Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19672
 
In Nevada's Newly Drawn 3rd Congressional District, Incumbent Republican Heck Has Edge on Democratic Challenger Oceguera:

In an election for the U.S. House of Representatives from Nevada's 3rd Congressional District today, 09/13/12, incumbent Republican Joe Heck leads Democratic challenger John Oceguera 53% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and KLAS-TV.

Heck has a a 21-point advantage among seniors, a 20-point advantage among male voters, and a 22-point advantage among white voters. He receives a majority of the vote among lower-income, middle-income and upper-income voters. He receives a majority of the vote among those who have attended college and those who have not.

Hispanics back Oceguera by 11 points. Blacks back Oceguera by 49 points.

Oceguera is supported by 92% of "strong Democrats," 81% of Democrats, and 77% of "independents who lean Democrat." But that is not enough to overcome Heck, who leads by 18 points among Independents, and who leads overwhelmingly among Republicans.

* Heck has a Plus 22 Net Favorability Rating in the District: 45% view him favorably compared to 23% who view him unfavorably.
* Oceguera has a Plus 9 Net Favorability Rating: 29% view him favorably compared to 20% who view him unfavorably.
* Oceguera is unknown to 23% of NV-03 voters, compared to Heck, who is unknown to just 9% of NV-03 voters.
* Voters say Heck, by 49% to 36% (or by 4:3) would do more to protect Medicare.
* Voters say Heck, by 49% to 38% (or by 5:4) is more in touch with the average working person.

Overwhelmingly, voters say they want their representative in Congress to focus on "jobs" ahead of all other issues. Jobs is named by 52% of whites and 57% of Hispanics, way ahead of "the federal debt," which is named by 15% of whites, and way ahead of education, which is named by 22% of Asians, 14% of blacks and 12% of Hispanics.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research, which was conducted 100% by telephone: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 registered voters from Nevada's 3rd Congressional District 09/10/12 through 09/12/12, using Registration Based Sample (voter list sample) provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 663 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted 100% by telephone. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (75% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (25% of likely voters) were called on their cell phone, by live operators, who hand-dialed the phone, secured the cell-phone owner's cooperation, interviewed the respondent, recorded the respondent's answers, and remained on the phone until the interview was completed. In this survey, landline respondents vote Republican by 20 points. Cell phone respondents vote Democrat by 7 points.

 
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from Nevada's 3rd Congressional District were today, would you vote for ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Joe Heck? Democrat John Oceguera? Or some other candidate?
663 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 Vote2010 VoteUnionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DYesNoConservaModerateLiberalObamaMcCainRepublicDemocratDid Not YesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Joe Heck (R)53%57%49%43%58%47%58%54%53%58%17%41%57%39%58%96%83%86%48%16%10%2%85%50%86%46%15%19%93%91%8%38%34%58%52%54%53%51%52%56%
John Oceguera (D)40%37%43%42%34%46%37%36%41%36%66%52%29%46%38%4%9%6%30%77%81%92%2%43%7%47%78%73%4%6%85%48%55%35%41%39%41%37%41%38%
Other4%4%3%5%2%5%4%3%4%3%6%7%4%7%3%0%2%6%10%2%4%5%13%3%4%3%3%4%1%1%4%6%8%3%5%3%3%7%4%2%
Undecided4%2%5%9%6%2%1%7%2%3%11%0%10%9%2%0%5%2%12%5%5%1%0%4%3%4%4%4%2%2%3%8%3%4%2%4%4%5%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%23%33%33%34%66%72%7%14%7%25%75%22%15%13%11%7%15%17%7%92%35%39%20%49%44%49%35%13%22%77%14%40%47%23%40%37%
 
 
Is your opinion of Joe Heck ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
663 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 Vote2010 VoteUnionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DYesNoConservaModerateLiberalObamaMcCainRepublicDemocratDid Not YesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable45%48%40%32%47%40%52%42%46%50%13%32%41%28%50%85%66%72%38%10%12%1%73%42%78%35%11%15%81%79%8%23%28%49%39%45%47%41%43%51%
Unfavorable23%22%25%23%18%24%25%19%25%25%43%9%17%13%27%1%5%5%15%51%43%57%3%25%4%27%53%44%2%3%56%15%29%22%14%22%28%19%24%26%
Neutral23%21%26%26%27%24%19%27%21%20%22%35%32%36%19%8%22%18%31%33%34%27%13%24%12%30%25%32%13%14%28%42%32%20%27%26%20%29%26%16%
No Opinion9%9%9%19%8%12%4%12%8%5%22%24%10%23%5%5%8%5%16%5%11%15%12%9%6%8%11%9%4%4%8%20%11%9%21%7%6%12%7%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%23%33%33%34%66%72%7%14%7%25%75%22%15%13%11%7%15%17%7%92%35%39%20%49%44%49%35%13%22%77%14%40%47%23%40%37%
 
 
Is your opinion of John Oceguera ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
663 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 Vote2010 VoteUnionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DYesNoConservaModerateLiberalObamaMcCainRepublicDemocratDid Not YesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable29%28%31%23%25%31%32%25%32%27%50%36%16%29%29%7%7%7%22%47%53%71%2%32%6%34%61%51%6%7%62%27%38%27%24%31%30%25%33%28%
Unfavorable20%25%15%22%20%16%24%20%20%23%7%14%23%9%24%36%26%33%23%11%4%1%38%19%37%15%4%9%32%37%2%9%13%22%16%18%24%18%20%23%
Neutral28%28%28%26%29%29%26%28%28%29%24%20%38%26%28%30%36%29%29%31%24%18%33%28%29%31%22%26%32%30%24%35%25%29%35%26%28%29%28%27%
No Opinion23%20%26%29%26%23%18%27%20%21%19%30%24%35%18%26%30%31%27%10%19%10%28%22%29%20%13%14%29%27%12%29%23%22%25%25%18%28%20%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%23%33%33%34%66%72%7%14%7%25%75%22%15%13%11%7%15%17%7%92%35%39%20%49%44%49%35%13%22%77%14%40%47%23%40%37%
 
 
What one issue should your Congressman focus on ahead of all others ...? Jobs? Abortion? Taxes? Health care? The federal debt? Education? Immigration? Housing? Or some other issue?
660 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 Vote2010 VoteUnionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DYesNoConservaModerateLiberalObamaMcCainRepublicDemocratDid Not YesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Jobs52%49%55%45%54%55%50%51%53%52%57%57%38%50%53%55%51%61%50%52%47%49%68%51%55%50%53%50%55%53%49%54%56%51%53%58%46%57%51%50%
Abortion1%1%1%4%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%3%0%2%1%1%3%0%1%0%0%0%3%1%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%1%0%1%0%2%0%2%1%1%
Taxes6%7%4%6%6%5%7%6%6%6%7%3%5%4%6%7%7%7%4%2%8%2%4%6%6%7%3%5%7%6%5%6%4%6%3%6%7%6%6%6%
Health Care11%10%12%10%6%10%15%7%13%12%9%8%10%11%11%6%9%9%10%12%15%17%4%12%9%12%13%15%7%8%17%5%7%12%13%10%11%11%13%8%
Federal Debt13%16%11%10%15%11%16%13%13%15%5%8%13%9%15%21%18%17%16%4%8%4%17%13%21%12%5%7%19%21%5%10%9%15%8%11%16%8%13%18%
Education10%9%12%21%14%9%5%16%7%8%14%12%22%17%8%7%5%2%11%21%16%15%1%11%2%13%19%15%5%5%16%13%14%9%9%8%13%8%13%9%
Immigration2%3%1%0%3%2%2%2%2%2%0%1%7%1%3%3%3%1%4%4%1%1%3%2%2%3%1%2%3%3%2%2%4%2%3%2%2%2%1%3%
Housing2%3%2%2%1%4%2%1%3%1%3%7%5%5%1%0%2%1%2%2%1%8%0%3%1%1%4%2%1%1%2%7%3%2%8%1%2%2%1%2%
Other2%2%1%3%1%1%3%1%2%2%5%0%0%2%2%0%2%1%1%3%3%4%0%2%2%1%2%3%1%1%3%1%2%2%2%1%3%3%0%2%
Not Sure0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%23%33%33%34%66%72%6%14%7%24%76%22%15%13%11%7%15%17%7%92%35%39%20%48%44%49%35%13%22%77%14%40%47%23%40%38%
 
 
Who will do more to protect Medicare?
663 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 Vote2010 VoteUnionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DYesNoConservaModerateLiberalObamaMcCainRepublicDemocratDid Not YesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Joe Heck49%51%46%31%50%49%55%44%52%53%17%46%47%33%54%85%71%82%43%10%15%7%85%46%79%42%9%18%83%83%6%43%35%53%47%52%47%46%45%52%
John Oceguera36%33%39%36%30%39%37%32%38%36%54%32%31%28%39%4%7%5%29%80%67%84%2%39%6%42%79%68%5%5%81%35%51%32%28%34%41%29%42%37%
Not Sure15%15%15%32%20%13%8%24%11%12%30%22%22%39%7%10%22%13%28%9%18%9%13%15%15%16%11%14%13%12%12%21%14%16%25%14%12%26%13%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%23%33%33%34%66%72%7%14%7%25%75%22%15%13%11%7%15%17%7%92%35%39%20%49%44%49%35%13%22%77%14%40%47%23%40%37%
 
 
Who is more in touch with the average working person?
663 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationTea Party MemberIdeology2008 Vote2010 VoteUnionEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtCell PhoLandlineStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DYesNoConservaModerateLiberalObamaMcCainRepublicDemocratDid Not YesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Joe Heck49%52%46%39%50%44%56%47%50%53%25%36%53%31%55%90%76%80%43%15%8%2%84%46%81%42%12%17%86%85%7%32%34%53%41%54%47%49%47%52%
John Oceguera38%36%40%32%33%43%39%33%41%37%56%39%31%35%39%4%10%9%27%82%69%90%3%41%9%45%76%69%6%6%81%44%50%34%34%36%42%33%42%37%
Not Sure13%12%14%29%17%13%6%21%9%10%19%25%16%34%6%7%14%11%30%3%23%8%13%13%10%13%13%15%8%8%12%23%16%13%24%11%11%18%11%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%11%23%33%33%34%66%72%7%14%7%25%75%22%15%13%11%7%15%17%7%92%35%39%20%49%44%49%35%13%22%77%14%40%47%23%40%37%