Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23134
 
8 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted, Trump Now Well Positioned to Carry Kansas; GOP Incumbent Moran Sailing to 2nd Term in U.S. Senate:

A month ago, SurveyUSA polling for KSN News found Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton in Kansas, but 60% of those supporting Trump said they were voting "against Clinton," compared to just 39% who were voting "for Trump." Today, the tide has turned, new KSN polling shows. Trump now leads Clinton in Kansas by 12 points, 48% to 36%, up from a 5-point lead a month ago, and 57% today who support Trump are voting "for" him, compared to now 38% of Trump backers who are "against" Clinton --- a complete transformation.

* A month ago, 50% of Trump voters backed him enthusiastically, now 55%, an increase of 5 points.
* A month ago, 46% of Trump voters supported him with reservations, now 43%, a drop of 3 points.

The news for Clinton is bad:

* A month ago, 66% of Clinton backers were "for" her, compared to 55% today, a drop of 11 points.
* A month ago, 31% of Clinton backers were "against" Trump, now 43%, an increase of 12 points.
* A month ago, 63% of Clinton backers were enthusiastic, today 51%, a drop of 12 points.
* A month ago, 35% of Clinton backers supported her with reservations, today 46%, an increase of 11 points.
* A month ago, 44% of all voters viewed Clinton "extremely unfavorably," today 49%, an increase of 5 points.

Trump leads by 23 points in rural Kansas and by 7 points in suburban Kansas. Trump leads by 21 points in the Greater Wichita area, which includes Sedgwick and 63 surrounding counties. Trump and Clinton run even in Greater Topeka, which includes Shawnee and 30 surrounding counties. Trump leads by 7 points among suburban men and by 6 points among suburban women. There is no Gender Gap in Kansas.

Clinton leads by 23 points among Independent men and by 9 points among Independent women. Voters focused on immigration and terrorism vote overwhelmingly for Trump. Voters focused on education vote overwhelmingly for Clinton. Voters focused on the economy split. Trump leads by 23 points in military households.

In the election for United States Senator from Kansas, incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is well positioned at this hour for a second term, 16 points ahead of Democratic challenger Patrick Wiesner, 50% to 34%. Compared to a SurveyUSA KSN News poll a month ago, Moran is down 2 points, Wiesner is up 2 points. Libertarian Robert Garrard is flat, 6% a month ago, 6% today.

Statewide Favorability Ratings:

* Democratic President Barack Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 20% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 40%.
* Republican Governor Sam Brownback is viewed extremely favorably by 4% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 49%.
* Republican Senator Pat Roberts is viewed extremely favorably by 8% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 19%.
* Moran is viewed extremely favorably by 13% of KS voters, extremely unfavorably by 12%.

Context and Methodology:

SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of Kansas adults 09/06/16 through 09/11/16. Of the adults, 703 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 595 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. 4% of voters interviewed for this survey said they almost always vote in Presidential elections, but would not vote in 2016 because they did not like any of the candidates on the ballot. An offsetting 5% of voters said they almost never vote in Presidential elections but would vote in 2016 because they were drawn to one of this year's candidates.

84% of the interviews for this survey were completed before Clinton buckled at Ground Zero the morning of 09/11/16 and doctors offered pneumonia as an explanation. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (57% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (43% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the screen of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Kansas has 6 electoral votes in 2016. In 2012, Mitt Romney carried the state by 22 points as Obama won a 2nd term. In 2008, John McCain carried the state by 15 points as Obama won his 1st term. In 2004, George W Bush carried KS by 25 points over John Kerry on Bush's way to a 2nd term. In 2000, Bush carried KS by 21 points. Early voting begins in 5 weeks, on 10/19/16.
 
Kansas will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
703 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Always Do / Will This Year55828127712917013912129926010414947556094372531621301371261617143559919582552282891683837018030414119820815022915721534424419212311611271865887757936272
Always Do / Not This Year2618914705215081475091258851037725101210138791471885111581176232084444
Not Sure Yet 73294434295662112151091162173094162486-----23341057153518283091630175221303112111989011192517
Rarely Do / Will This Year371918171262298512822201712251313233614691319102510111614149611202017131113561010375475
Don't / Won't This Year844521161010100011000301-----1315421402211434220101001021
Total70335135219921915013541828511218566718010739296217147154164207835361112216906927635719948310723534620224822918127820030240029824715713714092108611131048954300
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%28%31%21%19%59%41%16%27%9%10%12%15%6%43%31%21%22%24%30%12%8%10%18%35%14%11%40%52%29%70%16%34%50%30%36%34%27%41%30%43%57%42%35%22%20%20%13%15%9%16%15%13%8%43%
 
If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
595 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Donald Trump (R)28314314057827965139144941212718110021546101169554424564924811146116100180419514377811166611092901931349355555547445321266625129
Hillary Clinton (D)2151061095567514312194101462049773725751141521775937928812737571465815427581294593766794518812781805446481931543331214108
Gary Johnson (L)45252015129828172131166301523361220421817862123835517221423810191422232113111276921494117
Jill Stein1174711283011621019100433001121828262632352745425002054002
Undecided4220221320453293119744014214511182134173917159324152113121610111928141513144891011291321
Total595301295146181145123328268109161555762953727017413214213917473465810520987642423081774088019231915521121715523917823536125720213612111881966194808343278
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%25%30%24%21%55%45%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%29%22%24%24%29%12%8%10%18%35%15%11%41%52%30%69%13%32%54%27%36%37%27%41%31%39%61%43%34%23%20%20%14%16%10%16%13%14%7%47%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
283 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
For Trump16091693243493675855569121008012423868572822323752265757258992652804738703366554611475533236303025351013431874
Against Clinton1074958153827275353344813812081222443624101123372166535337312375721404227393234734940181821151715101221452
Not Sure164129133106551000010104221034320598846693454510610150432311234
Total28314314057827965139144941212718110021546101169554424564924811146116100180419514377811166611092901931349355555547445321266625129
Composition of Trump Voters100%51%49%20%29%28%23%49%51%33%43%10%6%0%4%0%76%16%4%41%34%19%2%1%16%23%33%17%4%52%41%36%64%15%34%51%28%29%42%24%40%34%32%68%48%33%19%19%20%17%16%19%7%9%23%9%46%
 
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
283 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Enthusiastically15687693533494067895759111108011622872472702353644245766966882553775143573858514411269523533252922371111481770
With Reservations122536920473025675533621671309524341482740102847216664733871441662337582752384280643920223017211391417559
Not Sure432220141400000041030000001303004320301003412300021301230
Total28314314057827965139144941212718110021546101169554424564924811146116100180419514377811166611092901931349355555547445321266625129
Composition of Trump Voters100%51%49%20%29%28%23%49%51%33%43%10%6%0%4%0%76%16%4%41%34%19%2%1%16%23%33%17%4%52%41%36%64%15%34%51%28%29%42%24%40%34%32%68%48%33%19%19%20%17%16%19%7%9%23%9%46%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
215 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 6.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
For Clinton11859602135323156636531121432911347211944292261445182031813680162873204552425023378145413220301013320149764
Against Trump924646332919116230494928308134038313332615315348172661227010305225442323432548443536212518916122183739
Not Sure514040141000014001400140002000414004040103321220002001004
Total2151061095567514312194101462049773725751141521775937928812737571465815427581294593766794518812781805446481931543331214108
Composition of Clinton Voters100%49%51%25%31%24%20%56%44%5%7%3%9%23%36%17%11%35%53%7%10%36%28%17%4%13%38%13%17%27%68%27%72%12%27%60%21%44%35%31%44%24%41%59%38%37%25%21%22%9%15%2%20%15%5%6%50%
 
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
215 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 6.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Enthusiastically110515924273326515963282139309326911939311981441131934733277192170184348354923347640432719308153201281060
With Reservations995247293718166534211511263571442423123629171143912162271277383655264825294227505040352527151116122202444
Not Sure633130151100012022210301001211204024123321411130210011104
Total2151061095567514312194101462049773725751141521775937928812737571465815427581294593766794518812781805446481931543331214108
Composition of Clinton Voters100%49%51%25%31%24%20%56%44%5%7%3%9%23%36%17%11%35%53%7%10%36%28%17%4%13%38%13%17%27%68%27%72%12%27%60%21%44%35%31%44%24%41%59%38%37%25%21%22%9%15%2%20%15%5%6%50%
 
How would you describe your vote: A vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
45 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 14.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
For Johnson28181013952216188452091622912301511541216523212137173711915131387102351115208
Against Trump936323245012210015020412012223515324521161453502401023104
Against Clinton642012315141000051021300022105115033123213244020121111103
Not Sure211010111000001000101100001001111102010011111010001000002
Total45252015129828172131166301523361220421817862123835517221423810191422232113111276921494117
Composition of Johnson Voters100%56%44%34%27%21%18%61%39%5%29%25%14%12%6%0%34%51%6%12%27%44%9%4%1%18%37%18%13%46%52%18%77%12%38%50%32%50%17%22%43%32%49%51%47%29%24%26%16%12%19%4%31%20%10%1%38%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
11 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 28.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
For Stein762511162001501006100313001111415051421241525114001042001
Against Clinton000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Against Trump312200121010120013000120000010312211111211210211001002001
Not Sure000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Total1174711283011621019100433001121828262632352745425002054002
Composition of Stein Voters100%61%39%64%5%12%19%69%31%0%6%7%55%19%13%0%6%81%13%2%2%36%29%31%0%2%12%5%15%12%76%23%77%20%58%22%53%32%15%33%51%16%64%36%49%34%18%49%0%0%15%0%42%39%0%4%21%
 
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
26 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 19.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Republican422020323030100031021200012004023212210212042111010001102
Democrat642330161000214002430200022205206222420600431320000002222
Split1411310302132041261048127110332052993345821153774745011071111
Not Sure101100010010000010010000001000101100010010011000100000000
Total2618914705215081475091258851037725101210138791471885111581176232084444
Composition of Protest Voters100%67%33%55%27%0%18%82%18%2%31%3%16%25%21%0%33%45%21%33%35%22%6%0%11%27%26%9%21%44%51%44%56%35%29%37%64%30%6%36%35%21%41%59%31%42%26%22%9%10%8%0%31%14%17%15%17%
 
Which ONE of these 6 issues is the single most important issue facing the country today? Immigration? Terrorism? The Economy? National Security? Education? The environment? Or is some other issue most important?
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Immigration61402111121918243724164633240146321512026100003027263516143017172518241319422721131213841685211225
Terrorism112436826351833615126378911163632819293335730112000584529791634583041353728393577552828820132613121714246
Economy216115101506956411199733642418223516966551456561241400216008311871142267511255738458737777139966159373642351939262714101
National Security904941212926135039122511131251372526181838104000900364721661625482034331654173554304811322141351312101245
Education69333728201374920106471912916302088181713000069243819474234121262114381643262433121919610519124231
Environment28171112574171104059434148406710000004201019510131114481081315136982440954411
Other3518171216342883143134117751057800000010228262122110111410169221313148106543347018
Not Sure11470227292410121623333100000083471556332441106330413002105
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
If the election for United States Senator from Kansas were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Jerry Moran? Democrat Patrick Wiesner? Or Libertarian Robert Garrard?
565 Senate VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Moran281142139488177741301519312329205802155491179551103386398421416010295183378815468931136111293802011418456496349444924316417142
Wiesner190102885755443511179695114876331564109111973473582465263846132601282554112477269628343841067275445032152863726111586
Garrard34231111116522122891022092233913433413358264293161512147717101518131291525411573210
Undecided6124371831944813316710118019289517307031220109173413455223114232114232240211629161013616115122227
Total565291275134177136118311254103156505166953425916812913514016869415110219782662312931723857017931014120221014423516722034524220012412411075925791767937265
Composition of Senate Voters100%51%49%24%31%24%21%55%45%18%28%9%9%12%17%6%46%30%23%24%25%30%12%7%9%18%35%14%12%41%52%31%69%13%32%55%25%37%38%26%42%30%39%61%43%35%22%22%20%13%16%10%16%14%14%7%47%
 
12Five State Supreme Court Justices are running for retention this year. There is a campaign to remove four of the five Justices from office, by asking voters to vote against their retention. How familiar are you with this campaign to not retain four of five Justices? Very familiar? Somewhat familiar? Not very familiar? Or not at all familiar?
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Very141934830374529667536288161423146438375018451710221455189597444942034852537764558313710565453136221812252414391681
Somewhat17282905045374095772545162124308696138295049241619475220166098581111753100477447536250711017456422735232716342815684
Not Very1748589565532311116330531511183368344394039521911932632924738949124306379565756416857898579583738302235152915231962
Not At All128567325502925755318421611131496040233040331491016452320575735901946623946402458434979465428253320235152510654
Not Sure624021324010111022111101021012114211230112061141002002101
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
13How much impact will this campaign have on how you vote on retaining the judges? A lot of influence? Some influence? A little influence? Or no influence at all?
313 Familiar With CampaignAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
A Lot Of Influence1006140203029224951362556414561161941221997201629137504137591621612328463236253566493022201512142510526958
Some1116248432723187041163112101522547372725343114413264113114161426613375720572935432843685034272518121611181918950
A Little311516977816157546541111558494659612111842758171210910128151614611486231144215
No Influence At All6936337182419264421041513131113322467331593930105145218512204716143821301715542531131516116218145139
Not Sure211010111020000020001100010001102012110002021100011000002
Total31317513879828369161152617224373853221349975796894412641611073825119173102204378818572111123981218110820613910173645742394157425421164
Composition of Familiar With Campaign100%56%44%25%26%26%22%52%48%20%23%8%12%12%17%7%43%32%24%25%22%30%13%8%13%19%34%12%8%39%56%33%66%12%28%60%24%36%40%32%39%26%34%66%44%32%23%20%18%13%13%13%18%13%17%7%52%
 
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable1256164453231187649981928353017396619113929251015321333358331911727802750484158265867515322283110165221614861
Favorable1609268504927349961325112937466287752101961421963160241744103421132350845064424865387387545749412415232463191273
Unfavorable764036222417134630113512636046216132827226133589363020537293815263123192934424315189101514710118434
Extremely Unfavorable2501181324278696112013086973015112018446121038749103652854691311009115739911187575934710487761741128652485643434522255122105
Not Sure1174261283141101053153400314015438218234424565422013121418
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable98623630203018504836354401007281044281702222627121464442551631492925422732333266472526231020142435271445
Favorable1839192345846459291538422142601383866964405025386533131006752128206297455773387659641198563353343302927211738987
Unfavorable703931162611164327916169512125301314202552411261353130194610174014302415331733372824171913886171310637
Extremely Unfavorable24611513275725544147998281029576936379610517338562428319128496117269175367713373997374101671061409691595151234335442913108
Not Sure25111361225177354554081347413102674213861761089771156111391062424176445
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable66392818201414382892149181912143819321129810229824371747141240122132332392541282217101354695141037
Favorable14373703942323081612124123462121451749155541195175425273010539101243087425247357034608355573139329251282291269
Unfavorable96494735301814643282991814105374115121835121552225111337512369104043304120233925474938372023171411423188536
Extremely Unfavorable306152154659679671601459012340259802137381071116382426210945201571221061963711115579101117671141111081981399572555955564936375517137
Not Sure1165412456032232037231600216013538353623514565331112052123
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
Is your opinion of Sam Brownback...
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable281810877615131090302220441765006764021672016215101391089191485725362210020
Favorable13067633637302773575049111118099238684417102534401277943458418407135415031533951806043272627172227111240864
Unfavorable12566592539313064612648211141327436153148335411226021553623785174363284350254944458064372421282519132313161054
Extremely Unfavorable3041501538192715917313122461934617531681131062542114654015439746548619692206441021549411291891267912517811311279705628511462511625129
Not Sure3517181114652511216523321810597104146126413137278818711141091216191413827840456415
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
Is your opinion of Jerry Moran...
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable805425172020233742353033162656836271313152328735324245411175015233919292621593922191910189253324550
Favorable24311113259705956129115549230231818614670247677602152746923316118106851573182130579191589976951481257346475333432431393713113
Unfavorable127685936382824755291511202142824525013215819149214025183388319321396836434741483454734951262622151953418101557
Extremely Unfavorable72442916242210403278341517171422341310171714692651618482745921422422261536182350212823211599717412732
Not Sure9941593336161569315259131318429352213133115104143019173153197316403837391630342854463139291519919016195730
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%
 
Is your opinion of Pat Roberts,,,
622 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentVery ConHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineWichita KC KS ReTopeka RMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable493316912121621281719531223694241870081612514081534613301018191320141039271012128113125416328
Favorable21110510653675239120915578271411213133522472715011621468330161039161148247211249698949896687124957343474230363127243910102
Unfavorable1497178424132358367213182321331151514420315521161425472721509345102254578505244405941628766582526331427103022111764
Extremely Unfavorable1166650153836275363913611213120213852161039291913124112172783417516336628424633483129873942352820171472315141058
Not Sure96435342301211722482910101613136361418172914541432161532462663163541333720283230573938302815171218017197731
Total62231830316118914512834927311016956616910137278186138150148179744661112216906925232018842188198328169218218163247182246376265214143127120849861102848747282
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%51%49%26%30%23%21%56%44%18%27%9%10%11%16%6%45%30%22%24%24%29%12%7%10%18%35%14%11%41%52%31%69%14%32%53%28%36%36%27%41%30%40%60%43%34%23%20%19%14%16%10%16%14%14%7%45%