Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22539
 
GA Super Tuesday Look-Ahead: GOP Trump Today 7 Pts Atop Carson; Dem Clinton Buries Sanders; 16 Electoral Votes Stay Red At This Hour:

4 months till Super Tuesday, 3 key findings emerge from this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta:

* Donald Trump leads Ben Carson 35% to 28% in the contest to be the Republican nominee for President for 2016.
* Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 73% to 16% in the contest to be the Democratic nominee for President in 2016.
* If those two candidates are in fact the major-party nominees, Trump defeats Clinton in a general election today, 46% to 37%.

Other findings:

* Georgia splits on whether the Confederate Battle Flag should be taken down over public property.
* Georgia opposes holding elections online.
* Georgia supports holding elections on a weekend.
* Georgia supports the death penalty.

In the contest for the Republican nomination, Marco Rubio runs 3rd, with 12% of the vote; all others are in single digits. Trump leads by a nominal 2 points among conservative voters, and leads by 11 points among moderate voters. Trump leads by 20 points among the least educated voters. Carson and Trump are effectively tied among the most educated Republican Primary voters. Trump leads by 20 points among the least affluent voters; Carson leads among the most affluent Republican Primary voters.

Sanders is not today competitive in Georgia; Clinton captures the Democratic Party nomination by more than 4:1.

Filtering: 2,075 adults from the state of Georgia were interviewed 10/15/15 through 10/26/15. Of the adults, 1,787 were registered to vote in the state of Georgia. Of those registered to vote, SurveyUSA determined that 629 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Republican primary and 481 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Democratic primary; 1,554 would be likely to vote in the November 2016 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

 
1If the Republican primary for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot now, which Republican would you vote for? Donald Trump? Ben Carson? Carly Fiorina? Marco Rubio? Jeb Bush? Ted Cruz? John Kasich? Mike Huckabee? Or Some other Republican?
629 Likely Republican Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Trump35%35%35%33%32%37%36%33%37%37%26%8%35%**31%33%36%**44%39%29%43%38%28%34%35%27%41%35%
Carson28%28%29%28%31%29%25%30%27%29%34%6%27%**33%31%25%**24%30%28%23%27%31%25%29%28%24%34%
Fiorina3%2%4%1%4%3%3%3%3%3%3%0%3%**1%3%1%**1%2%5%2%3%4%5%2%3%5%1%
Rubio12%13%11%19%11%9%12%14%10%10%2%43%12%**10%8%21%**7%12%14%6%9%19%15%11%18%11%7%
Bush4%4%4%3%3%5%6%3%5%4%3%5%5%**1%4%6%**4%3%6%4%6%4%7%4%2%3%7%
Cruz8%8%7%10%10%7%5%10%6%6%21%23%8%**8%11%0%**3%8%9%7%9%8%4%9%9%8%6%
Kasich2%2%1%0%1%3%2%0%2%1%0%6%1%**2%1%3%**1%0%3%0%1%3%2%1%4%1%0%
Huckabee3%3%4%0%2%4%7%2%5%4%0%4%4%**3%4%1%**7%2%3%5%4%2%5%3%3%3%4%
Other1%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%**2%1%1%**0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%
Undecided5%4%6%6%5%4%4%5%4%4%12%4%4%**9%4%4%**9%4%3%9%3%3%3%5%4%4%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters100%55%45%15%27%33%25%43%57%85%5%6%79%2%19%71%24%3%20%33%47%22%40%38%23%77%31%40%29%
 
2If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for President, in the 2016 general election for President, will you ... definitely vote for Trump? Definitely vote for a third party candidate? Definitely vote for the Democratic candidate for President? Or is it too soon to say?
629 Likely Republican Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Definitely Trump74%73%75%69%72%75%76%71%76%75%91%50%74%**73%77%65%**77%76%71%74%78%69%62%77%68%75%77%
Definitely Third Party7%7%5%13%10%4%2%11%3%4%4%39%7%**6%5%11%**2%7%8%5%5%10%12%5%11%6%3%
Definitely Democratic2%2%2%0%1%4%1%1%2%1%2%6%1%**2%0%5%**1%2%2%1%1%2%4%1%3%1%2%
Too Soon18%18%18%18%17%18%21%17%19%19%3%5%19%**19%17%19%**20%15%20%20%15%20%22%17%18%19%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters100%55%45%15%27%33%25%43%57%85%5%6%79%2%19%71%24%3%20%33%47%22%40%38%23%77%31%40%29%
 
3If the Democratic primary for President were today, and these were the only names on the ballot, who would you vote for? Hillary Clinton? Bernie Sanders? Martin O'Malley? Or Lincoln Chafee?
481 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Clinton73%68%78%51%78%80%80%66%80%60%82%78%**76%67%74%76%64%78%75%70%76%73%69%66%77%72%75%73%
Sanders16%20%13%27%12%15%11%19%14%26%10%15%**17%12%5%13%27%11%15%19%15%19%16%16%16%14%16%19%
O'Malley4%4%4%13%1%3%2%6%3%6%3%0%**2%12%14%3%2%3%5%4%4%2%6%7%3%4%5%3%
Chafee1%3%0%4%1%0%2%2%1%3%1%0%**1%0%4%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%3%3%1%3%0%1%
Undecided5%5%5%4%8%2%5%7%3%5%4%7%**4%9%3%5%6%6%3%6%4%5%6%8%3%7%4%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%43%57%21%27%33%18%49%51%34%56%5%4%87%9%14%44%34%21%27%52%33%34%33%32%68%40%31%29%
 
4If the election for President were today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Or Democrat Hillary Clinton?
1554 Likely November 2016 VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Trump46%51%41%36%43%47%56%40%50%63%11%33%81%7%45%75%33%10%50%48%42%41%48%47%32%51%37%52%47%
Clinton37%34%41%39%40%38%32%39%36%20%76%40%4%82%26%11%48%70%36%33%40%43%34%36%38%37%45%31%37%
Other12%11%13%18%13%10%9%15%10%13%7%24%11%8%19%12%11%16%8%12%13%11%13%12%21%8%13%13%10%
Undecided5%4%5%8%5%5%3%6%4%4%7%3%4%3%10%3%7%5%5%7%4%5%5%5%9%3%6%4%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November 2016 Voters100%48%52%19%28%32%21%46%54%62%28%7%40%36%23%40%37%17%20%32%48%30%36%34%29%71%34%36%30%
 
5Also on the ballot in 2016 in Georgia is the Georgia State Intervention in Failing Public Schools Amendment. If passed, the amendment would allow the state to take over any, quote, chronically failing public schools. If you were filling out your ballot now, would you be certain to vote yes on this amendment? Certain to vote no? Or are you not certain?
1554 Likely November 2016 VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Yes41%49%34%55%48%33%33%51%33%36%44%72%40%45%38%40%43%45%39%42%42%40%42%46%60%34%48%39%37%
No19%21%17%14%17%22%19%16%21%19%20%13%18%19%21%18%21%20%16%17%22%16%22%19%16%20%18%18%21%
Not Certain40%30%49%31%34%44%48%33%46%44%37%14%42%36%41%42%36%35%46%41%36%44%37%36%24%46%34%43%43%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November 2016 Voters100%48%52%19%28%32%21%46%54%62%28%7%40%36%23%40%37%17%20%32%48%30%36%34%29%71%34%36%30%
 
6Would you support or oppose holding elections over a weekend, instead of on a Tuesday?
1787 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Support58%57%59%67%62%56%46%64%52%54%63%62%48%69%59%47%65%69%49%58%63%50%59%67%64%55%63%56%56%
Oppose27%30%24%17%26%29%35%22%32%29%25%26%38%18%23%39%21%16%31%26%26%27%29%25%19%31%23%28%30%
Not Sure15%13%17%16%12%14%19%14%16%17%12%12%14%14%17%15%14%15%20%16%11%23%12%8%16%14%14%16%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%29%31%20%49%51%61%28%7%37%36%26%38%39%17%22%33%45%33%35%32%32%68%33%35%32%
 
7Would you support or oppose conducting elections online?
1787 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Support32%30%33%46%35%27%19%40%24%27%36%45%21%45%28%20%37%48%29%27%37%31%32%34%48%24%38%28%30%
Oppose58%61%55%42%54%64%69%49%66%62%52%48%70%44%59%73%51%39%58%62%54%55%59%59%38%67%49%64%60%
Not Sure10%9%12%12%11%9%12%11%10%10%11%6%8%11%12%7%11%13%13%11%9%14%10%7%14%9%13%9%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%29%31%20%49%51%61%28%7%37%36%26%38%39%17%22%33%45%33%35%32%32%68%33%35%32%
 
8Regardless of who you personally think you will vote for in 2016, do you think American voters are ready to elect a female President ?
1787 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Yes62%61%63%68%64%63%52%66%59%53%78%71%43%81%63%45%71%82%55%58%69%58%60%71%65%61%71%56%60%
No27%30%24%23%23%27%36%23%30%34%13%27%44%11%24%41%19%11%34%30%21%31%28%21%21%29%19%34%27%
Not Sure11%9%13%10%13%10%13%11%11%13%9%1%13%7%13%14%10%7%10%13%10%11%12%8%14%10%10%11%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%20%29%31%20%49%51%61%28%7%37%36%26%38%39%17%22%33%45%33%35%32%32%68%33%35%32%
 
9Should the Confederate Battle Flag be flown over public property in Georgia? Or should the Confederate Battle Flag not be flown over public property?
2075 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Flown44%48%40%39%41%45%53%40%48%60%13%31%65%19%47%65%34%25%48%50%35%45%44%41%38%47%31%52%46%
Not Be Flown45%43%46%45%49%45%37%47%42%29%77%53%23%72%39%25%54%65%36%39%55%41%47%48%46%44%58%36%41%
Not Sure12%9%14%16%11%10%10%13%10%11%11%16%12%9%14%11%12%10%17%11%9%14%9%11%16%10%11%12%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%22%29%30%19%51%49%61%28%6%35%35%28%37%39%18%26%32%42%36%35%30%32%68%32%36%32%
 
10In general, do you support or oppose the death penalty for convicted murderers?
2075 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Support60%68%53%53%63%60%66%59%62%69%41%67%81%38%64%79%54%40%59%60%62%51%63%69%59%61%58%65%58%
Oppose24%22%26%27%23%25%21%25%24%18%39%22%10%42%21%11%29%42%24%23%26%29%21%24%23%25%27%21%25%
Not Sure15%9%21%21%13%15%13%17%14%13%21%11%10%20%15%10%16%17%17%17%12%20%16%8%18%14%15%14%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%22%29%30%19%51%49%61%28%6%35%35%28%37%39%18%26%32%42%36%35%30%32%68%32%36%32%
 
11Over the past 8 years, have race relations generally gotten better? Gotten worse? Or stayed about the same?
2075 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Gotten Better14%15%13%20%12%12%14%16%12%13%13%19%15%14%12%15%12%16%14%13%15%12%14%16%15%13%15%15%12%
Gotten Worse55%56%55%48%53%62%57%51%60%58%55%41%61%52%56%64%52%50%54%56%56%56%58%52%48%59%54%57%56%
Same28%27%28%30%30%25%27%30%26%26%28%38%23%31%29%21%32%30%29%28%27%28%25%30%32%26%28%27%29%
Not Sure3%2%3%2%5%1%2%4%2%2%4%3%1%3%3%1%3%3%3%3%2%4%2%2%5%2%3%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%22%29%30%19%51%49%61%28%6%35%35%28%37%39%18%26%32%42%36%35%30%32%68%32%36%32%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.