Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19897
 
3 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted, Hours Before 2nd Presidential Debate Begins, Early Voters Give Obama An Edge in Ohio:

In an election for President of the United States in Ohio today, 10/16/12, Barack Obama edges Mitt Romney 45% to 42%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCMH-TV in Columbus. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Obama is flat at 45%, Romney is down 2 points, from 44% to 42%.

Obama's entire advantage comes from those Ohioans who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. Among early voters, Obama leads 57% to 38%. Among Ohioans who are likely to vote, but who have not yet done so, the contest is tied, 43% to 43%. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Obama leads by the 3 points reported here. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, women are stable, but Obama picks up a couple of points among men. The gender gap today is 13 points. Both Obama and Romney lost support among Independents week-on-week. Romney declined 3 points, from 44% to 41%. Obama declined 2 points, from 35% to 33%. Obama gained ground week-on-week among middle-income voters. In greater Columbus, the contest is absolutely unchanged: 47% to 41% Obama last week; 47% to 41% Obama this week.

In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, Democrat Sherrod Brown defeats Republican Josh Mandel 43% to 38%. Week-on-week, Brown is up 1 point, Mandel is flat. Brown leads by 14 points among Ohioans who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, and by 2 points among likely voters who have not yet marked a ballot. Week-on-week, Mandel lost 2 points among voters under age 50, and gained 2 points among voters age 50+. In greater Columbus, Mandel lost 3 points week-on-week. In greater Cleveland, Mandel gained 3 points week-on-week.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 675 Ohio adults 10/12/12 through 10/15/12. Of the adults, 613 had either already returned a ballot or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to do so before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Obama leads by 12 points among cell-phone respondents. Obama and Romney are tied, 46% to 46%, among landline respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Obama leads by the 3 points reported here.

 
In the election for President of the United States, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? One of the other candidates? Or are you undecided?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney (R)42%45%40%33%48%43%47%40%45%47%11%33%46%38%43%89%6%41%74%34%6%29%50%30%42%39%44%57%35%18%54%66%34%42%48%45%35%41%43%51%37%33%64%100%0%18%57%65%85%10%33%55%51%41%38%**
Barack Obama (D)45%41%49%52%37%45%48%44%46%40%79%45%46%57%43%5%88%33%16%51%88%55%40%50%52%50%45%32%53%73%34%19%53%46%40%44%50%51%45%36%52%58%27%0%100%75%29%18%7%81%52%39%32%47%50%**
Other3%5%1%4%4%2%1%4%2%3%1%4%3%3%3%2%1%9%3%3%4%4%2%5%3%1%3%3%3%3%3%3%6%2%2%3%4%1%3%4%2%2%3%0%0%1%3%7%3%1%2%1%4%4%3%**
Undecided9%9%9%11%11%9%4%11%7%9%9%17%6%2%11%4%5%18%6%12%2%12%7%16%3%10%8%8%9%6%9%12%7%11%10%8%11%8%9%9%9%8%6%0%0%7%10%10%6%8%12%5%14%8%9%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
In the election for United States Senator, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Josh Mandel? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Are you undecided? Or will you not vote in this contest?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Josh Mandel (R)38%42%35%31%40%40%43%36%41%43%11%28%42%38%39%79%7%37%70%28%9%25%46%25%39%36%40%54%31%17%48%61%29%39%43%42%32%35%41%49%35%30%57%82%4%15%53%59%76%11%27%46%47%37%35%**
Sherrod Brown (D)43%40%45%40%39%47%47%39%47%39%74%34%46%52%41%9%79%34%17%52%77%47%40%46%49%50%42%32%50%65%36%21%49%42%39%45%42%51%44%39%48%57%26%6%84%72%27%21%10%73%54%32%32%44%47%**
Scott Rupert (I)4%5%4%6%4%4%2%5%3%5%2%6%4%4%4%2%2%10%3%5%4%6%3%7%4%4%4%5%4%5%4%4%8%5%2%1%5%4%3%3%3%2%6%4%2%1%5%7%2%3%1%6%5%7%3%**
Undecided13%13%14%21%17%9%6%19%7%12%14%31%7%3%16%10%10%19%10%14%9%20%10%21%5%9%14%9%15%12%12%12%13%13%16%10%19%10%12%9%15%8%10%9%8%10%15%12%10%12%15%16%16%12%13%**
Will Not Vote1%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%4%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%3%1%1%0%0%1%1%2%1%1%0%2%2%0%0%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%3%0%1%1%1%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
There are a lot of issues in the news - locally, nationally and abroad. Which of the following best characterizes your personal outlook? Optimistic and hopeful? Worried and concerned? Or Frustrated and angry?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Optimistic And Hopeful38%36%40%44%32%34%44%38%38%34%68%39%38%53%35%19%64%25%24%39%64%44%35%37%47%40%38%34%40%52%31%30%46%39%33%35%43%42%39%29%47%47%21%16%63%100%0%0%19%57%47%33%36%35%42%**
Worried And Concerned40%35%44%40%42%38%37%41%38%43%15%43%38%28%42%55%24%43%48%39%26%33%41%44%37%37%40%44%38%32%43%42%33%40%44%42%36%42%44%39%35%38%47%53%26%0%100%0%52%29%32%41%48%44%34%**
Frustrated And Angry19%24%14%11%20%26%17%15%23%20%9%12%21%16%19%24%8%28%26%19%9%17%21%15%15%19%19%20%18%12%23%24%17%18%19%20%17%13%14%28%14%15%30%29%7%0%0%100%28%10%20%21%14%16%21%**
Not Sure3%4%3%5%6%2%1%5%1%3%8%6%3%3%4%2%4%4%3%3%0%6%3%4%1%4%3%2%3%3%2%4%4%3%4%3%4%3%2%4%4%1%2%2%4%0%0%0%2%4%1%5%1%6%3%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Support45%49%42%42%38%51%52%40%51%43%63%43%46%58%43%17%76%38%23%55%73%44%45%54%43%54%44%38%50%65%39%25%51%48%39%45%44%54%47%41%49%64%27%13%78%73%30%24%18%70%58%40%37%45%48%**
Oppose38%41%35%37%38%38%40%37%38%40%18%30%40%34%39%65%12%45%64%30%15%32%41%30%41%32%40%48%34%20%46%58%31%35%44%41%33%35%37%47%31%27%55%70%8%15%48%67%64%16%29%44%38%41%36%**
Not Sure17%10%23%21%25%12%8%23%10%16%18%27%13%8%19%18%13%16%14%15%12%24%14%17%16%14%17%14%16%15%15%18%19%17%16%14%23%11%16%12%20%9%18%17%13%12%22%9%18%15%13%17%25%15%16%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Which one issue do you want the President to focus on ahead of all others? Jobs? Healthcare? Balancing the federal budget? Taxes? Keeping America safe? Education? Abortion? Social security? Medicare? Or something else?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Jobs41%39%43%48%37%41%39%42%40%40%48%45%40%41%41%38%45%38%37%43%40%48%40%35%38%41%41%33%45%43%41%37%43%43%41%33%42%39%44%37%100%0%0%36%47%51%36%32%35%47%40%43%41%37%42%**
Healthcare11%10%13%9%10%13%15%9%14%11%17%9%12%16%10%9%16%8%11%10%19%10%11%15%11%10%12%17%9%15%8%13%11%11%12%13%12%15%11%9%0%100%0%9%14%14%11%9%8%14%14%14%7%13%11%**
Balancing The Budget20%24%17%19%26%20%16%22%18%22%11%23%19%14%22%29%11%25%27%21%10%16%24%13%17%19%21%23%20%16%23%20%13%18%27%27%16%18%18%31%0%0%100%31%12%11%24%33%32%11%16%21%25%18%22%**
Taxes4%5%3%5%6%2%2%6%2%4%3%4%4%3%4%3%3%6%4%4%3%4%4%5%2%4%4%3%4%2%5%3%4%4%5%2%3%4%3%6%0%0%0%4%3%2%5%5%4%3%9%3%3%5%2%**
Keeping America Safe8%8%9%8%7%9%11%7%10%9%9%6%9%7%9%13%7%6%10%7%8%10%7%9%12%9%8%11%7%7%9%10%9%11%4%10%8%10%9%7%0%0%0%10%6%7%11%7%11%7%9%6%9%12%7%**
Education3%3%4%7%4%1%2%5%2%4%1%4%3%4%3%1%4%5%1%5%7%3%4%3%1%6%3%1%4%4%4%2%1%3%5%7%3%1%7%5%0%0%0%2%5%3%4%1%2%5%2%3%2%4%4%**
Abortion2%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%2%0%1%2%1%2%1%1%3%3%1%1%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%0%7%2%1%3%2%2%2%1%2%0%0%0%2%1%1%2%3%2%1%1%1%3%3%2%**
Social Security6%6%5%2%6%9%5%4%8%6%7%5%6%10%5%2%8%5%4%6%8%4%5%14%6%6%5%4%6%6%4%5%12%5%2%2%9%5%5%1%0%0%0%4%7%7%4%4%3%7%5%2%7%5%6%**
Medicare2%1%3%1%1%2%6%1%4%2%2%1%3%2%2%1%3%2%2%3%2%0%3%2%7%2%2%3%1%2%3%0%3%3%1%2%3%4%1%1%0%0%0%1%3%2%2%3%2%3%3%6%2%1%2%**
Something Else2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%3%2%1%2%2%1%3%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%3%2%1%1%3%2%2%0%2%0%0%0%1%2%2%1%4%1%2%1%1%1%3%2%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney47%51%43%39%54%47%50%46%48%52%14%41%49%41%48%91%8%52%80%41%8%35%55%29%46%46%48%62%40%20%59%74%35%46%54%53%39%43%49%59%42%34%67%96%4%21%62%72%89%14%43%52%53%49%43%**
Barack Obama40%38%43%45%34%40%43%40%41%35%79%36%42%54%37%4%81%27%14%44%83%49%36%45%44%45%39%29%46%64%30%18%48%42%34%39%45%47%40%31%46%55%21%1%85%72%24%11%5%72%43%35%30%38%46%**
Not Sure12%11%14%16%11%14%7%14%11%13%8%22%9%5%14%4%11%20%6%15%9%16%9%26%11%9%13%9%14%15%11%8%17%13%12%8%16%10%11%10%13%11%12%3%11%7%14%16%7%14%13%13%17%13%11%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Who is more in touch with the average person?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney36%39%34%26%40%37%45%33%40%40%9%26%40%33%37%79%5%33%70%25%6%23%43%27%40%29%39%53%28%12%45%66%30%34%39%42%32%34%35%43%34%27%48%81%0%15%47%60%73%7%28%45%47%33%32%**
Barack Obama53%50%55%62%46%53%48%54%51%48%85%59%50%62%51%11%91%48%20%63%91%68%46%58%53%58%52%37%61%79%42%26%60%51%50%51%57%56%51%46%57%66%34%6%98%80%39%24%13%86%60%46%43%54%57%**
Not Sure11%11%11%12%15%10%7%13%9%12%6%15%10%5%12%10%4%19%10%12%3%10%11%15%8%13%10%9%11%9%13%8%10%14%11%7%11%11%13%10%9%8%18%14%2%6%14%16%14%6%13%9%11%13%11%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Mitt Romney43%47%39%33%48%44%48%41%45%47%13%35%46%35%45%88%7%44%75%35%6%31%50%30%42%38%45%58%36%16%54%72%33%43%48%46%35%42%42%54%37%33%62%93%1%18%56%70%84%11%37%54%49%43%39%**
Barack Obama44%42%46%49%36%45%46%43%46%39%81%40%46%59%41%4%85%34%16%50%85%51%40%52%47%50%43%32%50%69%35%18%53%46%37%43%48%50%45%34%49%56%24%1%92%76%27%13%5%77%52%36%33%43%50%**
Not Sure13%11%14%18%16%11%6%17%9%14%6%26%9%6%14%8%8%22%9%15%9%17%10%19%10%12%12%10%14%15%11%10%14%11%15%11%16%8%13%13%14%11%14%6%7%7%16%17%11%12%12%10%18%14%12%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
What is of greater concern in Ohio: voter fraud? Or voter suppression?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Voter Fraud43%45%41%35%44%46%49%39%47%44%33%34%46%42%44%67%25%42%64%37%20%34%46%42%45%36%45%54%38%28%52%54%41%41%46%42%40%39%44%49%39%41%55%66%21%28%49%65%64%26%39%49%46%45%41%**
Voter Suppression40%41%38%47%39%37%35%43%36%39%49%43%39%46%38%19%57%38%21%47%63%44%38%42%34%44%39%29%46%54%34%28%38%41%39%44%40%47%39%36%44%43%27%19%61%56%33%24%20%58%43%36%37%35%42%**
Not Sure17%13%21%18%17%17%17%18%17%17%18%24%15%12%18%14%18%19%15%16%17%21%16%16%21%21%16%18%16%18%14%18%21%18%14%14%20%14%17%15%17%16%19%15%17%16%18%11%16%16%18%15%16%20%18%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Do you support? Or oppose? ... the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Support37%37%38%42%32%39%35%37%38%34%65%35%38%52%34%9%68%29%13%46%71%40%35%48%35%41%37%27%44%59%29%14%36%40%36%40%37%42%45%31%40%52%23%7%71%62%25%17%7%64%41%34%33%37%39%**
Oppose45%49%42%36%49%48%47%43%48%50%14%39%47%37%47%80%11%53%75%37%11%34%50%36%49%41%46%59%38%23%54%73%39%44%49%46%40%41%46%53%40%32%68%85%7%20%58%72%81%15%46%51%43%50%41%**
Not Sure17%14%20%22%18%13%18%20%15%16%22%27%14%12%19%11%21%17%12%17%17%26%15%16%16%18%17%13%18%18%17%13%25%16%15%14%24%17%8%16%20%15%9%9%22%18%17%10%12%22%12%15%23%14%20%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
Do you support the Tea Party ... Strongly? Somewhat? Or not at all?
613 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyMarriageUnionEvangelicalAbortionEducationIncomeTop Issue2012 VoteOutlook2008 VoteRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackCell PhoLandlineYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalSingleMarriedDivorcedWidowedYesNoYesNoLegalCertain IllegalHigh SchSome Col4-year CGraduate< $40K$40K - $$60K - $> $80KJobsHealthcaBalancinMitt RomBarack OOptimistWorried FrustratMcCainObamaToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
Strongly17%19%15%15%15%17%21%15%19%18%8%9%19%23%15%31%7%16%35%7%8%13%18%13%19%16%17%24%13%6%20%32%18%18%13%15%15%15%17%17%15%12%19%30%5%9%18%29%32%5%18%15%14%18%16%**
Somewhat33%32%34%35%35%34%27%35%31%32%29%32%34%33%33%48%21%34%44%37%11%30%35%30%36%28%35%40%30%20%39%45%27%32%39%34%32%34%32%36%32%28%44%49%18%24%38%44%43%23%25%45%40%29%31%**
Not At All39%40%38%29%38%44%48%33%45%38%53%32%42%36%40%12%64%38%13%45%73%40%37%47%40%47%38%28%45%64%30%14%38%41%38%42%39%40%38%41%41%49%26%12%68%57%30%23%16%61%46%33%30%41%42%**
Not Sure11%9%13%21%13%5%4%17%5%11%10%28%5%8%12%8%9%12%8%10%8%17%10%11%5%9%11%9%11%11%11%9%17%10%9%9%14%11%13%6%12%10%11%9%9%10%14%5%9%11%10%7%15%12%11%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%48%52%26%26%29%19%52%48%83%12%26%74%18%82%32%39%26%34%42%17%23%59%11%7%23%75%33%62%34%45%16%25%32%27%16%38%22%16%23%41%11%20%42%45%38%40%19%40%48%9%11%14%22%40%4%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.