| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #19915 |
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Obama Gets Up Off the Mat In Town-Hall Debate, California Says; Out-duels Romney 56% to 32%; Independents Split Evenly:
Immediately following tonight's town-hall-style presidential debate between Republican Mitt Romney and Democrat Barack Obama, SurveyUSA interviewed 800 California adults, of whom 656 watched the debate. Results of tonight's 10/16/12 debate follow (with results of the 10/03/12 Denver presidential debate in parenthesis).
* 56% say Obama was the clear winner tonight (compared to 34% who say Obama won the 1st debate in Denver ). As always, the caution that California is a "blue" state and more Democrats in California watch a debate than do Republicans. That's why it's important to study reaction along party lines:
* Democrats by 72 points say Obama was tonight's clear winner (Democrats gave Obama a 30-point margin in Denver). SurveyUSA's California research conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KFSN-TV Fresno, and KGTV-TV San Diego. |
| 1 | Did you watch tonight's debate? |
| 800 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Yes | 82% | 87% | 78% | 75% | 84% | 90% | 82% | 79% | 87% | 88% | 80% | 77% | 78% | 74% | 88% | 83% | 82% | 86% | 79% | 76% | 85% | 78% | 85% |
| No | 16% | 11% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 19% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 11% | 21% | 15% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 49% | 51% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 60% | 40% | 44% | 6% | 33% | 17% | 26% | 43% | 30% | 25% | 46% | 23% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 22% |
| 2 | Was Mitt Romney the clear winner? Was Barack Obama the clear winner? Or, was there no clear winner? |
| 656 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Mitt Romney | 32% | 37% | 27% | 29% | 32% | 34% | 36% | 30% | 35% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 31% | 62% | 9% | 44% | 65% | 30% | 4% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 24% |
| Barack Obama | 56% | 52% | 61% | 66% | 54% | 50% | 49% | 60% | 50% | 52% | 72% | 63% | 48% | 21% | 81% | 44% | 27% | 57% | 83% | 53% | 55% | 56% | 60% |
| No Clear Winner | 12% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 3% | 11% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 52% | 48% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 58% | 42% | 47% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 23% | 46% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 22% | 19% | 39% | 19% | 23% |
| 3 | Who had a better connection with the audience? |
| 656 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Mitt Romney | 34% | 38% | 29% | 30% | 30% | 36% | 44% | 30% | 39% | 40% | 25% | 26% | 34% | 68% | 11% | 41% | 64% | 32% | 5% | 36% | 35% | 36% | 27% |
| Barack Obama | 58% | 52% | 64% | 64% | 61% | 54% | 48% | 62% | 52% | 53% | 72% | 63% | 57% | 25% | 82% | 48% | 26% | 61% | 85% | 52% | 57% | 57% | 66% |
| Not Sure | 8% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 52% | 48% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 58% | 42% | 47% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 23% | 46% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 22% | 19% | 39% | 19% | 23% |
| 4 | Who answered the questions more precisely without beating around the bush? |
| 656 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Mitt Romney | 35% | 41% | 29% | 30% | 34% | 39% | 41% | 32% | 40% | 42% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 68% | 11% | 47% | 68% | 33% | 6% | 42% | 35% | 39% | 26% |
| Barack Obama | 57% | 53% | 61% | 63% | 56% | 54% | 50% | 60% | 53% | 53% | 67% | 62% | 56% | 24% | 82% | 46% | 26% | 59% | 83% | 52% | 56% | 55% | 66% |
| Not Sure | 8% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 52% | 48% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 58% | 42% | 47% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 23% | 46% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 22% | 19% | 39% | 19% | 23% |
| 5 | Who was more prepared? |
| 656 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Mitt Romney | 31% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 29% | 35% | 38% | 27% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 23% | 30% | 63% | 9% | 38% | 58% | 30% | 5% | 32% | 31% | 35% | 26% |
| Barack Obama | 53% | 48% | 60% | 62% | 55% | 47% | 45% | 58% | 46% | 47% | 66% | 60% | 55% | 23% | 78% | 42% | 27% | 56% | 73% | 48% | 51% | 56% | 59% |
| Not Sure | 16% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 6% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 52% | 48% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 58% | 42% | 47% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 23% | 46% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 22% | 19% | 39% | 19% | 23% |
| 6 | Who was more presidential? |
| 656 Debate Watchers | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
| Mitt Romney | 35% | 38% | 30% | 27% | 38% | 36% | 41% | 32% | 38% | 40% | 26% | 29% | 31% | 67% | 10% | 47% | 66% | 33% | 6% | 42% | 32% | 39% | 29% |
| Barack Obama | 61% | 55% | 68% | 68% | 62% | 58% | 51% | 65% | 55% | 55% | 72% | 71% | 58% | 29% | 88% | 45% | 30% | 62% | 90% | 53% | 62% | 60% | 69% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Debate Watchers | 100% | 52% | 48% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 58% | 42% | 47% | 6% | 31% | 16% | 23% | 46% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 22% | 19% | 39% | 19% | 23% |