Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16462
 
Like Other Incumbent Democrats Coast-to-Coast, US Senator Patty Murray In Trouble in Washington State: In hypothetical general election matchups for United States Senator from Washington state today, 04/23/10, six months to the midterms, incumbent Democrat Patty Murray does not poll above 46% against any of 6 possible Republican opponents, according to SurveyUSA research conducted for KING-TV Seattle. In 5 of 6 matchups, Murray finishes nominally ahead of the Republican, but within the theoretical margin of sampling error. In 1 matchup -- against 2004 and 2008 gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi -- Murray loses by 10 points, 52% to 42%.

These 5 matchups are effectively even, and should be reported as such:

* Against State Senator Don Benton, it's Murray 46%, Denton 44%.
* Against former NFL player Clint Didier, it's Murray 46%; Didier 44%.
* Against businessman Chris Widener, it's Murray 45%, Widener 43%.
* Against Businessman Paul Akers, it's Murray 45%, Akers 44%.
* Against doctor Art Coday, it's Murray 45%, Coday 41%.

In each of these tied contests, Murray leads by double digits among women, but trails by 6 to 10 points among men. In each tied contest, Independents break for the Republican and 14% to 18% of Democrats cross over to vote Republican.

Against Rossi, Murray trails by 26 points among Independents and in Eastern Washington, trails by 20 points among men, and trails by 16 points among voters under age 50+.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 850 Washington State adults 04/19/10 through 04/22/10. Of them, 728 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 517 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Patty Murray, first elected to the US Senate in 1992, is seeking a 4th term.
 
1If the only two names on the ballot for United States Senate were Democrat Patty Murray and Republican Dino Rossi, who would you vote for?
517 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Murray (D)42%37%47%43%36%43%48%38%45%43%****38%10%73%33%17%45%73%42%42%35%42%50%22%59%34%52%47%40%43%33%46%
Rossi (R)52%57%46%46%58%51%48%54%50%51%****58%87%21%59%79%47%23%54%48%59%50%43%73%35%61%40%47%54%51%59%49%
Undecided7%6%7%12%6%6%4%8%5%6%****4%3%6%9%4%8%4%4%10%5%7%7%6%6%5%8%7%6%7%8%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%18%31%31%20%50%50%86%3%5%7%23%36%39%33%43%19%61%39%41%25%35%40%55%52%46%30%70%28%24%47%
 
 
2What if the only names on the ballot were Patty Murray and Republican Don Benton?
517 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Murray (D)46%41%52%46%39%51%52%41%51%46%****55%11%79%37%22%48%79%44%48%39%50%52%24%65%39%56%51%45%47%35%52%
Benton (R)44%50%37%39%53%39%42%48%40%44%****34%79%15%50%71%40%16%47%39%50%40%39%66%27%53%34%38%47%41%52%41%
Undecided10%9%11%16%9%10%6%11%9%10%****11%10%6%13%7%12%5%8%13%10%10%9%11%8%9%10%11%8%12%13%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%18%31%31%20%50%50%86%3%5%7%23%36%39%33%43%19%61%39%41%25%35%40%55%52%46%30%70%28%24%47%
 
 
3What if it were Patty Murray against Republican Clint Didier?
517 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Murray (D)46%43%49%52%39%46%51%44%48%48%****38%12%76%38%22%49%78%45%47%39%47%54%26%63%39%55%54%43%46%36%51%
Didier (R)44%49%38%35%53%42%41%46%41%43%****40%77%17%48%66%40%17%46%39%52%39%37%61%29%53%33%37%47%43%56%38%
Undecided10%8%13%13%9%12%8%10%11%10%****23%11%7%13%12%11%5%9%14%9%15%9%13%8%8%12%9%10%11%8%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%18%31%31%20%50%50%86%3%5%7%23%36%39%33%43%19%61%39%41%25%35%40%55%52%46%30%70%28%24%47%
 
 
4What if it were Patty Murray against Republican Chris Widener?
517 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Murray (D)45%40%51%45%40%46%50%42%48%46%****38%10%76%38%18%49%80%45%46%39%46%53%23%64%38%55%52%43%47%34%49%
Widener (R)43%50%34%40%51%38%39%47%39%43%****36%78%15%47%67%39%16%46%38%50%37%39%63%27%53%32%36%47%41%51%39%
Undecided12%10%15%15%9%15%10%11%13%11%****26%12%9%15%14%12%4%9%17%11%17%9%14%10%9%14%12%11%12%15%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%18%31%31%20%50%50%86%3%5%7%23%36%39%33%43%19%61%39%41%25%35%40%55%52%46%30%70%28%24%47%
 
 
5What if it were Patty Murray against Republican Paul Akers?
517 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Murray (D)45%40%50%45%39%47%50%41%48%46%****34%10%78%36%18%48%80%45%45%40%43%53%24%63%38%54%51%43%46%34%49%
Akers (R)44%50%38%38%53%42%41%47%41%43%****53%80%18%47%73%39%15%46%42%50%44%40%64%30%53%36%38%49%43%52%41%
Undecided11%10%12%16%8%11%9%11%11%11%****13%10%5%17%8%13%5%9%13%10%13%7%12%8%9%10%11%8%11%13%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%18%31%31%20%50%50%86%3%5%7%23%36%39%33%43%19%61%39%41%25%35%40%55%52%46%30%70%28%24%47%
 
 
6What if it were Patty Murray against Republican Art Coday?
517 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Murray (D)45%41%49%47%39%44%51%42%47%47%****26%12%77%35%21%48%78%45%45%38%46%53%24%63%38%54%52%43%45%36%49%
Coday (R)41%47%35%38%47%40%38%44%39%40%****44%77%14%45%66%37%17%44%38%49%35%38%61%27%52%30%35%45%41%46%39%
Undecided14%12%16%15%14%16%10%14%14%13%****30%11%9%19%14%15%5%11%17%13%18%9%15%10%10%16%13%12%14%18%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%18%31%31%20%50%50%86%3%5%7%23%36%39%33%43%19%61%39%41%25%35%40%55%52%46%30%70%28%24%47%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.