Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20004
 
New York State's 29 Electoral Votes Remain Deep Blue; Democrat Gillibrand Is a Lock for Re-Election to U.S. Senate:

In an election today in New York for President of the United States, Barack Obama defeats Mitt Romney 62% to 33%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WABC-TV in New York City. Obama leads by 3 points among the state's white voters, but minorities overwhelmingly vote for Obama, pushing him to a 2:1 statewide advantage. Independents break 44% to 41% for Romney. Obama has a Plus 28 Net Favorability Rating. Romney has a Minus 23 Net Favorability Rating.

In an election for United States Senator from New York state, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Republican challenger Wendy Long 64% to 22% today. 34% of Republicans and 33% of conservatives cross-over and vote Democratic in the contest. Gillibrand has a Plus 38 Net Favorability Rating. Long has a Minus 4 Net Favorability Rating, with 63% of New York State likely voters having either no opinion of Long at all, or a neutral opinion.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 New York state adults 10/23/12 through 10/25/12. Of the adults, 628 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 554 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their cell-phone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
1 If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
554 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Mitt Romney (R)33%35%30%21%36%35%41%28%38%46%3%17%17%23%36%79%9%44%64%33%5%31%28%37%21%32%47%19%44%38%48%
Barack Obama (D)62%57%66%72%58%59%56%65%58%49%94%80%62%66%60%19%89%41%29%61%91%65%65%57%74%61%49%75%52%53%48%
Other4%6%2%4%5%4%2%4%3%4%1%0%17%7%3%1%1%10%6%3%3%2%3%5%3%5%3%4%1%7%1%
Undecided2%2%2%3%1%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%4%5%1%2%1%4%2%2%1%2%3%1%2%2%2%1%3%2%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%27%27%26%20%53%47%61%15%15%8%26%74%23%53%22%25%38%25%20%31%50%32%33%36%43%25%18%13%
 
 
2If the election for United States Senator from New York were today, who would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Wendy Long? Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand? Or one of the other candidates?
554 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Wendy Long (R)22%25%20%15%20%26%30%17%28%29%7%15%15%19%24%53%8%26%52%17%4%26%18%24%16%22%30%17%24%28%32%
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)64%61%66%70%60%66%58%65%62%58%85%65%66%62%64%34%83%49%33%71%85%62%65%63%66%63%60%68%61%62%55%
Other7%9%5%4%12%5%8%8%6%7%2%10%13%6%8%10%3%16%11%7%3%6%6%8%8%9%5%7%8%8%5%
Undecided7%4%9%12%7%4%4%10%4%6%6%10%7%13%5%4%6%9%4%6%7%5%11%5%9%6%5%8%7%2%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%27%27%26%20%53%47%61%15%15%8%26%74%23%53%22%25%38%25%20%31%50%32%33%36%43%25%18%13%
 
 
3Is your opinion of Barack Obama ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
554 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Favorable58%55%61%64%58%54%54%61%54%44%91%78%65%62%57%18%82%38%29%56%85%59%60%55%73%55%45%71%48%52%43%
Unfavorable30%34%27%20%33%32%38%26%34%42%7%13%16%22%33%68%10%39%63%29%6%30%25%34%21%29%42%17%41%35%44%
Neutral11%11%10%15%8%12%7%12%10%13%3%9%13%14%10%13%7%20%7%15%9%8%14%11%7%14%11%11%10%12%12%
No Opinion1%0%2%1%0%2%0%1%1%1%0%0%6%2%1%1%1%3%1%1%0%3%1%0%0%2%2%1%2%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%27%27%26%20%53%47%61%15%15%8%26%74%23%53%22%25%38%25%20%31%50%32%33%36%43%25%18%13%
 
 
4Is your opinion of Mitt Romney ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
554 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Favorable32%36%29%23%31%33%44%27%38%43%7%22%17%23%35%73%11%42%58%32%8%33%25%36%23%29%44%22%44%32%43%
Unfavorable55%50%59%63%54%55%44%59%50%46%83%54%69%58%54%19%76%41%32%54%76%54%58%53%62%55%46%62%50%54%40%
Neutral10%11%10%12%13%7%9%12%8%10%8%19%7%18%8%8%10%16%8%12%11%9%12%10%9%14%8%11%5%13%14%
No Opinion3%3%2%2%2%4%3%2%4%2%2%5%7%1%3%1%3%2%2%2%5%4%5%1%5%1%2%4%1%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%27%27%26%20%53%47%61%15%15%8%26%74%23%53%22%25%38%25%20%31%50%32%33%36%43%25%18%13%
 
 
5Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
554 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Favorable51%52%50%42%49%60%53%46%57%50%65%40%52%44%53%32%65%42%31%59%62%45%49%54%46%51%55%53%49%56%41%
Unfavorable13%17%10%11%11%15%17%11%16%18%6%7%5%11%14%26%4%22%30%10%4%13%11%16%11%12%16%7%16%19%19%
Neutral24%23%25%33%28%17%18%30%17%24%22%29%26%38%20%33%20%27%28%25%23%22%27%24%27%28%20%25%25%18%31%
No Opinion11%8%15%14%12%7%13%13%10%9%8%23%17%7%13%10%12%9%11%6%12%20%14%6%16%9%9%14%10%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%27%27%26%20%53%47%61%15%15%8%26%74%23%53%22%25%38%25%20%31%50%32%33%36%43%25%18%13%
 
 
6Is your opinion of Wendy Long ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
554 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Favorable16%19%13%13%11%17%23%12%20%20%7%9%11%16%16%35%7%17%32%16%3%15%13%18%12%17%20%12%19%16%22%
Unfavorable20%24%18%24%21%18%18%22%18%21%29%17%4%21%20%7%27%18%11%22%29%17%18%23%19%20%20%21%20%24%14%
Neutral33%35%32%36%37%33%24%37%29%31%30%40%47%47%28%35%29%42%35%35%33%38%34%31%38%34%31%34%32%37%29%
No Opinion30%23%37%27%30%32%34%29%33%28%35%34%38%16%35%22%36%22%22%27%35%30%34%27%32%30%29%33%30%22%36%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%27%27%26%20%53%47%61%15%15%8%26%74%23%53%22%25%38%25%20%31%50%32%33%36%43%25%18%13%