| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19971 |
|
In Ohio, Mandel Surges in Senate Fight with Brown; Romney Still Looking to Catapult Past Obama As Final Debate Begins:
In an election in Ohio today for President of the United States, Barack Obama remains where he has been for the past 2 SurveyUSA weekly tracking polls -- ever-so-slightly ahead of Mitt Romney in the battle for the Buckeye State's 18 electoral votes, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCMH-TV in Columbus. 15 days until votes are counted, it's Obama 47%, Romney 44%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 1 week ago, Obama and Romney are both up 2 points. Obama led by 3 points last week, leads by 3 points today. An election today for United States Senator from Ohio is too-close-to-call. Democrat Sherrod Brown today is at 43%, Republican Josh Mandel is at 42%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, Brown is flat, Mandel is up 4 points. Brown had led by 5, now leads by 1. The week-on-week movement comes from:
* Independents, where Mandel last week led by 3 points and today leads by 13 points, a 10-point right turn. |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney (R) | 44% | 49% | 40% | 29% | 50% | 46% | 53% | 40% | 49% | 49% | 22% | 27% | 50% | 39% | 46% | 88% | 8% | 47% | 79% | 33% | 10% | 27% | 52% | 40% | 39% | 42% | 46% | 60% | 36% | 21% | 55% | 74% | 41% | 43% | 48% | 46% | 30% | 50% | 48% | 56% | 43% | 35% | 58% | 100% | 0% | 18% | 58% | 70% | 85% | 14% | 35% | 60% | 40% | 46% | 42% | ** |
| Barack Obama (D) | 47% | 42% | 52% | 58% | 41% | 46% | 44% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 70% | 56% | 45% | 58% | 44% | 8% | 85% | 39% | 13% | 58% | 82% | 59% | 41% | 49% | 55% | 49% | 46% | 32% | 56% | 71% | 36% | 16% | 49% | 49% | 41% | 48% | 58% | 43% | 44% | 38% | 50% | 60% | 29% | 0% | 100% | 77% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 78% | 56% | 29% | 45% | 50% | 50% | ** |
| Other | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 2% | ** |
| Undecided | 6% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 7% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Josh Mandel (R) | 42% | 47% | 37% | 30% | 50% | 41% | 48% | 40% | 44% | 45% | 24% | 28% | 46% | 35% | 44% | 77% | 12% | 46% | 78% | 30% | 11% | 28% | 49% | 38% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 60% | 33% | 20% | 51% | 73% | 36% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 29% | 44% | 49% | 55% | 42% | 31% | 55% | 84% | 6% | 20% | 53% | 63% | 78% | 14% | 35% | 58% | 41% | 43% | 38% | ** |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | 43% | 41% | 45% | 44% | 36% | 47% | 45% | 40% | 46% | 40% | 65% | 39% | 44% | 54% | 39% | 10% | 80% | 33% | 14% | 54% | 78% | 48% | 40% | 43% | 55% | 47% | 42% | 28% | 52% | 66% | 33% | 14% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 48% | 44% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 59% | 28% | 6% | 80% | 73% | 25% | 23% | 11% | 70% | 50% | 26% | 39% | 42% | 47% | ** |
| Scott Rupert (I) | 3% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 3% | ** |
| Undecided | 10% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 10% | ** |
| Will Not Vote | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Optimistic And Hopeful | 38% | 36% | 40% | 44% | 32% | 37% | 41% | 38% | 39% | 36% | 56% | 36% | 39% | 49% | 34% | 19% | 64% | 27% | 22% | 45% | 57% | 45% | 36% | 34% | 48% | 38% | 38% | 31% | 42% | 50% | 31% | 30% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 38% | 43% | 36% | 34% | 35% | 41% | 46% | 25% | 15% | 63% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 54% | 37% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 40% | ** |
| Worried And Concerned | 40% | 37% | 42% | 39% | 44% | 36% | 40% | 41% | 38% | 43% | 21% | 46% | 37% | 31% | 43% | 54% | 25% | 42% | 48% | 38% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 48% | 31% | 38% | 41% | 44% | 38% | 31% | 45% | 45% | 44% | 41% | 36% | 39% | 36% | 40% | 46% | 41% | 39% | 36% | 43% | 52% | 27% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 51% | 29% | 43% | 42% | 37% | 38% | 39% | ** |
| Frustrated And Angry | 19% | 23% | 15% | 12% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 21% | 17% | 20% | 24% | 9% | 29% | 27% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 22% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 17% | 28% | 30% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 26% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 15% | 18% | ** |
| Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Support | 47% | 46% | 47% | 50% | 41% | 49% | 48% | 45% | 49% | 46% | 57% | 46% | 47% | 55% | 44% | 20% | 74% | 40% | 22% | 57% | 79% | 53% | 44% | 47% | 50% | 55% | 45% | 35% | 54% | 71% | 36% | 19% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 52% | 51% | 42% | 47% | 44% | 50% | 64% | 31% | 14% | 77% | 72% | 34% | 26% | 18% | 69% | 52% | 36% | 37% | 49% | 51% | ** |
| Oppose | 38% | 44% | 32% | 24% | 40% | 42% | 44% | 32% | 43% | 39% | 30% | 23% | 42% | 32% | 40% | 65% | 13% | 43% | 66% | 28% | 12% | 22% | 46% | 28% | 38% | 37% | 39% | 50% | 31% | 16% | 50% | 59% | 37% | 35% | 41% | 42% | 29% | 43% | 37% | 48% | 35% | 27% | 55% | 72% | 8% | 16% | 47% | 65% | 68% | 16% | 31% | 54% | 39% | 35% | 35% | ** |
| Not Sure | 15% | 10% | 20% | 26% | 19% | 9% | 7% | 23% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 31% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 24% | 10% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 24% | 16% | 13% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Jobs | 40% | 41% | 39% | 36% | 47% | 37% | 40% | 42% | 38% | 39% | 46% | 40% | 40% | 45% | 38% | 41% | 41% | 39% | 41% | 42% | 38% | 40% | 39% | 43% | 44% | 35% | 42% | 36% | 43% | 42% | 42% | 28% | 37% | 38% | 43% | 42% | 38% | 40% | 45% | 39% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 39% | 42% | 43% | 40% | 34% | 40% | 41% | 37% | 29% | 41% | 38% | 44% | ** |
| Healthcare | 13% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 22% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 11% | ** |
| Balancing The Budget | 19% | 21% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 22% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 9% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 11% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 14% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 28% | 24% | 16% | 18% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 16% | ** |
| Taxes | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ** |
| Keeping America Safe | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 6% | ** |
| Education | 5% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ** |
| Abortion | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | ** |
| Social Security | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ** |
| Medicare | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ** |
| Something Else | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | Who would do better at balancing the federal budget? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney | 46% | 50% | 42% | 35% | 49% | 47% | 54% | 42% | 50% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 51% | 37% | 49% | 87% | 10% | 52% | 80% | 37% | 11% | 29% | 53% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 63% | 37% | 22% | 59% | 78% | 41% | 45% | 52% | 48% | 33% | 51% | 53% | 57% | 44% | 33% | 61% | 97% | 2% | 19% | 60% | 71% | 86% | 16% | 34% | 66% | 44% | 46% | 43% | ** |
| Barack Obama | 44% | 42% | 45% | 53% | 37% | 43% | 42% | 45% | 43% | 40% | 65% | 52% | 41% | 55% | 40% | 8% | 81% | 32% | 14% | 51% | 80% | 57% | 37% | 47% | 52% | 46% | 42% | 28% | 52% | 67% | 33% | 11% | 48% | 43% | 38% | 45% | 54% | 39% | 40% | 35% | 46% | 58% | 26% | 1% | 88% | 74% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 73% | 50% | 31% | 41% | 43% | 47% | ** |
| Not Sure | 10% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 10% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | Who is more in touch with the average person? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney | 39% | 44% | 35% | 25% | 41% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 45% | 43% | 19% | 21% | 45% | 33% | 41% | 81% | 6% | 41% | 73% | 27% | 9% | 24% | 46% | 35% | 39% | 37% | 41% | 55% | 31% | 17% | 50% | 70% | 36% | 37% | 44% | 42% | 27% | 42% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 29% | 54% | 86% | 1% | 17% | 51% | 63% | 78% | 11% | 33% | 58% | 38% | 38% | 36% | ** |
| Barack Obama | 55% | 50% | 59% | 71% | 50% | 51% | 46% | 60% | 49% | 51% | 77% | 72% | 49% | 62% | 52% | 14% | 92% | 47% | 19% | 66% | 89% | 72% | 48% | 51% | 58% | 59% | 53% | 39% | 63% | 79% | 45% | 20% | 57% | 54% | 52% | 53% | 65% | 51% | 47% | 47% | 55% | 67% | 39% | 7% | 98% | 82% | 41% | 29% | 14% | 85% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 57% | 59% | ** |
| Not Sure | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | Who will do a better job of keeping America safe? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney | 43% | 49% | 38% | 28% | 49% | 45% | 53% | 39% | 48% | 48% | 22% | 27% | 49% | 37% | 46% | 85% | 9% | 46% | 79% | 32% | 11% | 26% | 51% | 41% | 38% | 42% | 45% | 59% | 35% | 20% | 54% | 73% | 41% | 42% | 48% | 44% | 29% | 49% | 49% | 55% | 43% | 32% | 60% | 93% | 2% | 18% | 56% | 68% | 84% | 13% | 34% | 63% | 39% | 44% | 41% | ** |
| Barack Obama | 49% | 45% | 52% | 63% | 41% | 47% | 43% | 52% | 46% | 44% | 71% | 62% | 45% | 57% | 46% | 12% | 85% | 38% | 15% | 58% | 85% | 66% | 41% | 50% | 55% | 51% | 47% | 35% | 57% | 72% | 37% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 59% | 46% | 42% | 39% | 51% | 63% | 30% | 3% | 93% | 78% | 34% | 20% | 11% | 79% | 57% | 32% | 51% | 50% | 50% | ** |
| Not Sure | 8% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 9% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | What is of greater concern in Ohio: voter fraud? Or voter suppression? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Voter Fraud | 44% | 47% | 41% | 38% | 45% | 43% | 52% | 41% | 47% | 45% | 43% | 37% | 47% | 37% | 47% | 59% | 29% | 49% | 66% | 39% | 18% | 44% | 44% | 41% | 46% | 47% | 44% | 54% | 39% | 33% | 50% | 57% | 46% | 44% | 48% | 37% | 40% | 48% | 45% | 47% | 42% | 36% | 54% | 67% | 24% | 33% | 48% | 63% | 63% | 31% | 49% | 56% | 42% | 43% | 42% | ** |
| Voter Suppression | 38% | 38% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 40% | 28% | 42% | 35% | 37% | 49% | 43% | 37% | 44% | 36% | 24% | 55% | 33% | 19% | 44% | 70% | 44% | 37% | 39% | 31% | 39% | 38% | 28% | 45% | 53% | 32% | 19% | 28% | 39% | 41% | 46% | 40% | 35% | 38% | 39% | 41% | 49% | 28% | 16% | 59% | 54% | 32% | 22% | 20% | 50% | 37% | 33% | 37% | 41% | 39% | ** |
| Not Sure | 18% | 15% | 20% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 24% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 21% | 16% | 20% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | Do you support? Or oppose? ... the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Support | 36% | 35% | 37% | 42% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 35% | 37% | 35% | 46% | 38% | 36% | 45% | 33% | 9% | 63% | 29% | 12% | 45% | 71% | 45% | 33% | 37% | 32% | 41% | 36% | 26% | 43% | 58% | 26% | 12% | 31% | 38% | 32% | 45% | 39% | 33% | 37% | 34% | 40% | 56% | 17% | 4% | 70% | 64% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 59% | 42% | 22% | 34% | 36% | 39% | ** |
| Oppose | 48% | 54% | 43% | 34% | 54% | 50% | 55% | 44% | 52% | 51% | 32% | 35% | 53% | 41% | 51% | 82% | 18% | 56% | 80% | 41% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 43% | 41% | 49% | 49% | 64% | 41% | 24% | 61% | 76% | 47% | 49% | 52% | 46% | 37% | 54% | 52% | 57% | 46% | 33% | 65% | 90% | 10% | 23% | 60% | 75% | 83% | 22% | 40% | 65% | 45% | 48% | 48% | ** |
| Not Sure | 15% | 10% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 28% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 21% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 22% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 24% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 18% | 6% | 20% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 21% | 16% | 13% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |
![]() | Do you support the Tea Party ... Strongly? Somewhat? Or not at all? |
| 609 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Strongly | 17% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 20% | 17% | 24% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 20% | 16% | 18% | 33% | 8% | 14% | 37% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 13% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 27% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 27% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 34% | 5% | 9% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 15% | ** |
| Somewhat | 32% | 31% | 32% | 35% | 28% | 32% | 31% | 32% | 32% | 33% | 18% | 28% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 47% | 17% | 38% | 41% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 32% | 32% | 31% | 32% | 32% | 39% | 28% | 19% | 39% | 46% | 34% | 31% | 35% | 27% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 34% | 30% | 23% | 38% | 45% | 17% | 22% | 38% | 39% | 43% | 21% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 30% | ** |
| Not At All | 40% | 41% | 39% | 31% | 40% | 45% | 43% | 35% | 44% | 39% | 50% | 31% | 43% | 49% | 37% | 15% | 64% | 40% | 14% | 52% | 71% | 37% | 40% | 45% | 41% | 43% | 40% | 23% | 51% | 62% | 30% | 15% | 34% | 39% | 42% | 50% | 39% | 39% | 37% | 44% | 45% | 47% | 29% | 12% | 67% | 59% | 30% | 26% | 14% | 62% | 39% | 29% | 36% | 40% | 44% | ** |
| Not Sure | 11% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 32% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 19% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 51% | 84% | 11% | 24% | 76% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 39% | 25% | 34% | 38% | 18% | 22% | 58% | 13% | 7% | 22% | 75% | 32% | 62% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 15% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 51% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 41% | 4% |