Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13312
 
CAUTION: this poll is by design not conducted to SurveyUSA election poll standards and does not attempt to forecast an outcome in the Washington state party caucuses.
 
1 Week To WA State Caucuses, 2 Weeks to Primaries, McCain, Obama Have Party Advantages: Washington state Democrats back Barack Obama by 13 points and Washington state Republicans back John McCain by 14 points, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted immediately prior to Super Tuesday voting in other states around the country. Among WA Democrats, Obama leads Hillary Clinton 53% to 40%. Among WA Republicans, McCain leads Mitt Romney 40% to 26%. Of registered voters, approximately 1/4th say they will caucus on 02/09/08. By comparison, about 7/8ths say they will vote in the state primaries on 02/19/08. Among Republicans who say they will caucus, Romney runs stronger than McCain. Among Democrats who say they will caucus, Obama has a 22-point lead over Clinton.
 
Filtering: 1,200 state of WA adults were interviewed 02/02/08 and 02/03/08. Interviews conducted before and after but not during Super Bowl on 02/03/08. Of the adults, 1,026 were registered to vote. Of them, 409 said they considered themselves Republicans. 575 said they considered themselves Democrats. Republicans were asked which Republican they support. Democrats were asked which Democrat they support. Voters who said they were neither Democrats nor Republicans, and who therefore would not be eligible to caucus, were not asked a candidate preference.
 
Which of the remaining Republican candidates for President do you most support? (names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Or, Ron Paul?
409 Registered Voters Identifying As RepublicansAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradCaucus?Vote in Primary?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoYesNoYesNoWestern Eastern Metro Se
Huckabee17%14%20%16%17%19%14%17%17%17%****12%17%****21%12%**18%16%9%19%17%11%14%19%17%
McCain40%38%42%34%36%43%51%35%47%42%****26%40%****30%53%**38%41%30%44%40%49%44%36%40%
Romney26%31%20%30%24%24%26%26%25%24%****34%26%****36%14%**28%24%37%23%27%14%24%26%26%
Paul9%11%5%8%11%6%8%10%7%9%****12%9%****8%11%**7%10%20%5%9%7%7%12%8%
Undecided9%5%14%12%12%7%2%12%4%8%****16%9%****5%10%**9%10%4%9%7%20%11%7%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters Identifying As Republicans100%54%46%23%35%23%19%58%42%87%1%4%7%100%0%0%57%31%3%49%51%22%74%91%8%27%25%48%
 
 
Which of the remaining Democratic candidates for President do you most support? (names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Or, Barack Obama?
575 Registered Voters Identifying As DemocratsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradCaucus?Vote in Primary?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoYesNoYesNoWestern Eastern Metro Se
Clinton40%34%45%27%34%47%57%31%51%42%**37%24%**40%**35%35%40%38%41%37%42%39%44%43%39%38%
Obama53%60%47%64%61%48%33%62%42%51%**61%58%**53%**52%60%55%59%48%59%50%54%47%51%47%56%
Undecided7%6%8%9%5%5%10%7%7%6%**2%18%**7%**13%5%5%3%10%5%8%6%9%6%13%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters Identifying As Democrats100%47%53%25%31%26%18%55%45%84%3%5%8%0%100%0%6%42%35%48%52%28%67%86%12%25%17%58%
 
 
Washington's Democratic and Republican parties will hold precinct CAUCUSES on Saturday, February 9. Will you attend your precinct caucus?
984 Registered Voters With a Party PreferenceAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradCaucus?Vote in Primary?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoYesNoYesNoWestern Eastern Metro Se
Yes26%28%23%28%26%30%17%27%24%26%****19%22%28%**30%23%31%32%20%100%0%28%12%21%20%30%
No70%67%73%68%66%67%81%67%73%70%****80%74%67%**66%71%64%62%76%0%100%68%85%75%76%65%
Not Sure5%6%4%4%8%3%2%6%3%5%****2%4%5%**4%6%4%6%4%0%0%4%3%3%4%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters With a Party Preference100%50%50%24%32%25%18%56%44%85%2%5%8%42%58%0%27%37%22%49%51%26%70%88%10%26%20%54%
 
 
Separately, Washington's Democratic and Republican parties will hold PRIMARIES on Tuesday, February 19. Will you vote in the primary?
984 Registered Voters With a Party PreferenceAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradCaucus?Vote in Primary?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoYesNoYesNoWestern Eastern Metro Se
Yes88%90%86%88%85%91%90%86%90%89%****78%91%86%**94%88%89%89%87%95%86%100%0%88%91%87%
No10%9%11%10%13%8%9%12%8%9%****21%8%12%**5%11%9%10%11%5%13%0%100%10%8%12%
Not Sure2%1%3%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%****1%2%2%**1%1%2%1%2%0%1%0%0%2%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters With a Party Preference100%50%50%24%32%25%18%56%44%85%2%5%8%42%58%0%27%37%22%49%51%26%70%88%10%26%20%54%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.