Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19394
 
In Minnesota -- Obama Carries the North Star State, 6 Atop Romney 3 Months Till Voting Starts; Klobuchar Re-Elected to U.S. Senate: In an election for President of the United States in Minnesota today, 07/20/12, three months till voting begins, Barack Obama captures the North Star State's 10 electoral votes, defeating Mitt Romney 46% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis / St. Paul.

Romney and Obama are effectively even among male voters. All of Obama's advantage comes from female voters, where Obama leads by 14 points. Romney edges Obama among Minnesota's Independents, but not by enough to offset Obama's 2:1 advantage among Minnesota's moderates. Romney leads in Northeastern MN, but Obama leads in the rest of the state.

Voters are divided over whether job creation or health care is the most important issue facing Minnesotans. Importantly: those who say health care is most important split evenly between Obama and Romney. Those who say job creation is most important split evenly between Obama and Romney. Neither candidate has an advantage on these issues in Minnesota.

Romney voters are divided on which Republican Romney should pick as his running mate. 36% name former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty. 29% name Florida's U.S. Senator Marco Rubio.

In an election for U.S. Senator from Minnesota today, incumbent DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar soundly defeats Republican challenger Kurt Bills, 55% to 31%. Klobuchar leads among men and women, young and old, rich and poor, and in all regions of the state. 21% of those who vote for Mitt Romney for President cross over and vote for the DFL candidate for U.S. Senate.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 adults 07/17/12 through 07/19/12. Of them, 621 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 552 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day 11/06/12. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Mitt Romney (R)40%42%37%29%44%41%45%37%42%30%43%84%5%38%78%36%82%25%5%100%0%41%39%41%25%38%55%40%30%37%48%
Barack Obama (D)46%41%51%52%37%48%47%45%47%48%45%6%88%34%13%49%9%51%89%0%100%47%41%50%58%46%35%46%53%46%38%
Other7%10%6%8%11%6%4%10%5%7%8%3%3%17%6%8%3%14%3%0%0%7%10%4%8%10%4%6%8%13%10%
Undecided7%8%6%10%8%6%3%9%5%15%4%7%4%10%3%7%6%10%3%0%0%5%10%5%9%6%6%8%9%4%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
Minnesota will also elect a United States Senator in November. If the election for United States Senator from Minnesota were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Kurt Bills? DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar? Or one of the other candidates?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Kurt Bills (R)31%35%27%23%36%33%30%30%32%28%32%68%5%26%79%27%65%19%4%69%3%26%29%35%17%31%43%31%25%33%34%
Amy Klobuchar (DFL)55%52%58%55%45%60%62%50%60%47%58%16%87%53%10%58%23%64%84%21%88%56%56%52%67%52%47%54%61%50%56%
Other5%5%5%4%7%3%6%6%4%4%5%5%4%7%5%5%3%5%5%4%3%12%5%3%7%6%3%5%6%9%4%
Undecided9%8%10%18%11%4%2%14%3%21%5%10%4%14%7%9%9%11%7%6%5%6%11%9%9%11%6%10%7%8%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
Which one issue will be most important when casting your votes in for President and US Senate? Health care? Job creation? Taxes? Gas prices? War on terrorism? Education? Or something else?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Health Care31%30%31%22%31%32%38%27%34%32%30%29%36%25%31%31%29%32%33%32%33%39%27%32%29%36%26%26%38%36%37%
Job Creation31%34%29%23%28%38%37%26%37%27%33%30%30%34%31%32%30%35%27%31%32%28%31%32%26%32%33%32%31%28%31%
Taxes15%18%12%17%21%13%8%19%11%20%14%21%8%17%13%15%21%15%8%20%11%13%15%16%14%11%23%17%12%13%11%
Gas Prices4%3%6%11%2%2%2%6%2%3%5%3%8%2%4%5%3%2%10%2%6%2%8%2%11%2%1%5%3%1%4%
War On Terrorism2%2%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%3%2%0%2%2%2%0%2%3%0%1%2%1%1%1%5%1%
Education4%2%5%6%3%3%2%5%2%5%3%3%4%4%0%4%1%3%8%0%6%3%3%4%3%3%5%4%2%5%2%
Something Else8%8%9%11%8%7%8%9%7%7%9%8%5%14%16%8%10%7%8%8%5%10%6%10%9%8%6%9%7%10%7%
Not Sure5%4%7%5%6%5%4%5%5%5%5%5%6%3%4%5%6%4%5%5%6%3%7%4%6%5%4%5%5%2%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
4Who would you most like to see Mitt Romney choose as his Vice Presidential running mate? Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty? Ohio Senator Rob Portman? Florida Senator Marco Rubio? Wisconsin Representative Paul Ryan? Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal? Or someone else?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Pawlenty35%32%38%51%32%26%30%41%28%40%33%35%36%33%24%35%34%34%37%36%36%32%38%33%39%37%28%33%38%33%39%
Portman4%6%2%1%2%8%5%2%6%3%4%5%4%3%4%4%6%3%3%6%3%2%6%3%2%7%2%3%6%3%6%
Rubio16%18%14%7%16%23%18%12%21%11%18%32%7%12%39%15%30%11%6%29%8%19%16%16%11%17%21%15%15%17%22%
Ryan7%11%4%9%5%7%7%7%7%5%8%8%6%8%4%7%7%7%6%10%4%7%5%8%4%5%12%6%8%11%7%
Jindal3%3%4%1%4%5%3%3%4%2%4%4%2%2%4%3%2%4%4%4%3%4%2%5%2%4%4%4%3%2%1%
Someone Else21%20%22%14%20%20%31%17%24%12%24%10%24%28%20%21%13%26%23%11%27%30%15%22%24%17%22%23%15%27%11%
Not Sure14%11%17%16%20%12%6%18%9%27%10%7%20%14%4%15%7%16%21%5%19%6%18%14%18%14%11%15%15%7%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
5An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot defines marriage as between one man and one woman. Will you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Vote For52%53%52%50%50%50%62%50%55%39%57%75%38%48%84%50%81%41%30%80%31%55%59%46%56%50%54%49%54%56%64%
Vote Against37%39%36%44%38%38%26%41%33%48%34%12%54%42%15%40%11%45%63%11%61%34%30%46%32%39%40%40%38%34%29%
Not Vote5%3%6%1%8%6%5%5%5%3%5%8%4%3%1%4%4%6%3%5%4%4%5%4%4%5%4%5%5%5%4%
Not Sure6%5%6%5%4%6%8%5%6%10%4%4%4%7%0%6%4%8%3%4%4%6%6%5%8%7%2%7%3%5%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
6An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot would require voters to show photo I.D.'s in order to vote on Election Day. Will you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Vote For65%64%66%63%71%64%62%67%63%64%66%86%48%65%96%62%85%62%41%88%45%65%70%60%62%65%68%66%60%71%60%
Vote Against28%30%27%28%25%29%33%26%31%25%30%10%45%29%3%31%10%32%50%8%48%28%23%34%29%28%28%28%32%22%35%
Not Vote2%2%2%2%1%1%4%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%3%3%2%2%4%1%1%2%2%2%1%
Not Sure4%3%5%6%3%6%2%5%4%9%3%2%5%6%0%5%3%4%7%2%4%4%5%4%5%6%2%4%6%4%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
If the 2012 elections for the Minnesota Legislature were held today, would you be more likely to vote for a Republican candidate? a Democratic candidate? Independence Party candidate? Or some other candidate?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Republican40%41%38%29%48%39%43%39%41%36%41%88%5%34%81%37%79%26%9%85%5%38%39%42%27%40%51%40%37%41%40%
Democratic45%41%48%55%34%47%42%44%45%42%46%4%89%31%13%48%11%52%80%6%85%49%42%45%58%44%33%44%45%47%47%
Independence Party8%9%6%5%9%7%9%7%8%6%8%1%2%22%3%8%5%9%9%4%6%5%11%6%8%7%9%8%8%9%6%
Other2%3%1%1%3%1%3%2%2%3%2%1%0%5%0%2%2%3%1%2%0%3%2%2%2%3%1%2%3%1%1%
Undecided6%6%6%9%5%5%3%7%4%12%3%5%4%8%3%6%3%10%0%4%3%6%6%6%6%6%6%6%7%2%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
8Which one issue will be most important when casting your vote for a Minnesota legislator? Job creation? Education? Taxes? Health care? Or something else?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Job Creation32%34%31%28%26%38%39%27%39%35%32%29%36%31%28%33%28%38%29%29%35%35%32%31%34%32%30%34%36%26%25%
Education15%11%20%21%16%11%13%18%12%17%15%8%23%15%4%17%5%20%24%4%25%14%12%19%10%20%15%15%24%12%11%
Taxes27%35%20%25%31%28%21%28%25%25%27%38%15%28%36%26%43%19%16%42%15%22%29%27%21%27%34%24%21%34%37%
Health Care17%14%21%15%22%14%20%19%16%18%17%16%20%16%16%17%16%16%22%18%18%19%22%13%24%16%15%17%11%18%25%
Something Else6%6%6%9%4%6%4%7%6%5%7%5%5%9%12%6%6%5%8%6%5%6%4%8%8%4%5%7%4%10%2%
Not Sure2%1%3%2%1%3%2%1%3%1%2%3%1%1%4%2%2%2%0%2%2%3%2%1%3%1%1%2%3%1%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
9The Minnesota Legislature passed a Vikings stadium bill in May. If a lawmaker voted in favor of the Vikings stadium would that make you more likely to vote for him in November? Less likely? Or would it make no difference?
552 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
More Likely23%30%17%32%23%19%18%27%19%28%21%20%29%18%24%23%20%21%31%19%30%18%25%23%25%23%22%23%20%23%26%
Less Likely33%35%31%33%35%32%30%34%31%33%33%30%29%42%47%32%38%31%31%36%25%31%34%33%35%32%32%31%27%38%40%
No Difference42%34%50%33%40%45%52%37%48%35%44%46%40%39%26%43%39%46%37%43%44%48%39%41%38%43%44%44%50%37%32%
Not Sure2%1%3%2%2%4%0%2%3%4%1%4%2%1%3%2%3%2%1%2%2%2%2%3%3%2%1%2%3%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%27%29%19%52%48%26%74%32%38%28%6%91%34%38%26%40%46%17%41%42%28%41%31%61%12%12%14%
 
 
10Should the new Vikings stadium have a retractable roof?
621 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyPOTUS VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRomneyObamaHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Yes55%58%53%56%59%49%57%58%52%59%54%53%60%52%55%55%51%54%60%53%60%55%54%57%57%53%58%61%55%49%40%
No23%25%22%29%25%20%16%27%19%27%22%27%20%25%18%24%24%24%21%27%19%17%25%25%17%27%25%20%22%24%37%
Not Sure21%17%25%14%16%30%27%15%29%14%24%20%20%23%27%21%24%21%19%20%21%28%21%18%25%20%18%20%23%27%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%26%28%18%54%46%27%73%32%36%29%6%89%34%39%25%40%46%19%41%40%29%41%30%60%12%14%14%