| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17138 |
| VA-09's Boucher Bucks GOP Tide, Heads For 15th Term: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 09/30/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith 53% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 4 weeks ago, little has changed; Boucher up 3 points, Griffith is down 2. In addition to maintaining a commanding lead among women, Boucher now leads among men and voters under age 50, groups where he previously trailed. Boucher, first elected in 1982, is seeking his 15th term. |
| Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/27/10 through 09/29/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 628 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Morgan Griffith? Democrat Rick Boucher? Or Independent Jeremiah Heaton? |
| 628 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Morgan Griffith (R) | 38% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 45% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 37% | 38% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 38% | 68% | 11% | 39% | 64% | 19% | 9% | 74% | 4% | 31% | 24% | 38% | 38% | 42% | 34% | 26% | 56% | 16% | 43% | 24% | 32% | 44% |
| Rick Boucher (D) | 53% | 49% | 57% | 54% | 46% | 57% | 54% | 49% | 55% | 54% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 54% | 26% | 84% | 43% | 27% | 74% | 82% | 16% | 92% | 60% | 58% | 57% | 50% | 48% | 56% | 66% | 34% | 78% | 49% | 64% | 56% | 51% |
| Jeremiah Heaton (I) | 5% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 2% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 16% | 25% | 34% | 26% | 40% | 60% | 91% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 95% | 33% | 38% | 28% | 45% | 32% | 16% | 36% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 41% | 59% | 62% | 23% | 15% | 56% | 40% | 73% | 25% | 47% | 53% |