| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #7399 |
| Analysis: In a citywide election in Seattle today, 11/2/05, the Monorail Measure is defeated 3:2, and four City Council incumbents are re-elected, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 549 likely Seattle voters, conducted exclusively for KING-TV. Election day is 11/8. The Monorail Measure is rejected today 58% to 40%, virtually unchanged from a SurveyUSA KING-TV poll 4 weeks ago. The Monorail is supported only by liberals and by voters under age 35. For City Council Position 2, incumbent Richard Conlin defeats challenger Paige Miller 49% to 37%. Conlin had led by 5, now by 12. For City Council Position 4, incumbent Jan Drago today defeats challenger Casey Corr 54% to 34%. Drago had led by 17, now by 20. For City Council Position 6, incumbent Nick Licata beats challenger Paul Bascomb 65% to 22%. For City Council Position 8, incumbent Richard McIver today defeats challenger Dwight Pelz 50% to 34%. 4 weeks ago, McIver led by 17, now by 16. In the City Council races, 12% to 15% of likely voters remain undecided. |
| Filtering: 1,200 Seattle adults were interviewed 10/30/05 - 11/1/05. Of them, 1,045 were registered voters. Of them, 549 were judged to be "likely" voters on the Monorail Measure. 476 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 2 contest. 486 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 4 contest. 468 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 6 contest. 465 were judged to be "likely" voters on the City Council Position 8 contest. Crosstabs reflect "likely" voters. |
 | On November 8th, there is a vote on Seattle's Monorail. The Monorail Measure would approve a new monorail plan, shortening the route from 14 miles to 10.6 miles, subject to City Council approval. A "Yes" vote would approve the new plan. A "No" vote directs that no Monorail be built. If the election were today, would you vote "Yes" on the Monorail Measure? Or would you vote "No"? |
| 549 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | |||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | |
| Yes | 40% | 38% | 41% | 52% | 41% | 34% | 28% | 39% | 40% | ** | ** | 44% | 33% | 43% | 36% | 26% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 35% | 47% | 30% |
| No | 58% | 61% | 56% | 47% | 56% | 63% | 70% | 59% | 58% | ** | ** | 53% | 65% | 55% | 61% | 72% | 66% | 48% | 55% | 62% | 52% | 68% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 32% | 27% | 18% | 80% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 58% | 29% | 11% | 41% | 46% | 32% | 34% | 22% | 12% |
 | Also on the ballot are contests for the Seattle City Council. First, City Council Position 2. If the election were today, would you vote for Richard Conlin? Or Paige Miller? |
| 476 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | |||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.6% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | |
| Conlin (Inc) | 49% | 52% | 46% | 37% | 52% | 52% | 54% | 50% | 33% | ** | ** | 56% | 47% | 49% | 50% | 53% | 50% | 48% | 52% | 51% | 44% | 48% |
| Miller | 37% | 36% | 37% | 30% | 34% | 41% | 43% | 35% | 55% | ** | ** | 35% | 41% | 38% | 33% | 37% | 39% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 44% | 43% |
| Undecided | 14% | 11% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 14% | 12% | ** | ** | 9% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 80% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 59% | 29% | 11% | 42% | 46% | 33% | 34% | 22% | 11% |
 | Next, City Council Position 4. If the election were today, would you vote for Casey Corr? Or Jan Drago? |
| 486 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | |||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | |
| Corr | 34% | 40% | 29% | 29% | 34% | 35% | 39% | 33% | 28% | ** | ** | 45% | 50% | 27% | 42% | 56% | 38% | 26% | 31% | 37% | 31% | 41% |
| Drago (Inc) | 54% | 50% | 58% | 43% | 54% | 59% | 58% | 54% | 64% | ** | ** | 50% | 40% | 60% | 47% | 36% | 52% | 60% | 56% | 50% | 58% | 52% |
| Undecided | 12% | 10% | 13% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 13% | 9% | ** | ** | 5% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 33% | 28% | 18% | 80% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 58% | 29% | 11% | 42% | 46% | 34% | 32% | 22% | 11% |
| 4 | Next, City Council Position 6. If the election were today, would you vote for Paul Bascomb? Or Nick Licata? |
| 468 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | |||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | |
| Bascomb | 22% | 27% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 61% | ** | ** | 24% | 38% | 17% | 24% | 40% | 26% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 25% | 35% |
| Licata (Inc) | 65% | 62% | 68% | 54% | 64% | 69% | 74% | 67% | 30% | ** | ** | 69% | 51% | 70% | 61% | 48% | 63% | 72% | 70% | 64% | 62% | 59% |
| Undecided | 13% | 11% | 16% | 29% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 9% | ** | ** | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 18% | 13% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 80% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 59% | 29% | 11% | 42% | 46% | 34% | 34% | 22% | 10% |
 | Finally, City Council Position 8. If the election were today, would you vote for Richard McIver? Or Dwight Pelz? |
| 465 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | |||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.6% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Grad Sch | College | Some Col | No Colle | |
| McIver (Inc) | 50% | 50% | 50% | 39% | 48% | 54% | 61% | 50% | 64% | ** | ** | 49% | 63% | 48% | 51% | 52% | 58% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 46% | 60% |
| Pelz | 34% | 37% | 32% | 29% | 38% | 36% | 34% | 34% | 28% | ** | ** | 43% | 27% | 36% | 33% | 40% | 30% | 38% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 32% |
| Undecided | 15% | 12% | 18% | 32% | 14% | 11% | 4% | 16% | 8% | ** | ** | 8% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 79% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 59% | 29% | 11% | 42% | 46% | 33% | 33% | 23% | 11% |