| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19897 |
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3 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted, Hours Before 2nd Presidential Debate Begins, Early Voters Give Obama An Edge in Ohio:
In an election for President of the United States in Ohio today, 10/16/12, Barack Obama edges Mitt Romney 45% to 42%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCMH-TV in Columbus. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, Obama is flat at 45%, Romney is down 2 points, from 44% to 42%. Obama's entire advantage comes from those Ohioans who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. Among early voters, Obama leads 57% to 38%. Among Ohioans who are likely to vote, but who have not yet done so, the contest is tied, 43% to 43%. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Obama leads by the 3 points reported here. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll one week ago, women are stable, but Obama picks up a couple of points among men. The gender gap today is 13 points. Both Obama and Romney lost support among Independents week-on-week. Romney declined 3 points, from 44% to 41%. Obama declined 2 points, from 35% to 33%. Obama gained ground week-on-week among middle-income voters. In greater Columbus, the contest is absolutely unchanged: 47% to 41% Obama last week; 47% to 41% Obama this week. In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, Democrat Sherrod Brown defeats Republican Josh Mandel 43% to 38%. Week-on-week, Brown is up 1 point, Mandel is flat. Brown leads by 14 points among Ohioans who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, and by 2 points among likely voters who have not yet marked a ballot. Week-on-week, Mandel lost 2 points among voters under age 50, and gained 2 points among voters age 50+. In greater Columbus, Mandel lost 3 points week-on-week. In greater Cleveland, Mandel gained 3 points week-on-week. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 675 Ohio adults 10/12/12 through 10/15/12. Of the adults, 613 had either already returned a ballot or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to do so before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Obama leads by 12 points among cell-phone respondents. Obama and Romney are tied, 46% to 46%, among landline respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Obama leads by the 3 points reported here. |
 | In the election for President of the United States, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? One of the other candidates? Or are you undecided? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney (R) | 42% | 45% | 40% | 33% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 40% | 45% | 47% | 11% | 33% | 46% | 38% | 43% | 89% | 6% | 41% | 74% | 34% | 6% | 29% | 50% | 30% | 42% | 39% | 44% | 57% | 35% | 18% | 54% | 66% | 34% | 42% | 48% | 45% | 35% | 41% | 43% | 51% | 37% | 33% | 64% | 100% | 0% | 18% | 57% | 65% | 85% | 10% | 33% | 55% | 51% | 41% | 38% | ** |
| Barack Obama (D) | 45% | 41% | 49% | 52% | 37% | 45% | 48% | 44% | 46% | 40% | 79% | 45% | 46% | 57% | 43% | 5% | 88% | 33% | 16% | 51% | 88% | 55% | 40% | 50% | 52% | 50% | 45% | 32% | 53% | 73% | 34% | 19% | 53% | 46% | 40% | 44% | 50% | 51% | 45% | 36% | 52% | 58% | 27% | 0% | 100% | 75% | 29% | 18% | 7% | 81% | 52% | 39% | 32% | 47% | 50% | ** |
| Other | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ** |
| Undecided | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 18% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 3% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 9% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | In the election for United States Senator, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Josh Mandel? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Are you undecided? Or will you not vote in this contest? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Josh Mandel (R) | 38% | 42% | 35% | 31% | 40% | 40% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 43% | 11% | 28% | 42% | 38% | 39% | 79% | 7% | 37% | 70% | 28% | 9% | 25% | 46% | 25% | 39% | 36% | 40% | 54% | 31% | 17% | 48% | 61% | 29% | 39% | 43% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 41% | 49% | 35% | 30% | 57% | 82% | 4% | 15% | 53% | 59% | 76% | 11% | 27% | 46% | 47% | 37% | 35% | ** |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | 43% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 39% | 47% | 47% | 39% | 47% | 39% | 74% | 34% | 46% | 52% | 41% | 9% | 79% | 34% | 17% | 52% | 77% | 47% | 40% | 46% | 49% | 50% | 42% | 32% | 50% | 65% | 36% | 21% | 49% | 42% | 39% | 45% | 42% | 51% | 44% | 39% | 48% | 57% | 26% | 6% | 84% | 72% | 27% | 21% | 10% | 73% | 54% | 32% | 32% | 44% | 47% | ** |
| Scott Rupert (I) | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 3% | ** |
| Undecided | 13% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 19% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 31% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 10% | 21% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 13% | ** |
| Will Not Vote | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | There are a lot of issues in the news - locally, nationally and abroad. Which of the following best characterizes your personal outlook? Optimistic and hopeful? Worried and concerned? Or Frustrated and angry? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Optimistic And Hopeful | 38% | 36% | 40% | 44% | 32% | 34% | 44% | 38% | 38% | 34% | 68% | 39% | 38% | 53% | 35% | 19% | 64% | 25% | 24% | 39% | 64% | 44% | 35% | 37% | 47% | 40% | 38% | 34% | 40% | 52% | 31% | 30% | 46% | 39% | 33% | 35% | 43% | 42% | 39% | 29% | 47% | 47% | 21% | 16% | 63% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 57% | 47% | 33% | 36% | 35% | 42% | ** |
| Worried And Concerned | 40% | 35% | 44% | 40% | 42% | 38% | 37% | 41% | 38% | 43% | 15% | 43% | 38% | 28% | 42% | 55% | 24% | 43% | 48% | 39% | 26% | 33% | 41% | 44% | 37% | 37% | 40% | 44% | 38% | 32% | 43% | 42% | 33% | 40% | 44% | 42% | 36% | 42% | 44% | 39% | 35% | 38% | 47% | 53% | 26% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 52% | 29% | 32% | 41% | 48% | 44% | 34% | ** |
| Frustrated And Angry | 19% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 9% | 12% | 21% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 8% | 28% | 26% | 19% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 14% | 28% | 14% | 15% | 30% | 29% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 28% | 10% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 16% | 21% | ** |
| Not Sure | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 3% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Support | 45% | 49% | 42% | 42% | 38% | 51% | 52% | 40% | 51% | 43% | 63% | 43% | 46% | 58% | 43% | 17% | 76% | 38% | 23% | 55% | 73% | 44% | 45% | 54% | 43% | 54% | 44% | 38% | 50% | 65% | 39% | 25% | 51% | 48% | 39% | 45% | 44% | 54% | 47% | 41% | 49% | 64% | 27% | 13% | 78% | 73% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 70% | 58% | 40% | 37% | 45% | 48% | ** |
| Oppose | 38% | 41% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 40% | 37% | 38% | 40% | 18% | 30% | 40% | 34% | 39% | 65% | 12% | 45% | 64% | 30% | 15% | 32% | 41% | 30% | 41% | 32% | 40% | 48% | 34% | 20% | 46% | 58% | 31% | 35% | 44% | 41% | 33% | 35% | 37% | 47% | 31% | 27% | 55% | 70% | 8% | 15% | 48% | 67% | 64% | 16% | 29% | 44% | 38% | 41% | 36% | ** |
| Not Sure | 17% | 10% | 23% | 21% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 23% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 24% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 23% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 22% | 9% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 25% | 15% | 16% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Which one issue do you want the President to focus on ahead of all others? Jobs? Healthcare? Balancing the federal budget? Taxes? Keeping America safe? Education? Abortion? Social security? Medicare? Or something else? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Jobs | 41% | 39% | 43% | 48% | 37% | 41% | 39% | 42% | 40% | 40% | 48% | 45% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 38% | 45% | 38% | 37% | 43% | 40% | 48% | 40% | 35% | 38% | 41% | 41% | 33% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 33% | 42% | 39% | 44% | 37% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 47% | 51% | 36% | 32% | 35% | 47% | 40% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 42% | ** |
| Healthcare | 11% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 9% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 11% | ** |
| Balancing The Budget | 20% | 24% | 17% | 19% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 11% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 22% | 29% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 21% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 23% | 20% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 27% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 31% | 12% | 11% | 24% | 33% | 32% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 22% | ** |
| Taxes | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | ** |
| Keeping America Safe | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 7% | ** |
| Education | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | ** |
| Abortion | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ** |
| Social Security | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 6% | ** |
| Medicare | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ** |
| Something Else | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Who would do better at balancing the federal budget? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney | 47% | 51% | 43% | 39% | 54% | 47% | 50% | 46% | 48% | 52% | 14% | 41% | 49% | 41% | 48% | 91% | 8% | 52% | 80% | 41% | 8% | 35% | 55% | 29% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 62% | 40% | 20% | 59% | 74% | 35% | 46% | 54% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 49% | 59% | 42% | 34% | 67% | 96% | 4% | 21% | 62% | 72% | 89% | 14% | 43% | 52% | 53% | 49% | 43% | ** |
| Barack Obama | 40% | 38% | 43% | 45% | 34% | 40% | 43% | 40% | 41% | 35% | 79% | 36% | 42% | 54% | 37% | 4% | 81% | 27% | 14% | 44% | 83% | 49% | 36% | 45% | 44% | 45% | 39% | 29% | 46% | 64% | 30% | 18% | 48% | 42% | 34% | 39% | 45% | 47% | 40% | 31% | 46% | 55% | 21% | 1% | 85% | 72% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 72% | 43% | 35% | 30% | 38% | 46% | ** |
| Not Sure | 12% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 6% | 15% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 26% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 11% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Who is more in touch with the average person? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney | 36% | 39% | 34% | 26% | 40% | 37% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 26% | 40% | 33% | 37% | 79% | 5% | 33% | 70% | 25% | 6% | 23% | 43% | 27% | 40% | 29% | 39% | 53% | 28% | 12% | 45% | 66% | 30% | 34% | 39% | 42% | 32% | 34% | 35% | 43% | 34% | 27% | 48% | 81% | 0% | 15% | 47% | 60% | 73% | 7% | 28% | 45% | 47% | 33% | 32% | ** |
| Barack Obama | 53% | 50% | 55% | 62% | 46% | 53% | 48% | 54% | 51% | 48% | 85% | 59% | 50% | 62% | 51% | 11% | 91% | 48% | 20% | 63% | 91% | 68% | 46% | 58% | 53% | 58% | 52% | 37% | 61% | 79% | 42% | 26% | 60% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 57% | 56% | 51% | 46% | 57% | 66% | 34% | 6% | 98% | 80% | 39% | 24% | 13% | 86% | 60% | 46% | 43% | 54% | 57% | ** |
| Not Sure | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 19% | 10% | 12% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 11% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Who will do a better job of keeping America safe? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Mitt Romney | 43% | 47% | 39% | 33% | 48% | 44% | 48% | 41% | 45% | 47% | 13% | 35% | 46% | 35% | 45% | 88% | 7% | 44% | 75% | 35% | 6% | 31% | 50% | 30% | 42% | 38% | 45% | 58% | 36% | 16% | 54% | 72% | 33% | 43% | 48% | 46% | 35% | 42% | 42% | 54% | 37% | 33% | 62% | 93% | 1% | 18% | 56% | 70% | 84% | 11% | 37% | 54% | 49% | 43% | 39% | ** |
| Barack Obama | 44% | 42% | 46% | 49% | 36% | 45% | 46% | 43% | 46% | 39% | 81% | 40% | 46% | 59% | 41% | 4% | 85% | 34% | 16% | 50% | 85% | 51% | 40% | 52% | 47% | 50% | 43% | 32% | 50% | 69% | 35% | 18% | 53% | 46% | 37% | 43% | 48% | 50% | 45% | 34% | 49% | 56% | 24% | 1% | 92% | 76% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 77% | 52% | 36% | 33% | 43% | 50% | ** |
| Not Sure | 13% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 22% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 17% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 12% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | What is of greater concern in Ohio: voter fraud? Or voter suppression? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Voter Fraud | 43% | 45% | 41% | 35% | 44% | 46% | 49% | 39% | 47% | 44% | 33% | 34% | 46% | 42% | 44% | 67% | 25% | 42% | 64% | 37% | 20% | 34% | 46% | 42% | 45% | 36% | 45% | 54% | 38% | 28% | 52% | 54% | 41% | 41% | 46% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 49% | 39% | 41% | 55% | 66% | 21% | 28% | 49% | 65% | 64% | 26% | 39% | 49% | 46% | 45% | 41% | ** |
| Voter Suppression | 40% | 41% | 38% | 47% | 39% | 37% | 35% | 43% | 36% | 39% | 49% | 43% | 39% | 46% | 38% | 19% | 57% | 38% | 21% | 47% | 63% | 44% | 38% | 42% | 34% | 44% | 39% | 29% | 46% | 54% | 34% | 28% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 44% | 40% | 47% | 39% | 36% | 44% | 43% | 27% | 19% | 61% | 56% | 33% | 24% | 20% | 58% | 43% | 36% | 37% | 35% | 42% | ** |
| Not Sure | 17% | 13% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 15% | 12% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 18% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Do you support? Or oppose? ... the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Support | 37% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 32% | 39% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 34% | 65% | 35% | 38% | 52% | 34% | 9% | 68% | 29% | 13% | 46% | 71% | 40% | 35% | 48% | 35% | 41% | 37% | 27% | 44% | 59% | 29% | 14% | 36% | 40% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 42% | 45% | 31% | 40% | 52% | 23% | 7% | 71% | 62% | 25% | 17% | 7% | 64% | 41% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 39% | ** |
| Oppose | 45% | 49% | 42% | 36% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 43% | 48% | 50% | 14% | 39% | 47% | 37% | 47% | 80% | 11% | 53% | 75% | 37% | 11% | 34% | 50% | 36% | 49% | 41% | 46% | 59% | 38% | 23% | 54% | 73% | 39% | 44% | 49% | 46% | 40% | 41% | 46% | 53% | 40% | 32% | 68% | 85% | 7% | 20% | 58% | 72% | 81% | 15% | 46% | 51% | 43% | 50% | 41% | ** |
| Not Sure | 17% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 22% | 27% | 14% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 25% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 10% | 12% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 23% | 14% | 20% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |
 | Do you support the Tea Party ... Strongly? Somewhat? Or not at all? |
| 613 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | SE Ohio | |
| Strongly | 17% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 15% | 31% | 7% | 16% | 35% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 30% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 5% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 16% | ** |
| Somewhat | 33% | 32% | 34% | 35% | 35% | 34% | 27% | 35% | 31% | 32% | 29% | 32% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 48% | 21% | 34% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 30% | 35% | 30% | 36% | 28% | 35% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 39% | 45% | 27% | 32% | 39% | 34% | 32% | 34% | 32% | 36% | 32% | 28% | 44% | 49% | 18% | 24% | 38% | 44% | 43% | 23% | 25% | 45% | 40% | 29% | 31% | ** |
| Not At All | 39% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 48% | 33% | 45% | 38% | 53% | 32% | 42% | 36% | 40% | 12% | 64% | 38% | 13% | 45% | 73% | 40% | 37% | 47% | 40% | 47% | 38% | 28% | 45% | 64% | 30% | 14% | 38% | 41% | 38% | 42% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 41% | 49% | 26% | 12% | 68% | 57% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 61% | 46% | 33% | 30% | 41% | 42% | ** |
| Not Sure | 11% | 9% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 17% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 28% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 83% | 12% | 26% | 74% | 18% | 82% | 32% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 42% | 17% | 23% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 75% | 33% | 62% | 34% | 45% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 41% | 11% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 40% | 4% |