| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16970 |
| WA Senate: Will 3rd Time Be The Charm For Republican Rossi? Or, Will Independent Voters Swing Back to Incumbent Democrat Murray? In an election for United States Senator from the state of Washington today, 08/20/10, Republican challenger Dino Rossi jumps from the primary slightly ahead of incumbent Democrat Patty Murray 52% to 45%, according to a new SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-5 TV News in Seattle. Among men, Rossi leads by 27 points; among women, Murray leads by 12, a 39-point gender gap. The larger the male turnout, the better the Republican will do in this contest. Rossi has a significant advantage among voters in one age cluster, 35 to 49; the candidates run even in all other age groups. Each candidate holds roughly 9 of 10 partisan votes; independent voters, today, break 5:3 Republican. How Independents break when ballots are mailed will determine the outcome. The contest is even in Metro Seattle; Rossi leads by 9 in Western Washington, and by 23 in Eastern Washington. Lower-income voters back Murray, upper-income voters back Rossi. Murray, first elected to the US Senate in 1992, is seeking a 4th term. Rossi has run for statewide office twice before, losing to Christine Gregoire by a handful of votes in 2004 and by 6 percentage points in 2008. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 Washington State adults 08/18/10 through 08/19/10. Of them, 847 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 618 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the November general election. 38 of Washington's 39 counties vote solely by mail; ballots will be mailed to voters in 2 months, on 10/15/10. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If you were filling out your ballot for US Senate right now, would you vote for Republican Dino Rossi? Or, Democrat Patty Murray? |
| 618 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Rossi (R) | 52% | 62% | 42% | 49% | 58% | 47% | 49% | 55% | 48% | 53% | ** | ** | 53% | 90% | 11% | 59% | 90% | 41% | 19% | 94% | 7% | 59% | 41% | 50% | 55% | 68% | 49% | 40% | 74% | 37% | 61% | 39% | 42% | 53% | 55% | 53% | 61% | 48% |
| Murray (D) | 45% | 35% | 54% | 50% | 37% | 49% | 49% | 42% | 49% | 44% | ** | ** | 44% | 8% | 88% | 35% | 7% | 56% | 79% | 4% | 92% | 35% | 56% | 47% | 43% | 29% | 47% | 57% | 22% | 61% | 37% | 58% | 54% | 44% | 42% | 44% | 38% | 48% |
| Undecided | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ** | ** | 3% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 34% | 29% | 18% | 52% | 48% | 86% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 29% | 33% | 34% | 34% | 40% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 51% | 49% | 34% | 26% | 40% | 37% | 57% | 47% | 45% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 26% | 20% | 54% |