Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22758

NC Republican Incumbents Lead Narrowly in November Contests for Governor and United States Senator; Trump, Clinton Favored to Win POTUS Primaries; Kasich Runs Strongest in Nov Head-To-Head Match-Ups: Using voter-list sample, provided by Aristotle of Washington DC, of past North Carolina voters, High Point University interviewed 1,600 North Carolinians 03/09/16 and 03/10/16. All interviews were completed after results of the 03/08/16 primary contests in Michigan and Mississippi were known, but before the CNN Republican Presidential debate in Miami on 03/10/16. Half of the interviews were completed before the 03/09/16 Univision Democratic debate; half were completed after. Among the key findings: * Donald Trump leads Ted Cruz 48% to 28% in the NC Republican Primary for President of the United States. Among voters who say "experience" is most important in a candidate, Cruz leads Trump by 24 points. Among voters who say "new ideas" are most important in a candidate, Trump leads Cruz by 44 points. Among voters who have confidence in the public's ability to make intelligent decisions, Trump leads by 39 points. Among voters who have little or no confidence in the public's ability to make intelligent decisions, Trump leads by 5 points. Among voters who are "frustrated," Trump leads by 8 points. Among voters who are "angry," Trump leads by 30 points. Among evangelicals, Trump leads by 15. Among non-evangelicals, Trump leads by 28. Trump leads in every region of the state. Cruz runs second in every region of the state. John Kasich runs 3rd in a GOP Primary today, with 12%. Marco Rubio runs 4th, at 8%. * Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 58% to 34% in the NC Democratic Primary for President of the United States. There is a gender gap: Clinton leads by 14 points among men, but leads by 32 points among women. There is an age gap. Sangers leads by 30 points among younger voters. Clinton leads by 43 points among seniors. Among voters looking for "new ideas," Sanders leads by 36 points. Among voters looking for "experience," Clinton leads by 53 points. Clinton leads Sanders by 5 points among white Democratic primary voters. Clinton leads Sanders by 65 points among African American primary voters. * Incumbent Richard Burr leads challenger Greg Brannon 56% to 20% in the NC Republican Primary for United States Senator. * Deborah Ross leads Kevin D. Griffin 52% to 9% in the NC Democratic Primary for United States Senator. * Incumbent Pat McCrory leads challengers C. Robert Brawley and Charles Kenneth Moss 9:1 in the NC Republican Primary for Governor. * Roy Cooper leads Ken Spaulding 64% to 18% in the NC Democratic Primary for Governor. Looking ahead to the November general election for President, in hypothetical head-to-head matchups among likely November voters, High Point University finds: * Kasich 15 points ahead of Clinton, 53% to 38%. * Trump 7 points ahead of Clinton, 49% to 42%. * Cruz 4 points ahead of Clinton, 47% to 43%. * Rubio 2 points ahead of Clinton, 45% to 43%. * Kasich 13 points ahead of Sanders, 52% to 39%. * Trump 3 points ahead of Sanders, 47% to 44%. * Cruz and Sanders tied, 45% each. * Sanders 3 points ahead of Rubio, 46% to 43. Looking ahead to the November general election for U.S. Senate, in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup today, Republican Burr leads Ross 48% to 41%. Burr leads among white voters by 22 points. Ross leads among African Americans by 70 points. Burr leads by 36 points among evangelical voters. Ross leads by 22 points among non-evangelicals. Looking ahead to the November general election for Governor, in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup today, McCrory leads Cooper 47% to 45%. McCrory has a 16-point advantage among white voters. Cooper has a 71-point advantage among African American voters. McCrory leads among general election voters with a high-school education. Cooper leads among the most educated voters. McCrory runs ahead in greater Greensboro. Cooper runs far ahead in greater Raleigh. The contest is closer in greater Charlotte and in Southern and Coastal Carolina. Filtering: To be eligible for inclusion in this survey, a North Carolinian of voting age needed to be one of the following: registered prior to the 2008 general election and to have voted in both the 2008 and 2012 general elections; or, registered between the 2008 and 2012 general elections and to have voted in the 2012 general election; or, registered between the 2012 and 2014 general elections and to have voted in either the 2014 primary or general election; or be registered after the 2014 general election. 734 voters have either already returned a Republican primary ballot or are likely to do so before polls close on 03/15/16. 699 voters have either already returned a Democratic primary ballot or are likely to do so before polls close on 03/15/16. Mitt Romney carried North Carolina 51% to 48% in 2012.

1	If the Republican primary for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Donald Trump? Ted Cruz? Marco Rubio? John Kasich? Or one of the other candidates?

734 Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Donald Trump	48%	49%	46%	43%	48%	43%	53%	47%	48%	**	48%	48%	**	49%	45%	53%	47%	60%	39%	49%	35%	37%	58%	19%	64%	50%	55%	42%	40%	54%	44%	51%	41%	46%	48%	47%	50%	46%	45%	59%	**	**	**	45%	52%	48%	**	**	47%	49%	44%	49%	53%	45%	45%	46%
Ted Cruz	28%	28%	28%	30%	27%	30%	27%	28%	28%	**	28%	27%	**	27%	32%	32%	27%	21%	34%	28%	30%	29%	28%	43%	20%	32%	25%	26%	34%	26%	31%	27%	29%	27%	33%	19%	31%	29%	27%	14%	**	**	**	40%	22%	13%	**	**	30%	23%	24%	29%	25%	28%	31%	30%
Marco Rubio	8%	8%	9%	9%	11%	9%	6%	10%	7%	**	8%	9%	**	9%	6%	6%	9%	6%	9%	7%	16%	13%	4%	12%	6%	6%	8%	11%	7%	11%	9%	9%	6%	8%	7%	10%	5%	10%	11%	5%	**	**	**	6%	9%	12%	**	**	7%	11%	13%	7%	7%	9%	8%	8%
John Kasich	12%	13%	11%	11%	7%	16%	11%	9%	13%	**	12%	12%	**	11%	14%	7%	13%	10%	13%	12%	10%	16%	7%	24%	6%	8%	8%	16%	17%	6%	12%	9%	18%	16%	8%	19%	10%	10%	13%	17%	**	**	**	7%	13%	22%	**	**	11%	14%	9%	13%	9%	13%	14%	14%
Other	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	**	1%	1%	**	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	**	**	**	0%	1%	1%	**	**	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%
No Preference	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	**	1%	1%	**	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	**	**	**	0%	0%	2%	**	**	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%
Undecided	2%	1%	4%	4%	5%	1%	2%	5%	1%	**	2%	3%	**	2%	3%	0%	3%	2%	2%	2%	7%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	1%	0%	2%	3%	4%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	**	**	**	2%	3%	2%	**	**	3%	2%	8%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	100%	53%	47%	8%	20%	30%	41%	28%	72%	3%	96%	94%	3%	78%	22%	21%	79%	41%	57%	89%	11%	43%	52%	31%	64%	19%	36%	29%	16%	11%	27%	21%	15%	18%	65%	33%	36%	31%	24%	6%	2%	1%	0%	42%	38%	16%	2%	0%	70%	30%	21%	79%	37%	23%	26%	14%

2	If the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Richard Burr? Greg Brannon? Larry Holmquist? Or Paul Wright?

734 Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Richard Burr	56%	57%	54%	47%	54%	49%	64%	52%	57%	**	56%	56%	**	58%	48%	63%	54%	60%	54%	56%	53%	60%	51%	56%	57%	59%	56%	55%	52%	57%	57%	58%	47%	60%	58%	51%	63%	60%	48%	28%	**	**	**	55%	57%	58%	**	**	56%	54%	49%	57%	53%	63%	51%	60%
Greg Brannon	20%	23%	17%	20%	19%	23%	18%	20%	20%	**	20%	19%	**	20%	19%	18%	21%	20%	20%	22%	8%	14%	26%	22%	20%	17%	19%	23%	21%	19%	19%	19%	24%	19%	21%	17%	21%	15%	27%	22%	**	**	**	27%	18%	14%	**	**	21%	20%	17%	21%	20%	20%	26%	13%
Larry Holmquist	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	**	3%	3%	**	3%	2%	8%	1%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	1%	4%	3%	4%	2%	5%	2%	3%	2%	7%	**	**	**	2%	3%	4%	**	**	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%
Paul Wright	5%	5%	4%	8%	3%	7%	3%	4%	5%	**	5%	5%	**	4%	7%	4%	5%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	4%	3%	5%	6%	2%	5%	8%	3%	6%	3%	6%	4%	3%	7%	3%	3%	6%	14%	**	**	**	4%	4%	6%	**	**	4%	6%	3%	5%	6%	4%	4%	4%
Undecided	17%	12%	22%	24%	22%	19%	11%	23%	14%	**	16%	17%	**	15%	23%	7%	19%	13%	18%	15%	30%	18%	16%	16%	16%	16%	19%	15%	15%	17%	17%	16%	21%	13%	15%	19%	11%	19%	17%	30%	**	**	**	12%	18%	19%	**	**	16%	18%	29%	14%	20%	11%	15%	20%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	100%	53%	47%	8%	20%	30%	41%	28%	72%	3%	96%	94%	3%	78%	22%	21%	79%	41%	57%	89%	11%	43%	52%	31%	64%	19%	36%	29%	16%	11%	27%	21%	15%	18%	65%	33%	36%	31%	24%	6%	2%	1%	0%	42%	38%	16%	2%	0%	70%	30%	21%	79%	37%	23%	26%	14%

3	If the Republican Primary for North Carolina Governor were today, and you were filling out your Republican primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Pat McCrory? C. Robert Brawley? Or Charles Kenneth Moss?

734 Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Pat McCrory	73%	78%	68%	61%	67%	68%	82%	65%	76%	**	73%	73%	**	75%	67%	80%	71%	74%	73%	75%	58%	74%	73%	76%	72%	74%	76%	74%	63%	71%	78%	74%	68%	73%	76%	68%	84%	73%	66%	57%	**	**	**	80%	72%	65%	**	**	73%	74%	61%	76%	70%	75%	78%	70%
C. Robert Brawley	8%	8%	7%	9%	6%	11%	6%	7%	8%	**	7%	7%	**	7%	10%	13%	6%	8%	7%	7%	10%	6%	8%	6%	8%	5%	7%	8%	12%	11%	4%	7%	5%	11%	7%	10%	5%	8%	7%	13%	**	**	**	6%	8%	11%	**	**	8%	6%	7%	8%	10%	5%	7%	5%
Charles Kenneth Moss	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%	7%	7%	6%	7%	**	7%	6%	**	6%	6%	4%	7%	7%	6%	7%	4%	5%	7%	5%	7%	8%	5%	6%	9%	4%	7%	5%	9%	8%	6%	7%	4%	5%	10%	7%	**	**	**	4%	6%	11%	**	**	7%	6%	4%	7%	6%	6%	5%	9%
Undecided	13%	8%	19%	24%	21%	14%	5%	22%	9%	**	13%	14%	**	12%	17%	2%	16%	11%	14%	11%	28%	14%	12%	13%	12%	13%	12%	12%	16%	15%	11%	14%	18%	7%	12%	15%	7%	14%	17%	23%	**	**	**	10%	14%	13%	**	**	12%	14%	27%	9%	14%	14%	10%	16%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters	100%	53%	47%	8%	20%	30%	41%	28%	72%	3%	96%	94%	3%	78%	22%	21%	79%	41%	57%	89%	11%	43%	52%	31%	64%	19%	36%	29%	16%	11%	27%	21%	15%	18%	65%	33%	36%	31%	24%	6%	2%	1%	0%	42%	38%	16%	2%	0%	70%	30%	21%	79%	37%	23%	26%	14%

4	If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, and you were filling your Democratic primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Or Bernie Sanders?

669 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Hillary Clinton	58%	53%	62%	30%	49%	57%	68%	42%	63%	**	59%	48%	80%	59%	56%	69%	54%	62%	56%	56%	66%	51%	45%	74%	26%	62%	56%	58%	59%	59%	58%	57%	60%	62%	57%	58%	**	**	**	37%	43%	62%	75%	42%	55%	65%	57%	54%	57%	61%	41%	63%	55%	55%	63%	60%
Bernie Sanders	34%	39%	30%	60%	45%	34%	25%	50%	29%	**	34%	43%	15%	33%	37%	28%	36%	33%	35%	37%	25%	40%	46%	21%	62%	29%	36%	33%	37%	33%	38%	34%	34%	29%	30%	38%	**	**	**	57%	50%	31%	21%	40%	30%	30%	36%	43%	34%	34%	49%	30%	39%	38%	32%	24%
No Preference	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	**	3%	4%	1%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	1%	5%	6%	2%	4%	1%	3%	1%	4%	1%	3%	5%	1%	**	**	**	2%	2%	1%	1%	8%	8%	2%	1%	1%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	1%	10%
Undecided	5%	5%	4%	6%	3%	6%	4%	4%	5%	**	5%	5%	4%	5%	5%	0%	7%	2%	6%	5%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	3%	6%	5%	4%	6%	3%	5%	6%	5%	8%	3%	**	**	**	4%	5%	6%	3%	10%	7%	4%	5%	2%	7%	2%	8%	4%	4%	6%	4%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	100%	44%	56%	8%	15%	35%	42%	23%	77%	4%	95%	63%	29%	79%	21%	28%	72%	38%	61%	80%	20%	54%	20%	63%	31%	18%	32%	28%	23%	16%	27%	21%	15%	15%	38%	58%	1%	2%	4%	7%	17%	32%	35%	8%	12%	32%	23%	20%	59%	41%	19%	81%	30%	19%	36%	15%

5	If the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, and you were filling out your Democratic primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Kevin D. Griffin? Ernest T. Reeves? Chris Rey? Or Deborah Ross?

669 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Kevin D. Griffin	9%	11%	8%	12%	11%	9%	8%	11%	8%	**	9%	10%	6%	9%	10%	11%	8%	7%	10%	9%	7%	9%	10%	7%	14%	13%	11%	8%	5%	11%	7%	10%	10%	10%	11%	8%	**	**	**	17%	8%	9%	6%	13%	13%	8%	7%	7%	9%	10%	10%	9%	11%	10%	5%	13%
Ernest T. Reeves	5%	7%	4%	10%	3%	6%	4%	6%	5%	**	5%	5%	5%	4%	9%	4%	6%	7%	4%	5%	6%	5%	4%	6%	5%	9%	6%	4%	3%	7%	9%	4%	2%	2%	9%	4%	**	**	**	8%	4%	5%	4%	10%	7%	7%	5%	2%	5%	6%	7%	5%	5%	3%	5%	9%
Chris Rey	7%	7%	7%	10%	8%	5%	7%	9%	6%	**	7%	7%	7%	6%	8%	10%	6%	5%	8%	7%	6%	7%	7%	7%	7%	5%	8%	8%	4%	1%	9%	10%	8%	6%	7%	7%	**	**	**	4%	4%	8%	6%	5%	8%	7%	8%	5%	7%	7%	9%	6%	5%	7%	5%	12%
Deborah Ross	52%	54%	51%	22%	41%	57%	59%	34%	58%	**	53%	51%	57%	55%	41%	64%	48%	56%	51%	55%	46%	50%	55%	58%	43%	33%	55%	60%	55%	44%	45%	59%	57%	60%	44%	58%	**	**	**	42%	49%	48%	64%	33%	45%	51%	59%	59%	54%	50%	30%	58%	48%	49%	64%	38%
Undecided	27%	21%	30%	46%	36%	23%	22%	40%	23%	**	27%	27%	26%	25%	32%	11%	32%	24%	27%	24%	34%	28%	25%	22%	32%	40%	20%	21%	33%	37%	30%	18%	24%	22%	30%	24%	**	**	**	29%	34%	30%	19%	39%	27%	28%	21%	26%	26%	27%	45%	22%	31%	30%	21%	28%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	100%	44%	56%	8%	15%	35%	42%	23%	77%	4%	95%	63%	29%	79%	21%	28%	72%	38%	61%	80%	20%	54%	20%	63%	31%	18%	32%	28%	23%	16%	27%	21%	15%	15%	38%	58%	1%	2%	4%	7%	17%	32%	35%	8%	12%	32%	23%	20%	59%	41%	19%	81%	30%	19%	36%	15%

6	If the Democratic Primary for North Carolina Governor were today, and you were filling out your Democratic primary ballot now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Roy Cooper? Or Ken Spaulding?

669 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Roy Cooper	64%	69%	59%	38%	61%	65%	69%	53%	67%	**	64%	69%	56%	66%	55%	75%	59%	65%	64%	65%	61%	64%	66%	66%	61%	56%	62%	65%	69%	61%	59%	67%	67%	68%	58%	68%	**	**	**	57%	62%	63%	67%	50%	58%	63%	68%	70%	67%	59%	46%	68%	64%	65%	68%	51%
Ken Spaulding	18%	17%	18%	14%	13%	20%	18%	13%	19%	**	18%	13%	25%	18%	16%	21%	16%	19%	17%	19%	12%	16%	19%	20%	15%	18%	18%	20%	14%	12%	22%	17%	20%	15%	22%	15%	**	**	**	24%	15%	18%	19%	12%	26%	22%	15%	12%	16%	20%	18%	18%	15%	23%	17%	17%
Undecided	19%	14%	22%	48%	26%	15%	13%	34%	14%	**	18%	18%	19%	16%	29%	4%	24%	16%	20%	16%	27%	20%	15%	14%	24%	26%	19%	14%	17%	27%	19%	16%	13%	17%	20%	17%	**	**	**	19%	23%	19%	14%	38%	16%	15%	17%	18%	17%	21%	36%	14%	21%	12%	15%	32%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters	100%	44%	56%	8%	15%	35%	42%	23%	77%	4%	95%	63%	29%	79%	21%	28%	72%	38%	61%	80%	20%	54%	20%	63%	31%	18%	32%	28%	23%	16%	27%	21%	15%	15%	38%	58%	1%	2%	4%	7%	17%	32%	35%	8%	12%	32%	23%	20%	59%	41%	19%	81%	30%	19%	36%	15%

7	If the November general election for President of the United States were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Donald Trump (R)	49%	55%	43%	42%	47%	47%	52%	45%	50%	**	49%	56%	13%	50%	44%	43%	51%	54%	45%	52%	33%	40%	75%	26%	72%	54%	55%	44%	39%	45%	52%	47%	45%	46%	63%	34%	91%	80%	77%	43%	14%	8%	1%	83%	73%	30%	9%	3%	53%	42%	42%	50%	53%	54%	38%	53%
Hillary Clinton (D)	42%	37%	47%	42%	40%	45%	40%	41%	42%	**	42%	34%	83%	42%	43%	52%	39%	41%	43%	40%	52%	48%	18%	64%	21%	35%	37%	43%	56%	47%	38%	45%	42%	46%	26%	59%	1%	8%	9%	40%	78%	86%	96%	7%	18%	58%	84%	92%	38%	48%	42%	42%	38%	37%	52%	36%
Undecided	9%	9%	10%	15%	13%	8%	7%	14%	8%	**	9%	10%	4%	8%	14%	6%	9%	5%	12%	8%	15%	13%	7%	10%	7%	11%	8%	12%	6%	7%	10%	8%	13%	7%	11%	8%	8%	12%	14%	17%	9%	6%	3%	10%	9%	12%	8%	5%	9%	10%	16%	7%	9%	9%	10%	11%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

8	What if the only two candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton ... who would you vote for?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Ted Cruz (R)	47%	52%	43%	47%	47%	46%	48%	47%	47%	**	48%	54%	11%	48%	44%	40%	50%	47%	48%	49%	39%	45%	64%	34%	60%	51%	53%	45%	36%	40%	48%	49%	48%	46%	63%	31%	88%	80%	77%	41%	10%	10%	0%	82%	72%	28%	13%	1%	52%	38%	45%	48%	49%	52%	38%	55%
Hillary Clinton (D)	43%	40%	46%	39%	42%	46%	43%	41%	44%	**	43%	35%	85%	43%	44%	53%	41%	44%	43%	42%	48%	46%	24%	61%	27%	37%	38%	45%	57%	47%	40%	43%	45%	49%	28%	60%	5%	10%	11%	38%	81%	85%	97%	11%	17%	60%	81%	95%	40%	50%	41%	44%	40%	39%	54%	37%
Undecided	9%	8%	10%	14%	11%	8%	9%	12%	8%	**	9%	10%	4%	9%	12%	7%	9%	9%	9%	8%	13%	9%	12%	5%	13%	12%	9%	10%	6%	13%	11%	8%	7%	6%	9%	9%	7%	10%	12%	21%	9%	5%	3%	7%	11%	12%	7%	5%	8%	12%	14%	8%	11%	9%	8%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

9	What if the only two candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Marco Rubio (R)	45%	48%	43%	43%	47%	44%	46%	46%	45%	**	46%	53%	6%	46%	42%	38%	48%	45%	46%	47%	37%	44%	61%	33%	58%	50%	48%	45%	37%	42%	46%	44%	45%	47%	60%	32%	85%	78%	70%	40%	13%	10%	0%	77%	67%	31%	11%	1%	50%	37%	44%	46%	48%	52%	37%	47%
Hillary Clinton (D)	43%	40%	46%	41%	40%	46%	43%	40%	44%	**	43%	34%	88%	43%	43%	52%	41%	44%	43%	42%	49%	45%	24%	60%	27%	38%	38%	45%	54%	48%	40%	45%	46%	45%	29%	58%	6%	10%	10%	37%	78%	85%	97%	11%	20%	56%	83%	94%	39%	50%	41%	44%	40%	37%	53%	40%
Undecided	11%	12%	11%	16%	13%	10%	10%	14%	10%	**	11%	13%	6%	10%	15%	10%	11%	12%	11%	11%	14%	11%	15%	7%	15%	12%	14%	10%	9%	10%	14%	11%	9%	8%	11%	10%	10%	11%	20%	23%	9%	5%	2%	12%	14%	13%	7%	5%	11%	13%	15%	10%	12%	11%	10%	13%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

10	And what if the only two candidates were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Hillary Clinton?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
John Kasich (R)	53%	59%	48%	45%	52%	52%	57%	50%	55%	**	54%	63%	8%	55%	49%	46%	56%	53%	54%	57%	38%	50%	73%	38%	68%	53%	55%	55%	49%	46%	52%	52%	55%	59%	65%	42%	90%	82%	81%	58%	25%	17%	4%	82%	75%	42%	20%	7%	59%	44%	49%	55%	58%	57%	44%	56%
Hillary Clinton (D)	38%	33%	43%	35%	36%	41%	38%	35%	39%	**	38%	29%	83%	38%	39%	49%	35%	38%	38%	36%	46%	40%	19%	55%	22%	36%	36%	36%	46%	43%	38%	41%	39%	35%	26%	51%	3%	9%	6%	27%	64%	78%	94%	9%	16%	49%	71%	89%	34%	45%	38%	38%	34%	34%	47%	34%
Undecided	9%	8%	9%	21%	12%	8%	5%	15%	6%	**	9%	9%	9%	8%	12%	5%	9%	9%	8%	7%	16%	10%	8%	7%	10%	11%	9%	9%	5%	12%	10%	8%	5%	6%	9%	7%	6%	9%	13%	15%	11%	5%	2%	9%	9%	8%	9%	4%	7%	11%	14%	7%	8%	8%	9%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

11	Now, what if the only two names on the ballot were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Donald Trump (R)	47%	52%	42%	34%	46%	46%	51%	42%	49%	**	48%	54%	13%	49%	41%	43%	49%	52%	44%	51%	29%	38%	72%	26%	68%	50%	52%	44%	39%	41%	48%	47%	43%	47%	61%	32%	91%	77%	74%	37%	8%	8%	3%	82%	72%	27%	9%	2%	52%	38%	39%	49%	49%	53%	38%	51%
Bernie Sanders (D)	44%	39%	48%	56%	43%	46%	40%	47%	42%	**	43%	37%	79%	43%	47%	51%	42%	40%	47%	41%	55%	52%	20%	63%	26%	38%	40%	46%	53%	51%	41%	45%	47%	44%	29%	59%	3%	12%	13%	49%	82%	84%	89%	10%	20%	60%	84%	94%	39%	53%	49%	42%	41%	38%	54%	39%
Undecided	9%	9%	10%	11%	11%	8%	9%	11%	9%	**	9%	10%	8%	8%	13%	6%	10%	8%	10%	8%	16%	10%	7%	11%	6%	11%	8%	10%	8%	8%	11%	8%	10%	8%	9%	9%	6%	11%	12%	15%	10%	7%	7%	9%	8%	13%	7%	4%	10%	9%	12%	8%	10%	10%	9%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

12	What if it were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Ted Cruz (R)	45%	49%	42%	41%	44%	43%	49%	43%	46%	**	45%	52%	9%	46%	42%	41%	47%	45%	45%	47%	37%	42%	63%	34%	55%	50%	49%	44%	36%	40%	46%	46%	44%	45%	62%	28%	87%	79%	72%	31%	9%	9%	3%	82%	70%	24%	8%	1%	51%	36%	42%	46%	47%	51%	37%	49%
Bernie Sanders (D)	45%	43%	47%	48%	45%	48%	42%	46%	45%	**	45%	38%	82%	45%	45%	54%	42%	44%	46%	45%	47%	48%	28%	59%	33%	39%	41%	45%	57%	49%	42%	45%	48%	49%	30%	62%	6%	12%	16%	51%	79%	85%	90%	10%	21%	63%	84%	96%	41%	53%	46%	45%	43%	37%	54%	41%
Undecided	10%	9%	11%	11%	11%	9%	10%	11%	9%	**	10%	10%	9%	9%	13%	5%	10%	11%	8%	8%	16%	10%	9%	7%	12%	11%	10%	11%	7%	11%	12%	8%	8%	6%	9%	10%	7%	9%	12%	18%	12%	6%	7%	8%	10%	13%	8%	4%	9%	12%	12%	9%	10%	12%	8%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

13	What if it were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Marco Rubio (R)	43%	46%	41%	37%	44%	40%	47%	42%	44%	**	44%	50%	8%	45%	38%	37%	46%	42%	45%	45%	35%	42%	58%	33%	53%	47%	45%	45%	35%	38%	43%	44%	41%	48%	57%	30%	84%	76%	68%	30%	9%	10%	3%	78%	65%	24%	9%	1%	48%	35%	38%	45%	44%	51%	36%	47%
Bernie Sanders (D)	46%	43%	48%	50%	43%	49%	43%	46%	46%	**	45%	38%	83%	45%	47%	54%	43%	46%	46%	45%	47%	49%	30%	60%	34%	41%	43%	45%	57%	52%	44%	46%	48%	45%	32%	60%	7%	12%	18%	48%	81%	86%	90%	12%	22%	62%	84%	97%	41%	53%	47%	45%	45%	37%	54%	41%
Undecided	11%	11%	11%	13%	13%	11%	10%	13%	10%	**	11%	12%	9%	10%	15%	8%	11%	13%	9%	9%	18%	9%	12%	7%	13%	13%	12%	10%	8%	10%	13%	10%	11%	7%	11%	10%	9%	12%	14%	22%	10%	4%	7%	11%	12%	13%	7%	3%	11%	12%	14%	10%	11%	12%	9%	12%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

14	And what if it were Republican John Kasich and Democrat Bernie Sanders?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
John Kasich (R)	52%	58%	46%	38%	47%	49%	59%	44%	54%	**	52%	60%	11%	53%	46%	49%	53%	52%	52%	56%	34%	47%	70%	40%	62%	49%	52%	55%	48%	41%	49%	51%	53%	59%	63%	40%	90%	78%	77%	50%	24%	14%	9%	82%	73%	39%	17%	7%	57%	42%	40%	55%	54%	57%	44%	52%
Bernie Sanders (D)	39%	34%	43%	45%	42%	42%	34%	43%	37%	**	38%	31%	77%	39%	40%	46%	37%	38%	40%	37%	47%	44%	22%	52%	28%	38%	36%	37%	47%	47%	40%	39%	40%	36%	27%	52%	4%	11%	12%	33%	66%	79%	84%	10%	18%	49%	76%	91%	35%	46%	45%	37%	38%	33%	47%	34%
Undecided	9%	8%	11%	17%	11%	9%	7%	13%	8%	**	9%	9%	11%	8%	14%	5%	10%	10%	8%	7%	19%	9%	8%	8%	10%	12%	11%	8%	6%	11%	12%	9%	7%	5%	10%	8%	6%	11%	12%	17%	10%	6%	7%	8%	10%	12%	7%	2%	8%	12%	14%	8%	8%	10%	9%	14%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

15	OK, let's shift our focus to the Senate election ... If the November general election for United States Senator were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Richard Burr and Democrat Deborah Ross, who would you vote for?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Richard Burr (R)	48%	52%	44%	42%	51%	43%	52%	48%	48%	**	48%	55%	11%	50%	40%	44%	49%	53%	45%	51%	35%	46%	65%	33%	62%	50%	50%	48%	41%	40%	49%	47%	47%	48%	63%	33%	93%	88%	74%	33%	8%	10%	1%	83%	71%	31%	8%	1%	52%	40%	44%	49%	50%	53%	41%	49%
Deborah Ross (D)	41%	37%	45%	29%	32%	46%	43%	31%	45%	**	41%	33%	81%	41%	40%	50%	39%	39%	43%	41%	40%	44%	24%	58%	26%	35%	37%	43%	52%	45%	37%	42%	45%	44%	27%	55%	3%	4%	12%	35%	78%	81%	94%	10%	18%	52%	79%	96%	38%	45%	32%	43%	38%	36%	51%	36%
Undecided	11%	11%	12%	29%	17%	11%	5%	21%	8%	**	11%	12%	8%	9%	20%	5%	12%	8%	13%	8%	26%	11%	11%	9%	12%	15%	13%	10%	7%	15%	13%	11%	8%	8%	10%	12%	4%	8%	14%	32%	15%	10%	5%	7%	11%	17%	13%	3%	9%	15%	24%	8%	12%	12%	9%	15%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

16	OK, let's shift our focus to the Gubernatorial election ... If the November election for Governor were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Pat McCrory and Democrat Roy Cooper, who would you vote for?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Pat McCrory (R)	47%	51%	43%	47%	47%	43%	50%	47%	47%	**	47%	54%	11%	48%	43%	41%	49%	49%	46%	49%	37%	44%	63%	33%	60%	49%	52%	46%	36%	40%	50%	46%	44%	48%	60%	33%	92%	82%	70%	38%	14%	7%	2%	78%	71%	30%	11%	2%	51%	40%	45%	47%	48%	55%	38%	49%
Roy Cooper (D)	45%	41%	49%	33%	40%	50%	46%	37%	48%	**	45%	38%	82%	46%	42%	55%	42%	45%	46%	45%	45%	49%	28%	61%	31%	40%	39%	46%	59%	50%	41%	46%	50%	47%	33%	58%	5%	12%	20%	42%	76%	86%	94%	14%	22%	61%	79%	95%	42%	50%	37%	47%	42%	39%	54%	40%
Undecided	8%	8%	8%	20%	13%	6%	4%	16%	5%	**	8%	8%	7%	6%	15%	4%	9%	7%	8%	6%	18%	7%	9%	6%	9%	11%	9%	8%	5%	9%	9%	8%	6%	4%	7%	8%	3%	6%	10%	20%	10%	7%	4%	7%	7%	9%	10%	4%	7%	10%	18%	5%	9%	5%	7%	12%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

17	Now I am going to read a list of issues facing the country. Which ONE of these issues is the MOST important issue facing the country? National security? The budget deficit? Health care? Education? Immigration? The economy? Government ineffectiveness? Or something else?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
National Security	20%	20%	20%	13%	17%	17%	25%	16%	21%	**	20%	21%	14%	21%	15%	17%	21%	22%	19%	21%	16%	19%	23%	19%	21%	27%	19%	18%	15%	19%	19%	19%	19%	18%	24%	14%	32%	28%	26%	11%	7%	14%	9%	29%	25%	15%	10%	3%	21%	18%	15%	21%	18%	23%	19%	20%
Budget Deficit	10%	11%	9%	12%	8%	8%	12%	9%	10%	**	10%	11%	7%	10%	11%	8%	11%	9%	11%	11%	8%	10%	12%	8%	12%	8%	11%	12%	7%	7%	11%	10%	7%	12%	11%	9%	12%	13%	16%	9%	8%	6%	4%	13%	14%	8%	6%	1%	10%	10%	10%	10%	9%	12%	10%	10%
Health Care	14%	13%	16%	11%	14%	16%	14%	13%	15%	**	14%	14%	17%	15%	12%	17%	13%	15%	14%	13%	19%	13%	12%	18%	12%	17%	15%	13%	12%	21%	17%	12%	12%	12%	14%	15%	9%	11%	9%	15%	19%	22%	18%	7%	13%	17%	20%	21%	14%	15%	15%	14%	16%	12%	14%	14%
Education	8%	6%	9%	15%	7%	8%	6%	10%	7%	**	8%	6%	16%	7%	9%	7%	8%	9%	7%	7%	10%	8%	4%	11%	4%	5%	6%	9%	11%	7%	6%	12%	8%	7%	5%	11%	1%	2%	3%	9%	10%	13%	18%	2%	3%	9%	18%	21%	7%	9%	9%	7%	6%	8%	8%	10%
Immigration	7%	8%	6%	6%	9%	7%	5%	8%	6%	**	7%	7%	5%	7%	7%	7%	6%	8%	6%	7%	3%	4%	12%	5%	9%	6%	9%	6%	5%	5%	7%	6%	10%	5%	8%	6%	10%	7%	11%	6%	5%	4%	2%	11%	7%	5%	5%	1%	7%	5%	5%	7%	7%	8%	7%	5%
The Economy	21%	22%	20%	25%	26%	21%	17%	26%	19%	**	21%	20%	23%	21%	22%	23%	20%	22%	21%	20%	25%	25%	17%	20%	22%	17%	20%	22%	24%	23%	22%	19%	24%	21%	19%	24%	20%	22%	17%	20%	24%	22%	25%	19%	20%	24%	21%	25%	20%	24%	27%	19%	22%	18%	22%	19%
Government Ineffectiveness	15%	14%	15%	10%	14%	16%	15%	13%	16%	**	15%	15%	10%	15%	15%	14%	15%	13%	16%	15%	12%	16%	17%	14%	16%	9%	15%	16%	18%	13%	11%	17%	15%	18%	14%	16%	11%	13%	14%	24%	21%	11%	15%	13%	14%	17%	15%	18%	16%	14%	14%	15%	14%	15%	14%	17%
Something Else	3%	3%	3%	5%	4%	3%	2%	4%	2%	**	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	5%	1%	2%	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	2%	1%	2%	3%	4%	4%	4%	3%	1%	3%	3%	7%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	1%
Not Sure	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	**	3%	2%	6%	2%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	6%	2%	2%	1%	4%	4%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	5%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	3%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

18

Now I am going to read a list of issues facing the state of North Carolina. Which one of these issues is the most important facing North Carolina? Transportation and infrastructure? The size of the state budget? Taxes? Health care? Education? Immigration? The economy? Government ineffectiveness? Policing and law enforcement? Or something else?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Transportation And Infrastructure	8%	11%	6%	7%	9%	7%	10%	8%	8%	**	8%	9%	7%	9%	7%	10%	8%	8%	9%	9%	6%	10%	7%	8%	9%	8%	8%	10%	6%	5%	9%	8%	7%	12%	6%	11%	9%	10%	7%	7%	9%	8%	9%	7%	8%	10%	11%	7%	9%	8%	7%	9%	10%	6%	6%	13%
Size Of The State Budget	5%	5%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	5%	4%	**	5%	4%	5%	5%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	6%	4%	6%	4%	5%	7%	4%	3%	5%	7%	5%	4%	5%	3%	6%	3%	6%	7%	8%	5%	2%	1%	2%	8%	5%	3%	2%	3%	4%	6%	5%	5%	4%	5%	5%	5%
Taxes	12%	12%	11%	13%	9%	14%	11%	10%	12%	**	11%	11%	13%	12%	12%	10%	12%	12%	11%	12%	12%	10%	14%	10%	14%	16%	12%	10%	10%	14%	13%	11%	12%	9%	13%	10%	18%	12%	15%	9%	10%	10%	7%	15%	14%	10%	9%	5%	11%	13%	13%	11%	13%	10%	12%	11%
Health Care	17%	14%	19%	16%	17%	16%	18%	17%	17%	**	17%	16%	22%	17%	16%	20%	16%	20%	15%	16%	19%	15%	14%	20%	14%	24%	17%	14%	13%	24%	20%	15%	12%	12%	18%	14%	16%	14%	12%	12%	19%	23%	20%	15%	14%	17%	23%	16%	15%	19%	17%	17%	16%	16%	18%	18%
Education	21%	17%	24%	29%	25%	18%	19%	26%	19%	**	21%	22%	17%	21%	22%	23%	21%	19%	22%	21%	22%	24%	14%	27%	16%	7%	16%	25%	36%	17%	14%	24%	26%	27%	13%	30%	7%	16%	13%	23%	34%	26%	35%	7%	18%	25%	32%	43%	21%	20%	23%	20%	20%	22%	23%	18%
Immigration	8%	8%	8%	3%	6%	8%	10%	5%	9%	**	8%	9%	3%	8%	7%	8%	8%	9%	7%	9%	4%	5%	14%	4%	12%	8%	10%	7%	5%	8%	9%	8%	8%	5%	11%	5%	15%	10%	13%	7%	3%	3%	0%	17%	9%	3%	1%	1%	8%	7%	4%	9%	8%	9%	8%	5%
Economy	16%	18%	15%	17%	19%	18%	13%	19%	16%	**	16%	17%	17%	17%	14%	13%	17%	15%	17%	17%	13%	19%	17%	15%	18%	16%	17%	18%	14%	14%	15%	18%	19%	19%	19%	14%	19%	19%	20%	16%	10%	19%	10%	18%	21%	17%	9%	14%	18%	14%	20%	15%	15%	17%	17%	17%
Government Ineffectiveness	9%	9%	8%	4%	6%	9%	10%	5%	10%	**	9%	8%	9%	8%	10%	8%	8%	9%	9%	8%	10%	8%	10%	9%	8%	6%	10%	9%	8%	8%	8%	9%	7%	8%	8%	9%	6%	7%	6%	16%	10%	8%	9%	7%	7%	12%	9%	7%	8%	9%	6%	9%	8%	11%	8%	7%
Policing And Law Enforcement	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	**	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	0%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%
Something Else	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	**	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	**	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	2%	1%	2%	2%	4%	3%	2%	0%	2%	3%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	1%	2%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

19	In general, how much trust and confidence do you have in the wisdom of the American people when it comes to making political decisions? A great deal? A good deal? Not very much? Or none at all?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Great Deal	11%	12%	10%	5%	7%	13%	13%	7%	13%	**	11%	11%	12%	12%	8%	11%	11%	28%	0%	12%	4%	6%	17%	7%	15%	13%	12%	10%	6%	11%	12%	13%	6%	10%	15%	6%	18%	12%	14%	8%	4%	8%	7%	18%	12%	8%	5%	3%	12%	8%	8%	12%	11%	12%	8%	13%
Good Deal	28%	27%	28%	26%	29%	24%	30%	28%	27%	**	28%	27%	29%	27%	29%	27%	28%	72%	0%	28%	24%	30%	22%	30%	27%	27%	27%	27%	32%	24%	28%	28%	27%	26%	26%	29%	26%	29%	28%	20%	30%	29%	33%	21%	31%	31%	28%	34%	27%	29%	27%	28%	27%	29%	27%	27%
Not Very Much	51%	50%	52%	53%	50%	52%	50%	51%	51%	**	51%	51%	51%	51%	52%	54%	50%	0%	86%	50%	59%	56%	48%	54%	47%	49%	50%	54%	51%	55%	50%	49%	55%	55%	51%	52%	46%	49%	50%	58%	51%	54%	52%	50%	49%	52%	57%	48%	51%	52%	52%	51%	50%	50%	56%	48%
None At All	8%	9%	8%	11%	10%	8%	6%	11%	7%	**	8%	8%	7%	8%	8%	5%	9%	0%	14%	8%	10%	6%	12%	7%	9%	9%	8%	7%	9%	8%	8%	7%	8%	9%	7%	10%	9%	7%	6%	10%	13%	7%	7%	10%	6%	7%	7%	14%	8%	9%	9%	8%	9%	6%	7%	10%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	5%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	**	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	0%	0%	2%	4%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	5%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

20	Some people say they are content with the federal government, others say they are frustrated, and still others say they are angry. Which best describes how you feel?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Content	10%	10%	10%	14%	9%	12%	8%	11%	10%	**	10%	7%	25%	10%	12%	14%	9%	13%	9%	10%	9%	0%	0%	19%	3%	9%	8%	12%	14%	9%	10%	10%	12%	14%	8%	13%	3%	4%	2%	6%	16%	17%	27%	3%	4%	15%	19%	18%	9%	12%	12%	10%	8%	9%	14%	9%
Frustrated	49%	46%	51%	61%	56%	44%	46%	57%	45%	**	49%	49%	43%	49%	49%	43%	50%	45%	51%	46%	61%	100%	0%	54%	43%	45%	47%	51%	52%	42%	48%	53%	51%	46%	45%	52%	33%	54%	44%	53%	57%	60%	45%	34%	49%	56%	60%	56%	48%	50%	61%	45%	48%	51%	50%	43%
Angry	36%	40%	34%	19%	31%	40%	40%	27%	40%	**	37%	40%	19%	37%	34%	35%	37%	37%	37%	40%	19%	0%	100%	21%	52%	37%	41%	34%	32%	40%	35%	34%	35%	37%	42%	31%	63%	41%	51%	35%	22%	13%	18%	59%	43%	23%	19%	21%	40%	31%	21%	41%	41%	34%	31%	43%
Not Sure	5%	4%	6%	6%	4%	3%	6%	5%	5%	**	5%	3%	13%	5%	5%	8%	4%	6%	4%	3%	11%	0%	0%	7%	2%	9%	5%	3%	3%	8%	7%	3%	2%	3%	5%	4%	1%	2%	2%	6%	4%	10%	9%	3%	4%	6%	2%	5%	3%	8%	6%	4%	4%	6%	5%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

21	How much thought have you given to candidates who may be running for President in 2016? A lot? Some? Not much? Or none at all?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 1.9 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
A Lot	82%	84%	80%	58%	74%	85%	89%	68%	87%	**	82%	84%	72%	84%	76%	86%	82%	87%	79%	100%	0%	78%	90%	81%	84%	76%	82%	81%	89%	72%	79%	80%	86%	88%	83%	81%	91%	84%	86%	68%	78%	76%	83%	89%	83%	75%	80%	91%	86%	75%	63%	87%	83%	85%	80%	78%
Some	14%	11%	16%	37%	22%	11%	7%	27%	9%	**	13%	13%	18%	12%	19%	9%	14%	10%	16%	0%	77%	18%	6%	14%	12%	16%	13%	17%	8%	16%	17%	15%	12%	9%	13%	14%	8%	13%	11%	24%	18%	19%	9%	8%	12%	20%	17%	7%	11%	19%	31%	9%	13%	12%	14%	18%
Not Much	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	**	3%	3%	7%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	0%	19%	3%	3%	4%	3%	5%	3%	2%	3%	7%	3%	4%	1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	3%	2%	7%	3%	4%	5%	1%	4%	5%	3%	2%	3%	4%	5%	3%	3%	1%	5%	3%
None At All	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	**	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	4%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%
Not Sure	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	**	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

22	Which quality is more important to you in a presidential candidate? Experience and a proven record? Or new ideas and a different approach?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Experience And a Proven Record	45%	42%	48%	49%	40%	45%	47%	43%	46%	**	45%	41%	63%	44%	48%	48%	44%	43%	47%	45%	47%	50%	26%	100%	0%	42%	40%	47%	53%	47%	44%	44%	43%	53%	40%	51%	31%	33%	29%	34%	57%	63%	73%	33%	32%	54%	61%	63%	43%	48%	42%	46%	39%	43%	54%	44%
New Ideas And a Different Approach	49%	52%	45%	45%	50%	49%	48%	49%	49%	**	49%	53%	30%	50%	46%	46%	49%	54%	46%	50%	42%	43%	69%	0%	100%	49%	54%	49%	40%	45%	51%	51%	50%	43%	54%	44%	64%	63%	62%	60%	34%	32%	21%	61%	62%	38%	34%	34%	51%	46%	50%	48%	54%	50%	41%	51%
Not Sure	6%	6%	7%	6%	10%	6%	5%	8%	5%	**	6%	6%	7%	6%	6%	5%	6%	3%	8%	5%	11%	7%	5%	0%	0%	9%	7%	4%	7%	8%	6%	5%	7%	5%	7%	6%	5%	4%	9%	6%	9%	5%	7%	6%	5%	8%	5%	4%	6%	6%	7%	6%	7%	7%	5%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

23	Compared to a year ago, would you say your family is better off financially? Worse off financially? Or, are you in about the same place as you were a year ago?

1576 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Hispanic		Race		Registered		Already Voted?		Confidence in Vo		Attention		Mood		Important		Education				Income					Evangelical		Party Affiliation							Ideology					Married		Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	White	Black	Before 2	After	Yes	No	Yes	No	A Lot	Less	Frustrat	Angry	Experien	New Idea	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	Graduate	< $25K	$25K - $	$50K - $	$75K - $	$100K +	Yes	No	Strong R	Republic	Indy Lea	Independ	Indy Lea	Democrat	Strong D	Very Con	Somewhat	Moderate	Somewhat	Very Lib	Yes	No	Cell Pho	Landline	Charlott	Greensbo	Raleigh	Southern
Better Off	17%	18%	15%	34%	19%	19%	10%	24%	14%	**	16%	14%	33%	15%	21%	20%	16%	16%	17%	16%	21%	17%	9%	22%	11%	11%	14%	23%	17%	9%	15%	18%	16%	26%	13%	19%	8%	13%	8%	18%	21%	21%	31%	9%	12%	20%	24%	28%	17%	16%	27%	14%	14%	16%	21%	15%
Worse Off	33%	34%	33%	19%	28%	33%	39%	25%	36%	**	34%	36%	15%	35%	28%	29%	34%	36%	32%	36%	23%	26%	51%	22%	44%	38%	38%	29%	25%	49%	38%	29%	29%	17%	41%	25%	52%	37%	47%	34%	27%	15%	13%	51%	39%	26%	18%	15%	34%	31%	25%	36%	40%	33%	27%	32%
Same Place	49%	48%	51%	45%	52%	47%	51%	50%	49%	**	49%	49%	50%	49%	50%	50%	49%	47%	51%	48%	54%	56%	39%	55%	44%	49%	46%	48%	58%	40%	46%	52%	55%	56%	45%	55%	39%	50%	45%	48%	52%	60%	54%	39%	49%	53%	57%	57%	48%	51%	47%	50%	46%	50%	51%	51%
Not Sure	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	**	1%	1%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	48%	52%	9%	18%	32%	40%	28%	72%	3%	96%	80%	14%	77%	23%	22%	74%	38%	59%	82%	18%	49%	36%	45%	49%	19%	35%	28%	19%	13%	27%	21%	15%	17%	50%	46%	18%	16%	15%	10%	10%	14%	15%	24%	25%	25%	13%	9%	64%	36%	22%	78%	34%	21%	30%	15%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.