| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16581 |
| Moran Pushes Further Ahead in KS GOP US Senate Primary Contest: In a Republican Primary for US Senate in Kansas today, 05/24/10, Jerry Moran decisively defeats Todd Tiahrt, according to this latest SurveyUSA's pre-primary tracking poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita and KCTV-TV Kansas City. Today, Moran gets 52% of the vote; Tiahrt gets 29%. Robert Londerholm gets 4%; 15% are undecided. The primary is in 10 weeks.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, Moran is up 10 points; Tiahrt is down 3. In 8 SurveyUSA tracking polls, Moran has never trailed, though this is the first time he is above 50%. In 8 tracking polls, Tiahrt has never polled above 38%, though this is only the 2nd time he is below 30%. Click on the "Triangle T" to access SurveyUSA interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, which permit a time-series analysis of each demographic sub-population. Tiahrt, who represents Kansas' 4th US Congressional District, in Southeastern Kansas, leads by 22 points in that part of the state, but does not receive more than 34% of the vote among any demographic subgroup or in any other part of the state. Moran, who represents Kansas' 1st Congressional District, which takes up most of the Western two-thirds of the state, leads 4:1 in Western KS. In Northeastern KS, home to half the state's population, Moran today leads 3:1. Kansas political parties decide before each primary whether the primary will be open to voters who are not affiliated with any political party; those voters also can register with a party at the polls. SurveyUSA includes currently unaffiliated voters here, where they make up 12% of the electorate. Moran today leads by 22 points among Republicans, up from 12 points 2 months ago; among unaffiliated voters, Moran leads by 20. Incumbent Republican US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Kansas Governor, and is not seeking reelection to his Senate seat. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 Kansas adults 05/21/10 through 05/23/10. Of them, 1,301 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 522 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the August 2010 Republican Primary. |
 | (candidate names rotated) If the Republican Primary for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? Jerry Moran? Todd Tiahrt? Or Robert Londerholm? |
| 522 Likely GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Northeas | Southeas | Western | |
| Moran | 52% | 54% | 48% | 58% | 50% | 48% | 53% | 53% | 50% | 51% | ** | 63% | ** | 53% | 40% | 53% | 57% | 32% | 52% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 53% | 51% | 54% | 59% | 43% | 45% | 56% | 56% | 31% | 72% |
| Tiahrt | 29% | 28% | 31% | 22% | 28% | 34% | 31% | 26% | 33% | 31% | ** | 12% | ** | 31% | 20% | 31% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 28% | 33% | 23% | 25% | 33% | 22% | 28% | 34% | 33% | 29% | 19% | 53% | 18% |
| Londerholm | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | ** | 6% | ** | 3% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 15% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 13% | ** | 18% | ** | 13% | 29% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 60% | 40% | 16% | 33% | 29% | 22% | 49% | 51% | 90% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 88% | 12% | 62% | 28% | 7% | 50% | 50% | 63% | 17% | 20% | 67% | 31% | 63% | 35% | 33% | 67% | 47% | 32% | 21% |