13%20%11%12%14%15%14%16%13%15%14%15%13%18%12%13%12%12%19%12%
Neutral48%52%45%45%44%51%57%44%53%49%47%****50%50%45%52%52%46%53%50%50%49%57%7%47%52%49%52%41%50%48%51%49%52%54%44%49%52%48%49%48%46%52%
No Opinion30%23%38%29%35%30%26%32%28%32%23%****32%28%35%27%25%31%26%29%30%26%23%77%25%30%30%27%39%29%31%28%29%28%26%33%23%29%33%31%29%29%33%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
7Which one of the following issues is the most important one facing the United States? The economy? The environment? The war on terror? Health care? Immigration? Education? Or some other issue?
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Economy74%72%75%74%72%76%74%73%75%74%74%****78%73%78%73%69%78%72%65%75%71%72%82%73%75%71%77%75%69%75%72%72%74%72%73%70%73%76%77%73%69%77%
Environment3%3%3%4%3%2%2%3%2%3%0%****1%4%1%5%2%0%4%7%1%5%3%0%3%2%4%2%3%4%3%3%2%4%2%4%4%2%3%4%2%2%1%
War On Terror4%5%3%5%3%3%6%4%4%4%3%****2%4%6%2%4%5%4%4%4%4%5%0%4%3%5%4%4%4%3%5%5%3%5%3%3%6%3%3%2%6%4%
Health Care8%7%9%8%9%8%8%8%8%8%11%****8%7%8%9%9%8%9%9%9%10%7%6%11%7%8%8%7%11%7%10%9%9%8%9%11%8%6%6%9%10%9%
Immigration4%5%3%6%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%****5%4%4%3%6%5%4%4%6%2%5%2%4%5%4%3%5%5%4%5%6%3%6%3%7%4%2%3%6%6%3%
Education4%4%3%2%6%4%2%4%3%3%4%****3%4%2%4%4%1%4%8%1%6%4%2%3%4%4%2%2%6%5%2%3%5%4%4%1%4%7%3%4%4%3%
Other2%3%1%2%3%1%2%3%1%2%2%****1%3%1%1%5%3%1%4%3%1%2%4%2%2%4%3%2%2%2%2%3%1%2%3%3%2%3%4%2%1%1%
Not Sure1%1%2%0%0%2%3%0%2%1%2%****1%1%0%2%1%0%2%0%1%1%0%4%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%0%1%1%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
8In general, are things in the United States headed in the right direction? Or are they off on the wrong track?
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Right Direction26%24%29%24%24%32%26%24%29%18%58%****25%26%7%48%15%9%30%56%5%55%20%15%27%26%25%22%22%32%30%22%14%38%18%36%25%26%25%23%23%31%28%
Wrong Track67%70%63%68%71%62%65%70%63%76%31%****67%69%90%41%79%87%61%33%94%35%73%61%67%68%71%75%64%59%65%70%83%54%78%55%66%68%71%70%71%61%65%
Not Sure7%6%8%7%6%6%9%6%8%6%11%****8%5%4%11%6%4%8%11%1%10%7%23%7%6%4%2%14%9%5%8%3%8%5%9%9%6%4%7%6%7%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
9Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the United States Congress is doing?
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Approve15%12%18%16%16%14%15%16%14%9%38%****17%14%5%27%5%7%15%29%5%27%13%14%17%14%13%15%9%15%13%15%10%18%9%21%17%11%14%12%13%18%20%
Disapprove77%84%70%78%76%78%75%77%76%85%49%****76%79%90%60%90%89%74%59%95%63%72%69%77%76%82%82%84%71%78%79%85%72%85%70%75%81%82%81%82%69%73%
Not Sure8%5%12%7%9%8%11%8%9%7%13%****7%8%5%13%6%3%11%12%1%11%15%17%6%11%5%3%7%14%9%6%5%10%6%10%8%9%4%7%5%13%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
10One year from now, will North Carolina's economy be ... stronger than it is today? Weaker than it is today? Or about the same as it is today?
862 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyVote in Midterms2010 Enthusiasm Vs PriorCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniRarelyUsuallyAlwaysMoreLessSameYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KCharlottGreensboRaleigh Southern
Stronger26%27%25%26%22%30%29%23%29%22%41%****30%29%17%40%18%16%28%49%15%47%20%14%26%29%28%27%22%29%33%21%20%35%22%33%25%26%31%25%20%32%24%
Weaker30%30%30%33%34%27%24%33%26%30%24%****25%29%37%23%32%36%27%19%39%18%30%42%34%27%30%33%32%26%28%33%36%22%35%26%37%27%28%30%31%27%32%
Same38%38%38%39%37%39%38%38%38%41%31%****42%34%38%33%45%41%40%27%38%32%45%29%35%39%36%33%40%40%34%39%36%38%37%36%34%41%36%38%43%36%37%
Not Sure6%5%8%3%8%5%9%6%7%7%4%****3%7%8%5%5%7%5%5%8%3%5%15%5%6%6%7%5%5%6%6%7%4%6%5%5%6%5%7%6%5%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%30%26%18%56%44%74%18%4%3%18%82%35%41%23%41%37%15%38%33%23%6%30%40%26%49%15%34%48%52%48%46%54%43%37%35%28%35%19%29%17%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.