| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14004 |
| KY Senate Race: McConnell and Lunsford Start Off Neck and Neck: Incumbent Republican US Senator Mitch McConnell leads Democrat Bruce Lunsford by 4 points in a poll with a 4.0 percentage point margin of sampling error, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. McConnell takes 50% of the vote today; Lunsford takes 46%. Among men, McConnell leads by 8 points; among women, McConnell leads by 2. Among voters age 18-34, Lunsford leads by 11 points; among those 35-49, McConnell leads by 15. Among voters 50+, McConnell leads by 5. McConnell holds 87% of Republican voters; Lunsford holds 67% of Democrats. Lunsford leads in the Louisville area by 13 points; McConnell leads in the rest of the state. McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader, is running for his fifth term. Lunsford, a Louisville businessman, ran in the Democratic primaries for Kentucky Governor in 2003 and 2007. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Kentucky adults 06/13/08, 06/14/08, and 06/16/08. No interviews were conducted on Father's Day, 06/15/08. Of the adults, 797 identified themselves as registered voters. Of them, 626 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the general election on 11/04/08. |
 | Kentucky voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Mitch McConnell? Or, Democrat Bruce Lunsford? |
| 626 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Louisvil | North Ce | Eastern | |
| Mitch McConnell (R) | 50% | 52% | 49% | 41% | 56% | 52% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 87% | 29% | 52% | 82% | 44% | 16% | 56% | 46% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 63% | 33% | 53% | 50% | 51% | ** | 38% | 35% | 83% | ** | ** | 65% | 44% | 57% | 52% | 42% | 54% | 56% |
| Bruce Lunsford (D) | 46% | 44% | 47% | 52% | 41% | 45% | 46% | 45% | 46% | 45% | 43% | 47% | 10% | 67% | 42% | 15% | 53% | 79% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 54% | 50% | 35% | 63% | 40% | 48% | 47% | ** | 56% | 58% | 15% | ** | ** | 27% | 52% | 39% | 45% | 55% | 40% | 41% |
| Undecided | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ** | 6% | 7% | 2% | ** | ** | 8% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 44% | 12% | 44% | 33% | 57% | 9% | 31% | 37% | 13% | 40% | 60% | 55% | 27% | 18% | 58% | 38% | 23% | 76% | 52% | 2% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 47% | 53% | 21% | 29% | 35% | 15% |