Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #18325
 
In 1st Look at WA State After Incumbent Gregoire Declines 3rd Term, Democrat May Have Slight Advantage.

In SurveyUSA's first look at the 2012 Washington state Governor's race following the announcement by incumbent Democrat Christine Gregoire that she will not seek a 3rd term, Democrat Jay Inslee has a slight advantage over Republican Rob McKenna, in a poll conducted exclusively for KING5 TV in Seattle.

Inslee and McKenna both have Plus 15 favorability Ratings: Inslee is 31% Favorable, 16% Unfavorable. McKenna is 36% Favorable, 21% Unfavorable.

When the two go head to head among registered voters, it's Inslee 47%, McKenna 44%.

Conservatives break 8:1 Republican and Liberals break 10:1 Democrat. Inslee's slight overall advantage comes from moderates, where he leads by 19 points. Whites lean Republican. Minorities lean Democrat.

 
Filtering: 600 Washington state adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 06/24/11 through 06/26/11. Of them, 515 were registered to vote. Democrats won the last 7 elections for Washington Governor.
 
1In 2012, Washington will elect a new governor. If you were to vote for Governor today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Rob McKenna, who prefers the Republican party and Jay Inslee, who prefers the Democratic party, who would get your vote?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna44%44%44%43%48%38%48%45%42%47%**10%37%86%10%49%80%37%84%35%9%83%10%**43%45%43%56%37%42%49%49%44%51%42%
Inslee47%47%47%51%41%53%44%45%49%44%**84%52%6%83%42%13%55%11%54%88%12%81%**41%45%50%38%50%51%44%45%49%41%49%
Undecided9%8%9%6%12%9%8%9%8%9%**6%11%7%8%9%6%9%5%10%3%5%9%**16%10%7%6%14%8%7%6%8%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
2Which candidate for governor do you believe would better handle the state economy? Rob McKenna? or Jay Inslee?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna47%47%46%43%50%42%51%47%46%50%**17%37%87%14%50%81%40%87%40%10%83%16%**46%48%45%57%37%43%52%54%46%52%45%
Inslee43%43%42%48%36%47%41%41%44%40%**73%53%6%75%38%13%49%8%49%82%11%74%**40%37%47%36%46%46%40%43%41%38%45%
Not Sure11%10%12%9%14%11%8%12%10%11%**10%10%7%11%11%6%10%5%12%8%7%10%**14%14%9%7%17%11%8%4%13%10%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
3Which candidate for governor do you believe more closely shares your values? Rob McKenna? Or Jay Inslee?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
McKenna41%43%38%34%44%40%44%40%42%43%**10%29%85%10%40%74%34%82%31%7%76%10%**40%43%38%58%32%40%38%46%39%41%41%
Inslee45%46%45%48%38%51%46%43%49%42%**79%53%4%81%41%10%54%9%53%85%10%79%**39%43%49%32%50%49%41%46%44%40%48%
Not Sure14%11%17%18%18%10%10%18%10%14%**11%18%11%9%19%16%13%10%16%8%14%11%**21%14%13%11%18%11%22%8%17%19%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
4How familiar are you with Attorney General Rob McKenna? Very familiar? Somewhat familiar? Not very familiar? Or not at all familiar?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Very25%34%17%18%28%28%27%23%28%26%**14%17%27%20%30%44%23%27%30%16%28%24%**20%17%29%15%20%23%16%34%29%18%26%
Somewhat41%42%39%43%37%42%40%40%41%38%**73%48%41%40%41%34%43%42%39%47%44%42%**39%44%41%42%42%44%47%41%37%31%46%
Not Very23%17%29%21%25%21%25%23%23%26%**9%12%25%24%21%19%24%23%25%16%21%22%**28%26%21%27%27%19%35%16%24%34%19%
Not At All11%7%14%18%9%8%8%13%8%10%**4%23%7%15%7%4%10%8%7%19%7%12%**10%13%9%16%10%14%3%8%10%17%9%
Not Sure0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%**0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%**2%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
5Is your opinion of Rob McKenna ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Rob McKenna?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Favorable36%40%32%23%40%39%44%32%41%36%**25%43%62%14%40%71%31%66%34%7%62%17%**26%37%39%29%30%41%39%42%33%35%38%
Unfavorable21%24%18%37%14%19%12%25%16%18%**50%32%3%33%23%6%25%4%22%46%5%36%**16%16%25%10%21%26%12%22%22%18%21%
Neutral34%29%39%32%36%35%34%34%34%37%**23%18%29%41%30%19%36%26%37%33%29%36%**43%36%30%44%37%26%45%30%33%38%34%
No Opinion9%8%10%8%9%8%11%9%9%10%**1%6%7%12%6%5%9%4%8%13%5%11%**15%11%6%17%12%7%4%7%13%9%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
6How familiar are you with Congressman Jay Inslee?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Very25%33%18%24%28%26%23%26%24%26%**16%20%20%28%27%33%25%22%29%23%23%27%**18%21%28%13%20%23%20%32%28%18%27%
Somewhat32%36%27%21%28%41%41%25%41%31%**49%35%30%33%32%31%33%33%33%30%31%37%**29%33%34%28%34%30%43%34%30%21%36%
Not Very29%22%36%40%30%21%23%35%22%28%**32%40%34%23%31%23%31%32%30%30%34%22%**30%31%29%34%31%37%26%25%25%44%26%
Not At All13%9%18%14%14%13%12%14%12%15%**3%4%16%15%9%12%11%13%8%15%12%12%**20%14%9%24%16%9%12%9%16%16%11%
Not Sure1%0%1%1%0%0%2%0%1%1%**0%0%1%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%1%0%**3%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
7Is your opinion of Jay Inslee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Jay Inslee?
515 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 VoteEducationIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalRossiGregoireNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege <25K25-50K50-75K75-100K>100KWestern Eastern Metro Se
Favorable31%36%26%26%29%35%35%28%35%33%**26%16%8%53%26%14%35%10%38%49%9%50%**27%26%35%18%26%31%27%41%33%22%33%
Unfavorable16%20%12%12%18%18%16%15%17%16%**8%22%30%5%17%42%12%38%9%6%31%4%**10%20%16%10%15%15%24%14%18%13%16%
Neutral39%30%48%49%36%35%35%42%35%37%**61%54%45%31%44%31%40%35%42%32%39%37%**33%40%39%45%40%41%42%36%33%47%40%
No Opinion14%14%15%13%17%12%14%15%13%15%**5%7%17%11%13%13%13%17%11%13%20%9%**30%14%10%27%19%13%6%10%16%17%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%26%31%24%18%57%43%84%3%6%8%25%35%38%13%83%27%49%19%41%49%3%14%27%57%9%27%25%14%20%29%19%52%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.