Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #6761
 
Analysis: In a Democratic Primary in King County today, 18 days before the 9/20/05 vote, incumbent County Executive Ron Sims easily beats challengers Karen Rispoli and Michael Nelson, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 351 likely Democratic Primary voters, conducted exclusively for KING-TV. Sims gets 62% of the vote, to 17% for Rispoli and 8% for Nelson. Among a larger group of 1,642 registered voters (which includes Republicans and Independents, and those Democrats who are not likely to vote in the Primary), Sims narrowly beats Republican David Irons, 49% to 41%, in a hypothetical General Election head-to-head matchup. 35% of King County registered voters approve of the job Sims is doing as King County Executive. 41% disapprove. 24% are not sure.
 
Pollster Caveat: Sims's support is stronger among those who were not likely to vote in the Primary, weaker among the more likely voters. Therefore, the General Election poll of all Registered Voters may overestimate Sims's vote compared with a poll of the most likely voters. Such a poll, of likely voters in the November general election, will be possible after the 9/20/05 primary.
 
Filtering: 2,000 King County adults were interviewed 8/30/05 - 9/1/05. Of them, 1,642 were registered voters. Of them, 734 were judged to be "likely voters". Of them, 351 chose a Democratic ballot. Results for Question 1 are for "likely voters" who chose a Democratic ballot. Results for Questions 2 and 3 are for all 1,642 sampled King County registered voters.
 
1If the Democratic Primary for King county Executive were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Michael Nelson? Karen Rispoli? Ron Sims? Or some other candidate?
351 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAgeRaceEducationIdeologyPrimary Ballot ChosenPrimary Voter?Sims Job Approval
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 5.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleConservaModerateLiberalNot SureRepublicDemocratNot SureYesNoApproveDisapproNot Sure
Nelson8%13%5%6%7%10%10%8%6%**19%5%6%12%11%20%10%6%****8%**8%**3%22%7%
Rispoli17%14%19%15%16%19%18%17%9%**13%12%13%22%22%22%21%13%****17%**17%**4%45%19%
Sims62%66%59%69%63%59%59%61%76%**64%68%63%56%57%57%57%67%****62%**62%**87%17%40%
Undecided13%8%17%11%14%12%14%14%10%**4%14%18%9%9%1%12%14%****13%**13%**6%16%35%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%43%57%16%33%29%22%80%6%3%10%28%29%28%15%7%41%51%1%0%100%0%100%0%59%26%15%
 
 
2Let's look ahead now to the November GENERAL election. If the November GENERAL election for King County Executive were today and the only names on the ballot were Republican David Irons and Democrat Ron Sims, who would you vote for?
1642 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeRaceEducationIdeologyPrimary Ballot ChosenPrimary Voter?Sims Job Approval
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleConservaModerateLiberalNot SureRepublicDemocratNot SureYesNoApproveDisapproNot Sure
Irons (R)41%44%38%35%41%43%48%42%****31%38%41%43%41%77%40%12%**91%15%46%46%36%9%77%24%
Sims (D)49%47%51%56%48%47%41%47%****54%51%48%48%49%17%48%78%**7%81%38%48%50%88%15%51%
Undecided10%9%11%10%11%10%11%10%****15%11%11%9%9%6%12%10%**3%4%15%6%14%3%8%25%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%28%35%22%15%79%4%4%13%21%30%28%20%24%46%28%2%33%48%19%45%55%35%41%24%
 
 
3In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Ron Sims is doing as King County Executive?
1642 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeRaceEducationIdeologyPrimary Ballot ChosenPrimary Voter?Sims Job Approval
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleConservaModerateLiberalNot SureRepublicDemocratNot SureYesNoApproveDisapproNot Sure
Approve35%35%34%39%34%34%31%34%****39%36%33%34%36%16%35%53%**9%59%26%36%34%100%0%0%
Disapprove41%48%35%31%44%47%45%43%****30%42%42%41%40%67%41%20%**82%26%48%49%35%0%100%0%
Not Sure24%17%30%31%22%20%24%24%****31%22%25%26%24%17%25%28%**9%15%26%15%31%0%0%100%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%28%35%22%15%79%4%4%13%21%30%28%20%24%46%28%2%33%48%19%45%55%35%41%24%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.