Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22539

GA Super Tuesday Look-Ahead: GOP Trump Today 7 Pts Atop Carson; Dem Clinton Buries Sanders; 16 Electoral Votes Stay Red At This Hour:

4 months till Super Tuesday, 3 key findings emerge from this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta:

* Donald Trump leads Ben Carson 35% to 28% in the contest to be the Republican nominee for President for 2016.
* Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 73% to 16% in the contest to be the Democratic nominee for President in 2016.
* If those two candidates are in fact the major-party nominees, Trump defeats Clinton in a general election today, 46% to 37%.

Other findings:

* Georgia splits on whether the Confederate Battle Flag should be taken down over public property.
* Georgia opposes holding elections online.
* Georgia supports holding elections on a weekend.
* Georgia supports the death penalty.

In the contest for the Republican nomination, Marco Rubio runs 3rd, with 12% of the vote; all others are in single digits. Trump leads by a nominal 2 points among conservative voters, and leads by 11 points among moderate voters. Trump leads by 20 points among the least educated voters. Carson and Trump are effectively tied among the most educated Republican Primary voters. Trump leads by 20 points among the least affluent voters; Carson leads among the most affluent Republican Primary voters.

Sanders is not today competitive in Georgia; Clinton captures the Democratic Party nomination by more than 4:1.

Filtering: 2,075 adults from the state of Georgia were interviewed 10/15/15 through 10/26/15. Of the adults, 1,787 were registered to vote in the state of Georgia. Of those registered to vote, SurveyUSA determined that 629 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Republican primary and 481 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Democratic primary; 1,554 would be likely to vote in the November 2016 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

1	If the Republican primary for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot now, which Republican would you vote for? Donald Trump? Ben Carson? Carly Fiorina? Marco Rubio? Jeb Bush? Ted Cruz? John Kasich? Mike Huckabee? Or Some other Republican?

629 Likely Republican Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Trump	219	121	98	32	55	76	56	87	132	200	9	3	174	6	36	145	55	6	54	79	86	58	90	62	50	170	52	103	64
Carson	177	96	81	27	53	60	38	79	98	155	11	2	135	2	38	135	38	1	30	61	84	30	63	69	37	140	54	61	62
Fiorina	19	8	10	1	7	7	4	8	11	18	1	0	17	0	1	15	2	2	1	4	13	3	6	8	7	12	6	11	1
Rubio	75	44	31	18	19	19	19	38	38	55	1	16	61	2	12	37	32	3	9	24	41	9	22	42	21	54	34	28	13
Bush	27	15	12	3	5	9	9	9	18	23	1	2	23	2	1	17	9	1	5	5	16	5	14	8	10	17	5	9	13
Cruz	48	28	20	10	17	14	8	27	21	32	7	8	39	0	9	47	0	0	4	17	27	9	21	17	6	42	18	20	10
Kasich	9	7	3	0	1	5	3	1	8	7	0	2	7	0	2	5	5	0	1	1	8	0	2	7	3	7	7	2	0
Huckabee	22	11	11	0	4	7	10	4	18	20	0	2	18	0	4	18	2	1	9	4	8	7	10	3	7	15	6	9	7
Other	4	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	3	4	0	0	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	1	1	3	1	1	2
Undecided	29	13	16	5	9	8	7	14	14	23	4	2	18	0	10	19	7	2	11	9	9	12	7	6	4	25	8	10	10
Total	629	346	283	96	172	206	155	268	361	537	34	37	495	12	117	442	151	16	123	204	296	133	237	224	147	483	192	254	183
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters	100%	55%	45%	15%	27%	33%	25%	43%	57%	85%	5%	6%	79%	2%	19%	71%	24%	3%	20%	33%	47%	22%	40%	38%	23%	77%	31%	40%	29%

2	If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for President, in the 2016 general election for President, will you ... definitely vote for Trump? Definitely vote for a third party candidate? Definitely vote for the Democratic candidate for President? Or is it too soon to say?

629 Likely Republican Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Definitely Trump	463	252	211	66	124	155	118	190	273	403	31	18	365	9	85	340	99	8	95	156	209	99	186	154	90	373	131	191	141
Definitely Third Party	41	26	15	13	17	8	3	30	11	24	1	14	32	0	7	23	17	0	3	13	23	6	12	21	18	23	20	14	6
Definitely Democratic	10	6	5	0	2	8	1	2	9	7	1	2	6	3	2	1	7	2	1	3	6	1	3	4	6	5	5	1	4
Too Soon	115	63	52	17	29	36	32	46	69	103	1	2	92	0	22	77	29	6	24	31	58	26	36	44	33	82	35	47	32
Total	629	346	283	96	172	206	155	268	361	537	34	37	495	12	117	442	151	16	123	204	296	133	237	224	147	483	192	254	183
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters	100%	55%	45%	15%	27%	33%	25%	43%	57%	85%	5%	6%	79%	2%	19%	71%	24%	3%	20%	33%	47%	22%	40%	38%	23%	77%	31%	40%	29%

3	If the Democratic primary for President were today, and these were the only names on the ballot, who would you vote for? Hillary Clinton? Bernie Sanders? Martin O'Malley? Or Lincoln Chafee?

481 Likely Democratic Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Clinton	353	142	211	53	103	126	71	156	197	99	223	19	6	316	29	49	159	104	78	96	173	117	115	105	102	250	138	114	101
Sanders	78	41	36	28	15	24	10	44	34	42	26	4	2	69	5	3	28	44	11	19	47	23	30	25	25	52	27	24	26
O'Malley	20	9	12	13	1	4	2	14	6	10	9	0	5	10	5	9	7	3	3	7	10	7	4	10	11	9	8	8	4
Chafee	7	7	0	4	1	0	1	6	1	4	3	0	2	5	0	3	3	1	1	2	4	1	2	4	4	3	5	0	2
Undecided	23	10	13	5	11	4	4	15	8	9	11	2	3	16	4	2	11	9	6	3	14	6	8	9	13	10	13	5	5
Total	481	209	272	103	131	158	89	234	247	164	272	24	17	417	43	67	208	162	101	127	248	154	158	152	156	325	192	151	138
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters	100%	43%	57%	21%	27%	33%	18%	49%	51%	34%	56%	5%	4%	87%	9%	14%	44%	34%	21%	27%	52%	33%	34%	33%	32%	68%	40%	31%	29%

4	If the election for President were today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Or Democrat Hillary Clinton?

1554 Likely November 2016 Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Trump	709	377	332	105	183	235	186	288	421	610	45	33	499	40	161	460	186	27	155	236	310	184	255	234	144	566	193	296	220
Clinton	582	254	329	112	171	193	107	282	300	191	324	41	27	455	95	67	275	183	113	165	296	193	179	182	168	414	235	175	172
Other	186	80	105	51	55	51	29	106	80	122	28	24	68	47	68	72	64	42	26	60	98	50	67	62	93	93	67	71	48
Undecided	77	33	44	22	21	24	11	43	34	38	31	3	22	16	35	16	42	12	16	34	27	22	25	23	41	37	31	22	24
Total	1554	745	810	290	430	504	332	719	835	961	428	102	616	557	358	616	566	263	309	494	731	449	526	502	445	1109	526	564	465
Composition of Likely November 2016 Voters	100%	48%	52%	19%	28%	32%	21%	46%	54%	62%	28%	7%	40%	36%	23%	40%	37%	17%	20%	32%	48%	30%	36%	34%	29%	71%	34%	36%	30%

Also on the ballot in 2016 in Georgia is the Georgia State Intervention in Failing Public Schools Amendment. If passed, the amendment would allow the state to take over any, quote, chronically failing public schools. If you were filling out your ballot now, would you be certain to vote yes on this amendment? Certain to vote no? Or are you not certain?

1554 Likely November 2016 Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Yes	642	365	278	160	206	167	109	366	276	349	188	74	248	248	137	246	242	119	120	207	309	179	219	229	266	376	253	219	170
No	292	154	138	40	75	112	64	116	177	185	84	14	109	108	75	111	120	52	48	82	160	73	114	94	73	220	95	102	96
Not Certain	620	226	394	89	148	224	159	237	383	427	156	15	259	202	146	258	204	92	141	204	262	197	193	179	107	513	178	242	199
Total	1554	745	810	290	430	504	332	719	835	961	428	102	616	557	358	616	566	263	309	494	731	449	526	502	445	1109	526	564	465
Composition of Likely November 2016 Voters	100%	48%	52%	19%	28%	32%	21%	46%	54%	62%	28%	7%	40%	36%	23%	40%	37%	17%	20%	32%	48%	30%	36%	34%	29%	71%	34%	36%	30%

6	Would you support or oppose holding elections over a weekend, instead of on a Tuesday?

1787 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Support	1037	484	553	243	318	312	165	561	476	588	316	73	321	437	270	313	446	210	189	337	502	279	357	364	366	671	369	355	313
Oppose	483	257	226	60	134	162	127	194	289	317	123	30	256	114	107	261	144	50	120	149	208	150	176	137	110	373	136	180	167
Not Sure	266	110	157	59	60	79	69	119	148	185	60	14	91	87	79	98	93	45	77	93	90	125	71	47	92	175	84	98	84
Total	1787	851	936	362	512	552	361	874	913	1090	499	117	668	637	456	672	684	305	386	579	800	555	604	548	568	1219	589	634	564
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	48%	52%	20%	29%	31%	20%	49%	51%	61%	28%	7%	37%	36%	26%	38%	39%	17%	22%	33%	45%	33%	35%	32%	32%	68%	33%	35%	32%

7	Would you support or oppose conducting elections online?

1787 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Support	566	256	310	167	180	150	69	347	219	299	181	53	143	287	130	134	256	147	110	155	294	173	191	187	273	293	221	177	168
Oppose	1034	520	513	153	278	353	250	431	603	678	261	57	469	277	271	493	352	120	226	361	432	305	356	321	217	816	290	403	341
Not Sure	187	75	113	42	54	50	42	96	91	113	56	7	56	73	55	45	76	38	50	62	73	77	57	40	77	110	78	54	55
Total	1787	851	936	362	512	552	361	874	913	1090	499	117	668	637	456	672	684	305	386	579	800	555	604	548	568	1219	589	634	564
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	48%	52%	20%	29%	31%	20%	49%	51%	61%	28%	7%	37%	36%	26%	38%	39%	17%	22%	33%	45%	33%	35%	32%	32%	68%	33%	35%	32%

8	Regardless of who you personally think you will vote for in 2016, do you think American voters are ready to elect a female President ?

1787 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Yes	1110	519	591	245	330	348	186	575	535	577	389	84	287	518	289	303	485	251	214	334	553	322	362	391	371	739	419	353	337
No	478	253	225	82	117	150	128	200	278	368	63	32	293	72	108	275	128	33	132	171	168	172	168	113	119	359	112	213	153
Not Sure	199	80	119	35	64	54	46	99	100	145	46	2	88	46	59	93	71	21	40	73	79	61	74	44	78	121	59	67	73
Total	1787	851	936	362	512	552	361	874	913	1090	499	117	668	637	456	672	684	305	386	579	800	555	604	548	568	1219	589	634	564
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	48%	52%	20%	29%	31%	20%	49%	51%	61%	28%	7%	37%	36%	26%	38%	39%	17%	22%	33%	45%	33%	35%	32%	32%	68%	33%	35%	32%

9	Should the Confederate Battle Flag be flown over public property in Georgia? Or should the Confederate Battle Flag not be flown over public property?

2075 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Flown	907	473	434	178	245	281	204	423	485	761	73	42	470	141	268	489	268	90	249	333	302	316	299	239	251	657	204	392	312
Not Be Flown	926	427	499	207	293	285	142	500	426	366	444	72	165	525	225	186	427	239	186	258	472	291	322	279	306	620	378	271	277
Not Sure	242	87	154	72	66	64	40	138	104	140	63	21	88	65	82	82	97	37	86	71	81	97	61	66	108	134	72	86	83
Total	2075	987	1088	457	603	629	386	1060	1015	1268	579	135	724	732	576	756	792	366	521	663	855	703	683	583	665	1410	654	749	672
Composition of Adults	100%	48%	52%	22%	29%	30%	19%	51%	49%	61%	28%	6%	35%	35%	28%	37%	39%	18%	26%	32%	42%	36%	35%	30%	32%	68%	32%	36%	32%

10	In general, do you support or oppose the death penalty for convicted murderers?

2075 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.1 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Support	1253	674	579	240	381	377	255	621	632	874	236	90	585	279	366	600	431	148	306	396	529	359	427	400	390	863	379	483	390
Oppose	507	222	285	123	142	160	83	264	242	230	224	30	70	308	123	83	230	154	125	154	220	207	143	139	156	351	179	160	168
Not Sure	316	92	224	94	81	92	49	175	141	164	120	15	69	145	87	74	130	63	91	112	106	138	113	45	118	197	96	105	114
Total	2075	987	1088	457	603	629	386	1060	1015	1268	579	135	724	732	576	756	792	366	521	663	855	703	683	583	665	1410	654	749	672
Composition of Adults	100%	48%	52%	22%	29%	30%	19%	51%	49%	61%	28%	6%	35%	35%	28%	37%	39%	18%	26%	32%	42%	36%	35%	30%	32%	68%	32%	36%	32%

11	Over the past 8 years, have race relations generally gotten better? Gotten worse? Or stayed about the same?

2075 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Party Affiliation			Ideology			Education			Income			Cell Phone / Lan		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Cell Pho	Landline	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Gotten Better	291	147	144	93	73	73	52	166	125	171	75	25	109	102	71	111	95	60	73	86	126	87	98	92	102	189	99	110	82
Gotten Worse	1151	548	603	218	320	391	222	538	613	736	319	55	439	378	320	483	413	183	283	368	482	391	399	306	318	833	352	423	375
Same	576	268	308	136	180	157	104	316	260	334	163	51	168	227	165	155	256	111	150	187	229	199	170	175	210	367	185	199	192
Not Sure	56	23	33	9	30	9	8	39	17	27	22	4	8	25	19	7	27	12	16	21	18	26	16	11	34	22	16	17	23
Total	2075	987	1088	457	603	629	386	1060	1015	1268	579	135	724	732	576	756	792	366	521	663	855	703	683	583	665	1410	654	749	672
Composition of Adults	100%	48%	52%	22%	29%	30%	19%	51%	49%	61%	28%	6%	35%	35%	28%	37%	39%	18%	26%	32%	42%	36%	35%	30%	32%	68%	32%	36%	32%