| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13892 |
| North Carolina, 24 Weeks to Election Day: McCain Defeats Obama, But Clinton Defeats McCain: In a vote for president today, 05/20/08, 24 weeks until election day, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama, according to this exclusive WTVD-TV news poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, it's McCain 51%, Obama 43%. But, if Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, Clinton defeats McCain. With Obama on the ballot, the Republicans carry the state, 51% to 43%. With Clinton on the ballot, the Democrats carry the state, 49% to 43%. Against Obama, among men, McCain leads by 14 points; among women, McCain leads by 1. Obama wins the youngest voters by 10 points; McCain wins voters 35+. McCain takes 63% of the white vote; Obama takes 89% of the black vote. 28% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. Against Clinton, among men, McCain leads Clinton by 10 points; among women, Clinton leads McCain by 19 -- a 29 point gender gap. Clinton leads among voters under 65; McCain leads among those 65+. 17% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 05/17/08 - 05/19/08. Of them, 866 were registered to vote; of them, 713 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. North Carolina has 15 Electoral College votes. Republicans carried the state by 12 points in 2004. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 713 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
| McCain (R) | 51% | 54% | 47% | 42% | 54% | 54% | 51% | 49% | 52% | 49% | 51% | 52% | 63% | 7% | ** | ** | 86% | 28% | 50% | 81% | 43% | 19% | 51% | 50% | 55% | 45% | 41% | 65% | 38% | 52% | 51% | 48% | ** | 33% | 42% | 86% | ** | 38% | 85% | 41% | 58% | 55% | 47% | 52% |
| Obama (D) | 43% | 40% | 46% | 52% | 40% | 43% | 39% | 45% | 41% | 46% | 38% | 41% | 31% | 89% | ** | ** | 12% | 65% | 41% | 15% | 51% | 75% | 42% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 55% | 31% | 57% | 38% | 45% | 47% | ** | 58% | 56% | 13% | ** | 54% | 8% | 53% | 37% | 38% | 47% | 42% |
| Other | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | 2% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ** | 7% | 1% | 0% | ** | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | ** | 2% | 0% | 1% | ** | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 33% | 27% | 19% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 11% | 44% | 76% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 33% | 49% | 15% | 31% | 34% | 12% | 49% | 51% | 63% | 24% | 14% | 49% | 46% | 18% | 81% | 47% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 42% | 58% | 36% | 49% | 16% |
| 2 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Hillary Clinton? |
| 713 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
| McCain (R) | 43% | 51% | 37% | 44% | 45% | 44% | 41% | 44% | 43% | 45% | 39% | 43% | 53% | 9% | ** | ** | 85% | 17% | 41% | 74% | 38% | 17% | 46% | 40% | 46% | 38% | 43% | 56% | 32% | 44% | 44% | 40% | ** | 31% | 29% | 79% | ** | 33% | 74% | 34% | 49% | 46% | 41% | 45% |
| Clinton (D) | 49% | 41% | 56% | 48% | 46% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 51% | 46% | 55% | 49% | 42% | 74% | ** | ** | 13% | 74% | 46% | 21% | 54% | 74% | 46% | 52% | 46% | 55% | 49% | 38% | 60% | 47% | 49% | 51% | ** | 63% | 67% | 16% | ** | 63% | 17% | 57% | 44% | 47% | 50% | 46% |
| Other | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 13% | ** | ** | 1% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | ** | 5% | 4% | 6% | ** | 1% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | ** | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 33% | 27% | 19% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 11% | 44% | 76% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 33% | 49% | 15% | 31% | 34% | 12% | 49% | 51% | 63% | 24% | 14% | 49% | 46% | 18% | 81% | 47% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 42% | 58% | 36% | 49% | 16% |