Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15835
 
In VA, Republicans Still Above 50% in All 3 Statewide November Contests: Virginia Republicans continue to dominate the statewide contests for Governor, Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General in elections today, 09/29/09, five weeks until votes are counted, according to SurveyUSA polling for WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WJLA-TV Washington DC.

In the race for Governor, Republican Bob McDonnell today defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds by 14 points, 55% to 41%. Compared to identical SurveyUSA polls released four and nine weeks ago, little has changed. McDonnell receives majorities from both men and women, young and old, rich and poor, college graduates and those who did not attend college. Deeds leads by 3:1 among African Americans, by 7:1 among Democrats and liberals, and by 14 points among moderates. McDonnell and Deeds tie in Northeastern Virginia; McDonnell leads in the rest of the state.

For Lieutenant Governor, Incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of VA and VA Secretary of Finance, 54% to 41%. Bolling led nine weeks ago by 12, led four weeks ago by 10, leads today by 13. The Republican has momentum in Central VA. The Democrat is making inroads, though still trailing, in Southeast VA.

In the Attorney General contest, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat state representative Steve Shannon 53% to 42%. The Republican has never polled less than 53%. The Democrat has never polled more than 42%.

 
Filtering: 1,000 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/26/09 through 09/29/09. Of them, 886 were registered to vote. Of them, 631 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Kaine is term limited; his seat is open. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Mims was appointed to the seat by the Virginia General Assembly in February 2009, when Bob McDonnell resigned to campaign full-time for Governor, and is not seeking election to the office.
 
If the election for Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? Or Democrat Creigh Deeds?
631 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KObamaMcCainShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
McDonnell (R)55%57%53%54%56%53%55%56%54%61%24%****89%13%59%86%41%12%51%60%60%51%48%77%33%68%40%52%56%13%91%53%49%53%63%
Deeds (D)41%40%43%42%41%41%43%41%42%35%72%****10%85%35%13%55%85%46%34%38%45%45%20%64%31%55%40%42%82%7%44%47%44%33%
Undecided4%3%5%4%3%6%3%3%5%4%4%****2%2%6%1%4%3%3%5%2%5%6%3%3%2%5%8%2%5%1%3%5%3%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%17%34%30%20%51%49%77%17%3%3%37%32%29%39%45%11%58%42%55%26%19%49%47%51%47%31%69%44%51%25%25%20%30%
 
 
Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? Or Democrat Jody Wagner?
631 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KObamaMcCainShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Bolling (R)54%56%53%55%57%51%52%57%52%62%18%****89%12%60%86%41%15%52%58%60%48%49%76%34%68%39%48%57%12%92%56%50%50%60%
Wagner (D)41%40%42%37%39%43%45%38%44%33%77%****10%86%31%14%55%79%44%37%37%47%43%22%62%29%55%45%39%83%6%41%43%48%34%
Undecided5%4%6%7%4%5%3%5%4%4%5%****1%2%9%1%5%6%5%4%3%5%8%2%5%2%6%7%3%5%2%3%7%2%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%17%34%30%20%51%49%77%17%3%3%37%32%29%39%45%11%58%42%55%26%19%49%47%51%47%31%69%44%51%25%25%20%30%
 
 
Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? Or Democrat Steve Shannon?
631 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KObamaMcCainShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Cuccinelli (R)53%55%51%61%56%49%48%58%48%59%20%****89%14%53%86%38%11%52%56%59%47%46%77%30%66%39%47%56%15%87%55%51%55%52%
Shannon (D)42%42%42%34%40%45%47%38%46%36%75%****9%85%36%12%57%85%43%39%38%45%47%20%65%31%55%45%40%80%10%41%43%45%39%
Undecided5%4%7%5%4%7%5%4%6%5%5%****1%2%10%2%5%3%5%4%3%8%6%3%5%4%6%8%4%5%3%4%6%0%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%17%34%30%20%51%49%77%17%3%3%37%32%29%39%45%11%58%42%55%26%19%49%47%51%47%31%69%44%51%25%25%20%30%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.