Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #18785
 
Oregon Poll Results: Obama 8 Points Atop Romney, 14 Points Atop Gingrich:

11 months till ballots are mailed in the election for President of the United States, incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama is poised to hold Oregon's 7 electoral votes, according to a poll for KATU-2 TV news in Portland.

Today, in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups between the two Republican front-runners, it's:

* Obama 48%
* Romney 40%.

* Obama 51%
* Gingrich 37%

* If Romney is the candidate, Obama leads among men by 5 points. If Gingrich is the candidate, Obama leads among men by 12 points.
* If Romney is the candidate, independents split. If Gingrich is the candidate, Independents break for Obama.

* Romney has a Minus 20 favorability rating: 21% see him favorably, 41% see him unfavorably.
* Gingrich has a Minus 30 favorability rating: 20% see him favorably, 50% see him unfavorably.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: 600 state of Oregon adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 11/18/11 through 11/21/11. Of the adults, 528 were registered to vote and were asked the substantive questions. This research was conducted multi-mode. Respondents who use a home telephone (69% of adults, 70% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents who do not use a home telephone (31% of adults, 30% of registered voters), were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop, tablet, or other electronic device. In this survey, cell-phone and home-phone respondents vote similarly. Obama leads Romney by 10 points among home-phone respondents and by 5 points among cell-phone respondents. Obama leads Gingrich by 13 points among home-phone respondents and by 15 points among cell-phone respondents.

 
1If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
528 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KPortlandRest of
Obama (D)48%46%50%45%44%53%52%45%52%51%**29%26%44%50%17%79%40%9%52%14%51%89%42%41%58%48%50%48%50%45%
Romney (R)40%41%38%37%45%35%42%41%38%37%**65%54%39%40%76%11%39%89%36%81%31%5%43%44%35%36%40%44%39%40%
Undecided12%12%12%18%10%12%6%14%10%12%**6%20%17%10%7%10%21%2%12%6%18%6%15%15%7%15%10%8%11%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%27%29%26%18%56%44%87%1%6%6%30%70%32%39%29%7%90%30%46%23%15%40%44%34%42%24%65%35%
 
 
2If there were an election for President today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
528 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KPortlandRest of
Obama (D)51%50%52%51%48%53%55%49%54%53%**38%32%49%52%16%84%45%12%55%21%54%87%46%43%62%48%55%52%53%47%
Gingrich (R)37%38%37%28%44%39%38%36%39%35%**49%53%34%39%70%10%39%84%33%69%32%8%42%41%32%36%36%39%35%42%
Undecided12%13%11%21%9%8%7%15%8%11%**13%15%17%9%14%6%16%4%12%10%14%5%12%16%7%16%8%10%12%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%27%29%26%18%56%44%87%1%6%6%30%70%32%39%29%7%90%30%46%23%15%40%44%34%42%24%65%35%
 
 
3If your opinion of Mitt Romney is ...
528 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KPortlandRest of
Favorable21%24%17%24%20%20%18%22%19%19%**52%14%20%21%35%11%19%41%19%31%17%17%13%20%25%17%21%27%22%18%
Unfavorable41%44%38%35%40%49%41%37%46%44%**0%46%32%45%25%58%37%24%43%20%45%61%32%41%44%44%38%41%42%40%
Neutral29%25%34%24%29%30%36%27%33%29%**38%26%33%28%33%23%34%27%29%40%30%13%45%28%26%28%34%24%27%33%
No Opinion9%7%11%18%11%1%4%14%2%9%**10%15%16%6%7%9%11%8%9%9%8%9%10%12%5%10%7%9%9%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%27%29%26%18%56%44%87%1%6%6%30%70%32%39%29%7%90%30%46%23%15%40%44%34%42%24%65%35%
 
 
4If your opinion of Newt Gingrich is ...
528 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KPortlandRest of
Favorable20%24%17%11%19%26%27%15%27%21%**10%20%16%22%40%8%16%60%18%40%16%5%21%18%22%20%21%21%16%28%
Unfavorable50%49%51%43%50%56%52%47%54%51%**39%46%47%52%24%70%52%16%54%24%54%77%37%46%59%42%53%57%54%43%
Neutral21%20%21%24%23%16%19%24%17%19%**42%24%20%21%27%16%19%19%20%25%21%12%28%24%15%22%21%17%21%20%
No Opinion9%7%11%22%7%2%2%14%2%9%**10%10%17%5%9%6%13%5%9%12%9%6%14%12%4%16%5%5%9%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%27%29%26%18%56%44%87%1%6%6%30%70%32%39%29%7%90%30%46%23%15%40%44%34%42%24%65%35%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.