Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16820
VA-09: Women Propel Democrat Boucher to 15th Term in Congress: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 07/21/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith 52% to 39%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Among men, the contest is tied; among women, Boucher leads by 25 points. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat. Independents split. Those with favorable opinions of the Tea Party movement back Griffith 3:1; those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party back Boucher 14:1.

Boucher, first elected in 1982, is seeking his 15th term.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 07/17/10 through 07/20/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 579 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Morgan Griffith? Democrat Rick Boucher? Or Independent Jeremiah Heaton?
579 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Morgan Griffith (R)39%45%33%61%43%37%29%49%33%41%******65%10%44%61%16%11%68%6%33%20%42%39%46%34%24%53%17%44%26%37%43%
Rick Boucher (D)52%45%58%31%49%52%63%43%57%51%******26%85%45%32%75%80%21%87%58%69%49%52%46%55%66%38%75%47%67%54%49%
Jeremiah Heaton (I)5%5%4%6%4%6%3%5%5%4%******4%5%5%4%5%4%6%3%5%1%6%4%4%6%5%5%4%5%1%4%4%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%12%25%36%26%38%62%93%4%1%2%35%33%29%54%32%9%43%25%21%11%40%60%64%22%14%65%31%77%21%49%51%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.