Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10343
Cantwell Leads by 12 in Re-elect Bid: In an election for U.S. Senator in Washington today, 9/26/06, Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell leads Republican challenger Mike McGavick, 54% to 42%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. The election is in 6 weeks, on 11/7/06. Cantwell gets 91% of Democrat votes. McGavick gets 89% of Republican votes. Independents support Cantwell 51% to 35%. Democrats have a 43% to 34% edge among likely voters in WA: McGavick must win Independents to be competitive. Cantwell leads by 20 points among women and by 5 points among men. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's performance in office, 88% support McGavick. Of those who disapprove of Bush, 82% support Cantwell. President Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Washington is 37%. Cantwell leads by 26 points in Metro Seattle. McGavick leads by 12 points in Eastern WA. Western WA is split. Cantwell was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000.
Filtering: 900 Washington adults were interviewed 9/21/06, 9/24/06, and 9/25/06. Of them, 737 were registered to vote. Of them, 481 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters. Interviewing was suspended during the Jewish Holiday of Rosh Hashanah, 9/22/06 and 9/23/06.
If the election for United States Senator were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Mike McGavick? Democrat Maria Cantwell? Green Party candidate Aaron Dixon? Libertarian Bruce Guthrie? Or Independent Robin Adair?
481 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeBush Job ApprovaRegionGeocodingGeneration *
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo colleSome ColCollege Grad Sch< $40K$40K - $> $80KApproveDisapproWestern Eastern Metro SeUrbanSuburbanRuralGen YGen XJonesBoomersMature
McGavick (R)42%45%38%40%43%41%41%42%****48%89%7%35%79%38%5%34%39%55%34%36%44%42%88%11%46%53%35%34%42%55%28%47%45%37%41%
Cantwell (D)54%50%58%49%53%56%56%54%****47%9%91%51%15%60%88%65%58%39%59%55%53%55%11%82%48%41%61%61%53%41%55%50%51%60%56%
Dixon (G)3%2%3%9%1%1%1%2%****5%2%1%6%2%1%6%0%2%2%6%8%1%2%0%4%2%2%3%4%2%1%17%1%2%1%1%
Guthrie (L)1%2%1%1%3%1%0%2%****0%0%0%6%3%0%0%0%1%3%0%1%1%2%1%2%3%1%0%1%1%4%0%2%2%2%0%
Adair (I)0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%****0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%19%34%27%20%87%1%5%6%34%43%21%28%43%22%8%40%27%24%22%37%36%37%59%28%19%53%28%58%14%9%25%25%21%20%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.