Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14456
Show-Me The Statehouse: Nixon Poised To Win Missouri Governor Race: In an election for Governor of Missouri today, 09/25/08, Democrat Jay Nixon defeats Republican Kenny Hulshof 54% to 37%, according to this latest exclusive KCTV News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Nixon, the incumbent Attorney General, wins a majority of the young and the old, the male and the female, the white and the black, the rich and the poor, and the well-educated and less-educated. Hulshof, who represents Missouri's 9th Congressional District in the US House, leads among Republicans, conservatives, and pro-life voters.

23% of Republicans cross over to vote for Nixon; 11% of Democrats cross over to vote for Hulshof; Nixon wins independents by 15 points. Nixon is running 8 points stronger than Barack Obama is at the top of the Democratic ticket in Missouri, as shown in SurveyUSA polling on the presidential race; Hulshof is running 11 points weaker than John McCain at the top of the Republican ticket.

Context / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Missouri adults 09/23/08 and 09/24/08. The research was conducted at a time of unprecedented economic and political turbulence. Of the adults, 828 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 705 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
Missouri voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Kenny Hulshof? Democrat Jay Nixon? Libertarian Andrew Finkenstadt? Or Constitution Party candidate Gregory Thompson?
705 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoNorthernKansas CSouthwesSt. LouiSoutheas
Kenny Hulshof (R)37%39%35%34%37%36%43%36%39%40%13%****72%11%34%67%26%10%37%37%45%33%23%55%18%31%40%36%38%40%29%31%38%39%26%42%28%48%27%41%36%37%
Jay Nixon (D)54%53%56%54%55%55%51%55%54%52%78%****23%83%49%26%67%83%54%55%47%58%67%38%72%59%53%56%52%52%63%59%54%54%63%49%63%43%61%50%57%56%
Andrew Finkenstadt (L)2%4%1%5%2%1%1%3%1%2%3%****1%1%6%3%2%2%3%1%1%3%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%3%1%3%2%2%4%3%1%2%2%1%3%3%
Gregory Thompson (CP)2%2%2%1%1%4%0%1%3%2%1%****2%2%2%1%2%0%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%1%1%4%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%1%3%2%3%0%3%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%24%31%26%19%55%45%86%10%1%2%32%38%23%32%36%14%47%53%51%26%23%49%48%40%60%70%23%67%33%23%76%80%16%57%42%14%19%18%40%9%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.