Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18730
 
In Red Kansas, Romney Atop Obama by 25 points, Gingrich Atop Obama by 17 points:

SurveyUSA looks at the two most likely Republican nominees, alone and paired as a Republican ticket, running against the existing Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and a new Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. Here is the progression of match-ups, and the results:

* Obama 31%
* Romney 56%
* Republicans by 25 points.

* Obama 35%
* Gingrich 52%
* Republicans by 17 points.

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Biden 32%
* Republican ticket of Romney-Gingrich 56%
* Republicans by 24 points.

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Clinton 34%
* Republican ticket of Romney-Gingrich 56%
* Republicans by 22 points.

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Biden 34%
* Republican ticket of Gingrich-Romney 53%
* Republicans by 19 points.

* Democratic ticket of Obama-Clinton 34%
* Republican ticket of Gingrich-Romney 52%
* Republicans by 18 points.

In 2008, John McCain carried Kansas by 17 points.

 
1Now I'm going to ask you about the election for president. There are a number of questions that might sound similar, but each question is in fact different. First, If there were an election for president today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
800 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyIncomeCatholic?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoNortheasSoutheasWestern
Obama (D)31%25%37%27%32%34%35%29%34%29%55%45%**8%66%33%4%39%8%39%71%37%30%27%30%32%37%29%20%
Romney (R)56%62%51%55%59%55%55%57%55%59%40%37%**79%28%51%89%47%83%48%18%46%59%63%59%55%51%61%63%
Undecided12%13%12%17%10%11%9%14%10%12%4%18%**12%7%17%7%13%9%13%11%17%11%10%10%13%12%11%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%31%30%21%18%61%39%85%5%6%4%41%25%33%20%74%39%40%15%35%36%29%19%79%49%35%16%
 
 
2What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Newt Gingrich?
800 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyIncomeCatholic?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoNortheasSoutheasWestern
Obama (D)35%30%39%32%35%37%37%33%37%32%56%57%**12%66%37%4%44%9%46%73%39%35%31%33%35%42%30%24%
Gingrich (R)52%58%45%50%55%48%52%53%50%54%42%29%**72%26%46%89%42%79%40%21%44%54%56%50%51%45%57%57%
Undecided14%12%15%18%10%15%11%14%13%15%2%14%**15%8%16%6%14%13%15%5%17%11%13%17%13%13%13%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%31%30%21%18%61%39%85%5%6%4%41%25%33%20%74%39%40%15%35%36%29%19%79%49%35%16%
 
 
3OK, listen carefully, what if your choice was between Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the Republican Ticket of Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
800 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyIncomeCatholic?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoNortheasSoutheasWestern
Obama/Biden (D)32%27%38%28%35%33%35%32%34%30%54%51%**9%64%36%4%41%9%40%71%39%31%27%32%33%38%28%25%
Romney/Gingrich (R)56%63%51%58%58%55%52%58%54%59%42%41%**82%30%47%89%49%82%47%24%49%57%64%57%56%50%63%62%
Undecided11%10%12%13%7%12%12%10%12%12%4%8%**9%6%17%7%11%9%13%5%13%11%8%11%11%12%9%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%31%30%21%18%61%39%85%5%6%4%41%25%33%20%74%39%40%15%35%36%29%19%79%49%35%16%
 
 
4OK, what if your choice was between Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, and the Republican Ticket of Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
800 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyIncomeCatholic?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoNortheasSoutheasWestern
Obama/Clinton (D)34%28%40%30%34%36%39%32%37%32%59%46%**10%68%37%6%43%9%42%75%40%32%31%32%35%40%32%22%
Romney/Gingrich (R)56%63%49%57%57%55%51%57%53%58%38%41%**81%26%48%88%48%81%47%21%49%57%61%55%55%49%61%63%
Undecided10%10%11%13%9%9%10%11%9%10%3%13%**9%6%15%6%10%9%12%4%11%11%9%13%9%10%8%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%31%30%21%18%61%39%85%5%6%4%41%25%33%20%74%39%40%15%35%36%29%19%79%49%35%16%
 
 
5Last two pairings..., what if your choice was between Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the Republican Ticket of Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
800 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyIncomeCatholic?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoNortheasSoutheasWestern
Obama/Biden (D)34%30%38%32%36%33%37%34%35%31%56%58%**12%65%38%4%44%9%45%71%40%34%30%35%35%41%30%25%
Gingrich/Romney (R)53%59%47%54%56%51%49%55%50%55%40%34%**77%27%45%89%44%80%41%22%48%53%58%51%53%47%59%59%
Undecided13%11%14%14%8%16%14%11%15%13%4%8%**12%8%17%7%12%11%14%7%12%14%12%14%12%12%11%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%31%30%21%18%61%39%85%5%6%4%41%25%33%20%74%39%40%15%35%36%29%19%79%49%35%16%
 
 
6OK, what if your choice was between the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, and the Republican Ticket of Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
800 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyIncomeCatholic?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberal< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoNortheasSoutheasWestern
Obama/Clinton (D)34%29%39%32%34%35%39%33%37%31%58%53%**12%66%36%4%43%9%43%72%39%33%31%31%35%40%32%22%
Gingrich/Romney (R)52%61%45%53%56%51%49%54%50%55%38%29%**74%26%47%90%43%79%42%22%44%55%59%51%53%46%57%60%
Undecided13%10%16%16%10%15%12%13%14%14%4%18%**14%7%16%5%14%12%15%6%16%12%10%18%12%13%11%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%31%30%21%18%61%39%85%5%6%4%41%25%33%20%74%39%40%15%35%36%29%19%79%49%35%16%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.