Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17138
 
VA-09's Boucher Bucks GOP Tide, Heads For 15th Term: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 09/30/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith 53% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 4 weeks ago, little has changed; Boucher up 3 points, Griffith is down 2. In addition to maintaining a commanding lead among women, Boucher now leads among men and voters under age 50, groups where he previously trailed.

Boucher, first elected in 1982, is seeking his 15th term.

 
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/27/10 through 09/29/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 628 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
 
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Morgan Griffith? Democrat Rick Boucher? Or Independent Jeremiah Heaton?
628 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Morgan Griffith (R)38%43%33%29%45%36%40%38%37%38%********38%68%11%39%64%19%9%74%4%31%24%38%38%42%34%26%56%16%43%24%32%44%
Rick Boucher (D)53%49%57%54%46%57%54%49%55%54%********54%26%84%43%27%74%82%16%92%60%58%57%50%48%56%66%34%78%49%64%56%51%
Jeremiah Heaton (I)5%5%5%10%4%4%3%6%4%4%********5%3%3%9%5%4%5%7%2%4%7%3%6%5%7%1%6%3%4%5%6%2%
Undecided4%3%6%7%5%3%4%6%4%4%********3%3%2%8%3%3%4%3%2%6%11%2%6%5%3%7%4%4%3%8%6%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%50%50%16%25%34%26%40%60%91%5%1%2%5%95%33%38%28%45%32%16%36%29%21%14%41%59%62%23%15%56%40%73%25%47%53%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.