Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23290
 
In Florida, Could Rising Clinton Tide Sink Rubio? Marco Maintains Slight Edge At The Moment, 2 Weeks Until Votes Are Counted;
Solar Amendment #1 Unlikely to Pass; Medical Marijuana Amendment #2 Broadly Backed, Should Hit 60% Needed to Become Law:


The hold-your-breath state of Florida has high-profile contests for President and U.S. Senate that could go either way when votes are counted in 14 days, according to SurveyUSA research conducted for Bay News 9 in Tampa and News 13 in Orlando.

Democrat Hillary Clinton has a narrow, 48% to 45% advantage over Republican Donald Trump, with 6% of voters saying they will vote for minor-party candidates.

Clinton leads 2:1 among the youngest voters. If the youngest voters show up --- and that is a significant "if" --- Clinton carries the state's critical 29 electoral votes. Trump leads by 11 points among the state's seniors, and they will show up. The older the electorate, the better Trump will perform. Clinton leads among women, but not by much: 6 points. Much more worrisome for Trump is that he does not lead among men; Clinton edges him by a nominal 1 point, 47% to 46%. And, putting a finer point on it, Trump does not lead among high-school educated men, a group he must carry; Clinton edges him there by 4 points, 49% to 45%. Among "very conservative" men, Clinton siphons 1 out of 6 voters, from a group where Trump cannot afford to lose a single vote.

Trump leads among the state's white voters, 50% to 42%. Clinton leads overwhelmingly, as expected, among the state's African American voters. Cubans break for Trump, 49% to 44%. Non-Cuban Hispanics back Clinton, 56% to 37%. Asians prefer Clinton by 14 points.

4 in 10 voters say the economy is the most important issue in 2016, and among those voters, Clinton leads 5:4. Trump leads by 49 points among voters focused on immigration, but only 1 in 8 voters say immigration is the most important issue. Trump leads by 47 points among Evangelicals, by 24 points among gun owners, by 7 points in military households. Clinton leads by 26 points in Southeast Florida, which is enough to offset Trump's advantage in Northwest FL (Trump up 20), Central FL (Trump up 7), and Southwest FL (Trump up 4). The candidates are tied in Northeast FL.

Whatever stink there is on either candidate offsets: Among Trump supporters, two-thirds are voting "for Trump," one-third are voting "against Clinton." Among Clinton supporters, two-thirds are voting "for Clinton," one-third are voting "against Trump." 24% of Trump voters have reservations about Trump. 29% of Clinton supporters have reservations about Clinton.

Incumbent Republican Marco Rubio is running 4 point ahead of Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy in the high-profile contest for U.S. Senator, 45% to 41%. Rubio leads 2:1 among Cubans, but by 5 points among non-Cuban Hispanics. 8 in 10 Rubio voters are also Trump voters, and should Trump's support collapse in the campaign's final days, Rubio could be caught in the undertow. And, if the Clinton get-out-the-vote operation produces bonus Democrats and friendly Independents beyond what is anticipated here, Murphy may outperform these numbers.

Rubio can take comfort in his 13-point lead among seniors, but the youngest voters back Murphy. The contest may well be decided by Baby Boomers, who today back Rubio by 2 points, 45% to 43%. Murphy leads by 20 points in Southeast Florida, but Rubio leads everywhere else. To upset Rubio, Murphy must gain late ground among independent men, where he trails by 5, and independent women, where he trails by 11.

Contentious Constitutional Amendment #1 on solar energy has a nominal 7-point advantage at this hour, 40% to 33%, but that is unlikely to be sufficient support to get the ballot measure to the 60% threshold it needs to become law. 1 in 4 of the most likely voters today are not yet certain which way they will vote on #1. For Amendment #1 to pass, 3 of every 4 undecided voters would need to vote "Yes" on #1. At present, the youngest voters and the least affluent voters back Amendment #1 by 2:1. Wealthy voters narrowly oppose. Other than that, there is little political correlation. The measure is as likely to be backed by strong Republicans as by strong Democrats as by independents as by moderates. The measure leads by 8 points among Trump voters, by 9 points among Clinton voters, by 8 points among men, by 6 points among women.

Constitutional Amendment #2, which would legalize medical marijuana, is supported 65% to 25% at this hour, which should be enough to reach the 60% threshold. More than 7 in 10 voters under the age of 65 support the amendment, which is backed by 8 of 10 Democrats and by 9 of 10 liberals.

Statewide Favorability Ratings:

* Democratic President Barack Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 32% of FL voters, extremely unfavorably by 36%.
* Republican Governor Rick Scott is viewed extremely favorably by 13% of FL voters, extremely unfavorably by 25%.
* Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 23% of FL voters, extremely unfavorably by 46%.
* Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 21% of FL voters, extremely unfavorably by 45%.
* Rubio is viewed extremely favorably by 12% of FL voters, extremely unfavorably by 22%.
* Murphy is viewed extremely favorably by 11% of FL voters, extremely unfavorably by 18%.

Context and Methodology: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,400 state of Florida adults 10/20/16 through 10/24/16. Of the adults, 1,314 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 1,251 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 election. Just 1% of voters interviewed for this survey say they "almost always" vote in Presidential elections, but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates on the ballot. 5% of voters say they "almost never" vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they were drawn to one of this year's candidates. Importantly: these "new" voters are spread across the political spectrum; they are not disproportionately Trump supporters. All of the interviews for this survey were conducted after the 3rd Presidential debate and at a time when Trump described himself as "unshackled." This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (65% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (35% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. No state has a higher profile and no state is more fiercely contested than Florida in a Presidential election. Obama carried the state by less than 1 percentage point in 2012 and by 3 percentage points in 2008. Republican George W Bush carried the state by 5 points in 2004 and by a handful of votes in 2000. More than 1 million early ballots have already been returned out of an expected 8.5 million ballots to be counted on Election Day.
 
1Florida will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 1.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Always Do / Will This Year90%91%89%80%88%93%96%85%94%95%83%91%87%82%95%90%90%81%92%91%95%92%87%93%92%92%87%93%95%95%94%96%96%95%95%96%95%95%96%91%92%78%86%90%94%91%90%92%89%90%89%79%91%93%84%90%94%84%93%89%81%88%94%92%92%91%93%92%92%88%86%78%93%
Always Do / Not This Year1%1%2%3%1%1%1%2%1%0%2%1%1%2%1%3%2%1%1%1%0%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%----------1%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%1%6%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%3%1%
Not Sure Yet 3%2%4%7%3%2%1%5%2%2%3%3%5%5%1%3%2%5%2%2%1%2%3%2%1%2%4%2%1%----------4%2%5%4%3%2%2%3%1%4%4%3%4%4%2%5%3%2%6%1%5%6%2%1%4%2%5%1%3%1%2%6%1%2%
Rarely Do / Will This Year5%6%5%10%7%3%2%8%2%3%12%5%6%9%3%4%6%10%5%5%4%4%7%5%5%4%7%3%3%5%6%4%4%5%5%4%5%5%4%3%5%13%7%5%3%5%5%5%5%4%6%14%4%4%8%5%3%7%4%5%7%8%4%3%3%2%6%4%5%8%6%15%4%
Don't / Won't This Year0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%----------1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%1%0%3%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
2If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Green Party candidate Jill Stein? Or one of the other candidates?
1251 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Donald Trump (R)45%46%44%28%43%49%54%37%52%49%37%50%18%41%93%77%85%37%5%8%4%85%48%6%79%72%38%8%4%72%53%42%56%100%0%83%5%44%44%39%45%62%31%49%57%71%36%50%43%59%33%45%50%41%38%47%48%33%51%55%48%49%49%34%41%36%45%46%79%47%48%45%42%
Hillary Clinton (D)48%47%50%59%48%46%43%52%45%44%56%42%78%55%5%17%8%43%83%90%96%11%39%93%16%23%55%85%92%23%43%52%40%0%100%11%93%50%48%55%48%32%60%46%37%24%57%43%51%35%59%46%43%53%55%47%46%55%45%35%48%42%45%60%54%57%47%48%18%38%42%49%51%
Gary Johnson (L)2%3%2%4%3%2%1%3%2%2%2%3%0%2%0%3%3%7%6%0%0%2%5%0%0%2%2%4%1%2%2%2%2%0%0%2%1%2%4%1%3%4%4%2%1%1%3%2%3%2%3%1%3%3%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%2%1%1%2%3%2%0%5%5%0%3%
Jill Stein (G)1%2%1%4%1%0%0%2%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%5%3%0%0%0%3%0%0%0%2%0%2%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%3%1%1%0%2%1%0%0%2%2%1%0%2%2%2%0%0%1%2%2%1%7%1%1%0%0%1%2%2%0%0%4%2%2%1%
Other3%3%3%5%5%1%1%5%1%4%5%3%2%1%1%3%2%7%1%2%0%2%4%1%4%2%2%2%1%1%1%3%2%0%0%3%0%3%2%3%3%1%2%2%4%3%2%2%3%2%3%6%2%2%4%3%2%7%1%0%0%3%3%4%2%4%3%3%3%4%3%5%3%
Undecided0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%2%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%19%26%29%27%45%55%5%7%80%14%7%16%16%13%12%9%18%15%32%34%33%19%23%30%14%12%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%27%61%10%35%35%30%26%67%33%66%39%56%15%34%50%25%35%39%35%65%7%9%31%22%30%13%14%31%30%9%19%15%7%41%
 
3Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
564 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Trump67%66%68%61%63%70%69%63%70%71%58%68%68%53%81%66%59%52%******74%57%**74%67%58%****77%67%68%51%67%**68%**70%66%67%68%67%60%68%70%75%61%70%65%64%69%70%67%66%73%68%62%54%72%60%68%64%66%76%65%70%69%67%72%60%53%70%66%
Against Clinton31%32%31%34%36%29%29%35%29%29%33%31%32%39%18%33%40%43%******25%41%**25%32%39%****22%31%31%48%31%**32%**30%33%32%31%33%36%31%29%24%38%28%33%34%29%26%31%33%24%29%37%43%27%40%30%34%31%24%34%30%30%32%27%37%45%24%33%
Not Sure2%2%2%5%1%1%2%2%1%0%9%1%0%8%0%1%1%4%******1%3%**1%1%3%****0%2%1%1%2%**1%**1%1%0%1%0%4%1%1%1%2%1%2%2%1%4%1%1%3%3%0%3%1%0%2%2%3%1%1%0%1%1%1%4%2%6%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Trump Voters100%50%50%11%25%32%32%36%64%6%5%88%5%6%32%27%25%10%1%3%1%59%36%4%32%38%25%2%1%21%21%37%14%100%0%82%5%40%32%23%61%14%24%38%38%41%53%37%63%51%42%15%38%46%21%37%42%26%74%9%10%34%24%23%12%11%30%30%15%20%16%7%38%
 
4Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
564 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Enthusiastically74%73%75%60%68%78%81%66%79%75%77%74%89%61%86%72%66%65%******79%66%**83%73%64%****85%79%72%65%74%**75%**76%75%75%73%83%62%77%80%83%67%77%72%73%73%75%78%71%82%76%68%52%82%76%78%73%69%79%66%84%74%72%80%65%67%80%68%
With Reservations24%25%24%33%30%22%19%31%21%25%14%25%11%32%14%28%33%28%******20%32%**17%27%32%****15%20%27%35%24%**24%**23%25%25%26%17%34%22%20%17%32%23%26%25%26%21%21%29%16%22%32%43%18%24%21%26%27%21%34%16%25%28%19%32%32%14%32%
Not Sure1%2%1%7%2%0%0%3%0%0%9%1%0%7%0%0%1%7%******0%2%**0%0%4%****0%1%1%0%1%**1%**1%0%0%1%0%4%1%0%0%1%0%2%2%1%4%1%0%2%1%1%4%0%0%1%1%4%0%0%0%1%1%1%3%1%6%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Trump Voters100%50%50%11%25%32%32%36%64%6%5%88%5%6%32%27%25%10%1%3%1%59%36%4%32%38%25%2%1%21%21%37%14%100%0%82%5%40%32%23%61%14%24%38%38%41%53%37%63%51%42%15%38%46%21%37%42%26%74%9%10%34%24%23%12%11%30%30%15%20%16%7%38%
 
5Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
602 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Clinton67%67%68%59%56%74%80%57%77%58%50%70%65%54%**39%**60%60%67%83%40%59%75%80%63%67%64%74%72%73%65%63%**67%39%74%67%71%67%68%67%66%65%75%71%67%78%63%63%69%61%66%70%71%57%75%54%76%78%65%72%67%64%69%65%65%71%**61%55%61%71%
Against Trump31%31%31%37%44%25%18%41%22%32%49%29%33%45%**57%**38%39%31%16%57%40%24%18%31%32%36%26%24%27%33%35%**31%57%25%32%27%32%31%29%33%34%23%29%32%21%35%36%29%38%32%29%27%41%24%44%23%17%32%27%31%36%30%33%33%29%**36%44%39%28%
Not Sure2%2%1%4%1%1%2%2%1%10%1%2%2%0%**4%**2%2%1%1%3%2%1%1%6%1%0%0%4%0%2%3%**2%4%1%1%1%1%1%5%1%2%2%0%1%1%2%1%2%1%3%1%2%2%1%2%1%5%3%1%2%1%1%1%2%0%**2%1%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Clinton Voters100%47%53%23%26%28%24%48%52%5%8%70%22%8%2%6%2%11%15%33%31%7%28%64%6%11%34%24%22%6%16%42%10%0%100%10%79%42%33%31%60%7%44%33%23%13%79%30%70%29%69%15%30%55%29%34%37%40%60%5%9%27%20%38%14%17%30%30%3%15%13%7%43%
 
6Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
602 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Enthusiastically69%71%66%55%60%81%77%58%79%68%56%66%80%65%**47%**60%55%64%90%54%55%77%95%64%67%57%78%74%72%70%52%**69%32%76%73%62%68%68%78%64%70%75%76%67%81%64%68%69%80%69%66%73%65%69%52%80%84%70%71%64%67%73%64%69%66%**58%51%87%64%
With Reservations29%27%30%38%39%18%21%39%19%16%40%32%18%34%**53%**37%43%34%8%45%42%21%4%35%32%38%21%24%26%29%43%**29%61%23%22%38%28%31%22%33%28%21%23%31%18%33%31%28%18%27%33%24%33%28%44%19%12%28%29%33%29%25%30%30%32%**42%43%11%34%
Not Sure2%1%4%7%0%1%2%4%1%16%4%3%2%1%**0%**3%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%1%2%5%1%2%2%1%5%**2%6%1%4%0%5%2%0%2%2%4%2%3%1%3%1%3%3%4%2%2%2%4%4%1%4%2%1%2%4%2%7%1%2%**0%5%1%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Clinton Voters100%47%53%23%26%28%24%48%52%5%8%70%22%8%2%6%2%11%15%33%31%7%28%64%6%11%34%24%22%6%16%42%10%0%100%10%79%42%33%31%60%7%44%33%23%13%79%30%70%29%69%15%30%55%29%34%37%40%60%5%9%27%20%38%14%17%30%30%3%15%13%7%43%
 
7In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
8 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 35.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Republican57%60%53%39%0%100%61%27%73%**0%64%**0%100%**69%**0%54%0%100%35%30%**81%41%**0%----------100%62%21%35%76%55%79%46%60%46%38%61%19%0%87%55%65%38%**57%**31%49%100%****100%100%0%**35%35%0%87%
Democrat36%40%30%61%100%0%25%73%18%**100%29%**100%0%**0%**100%46%100%0%49%70%**0%59%**100%----------0%38%63%65%0%45%21%43%26%54%62%28%81%0%13%45%17%62%**36%**69%37%0%****0%0%100%**65%31%100%13%
Split6%0%16%0%0%0%14%0%10%**0%7%**0%0%**31%**0%0%0%0%16%0%**19%0%**0%----------0%0%16%0%24%0%0%11%14%0%0%11%0%100%0%0%18%0%**6%**0%14%0%****0%0%0%**0%34%0%0%
Not Sure0%------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%0%100%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%0%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Protest Voters100%61%39%23%11%20%47%34%66%0%11%89%0%11%30%0%22%0%22%14%12%30%44%26%0%38%36%0%12%          22%34%43%42%29%29%31%63%49%51%35%65%41%7%52%27%39%35%0%100%0%29%45%26%0%0%20%20%12%0%21%19%25%47%
 
8Which ONE of these 6 issues is the single most important issue facing the country today? Immigration? Terrorism? The Economy? National Security? Education? The environment? Or is some other issue most important?
1251 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Immigration13%15%11%12%12%11%17%12%14%13%22%13%14%11%23%17%19%13%5%7%6%20%13%7%22%18%11%6%5%100%0%0%0%21%6%22%6%16%13%13%13%16%12%14%15%21%10%16%12%15%12%15%14%12%13%13%14%10%15%13%16%14%14%11%16%11%15%10%26%15%12%18%12%
Terrorism18%13%22%12%16%20%21%14%20%12%8%18%19%8%21%19%17%14%10%21%16%20%14%19%18%20%19%15%11%0%100%0%0%21%16%20%16%20%13%17%18%19%14%21%18%20%16%19%17%19%17%23%20%14%21%16%18%16%19%21%19%15%16%20%13%21%12%24%11%8%23%18%15%
Economy39%40%37%35%40%42%37%38%40%42%35%38%44%39%34%41%40%37%38%43%40%37%39%42%34%44%41%36%34%0%0%100%0%37%42%37%41%37%43%40%39%34%36%40%41%33%42%35%41%39%39%39%36%41%38%44%34%37%40%30%39%39%40%40%42%39%40%37%42%41%35%41%39%
National Security12%12%11%8%16%10%12%13%11%10%7%12%9%14%17%13%17%9%7%9%9%15%12%9%14%11%11%10%12%0%0%0%100%14%10%14%10%11%11%9%13%14%8%14%13%15%11%12%11%13%11%6%11%13%7%11%15%14%10%14%10%13%12%10%11%7%12%13%13%10%14%7%13%
Education6%6%6%11%5%5%4%8%5%7%17%6%5%8%1%3%0%5%14%9%10%2%6%9%2%2%7%14%10%0%0%0%0%1%10%1%10%6%6%8%5%5%7%6%4%4%6%3%7%4%7%4%5%7%5%7%6%7%5%4%7%6%4%7%5%10%7%3%2%5%6%1%7%
Environment5%6%4%7%4%6%4%5%5%3%5%5%3%10%0%2%0%7%14%6%9%1%6%8%1%0%4%11%17%0%0%0%0%0%9%0%11%5%6%5%5%4%9%3%2%2%7%5%5%4%6%5%5%5%5%5%5%4%5%4%4%4%5%7%6%4%6%5%1%8%3%11%5%
Other6%7%5%10%5%5%5%7%5%4%3%6%5%8%3%4%4%13%9%2%8%3%9%5%7%3%7%3%9%0%0%0%0%5%5%4%6%5%6%5%6%5%10%2%6%4%6%8%5%4%7%5%7%5%9%4%6%8%5%14%3%7%6%4%5%4%7%5%5%12%4%3%6%
Not Sure2%1%3%4%2%1%1%3%1%9%1%2%0%2%1%2%2%2%2%4%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%4%1%0%0%0%0%1%2%2%1%1%1%3%1%3%3%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%1%3%4%1%0%2%1%3%3%2%4%1%2%1%1%4%1%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%19%26%29%27%45%55%5%7%80%14%7%16%16%13%12%9%18%15%32%34%33%19%23%30%14%12%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%27%61%10%35%35%30%26%67%33%66%39%56%15%34%50%25%35%39%35%65%7%9%31%22%30%13%14%31%30%9%19%15%7%41%
 
9If the election for United States Senator from Florida were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Marco Rubio? Democrat Patrick Murphy? Or one of the other candidates?
1251 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Marco Rubio (R)45%45%44%33%44%45%53%39%49%59%43%49%21%36%92%77%81%28%5%15%4%84%43%10%77%72%34%14%4%73%50%42%54%82%10%100%0%44%44%42%45%53%29%48%58%72%35%48%43%54%36%39%51%42%38%45%48%37%49%51%54%47%50%34%43%41%44%46%75%42%44%40%43%
Patrick Murphy (D)41%41%41%44%38%43%40%41%42%28%38%37%67%43%3%9%5%38%79%73%92%6%35%82%14%16%44%75%91%18%38%43%36%5%79%0%100%42%45%43%42%32%54%36%32%19%49%39%42%32%49%43%34%46%46%41%39%41%41%31%33%36%38%54%42%43%43%41%18%37%33%45%44%
Other6%7%5%5%7%7%4%6%6%3%8%6%5%4%4%7%7%11%6%5%0%6%8%3%6%7%6%6%2%6%4%6%4%7%3%0%0%8%5%6%6%6%7%6%5%5%6%7%6%8%5%7%6%6%6%5%6%3%7%2%3%9%5%5%6%6%7%5%5%9%7%6%6%
Undecided8%7%9%18%11%5%2%14%4%10%11%8%7%17%1%8%7%23%10%6%4%4%14%5%3%5%16%5%3%3%8%9%6%6%8%0%0%6%5%9%7%9%10%10%5%3%9%6%9%5%10%11%9%7%10%9%7%18%3%16%9%8%7%7%9%10%6%8%1%12%16%9%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%19%26%29%27%45%55%5%7%80%14%7%16%16%13%12%9%18%15%32%34%33%19%23%30%14%12%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%27%61%10%35%35%30%26%67%33%66%39%56%15%34%50%25%35%39%35%65%7%9%31%22%30%13%14%31%30%9%19%15%7%41%
 
10Also on the ballot in November is Amendment 1, which would make current Florida solar energy law part of the state constitution. It establishes that consumers may use solar equipment to generate electricity for their own use. It does not require power companies to buy back excess power produced by consumer solar systems. It restricts any costs for subsidies for the production of solar power from being imposed on non-solar energy producers. Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
1251 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Yes40%42%39%51%40%37%37%45%37%33%59%38%53%41%43%40%35%39%37%41%47%41%37%44%44%44%39%30%40%48%46%38%37%40%42%40%41%100%0%46%38%45%37%43%42%47%37%42%40%41%42%47%43%37%50%41%35%47%37%35%42%43%35%42%50%43%38%37%44%38%36%43%37%
No33%34%33%25%28%37%41%27%39%35%27%37%18%28%34%30%38%28%39%34%35%32%34%35%33%28%34%40%43%33%24%37%33%32%33%33%37%0%100%34%35%28%38%28%35%29%37%38%32%32%33%22%32%38%25%36%38%25%38%37%23%34%39%32%33%35%35%35%35%35%34%23%40%
Not Certain26%25%27%23%32%26%23%28%24%31%14%25%29%31%23%31%28%34%24%24%18%27%29%22%24%28%27%30%17%19%30%25%30%28%24%27%22%0%0%20%28%27%25%29%23%25%25%20%29%27%25%31%25%25%25%24%27%27%25%28%35%23%26%26%17%22%27%29%21%28%31%34%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%19%26%29%27%45%55%5%7%80%14%7%16%16%13%12%9%18%15%32%34%33%19%23%30%14%12%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%27%61%10%35%35%30%26%67%33%66%39%56%15%34%50%25%35%39%35%65%7%9%31%22%30%13%14%31%30%9%19%15%7%41%
 
11Also on the ballot in November is Amendment 2, which would legalize medical marijuana for individuals with certain medical conditions. Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
1251 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Yes65%67%64%73%70%70%52%71%61%64%60%66%71%55%44%47%53%79%85%73%85%46%70%79%45%55%68%88%89%49%76%61%65%48%81%49%82%72%64%71%63%69%81%67%45%49%71%64%66%63%69%64%65%67%71%68%61%74%61%71%61%64%60%70%77%67%62%64%47%69%72%61%67%
No25%25%25%19%19%24%38%19%30%21%31%26%18%33%48%40%37%15%7%18%7%44%21%13%46%35%22%7%9%47%18%26%27%42%11%42%11%21%31%21%28%25%11%24%44%42%20%28%24%30%21%23%26%25%19%24%29%15%31%24%26%26%32%20%19%23%29%27%44%23%19%26%24%
Not Certain9%8%10%8%12%7%10%10%8%15%10%9%12%12%8%13%10%7%8%9%8%10%8%8%9%10%11%6%2%4%6%13%8%10%8%9%6%7%5%8%10%6%7%10%11%9%9%8%10%7%11%13%9%8%9%8%10%11%8%5%12%9%8%10%4%11%9%10%10%8%9%13%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%49%51%19%26%29%27%45%55%5%7%80%14%7%16%16%13%12%9%18%15%32%34%33%19%23%30%14%12%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%27%61%10%35%35%30%26%67%33%66%39%56%15%34%50%25%35%39%35%65%7%9%31%22%30%13%14%31%30%9%19%15%7%41%
 
12Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable32%30%33%41%28%28%32%34%30%30%40%26%60%36%3%8%4%18%57%58%79%6%22%68%16%15%28%56%75%16%24%36%25%1%65%6%68%38%31%38%31%16%39%30%25%19%36%30%33%22%39%29%30%34%36%30%31%33%31%27%30%25%27%45%36%40%30%32%17%21%24%31%31%
Favorable18%18%18%25%20%17%12%22%15%11%19%18%18%19%3%11%7%28%36%30%16%7%22%24%5%9%28%27%16%5%21%18%18%4%29%6%26%17%17%19%17%21%21%20%12%8%22%15%20%17%20%18%16%20%20%19%16%24%15%14%18%20%17%17%19%19%17%17%4%23%20%16%21%
Unfavorable13%13%12%13%17%10%11%15%11%23%7%14%4%12%10%19%27%25%1%6%0%15%20%3%9%19%14%9%3%15%10%12%12%16%5%18%3%11%12%14%13%11%13%13%12%15%12%13%13%12%13%14%13%12%11%13%14%17%10%13%11%12%12%14%15%12%12%13%11%21%18%13%12%
Extremely Unfavorable36%37%35%18%33%43%45%27%44%31%30%40%16%30%84%61%60%26%4%6%4%72%34%5%70%55%27%7%5%64%43%34%43%77%1%69%2%34%38%28%37%51%24%37%49%58%28%42%33%48%25%36%40%33%31%36%38%24%43%44%40%42%41%23%29%27%38%36%67%32%35%36%34%
Not Sure2%2%1%3%1%2%1%2%1%6%3%1%2%3%0%1%2%3%2%1%0%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%0%2%1%3%2%1%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%4%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%0%2%2%1%1%3%2%4%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
13Is your opinion of Rick Scott...
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable13%13%13%4%8%17%22%6%19%12%16%14%12%8%38%15%20%4%1%3%7%26%10%5%33%16%7%1%6%30%15%13%13%26%3%27%4%15%14%13%13%19%8%13%21%28%8%18%11%17%10%12%17%11%11%15%13%4%19%15%15%14%17%10%14%13%12%13%35%8%12%15%12%
Favorable31%33%30%31%33%34%27%32%31%46%39%32%24%37%42%51%45%26%15%24%10%47%30%18%43%46%32%12%7%42%32%31%35%48%16%48%15%33%28%27%33%35%23%35%37%38%29%31%32%34%28%39%30%30%29%30%34%30%32%32%33%32%33%29%32%23%33%33%45%32%29%33%29%
Unfavorable20%21%19%25%19%19%18%21%19%9%15%20%23%17%9%15%18%23%22%29%24%12%21%27%11%17%24%30%17%12%22%23%18%10%27%12%26%21%18%21%20%17%22%20%16%12%23%19%20%19%21%12%24%19%20%21%19%23%18%19%25%23%17%18%22%21%22%18%11%21%20%12%20%
Extremely Unfavorable25%27%22%23%29%25%22%26%24%16%17%24%29%22%2%7%8%36%46%34%51%5%28%42%6%9%25%47%62%13%18%22%22%6%42%5%50%20%35%25%26%18%35%21%16%13%30%24%25%21%28%19%19%30%26%25%25%27%24%24%15%22%25%31%24%25%29%24%6%32%22%28%30%
Not Sure11%6%15%17%12%6%10%14%8%16%13%10%12%15%9%11%9%12%16%9%8%10%12%8%6%11%11%9%8%3%13%11%12%9%11%8%7%11%5%14%8%11%12%11%10%9%11%9%12%9%13%17%11%9%14%10%9%16%8%10%12%10%8%13%7%19%5%12%3%7%17%11%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
14Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable23%26%21%14%21%26%30%18%28%26%26%26%13%17%66%35%30%17%4%4%4%50%19%4%49%34%17%4%4%47%30%22%22%53%0%44%3%27%22%24%21%36%14%28%30%43%16%26%22%30%17%30%25%20%26%25%19%13%29%27%21%25%26%19%24%23%23%19%49%21%16%33%20%
Favorable19%19%19%12%20%21%21%17%21%25%8%21%6%22%26%35%44%17%0%6%0%31%23%3%28%32%18%4%0%27%20%18%29%41%1%36%2%18%18%15%21%22%15%18%25%27%17%22%18%26%14%15%22%18%12%19%24%16%20%26%20%22%20%13%18%12%20%22%30%22%24%14%19%
Unfavorable9%10%9%12%12%8%7%12%7%13%4%10%9%8%2%10%10%19%9%13%4%6%13%9%6%12%12%10%1%5%10%9%9%4%10%7%8%8%7%12%9%6%10%9%9%5%11%9%10%7%11%9%8%11%12%8%9%14%7%4%13%10%8%11%15%9%8%9%6%13%14%7%11%
Extremely Unfavorable46%44%48%59%45%43%40%51%41%34%59%41%68%51%5%17%12%45%85%74%90%12%42%82%16%21%49%82%93%18%37%49%38%1%87%11%85%45%51%48%47%33%59%43%32%23%54%41%48%34%55%44%43%48%47%47%44%52%42%39%44%42%42%55%41%54%48%46%12%43%42%46%48%
Not Sure2%2%3%3%2%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%3%2%0%2%4%2%1%3%2%1%3%2%2%2%3%0%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%3%2%2%1%3%4%2%3%1%1%4%2%2%1%1%3%2%1%4%1%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
15Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable21%20%21%19%14%25%24%16%24%19%19%17%41%15%3%5%1%11%18%34%68%4%9%50%12%8%20%28%53%14%20%25%13%0%44%3%46%26%19%27%19%10%22%19%20%16%22%23%20%14%26%18%20%22%27%17%21%15%24%16%19%17%18%28%27%28%18%20%13%6%12%16%21%
Favorable23%21%25%30%28%19%18%29%19%26%30%21%33%33%3%13%6%21%58%47%25%8%25%37%6%13%30%42%34%6%22%24%25%1%47%8%41%22%25%22%25%18%29%25%15%9%29%18%26%19%27%26%18%26%22%26%21%31%19%17%25%22%21%27%21%23%24%26%8%23%26%32%25%
Unfavorable10%12%9%14%14%6%8%14%7%7%6%12%5%7%7%9%12%23%13%8%2%8%16%6%6%10%10%19%5%8%9%9%11%8%8%9%8%9%8%11%10%14%14%9%7%8%11%7%12%9%11%8%9%12%10%12%9%16%7%8%8%9%12%11%12%10%11%8%7%19%13%8%12%
Extremely Unfavorable45%45%44%35%42%50%50%39%50%45%44%49%20%44%88%73%80%43%9%9%4%80%49%7%76%68%37%11%7%71%48%41%50%91%0%80%4%41%48%39%46%58%34%47%56%68%37%52%41%57%35%47%51%40%40%45%47%36%50%58%48%51%47%32%39%38%46%45%72%49%48%44%41%
Not Sure1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%0%0%1%2%2%1%0%0%2%1%0%0%2%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%0%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%0%1%1%1%3%0%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
16Is your opinion of Marco Rubio...
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable12%11%13%6%9%14%18%8%16%20%17%14%6%9%36%17%21%4%1%2%2%26%10%2%28%18%7%2%3%23%18%11%11%24%2%27%0%13%12%12%12%17%6%14%18%24%8%18%10%16%10%13%13%11%11%14%11%6%16%15%15%12%12%11%12%12%10%13%27%7%13%11%12%
Favorable33%34%31%31%35%30%35%33%32%39%28%35%22%27%51%58%52%23%9%19%8%55%31%14%47%52%28%16%4%46%34%32%42%54%14%65%6%33%29%31%34%32%22%35%42%47%27%30%34%36%29%27%36%32%29%30%37%33%32%33%39%34%36%26%33%30%34%35%51%31%30%28%32%
Unfavorable26%25%27%25%30%26%22%28%24%19%33%24%33%32%8%13%16%34%46%41%30%11%30%36%15%17%32%39%31%16%23%26%28%12%38%6%43%27%25%26%26%25%29%29%17%13%30%25%26%25%27%28%22%27%26%27%24%28%25%25%25%26%25%26%24%28%27%25%12%31%29%28%27%
Extremely Unfavorable22%26%18%20%19%26%21%20%24%13%15%21%25%23%3%6%6%26%37%31%54%4%21%41%5%9%21%39%60%12%20%23%13%6%38%0%47%20%29%22%22%19%34%14%17%11%27%21%22%18%26%22%19%25%25%21%22%19%24%13%11%23%21%28%25%20%26%19%9%24%17%29%25%
Not Sure7%4%10%18%7%4%3%12%4%9%7%6%13%9%3%7%5%13%7%7%6%5%9%7%4%4%12%5%2%3%4%9%6%4%7%1%4%7%5%9%6%7%9%7%6%4%7%5%8%5%9%10%9%5%9%8%6%14%3%15%11%5%5%8%7%10%3%9%1%7%11%4%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
17Is your opinion of Patrick Murphy...
1314 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssuePresidentSenateAmendment 1UrbanityAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoOwn a Gun?EducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegionUrbanSuburbanVery ConIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalTrumpClintonRubioMurphyYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaMenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Extremely Favorable11%12%11%8%5%16%14%7%15%6%8%9%23%9%1%2%1%5%5%20%41%1%4%30%6%6%8%14%36%6%14%13%9%1%24%0%29%13%15%12%12%4%12%10%12%9%12%12%11%9%13%9%10%13%13%9%13%6%14%6%9%8%9%19%14%11%12%12%8%2%6%5%13%
Favorable27%29%26%29%30%26%25%30%25%32%24%25%38%32%11%10%10%31%58%46%39%10%30%43%12%15%34%48%44%14%28%28%27%9%48%7%57%30%31%31%26%28%35%24%21%13%33%23%30%22%32%33%23%29%30%30%24%30%26%18%19%27%27%32%34%28%28%25%13%33%25%41%28%
Unfavorable25%28%23%25%28%21%28%27%24%31%23%28%16%17%31%42%45%24%9%13%9%37%28%11%32%39%25%13%7%32%24%28%31%40%11%44%5%27%21%24%27%27%19%26%32%33%24%26%25%30%23%20%30%24%22%27%26%27%25%26%31%29%24%20%27%22%30%23%32%30%27%20%26%
Extremely Unfavorable18%19%17%9%16%23%21%13%22%11%28%19%10%23%49%22%29%12%3%4%5%35%16%4%40%24%12%7%2%36%16%17%18%36%3%34%1%17%21%16%18%24%14%19%22%31%13%23%16%24%12%17%20%17%16%15%21%9%23%14%22%21%24%10%17%16%18%18%42%16%16%23%16%
Not Sure18%13%23%29%20%14%11%24%13%20%17%19%12%18%9%24%16%28%24%17%7%16%22%12%10%16%22%18%11%12%19%15%16%14%15%14%9%14%12%17%18%17%20%20%13%13%18%16%19%15%20%21%17%17%18%19%16%27%12%35%19%14%15%18%9%24%13%22%6%19%26%11%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%26%29%26%46%54%5%7%79%14%7%15%16%13%13%9%18%15%31%34%32%18%23%30%14%11%13%18%39%12%45%48%45%41%40%33%28%59%11%36%35%30%26%67%33%67%39%56%16%34%50%26%36%38%37%63%8%10%31%21%30%13%15%30%29%9%19%16%7%40%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.