Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18726
 
In Minnesota, DFL Incumbent U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar Has Double-Digit Advantage over Best-Known GOP Challengers;
In Fight for North Star State's 10 Electoral Votes, Obama Defeats All Republican Comers, Though Romney Makes a Go of It.

One year to Election Day, Incumbent U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar leads 2 well-known Minnesota Republicans by a dozen points, and leads lesser known Republicans 2:1, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis St Paul. In head-to-head matchups today, 11/08/11, among MN registered voters, it is:

* Klobuchar 49%, Tim Pawlenty 37%.
* Klobuchar 50%, Norm Coleman 37%
* Klobuchar 55%, Dan Severson 23%.
* Klobuchar 56%, Joe Arwood 22%.

In head-to-head match-ups for President of the United States, Barack Obama leads all Republican challengers, 1 by less than the 10 percentage points that Obama defeated John McCain by in 2008, the rest by more. Minnesota is a key battleground state that Obama needs to carry to keep the White House. At this hour:

* Obama 45%, Mitt Romney 39%.
* Obama 48%, Rick Perry 35%.
* Obama 48%, Herman Cain 35%.
* Obama 57%, Michele Bachmann 29%, largely unchanged from SurveyUSA polling released 05/24/11.
* Obama 48%, Ron Paul 35%.

Support for an amendment to the MN constitution, to re-define marriage, has nominally declined from an 11-point advantage 6 months ago to a 6-point advantage today.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 600 state of MN adults 11/02/11 through 11/07/11. Of the adults, 543 were registered to vote and were asked the substantive questions. The survey was conducted multi-mode. Respondents who use a home phone (78% of adults) were interviewed on their home phone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondents who do not use a home phone (22% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop, tablet or other electronic device. Interviews for this survey were conducted across 6 days and nights, at a time when Herman Cain was increasingly in the news. Respondents interviewed at the beginning of the field period would have not heard about possible Cain sexual misconduct; respondents interviewed at the end of the field period would have seen and heard from one of Cain's accusers.

 
1If Minnesota faces a budget deficit in 2012, would you prefer the budget be balanced by ... raising taxes? Cutting spending? Or by both raising taxes and cutting spending?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Raising Taxes11%16%7%14%13%9%7%13%8%12%11%5%18%10%10%12%6%9%28%8%7%15%11%10%14%10%11%10%19%
Cutting Spending47%46%47%47%51%47%41%49%44%43%47%66%31%46%82%42%73%38%19%46%49%46%43%47%50%45%52%40%56%
Both38%35%41%33%33%44%47%33%45%38%40%27%47%40%8%42%19%48%49%36%41%37%39%40%35%42%32%46%20%
Not Sure4%3%4%6%4%0%5%5%2%6%3%3%4%4%0%4%2%4%4%10%3%2%7%3%1%3%5%4%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
2If you could only choose one way to balance the state budget, which would you prefer? Raising taxes? Or cutting spending?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Raising Taxes28%33%24%29%27%28%28%28%28%27%27%8%48%27%9%30%13%31%54%21%26%33%24%34%25%30%23%25%30%
Cutting Spending65%63%67%65%69%64%59%67%62%65%65%87%43%67%91%62%85%61%39%64%67%64%60%61%74%65%67%63%65%
Not Sure7%4%9%6%4%8%13%5%10%8%7%5%9%6%0%7%2%8%7%15%6%3%16%5%1%6%10%12%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
3Should daycare workers in the state of Minnesota form labor unions and be considered as public employees?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Yes19%19%18%27%18%18%10%22%15%26%17%16%23%19%11%20%12%19%32%19%20%18%22%16%21%20%17%22%11%
No68%70%65%59%68%71%75%64%73%59%71%73%60%70%87%67%80%65%52%62%68%70%61%71%69%65%72%71%73%
Not Sure13%10%16%14%14%10%16%14%13%15%13%11%17%11%1%13%8%16%15%19%12%12%17%13%10%15%11%7%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
4Should people in Minnesota convicted of murdering a police officer ever be given parole? Or not?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Should20%21%19%23%21%19%16%22%18%20%20%14%20%24%25%21%15%22%24%16%16%25%21%19%22%20%18%20%23%
Should Not62%61%63%56%62%65%68%59%66%61%63%74%58%58%64%62%64%62%56%67%66%57%65%60%62%62%50%72%64%
Not Sure18%18%18%21%18%16%15%19%16%19%17%11%22%18%11%17%21%16%20%17%19%18%14%21%16%18%32%8%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
Should the Minnesota Vikings keep playing football in the Metrodome without renovating it? Should they renovate the stadium and keep playing in it? Or should a new stadium be built?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Keep Playing, Don't Renovate22%18%25%31%19%17%18%25%17%26%20%13%18%28%20%21%22%20%18%21%26%19%21%19%25%20%22%13%36%
Renovate Metrodome40%31%48%34%39%41%50%36%45%45%40%43%44%36%44%41%42%38%46%40%35%43%53%40%27%38%40%51%35%
Build New Stadium33%45%21%33%34%34%26%34%31%23%34%36%32%31%26%33%30%35%31%34%34%32%20%36%40%35%33%28%25%
Not Sure6%6%6%2%8%8%5%5%7%6%6%8%6%5%10%5%7%6%5%5%5%7%6%5%8%6%4%8%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
6Should the governor call the state legislature into special session to consider a bill to build a new football stadium for the Minnesota Vikings?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Yes35%49%22%39%36%32%33%37%32%23%37%38%37%33%39%35%35%36%39%36%39%33%25%37%44%37%38%32%30%
No55%41%68%54%56%56%52%55%54%70%52%54%52%58%50%56%55%54%53%50%54%58%61%55%48%55%47%54%66%
Not Sure10%9%10%7%8%12%15%7%13%7%11%9%11%9%10%9%10%10%8%14%7%9%14%9%7%9%16%14%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
Should legalized gambling be expanded in Minnesota to raise revenue to help finance a new stadium for the Vikings?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Yes58%67%48%57%59%59%55%58%57%51%59%61%62%53%67%57%58%57%58%56%66%53%49%61%62%59%62%56%50%
No36%28%43%37%34%37%34%36%36%41%35%36%30%39%27%36%37%35%34%38%27%41%44%32%32%35%29%39%44%
Not Sure7%4%9%5%7%4%11%6%7%8%5%3%8%8%6%7%5%7%8%6%7%6%7%7%6%6%9%5%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
Should any tax dollars be used to help finance a new stadium for the Vikings? Or should any new stadium be built entirely with private funding?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Tax Dollars26%39%14%31%29%23%17%30%21%22%25%32%26%23%26%26%25%29%23%18%28%28%12%29%36%30%25%19%18%
Entirely With Private Funding65%53%76%65%63%64%69%64%66%73%64%63%66%66%74%65%67%61%68%67%63%65%78%60%58%61%63%68%81%
Not Sure9%8%10%4%8%13%14%6%13%5%11%5%8%11%0%10%8%9%9%15%9%7%9%11%6%9%12%14%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
Should there be a public vote before any taxes are raised to pay for a Vikings stadium?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Yes73%63%82%80%74%65%70%77%67%86%68%76%69%74%82%71%75%74%66%74%74%72%78%73%69%73%76%75%69%
No21%30%11%18%20%26%18%19%23%14%23%22%23%19%15%22%20%19%28%16%20%23%15%18%29%22%14%19%21%
Not Sure7%6%7%2%6%9%12%4%10%1%9%3%8%7%3%6%5%7%6%11%6%5%7%9%2%5%11%6%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
10If a new Vikings stadium is built, should it be located in Arden Hills? In Minneapolis? Or someplace else?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Arden Hills33%38%30%25%40%35%33%33%34%26%35%30%37%33%40%33%38%33%28%37%32%33%27%42%29%37%27%22%38%
Minneapolis39%39%40%44%34%38%41%39%39%39%39%41%39%39%39%41%34%40%48%36%43%38%38%34%46%41%50%33%26%
Someplace Else11%10%12%12%8%15%11%10%13%10%12%10%10%13%8%11%10%13%6%11%12%11%16%9%10%9%7%17%18%
Not Sure16%13%19%18%18%12%14%18%13%25%14%18%14%16%13%15%18%14%18%16%14%18%19%15%15%13%16%27%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
11If the Vikings do not get a new stadium, do you think they will move out of Minnesota?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Yes47%56%38%41%49%54%44%45%50%36%50%52%46%44%48%49%46%49%48%40%46%51%36%48%56%48%43%54%40%
No30%26%33%41%25%22%31%33%26%38%26%26%30%32%37%28%30%31%25%35%33%25%37%27%26%29%37%26%30%
Not Sure23%18%29%18%26%24%25%22%25%26%24%22%24%24%15%24%25%20%28%25%21%24%26%25%18%23%20%20%30%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
If an amendment to the Minnesota Constitution were on the ballot, that defines marriage as between one man and one woman, would you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
For46%47%45%31%52%47%60%42%53%34%50%71%26%46%78%43%74%39%17%51%43%46%52%44%44%43%56%45%50%
Against40%39%41%46%39%45%27%43%37%48%39%21%58%39%14%44%15%45%73%33%40%44%33%42%46%43%36%36%40%
Not Vote10%8%11%16%5%7%10%10%8%15%8%6%10%11%8%10%6%12%9%11%11%8%13%9%6%9%5%18%7%
Not Sure4%5%3%6%4%1%3%5%2%3%3%2%7%3%0%3%5%4%1%5%6%2%2%5%4%5%4%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
13Minnesota will elect a United States Senator in November 2012. If the election for US Senate were today, and the only two candidates were DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar and Republican Tim Pawlenty, who would you vote for?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Klobuchar (DFL)49%47%51%38%45%57%64%42%60%46%51%17%82%47%22%54%19%55%90%54%46%50%54%48%46%49%36%57%56%
Pawlenty (R)37%37%37%37%43%34%30%40%33%38%37%74%7%37%67%34%68%30%5%27%37%41%34%35%42%38%43%35%31%
Undecided14%15%12%25%12%9%6%18%7%16%11%9%11%17%11%12%14%15%5%19%18%9%12%16%12%13%21%9%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
14What if the only candidates were DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar and Republican Norm Coleman?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Klobuchar (DFL)50%47%52%39%45%62%58%42%60%44%53%17%81%47%22%55%20%55%88%52%47%51%54%50%46%51%37%52%53%
Coleman (R)37%40%34%38%42%30%35%40%32%34%38%72%7%36%68%34%67%28%8%32%38%38%36%33%42%36%43%38%31%
Undecided14%13%14%23%13%9%7%18%8%23%10%10%12%16%10%11%13%16%3%16%16%11%10%17%12%13%20%9%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
What if it were Amy Klobuchar and Republican Dan Severson?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Klobuchar (DFL)55%55%54%44%50%64%66%47%65%52%57%28%84%51%27%60%24%63%89%59%55%53%57%54%53%53%44%70%59%
Severson (R)23%24%23%20%28%22%21%24%21%15%25%49%4%22%63%19%48%14%5%18%22%26%25%23%22%25%23%15%26%
Undecided22%22%23%35%22%14%14%28%14%33%18%23%12%28%10%20%28%23%6%23%23%21%17%23%24%23%33%16%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
What if it were Amy Klobuchar and Republican Joe Arwood?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Klobuchar (DFL)56%56%56%43%51%67%68%47%67%52%58%29%85%52%26%61%25%64%88%59%57%54%58%55%55%54%46%67%59%
Arwood (R)22%23%21%22%28%20%17%25%18%15%24%48%3%21%61%19%47%12%6%17%22%25%23%22%21%23%22%16%25%
Undecided22%21%23%35%21%14%16%28%15%33%18%24%12%27%13%20%28%23%6%24%22%22%19%23%24%23%32%17%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
Minnesota voters will also elect a President of the United States. If the only candidates on the ballot for President were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Obama (D)45%41%48%47%37%48%49%42%49%55%43%14%81%38%16%49%15%49%88%53%39%45%46%47%42%46%39%39%50%
Romney (R)39%39%40%35%46%37%37%41%37%29%43%73%8%41%71%37%68%34%6%29%41%42%36%37%44%40%46%36%32%
Undecided16%21%12%18%17%15%14%17%15%17%14%13%11%20%13%14%17%17%6%18%19%13%18%17%13%14%15%24%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
18What if it were Obama and Republican Rick Perry?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Obama (D)48%47%49%48%41%53%53%44%53%55%47%16%82%44%16%54%15%57%88%54%45%48%48%50%47%50%40%45%52%
Perry (R)35%33%36%32%43%30%32%38%31%25%38%68%7%35%76%31%68%24%8%28%34%38%33%32%38%35%43%31%30%
Undecided17%20%15%21%16%17%15%18%16%20%15%16%11%21%9%16%17%19%5%18%21%14%19%17%15%16%18%23%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
What if it were Obama and Republican Michele Bachmann?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Obama (D)57%55%58%59%53%59%56%56%58%67%55%22%86%57%19%63%27%64%91%60%54%57%54%56%62%59%51%55%55%
Bachmann (R)29%27%31%28%34%26%28%31%27%21%32%61%6%27%69%25%56%21%5%25%27%33%28%31%27%28%35%29%28%
Undecided14%17%11%13%13%15%16%13%16%12%13%17%8%16%12%12%17%14%3%15%19%10%18%14%11%13%14%15%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
20What if it were Obama and Republican Herman Cain?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Obama (D)48%44%51%48%41%50%56%45%53%54%48%19%83%41%19%53%16%55%90%58%43%47%52%50%42%49%37%45%57%
Cain (R)35%37%33%30%44%34%30%37%32%24%38%65%7%39%79%31%65%27%6%27%38%36%30%31%45%35%46%30%31%
Undecided17%18%16%22%15%15%15%18%15%22%14%17%10%21%3%16%19%19%4%15%19%17%19%19%14%16%17%25%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%
 
 
What if it were Obama and Republican Ron Paul?
543 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeologyEducationIncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome ColCollege < $40K$40K - $> $80KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Obama (D)48%46%50%48%40%57%51%44%54%57%47%16%84%43%15%54%18%56%85%54%42%51%47%51%48%50%41%45%50%
Paul (R)35%34%35%32%44%27%33%38%30%28%37%62%6%39%73%32%60%28%9%27%38%36%33%33%39%31%45%34%38%
Undecided17%20%14%20%16%16%15%18%16%15%15%22%10%18%12%14%22%16%7%19%20%13%20%17%13%18%13%21%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%28%30%24%18%58%42%21%79%24%30%45%7%85%31%48%17%20%32%47%28%41%31%58%14%14%14%