Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14664
 
Virginia Men Wrestle with Obama-McCain Decision: Eight days until votes are counted in Virginia: Obama 52%, McCain 43%. Surprising ongoing volatility among Virginia men, where McCain has led in 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls, been tied in 1, and trailed in 2, including today's. McCain today has his highest number to date in Southeast Virginia, but his lowest number to date in Northeast Virginia. 800 adults were interviewed 10/25/08 and 10/26/08. Of them 764 were registered to vote. Of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to vote on or before Election Day. Those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted disproportionately vote for Obama in the Presidential contest and for Democrat Mark Warner in the US Senate contest. Warner continues to lead Republican Jim Gilmore decisively.
 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
671 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
McCain (R)43%45%41%32%47%44%52%40%47%40%54%45%53%13%****84%12%42%78%33%15%30%44%43%44%49%43%31%69%25%58%31%37%45%47%33%46%46%
Obama (D)52%50%54%58%50%54%42%53%50%53%38%52%42%86%****12%87%46%17%62%78%67%50%52%50%46%54%62%25%71%37%64%58%50%46%63%48%49%
Other3%3%3%5%2%1%4%4%2%3%6%2%3%0%****0%1%9%3%3%6%2%3%4%3%3%1%5%4%3%4%3%3%3%5%3%3%2%
Undecided2%2%2%5%1%1%1%3%1%3%1%1%2%0%****3%0%3%2%2%1%1%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%3%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%25%33%26%16%58%42%51%8%41%74%18%4%4%30%38%30%31%46%16%9%91%56%44%53%26%22%41%55%44%54%27%73%25%26%21%28%
 
 
Voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Jim Gilmore? Democrat Mark Warner? Independent Green Party candidate Gail Parker? Or Libertarian Bill Redpath?
671 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Jim Gilmore (R)32%32%32%27%33%33%36%30%34%30%39%33%38%11%****67%7%28%63%21%8%19%33%31%32%38%28%21%54%16%40%24%30%33%31%28%36%34%
Mark Warner (D)63%64%62%65%63%65%60%64%63%63%56%64%56%85%****30%91%62%33%75%84%73%62%64%62%56%68%74%41%80%53%72%65%63%62%69%60%61%
Gail Parker (I-G)1%1%2%3%0%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%****1%0%3%1%1%3%0%1%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%0%2%
Bill Redpath (L)1%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%0%1%2%0%****0%0%4%2%1%4%1%1%2%1%2%0%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%3%1%1%1%
Undecided2%2%3%3%3%1%2%3%2%3%4%1%2%2%****2%1%3%2%2%1%7%2%1%4%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%3%2%2%2%3%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%25%33%26%16%58%42%51%8%41%74%18%4%4%30%38%30%31%46%16%9%91%56%44%53%26%22%41%55%44%54%27%73%25%26%21%28%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.