Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23031
 
As Republicans Gather in Cleveland for RNC Convention, Majority in Kansas Say Delegates Should Be Bound To Candidate Who Won Primary;
Trump Leads Clinton by 11 Points, Though Most of His Backers Have Reservations; GOP's Moran Well Positioned For Re-Election to U.S. Senate:


As Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Paul Ryan prepares to gavel the 2016 Republican National Convention to order, Republican Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton 47% to 36% in the red state of Kansas, with Libertarian Gary Johnson siphoning votes from Trump, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSN News in Wichita.

But will Trump be the Republican nominee? Yes, if Kansas voters have a say: 52% say delegates to the convention should be bound to the candidate their state obligates them to support, compared to 39% who say delegates should be free to vote their conscience. Within 7 days, Kansans will learn whether an attempt to deny Trump the nomination and replace him with an as yet unnamed alternative will succeed.

There is good reason for concern. Of those Kansans who vote for Trump in an election "today," a majority, 54%, do so with reservations. 42% say they support Trump enthusiastically. Worse, 55% of Trump voters say they are not voting "for" Trump, but rather are voting "against" Clinton.

The news is not as bad for Clinton: 55% of those who vote for Clinton in an election "today" do so enthusiastically, compared to 41% who vote for Clinton with reservations. 60% of Clinton voters say they are voting "for" Clinton, compared to 39% who say they are voting "against" Trump.

The polarization of the Kansas electorate is striking:

* 77% of Democrats have an "extremely unfavorable" view of Trump.
* 77% of Republicans have an "extremely unfavorable" view of Clinton.

Trump leads narrowly among Kansas unaffiliated voters; Clinton leads materially among self-identified moderates. Libertarian Johnson, polling at 8%, has 3 times as much Republican support as Democratic support.

* Trump wins evangelical voters by 37 points.
* Trump wins military households by 29 points.
* Trump wins rural voters by 22 points.
* Trump wins suburban voters by 8 points.
* Clinton wins urban voters by 7 points.
* Greater Wichita, which includes Sedgwick and 64 surrounding counties, backs Trump by 14 points.
* Greater Topeka, which includes Shawnee and 30 surrounding counties, backs Trump by 28 points.
* Greater Kansas City KS backs Clinton by 5 points.

* Trump leads by 40 points among those with a high-school education.
* Trump leads by 8 points among Kansans earning less than $40,000 a year.
* Trump leads by 21 points among Kansans earning $40,000 to $80,000 a year.
* The wealthiest and most educated Kansans split.

* Voters who say the economy is the most important issue facing the country narrowly back Clinton.
* Voters who say terrorism is the most important issue overwhelmingly back Trump.
* Voters who say national security is the most important issue split.

In the contest for United States Senator from Kansas, incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is well positioned at this hour to defeat either of the 2 Democratic challengers he may face in November. Moran leads Patrick Wiesner today 52% to 33%. Moran leads Monique Singh today 54% to 30%. 51% of Kansas voters have a favorable view of Moran, 32% have an unfavorable view.

By contrast:

40% have a favorable view of U.S. Senator Pat Roberts, 49% have an unfavorable view.
22% have a favorable view of Governor Sam Brownback, 72% have an unfavorable view (including 50% with an "extremely unfavorable" view).
47% have a favorable view of President Barack Obama, 52% have an unfavorable view.
41% (among all voters) have a favorable view of Donald Trump, 55% have an unfavorable view.
32% (among all voters) have a favorable view of Hillary Clinton, 66% have an unfavorable view (including 50% with an "extremely unfavorable" view).

About / Filtering / Context: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of Kansas adults 07/08/16 through 07/11/16. Of the adults, 675 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 559 were likely to vote in the 11/08/16 Presidential election and 537 were likely to vote in the contest for U.S. Senator. Of the registered voters, 4% tell SurveyUSA that they always vote in Presidential elections but will not vote in this year's Presidential election, because they do not like any of the candidates. Another 4% tell SurveyUSA that they almost never vote in Presidential elections, but in 2016 they will go out of their way to vote because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. Although there are just a handful of these "new" voters, and caution should be used when extrapolating, new voters back Trump 4:1. "Protest" voters --- those who say they will not vote for any Presidential candidate --- offset; there are as many Democrats who will sit out 2016 as Republicans. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (60% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (aka: the cell-phone respondents, 40% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Kansas has 6 electoral votes. In 2012, Republican Mitt Romney carried Kansas by 22 points. In 2008, Republican John McCain carried Kansas by 15 points. In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Kansas by 25 points. In 2000, Bush carried Kansas by 21 points. Trump today leads by 11 points. Votes in the 2016 general election will be counted in 116 days.
 
Kansas will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
675 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Always Do / Will This Year5332812521251391571112642694573328951426041388662236139148110143163644455113190576121028114737668183272143188187125216171219182133213320
Always Do / Not This Year271981057615122020256536071460612721392910168196111091081212312871413
Not Sure Yet 802554173714115426572166271010215133221612233160-----333813671835241835232037162840114238
Rarely Do / Will This Year26161011952197184008474128153431031111421916111541661358115614931016
Don't / Won't This Year927341172900020200022022100-----152761272012343372
Total6753433321661931841313593155614045102183796547108662851921741281782167947571272036171263356181484102247314189239225159280199277241157285390
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%25%29%27%19%53%47%83%6%7%15%27%12%10%7%16%10%42%28%26%19%27%32%12%7%10%22%35%10%12%39%53%27%73%15%37%47%29%37%34%24%43%31%41%36%23%42%58%
 
2If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?
559 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Donald Trump (R)261147115536083651131482457589112381515020154595965064428477261114096911614791114709881489898118667772189
Hillary Clinton (D)20310110151585539109941522812215614287262174813511278348309278325385913646156197311057598458785887763989113
Gary Johnson (L)45281782010728173708115147530152633191282110144493512333182510161982710132491926
Undecided5021292491333416423438613762112584427593421491130104031829192011112710152411428
Total5592972621361471621132842754753729951506448418864244153152114146172674555124194596221929715839171200278156193195126230176233191135223337
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%24%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%17%27%11%9%7%16%12%44%27%27%21%26%31%12%8%10%22%35%11%11%40%54%29%71%13%36%51%29%36%36%23%42%33%42%34%24%40%60%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
261 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 6.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
For Trump110654526153434426899644340148130832233843162423393184623741642538433434362245345028323080
Against Clinton1437964273848306578136114367237020109312564733302041421777457508821506733604423516164374136106
Not Sure93607217390036100008102701004410410923435142351364
Total261147115536083651131482457589112381515020154595965064428477261114096911614791114709881489898118667772189
Composition of Trump Voters100%56%44%20%23%32%25%43%57%94%3%2%34%43%14%6%0%2%0%77%21%2%37%37%19%2%2%16%32%29%10%4%55%37%36%64%19%36%45%28%39%33%19%39%39%45%25%29%28%72%
 
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
261 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 6.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Enthusiastically110674319243532436798434733159130812534038172426343483643543612140443137352633395329282783
With Reservations1407566263646326278135224071226010111281485732301645381687253459122466831604522565662364236104
Not Sure1156712183110028100109118111015410483955282209332693
Total261147115536083651131482457589112381515020154595965064428477261114096911614791114709881489898118667772189
Composition of Trump Voters100%56%44%20%23%32%25%43%57%94%3%2%34%43%14%6%0%2%0%77%21%2%37%37%19%2%2%16%32%29%10%4%55%37%36%64%19%36%45%28%39%33%19%39%39%45%25%29%28%72%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
203 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 6.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
For Clinton121596227393125665585248221512485141799919452323417491820397725961244653636484342335643225170
Against Trump79413823192413423764440124916241112303528362485103371719582058727442021361535253031173742
Not Sure32110111230001100001100020000101121201111002112012
Total20310110151585539109941522812215614287262174813511278348309278325385913646156197311057598458785887763989113
Composition of Clinton Voters100%50%50%25%29%27%19%54%46%75%14%6%1%7%3%7%14%36%31%8%24%67%5%13%41%24%15%4%13%41%13%19%29%67%23%77%9%36%55%29%29%42%29%40%29%43%38%19%44%56%
 
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
203 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Enthusiastically112565625362924605274239241511395051789820421822216441821357124881241594129394233315834214568
With Reservations84424225192515444073330115716291212294227402697113381721611866630471528391541252939164341
Not Sure73313114251000011400241013000501334301511504204325
Total20310110151585539109941522812215614287262174813511278348309278325385913646156197311057598458785887763989113
Composition of Clinton Voters100%50%50%25%29%27%19%54%46%75%14%6%1%7%3%7%14%36%31%8%24%67%5%13%41%24%15%4%13%41%13%19%29%67%23%77%9%36%55%29%29%42%29%40%29%43%38%19%44%56%
 
How would you describe your vote: A vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
45 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 14.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
For Johnson1065243164901012323016302432131321104606436246033455
Against Trump147744428614001102110011403633002811311510111264519446459
Against Clinton151321932105907049110041200113100520051121428624102104311197
Not Sure53213013150000121000401031000211131403203212213005
Total45281782010728173708115147530152633191282110144493512333182510161982710132491926
Composition of Johnson Voters100%63%37%18%44%23%15%62%38%82%0%18%1%33%32%15%12%7%0%34%58%7%8%43%27%17%4%2%22%31%9%8%20%78%26%74%6%39%54%22%36%42%18%60%23%28%52%20%43%57%
 
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
27 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 19.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Republican108214136480025400006400531001512363706423607245146
Democrat117460416582000203600560063201107373734445273042473
Split64321213350000050000600122011310331522232041040234
Not Sure00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Total271981057615122020256536071460612721392910168196111091081212312871413
Composition of Protest Voters100%69%31%36%18%25%21%54%46%74%6%0%6%18%21%20%11%21%1%24%52%22%2%24%43%25%6%4%11%32%8%33%37%61%28%72%21%42%36%35%36%29%44%44%11%46%28%26%51%49%
 
Which ONE of these 6 issues is the single most important issue facing the country today? Immigration? Terrorism? The Economy? National Security? Education? The environment? Or is some other issue most important?
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Immigration5733231082315193847252114730553510102016143357000029242035726231722161519202420122036
Terrorism127646443213132646311771244616136128703520254343610127000595839863440513844412448466224413889
Economy203118845055653310598168176335222181926318559573458622419002030074115501492074105576873481004874854483120
National Security613527620201526355227121454417425132118101810400061027321843816361019321621233318112834
Education7128432922119512057101010710825111025362729221100007117451952430372625202224222626194328
Environment1257252375120003004233552042400000395803964335435539
Other4126154171362219301761011614216186111584300000182111273162091713716141714102021
Not Sure147714465914001610222833146210000049410167346292661212
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
10Do you think delegates to the Republican National Convention should be required to vote to nominate the Republican their state obligates them to support? Or should Republican delegates be free to nominate the Republican they personally prefer?
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
For State Obligated3031861187084896015414926813147188432019273415982627890803122347310229241281568521140951616511111763132951171077999204
Candidate They Prefer229991316161614612310718519142147182622612669668726528539222039862941781316216627931087676746690661067549119110
Not Sure53322214719142132427042088354231991111184321515352426193492319241611919182216151836
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
11Do you think delegates to the Democratic National Convention should be required to vote to nominate the Democrat their state obligates them to support? Or should Democratic delegates be free to nominate the Democrat they personally prefer?
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
For State Obligated29317811574868152160133261131464834222192834148836169847935233364101272812115373213368716359112112581309311110577103190
Candidate They Prefer2351041315758675311512018719142450192422622674648934558734212044853138821347216233951068373776892681087849115121
Not Sure583424158211423354760821984342920712131853319164427272135829192318131220192616161939
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
12If the election for U.S. Senator from Kansas were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, and these were the only 2 names on the ballot, who would you vote for?
537 Likely Senate VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Jerry Moran (R)2811621194366100711101712634589117461549120664109397721053970963119139120901834488142631119754107107116818472209
Patrick Wiesner (D)1789880564546311017714617103115133765431355109718675132826642334491254413317561054954725180417365408295
Undecided7930482532148572251121311713164121318322472731667103051225411861646263223232135212837135919
Total5372902471241431601102672704613327921456344448557237151143108143170664254106190596521328615237868189272144187192125222169217184137214323
Composition of Likely Senate Voters100%54%46%23%27%30%20%50%50%86%6%5%17%27%12%8%8%16%11%44%28%27%20%27%32%12%8%10%20%35%11%12%40%54%29%71%13%36%51%27%36%37%24%43%32%40%34%26%40%60%
 
13OK, what if instead, these were the only 2 names on the ballot for U.S. Senator?
537 Likely Senate VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Jerry Moran (R)29317112252681037012017327735901184617414220868179510072139427010332211451269718847921466311710154117108123848682211
Monique Singh (D)1638775474344298973127181221139346042134710261765452772459222944115371251553945243654868416760367192
Undecided82325026331311582457121111613176111317362472633864132851524461765544322927262338202739166220
Total5372902471241431601102672704613327921456344448557237151143108143170664254106190596521328615237868189272144187192125222169217184137214323
Composition of Likely Senate Voters100%54%46%23%27%30%20%50%50%86%6%5%17%27%12%8%8%16%11%44%28%27%20%27%32%12%8%10%20%35%11%12%40%54%29%71%13%36%51%27%36%37%24%43%32%40%34%26%40%60%
 
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Extremely Favorable116576038352519734379239273610473992085911462325318401726298022941146594330424242285036306848
Favorable1579067533839279166129912425151930342628646093454411762168132841107431131753874257563781355972277582
Unfavorable1025547352329165745931315431812390583391131459412263399355425741629542334421652293733324458
Extremely Unfavorable204110942054735774130190647577331413015248384733610356162226119737612233828356796039648797535345159
Not Sure64203403450113120004301330010102401601513333124043
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Extremely Favorable73492425111819363767413221106030531733018141417311572412626451626282622221829193213282350
Favorable167877927465538749315723507627813012537454683740214456171090585310630607041704728586978444542125
Unfavorable9555402329251752438084112710136131238292510373880621497840472471533562427433144194337154747
Extremely Unfavorable23011511569615940131991722420222202437734924811211228905740727802650471755217824831226974855210962859749116114
Not Sure2110111511561520002832014105592523653401181110191151068210876813
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Extremely Favorable6536291026141536284013932132213265539112581021025166243613521018362312283415143618102936
Favorable123547042283123705410013306582647276397441253371692046829278930931051613643422355394947275766
Unfavorable945539272329155044842510358121012644301742832151531044121636491777825602335362650163438235144
Extremely Unfavorable29416612866749163139155265812821115430510019389109610171125418785251713813510418247114125801089551118108122928196198
Not Sure106412423763011102302432122210313453723435143244146
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
Is your opinion of Sam Brownback...
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Extremely Favorable292085154420827011410211002440204310571110111552312881287413105915623
Favorable9972272220322542578662343313416767181336401730172629155663137581232522241312335365224222771
Unfavorable1296366463133197752103147273518851911633130204949461327551116526136901758514336483655355744286861
Extremely Unfavorable29314714658819263138155251121812703335376444811051072455112603917589430488119474217329716172106110681278711810571119174
Not Sure3714221567921162860107450431797154452410144220131422416161712771212131671620
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
Is your opinion of Jerry Moran...
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Extremely Favorable7450241521211637377100272591154521293119172312231795403022501620361726281929233812242252
Favorable22112497485169549812219512654823515419111365431538462138314680221910797711443479103578867547679100665675146
Unfavorable11753633023422252651018442761520311231414313214727741550132134713878941652743452756313548335364
Extremely Unfavorable71452611272212373450593726819241017434726141921421111218521358818452414321626263619173140
Not Sure1044460433114167430781399141716101813234431142233171062935614306522811053394031312155193853135648
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%
 
Is your opinion of Pat Roberts,,,
586 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityRegionCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralWichita KC KS ReTopeka RCell PhoLandline
Extremely Favorable52371591914112725457119175603236115231252352015823613133813152322111792018201320943
Favorable18099814531653976105164244874211261541223819436451148273759162280886111733568850774853655381554470110
Unfavorable16093664638453184751301213163426141537164955542047651981330631519549252106966832957702873556662326595
Extremely Unfavorable12366571942372661639315941391219303716406711203830225204418193683231001543644139423649336134285173
Not Sure7020502723812502064311018994862822131892595720225922381750830292419251135211834194228
Total5863162701461521691192982884953929961557053449365251167158114153184744757127203617122931416641077211288165203203137242179245198142236350
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%54%46%25%26%29%20%51%49%85%7%5%16%26%12%9%8%16%11%43%29%27%20%26%32%13%8%10%22%35%10%12%40%54%29%71%13%37%50%29%36%36%24%43%32%42%34%24%40%60%